Polymarket

“Six hundred and fifty three million dollars in political bets are currently being placed across the top 10 betting markets and all of the markets on polymarket, which includes things outside of politics are three hundred twenty million.”

“If you look at polymarket, that is, has swung back to Trump being in the lead over the past week, as opposed to Harris.”

“It was reported this morning that a French trader has bet forty-five million dollars on Trump on Polymarket, that he is the whale.”

“Shane came up with the idea of starting Polymarket because of a bet that Friedberg had with Diego.”

“I mean, today I think A couple hundred million dollars which is, you know, a lot by, I guess when you think about leveraged assets, it doesn't seem like a lot, but for prediction markets, it's probably an all time high, I guess, in history.”

“All I did was send in my 30,000 and I would have had four percent.”

“So the thing about Polymarket is that it's like, it's the, in terms of global market share, it's like 90 something percent of the global market.”

“And it's like, the reality is after today, if things continue to trend in the direction that they're trending, like the idea of trusting an individual pollster and taking their word for it is now antiquated technology. Like Polymarket has arrived. It has prove…”

“By the way, if you look at Polymarket, Polymarket had it all right a couple of weeks ago.”

“I created a poly market on GDP. Annualized GDP growth in Q three of this year being below five, negative five percent.”

“Poly market showing an 84% chance of less than fifty billion being cut in 2025.”

“One month ago, Cuomo was at 93%. Zoran had a six percent chance.”

“And it sounds crazy today, but I guarantee if you put it on Polymarket, there will be a date when this happens.”

“Nexar and Sinclair's affiliates, they decided to not air it, and that was 60% of the market, so interesting, polymarket. Had Jimmy Kimmel canceled by September 30th. It was nearly 80% after Kimmel was suspended last week, but that's plummeted to one percent si…”

“ICE, a different ICE, Intercontinental Exchange, had invested two billion at a nine billion dollar post or somewhere in that range.”

“You can see, by the way that DraftKings and FanDuel stock have reacted to this, those companies are toast.”

“The poly market model is the best model because it creates a market, and so as information flows in, that market will dynamically adjust and everyone will get a more fair price.”

“Basically, 89% accurate one week out, but in the final four hours, it jumps to 95, which means that if you follow the sharps along this pattern, you're going to make money.”

“Polymarket actually has the news before the news does. And this is one of the most, like, powerful outputs of polymarket, is they're actually getting a read on what's going on in the world before the media recognizes it, before the public recognizes it.”

“He was the seed investor in a little company known as Polymarket”

“My pick for best performing asset will be the Robinhood Polymarket prize picks, gambling, wagering space because people will be able to have a little cash around to make some bets. You could buy Coinbase in there too, I guess.”

“Polymarket. Polymarket's on a tear. Network effects. Replacing media. Replacing markets.”

“And I think the odds of him pulling this off are much greater than 17%.”

“Polymarket. 27% chance that U.S. Forces Enter Iran by the end of March and 57% by the end of the year.”

“I've got a side quest where I'm just investing. I have agents investing and betting on Kalshi and Polly and, you know, these other places. And it's silly how dumb the agents are, even their best agents, to be honest.”

“It's effectively at 42 or 43% that Elon wins.”

“Polymarket says, 99% chance May inflation comes in at 4.2% or higher.”

“I consult for Polymarket, I should say.”

“The ratings here from Polymarket, which company has the best AI model, by the end of twenty-twenty-six, OpenAI's chances just spiked from low single digits now to over 20%.”