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Democratic Party

also referred to as: the democratic party

104 statements across 58 episodes · 11 bullish · 67 bearish · 26 people on the record · first statement Sep 19, 2020 by Chamath Palihapitiya · said 1,308 times in 205 episodes since 2020 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by David Sacks (421), Chamath Palihapitiya (228), Jason Calacanis (214), David Friedberg (119), Nate Silver (34), John Fetterman (25), Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (21), Tucker Carlson (18)

tap a year for its mentions
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025502020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
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2026 229 mentions in 30 episodes 8 per episode
2025 331 mentions in 43 episodes 8 per episode
2024 338 mentions in 39 episodes 9 per episode
2023 105 mentions in 27 episodes 4 per episode
2022 171 mentions in 34 episodes 5 per episode
2021 90 mentions in 23 episodes 4 per episode
2020 44 mentions in 9 episodes 5 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Democratic Party, oldest first

Sep 19, 2020
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: A decisive Trump win could break the US two-party system
“I think if Donald Trump wins in a meaningful way in November, I don't think he will, but if he does, the actual silver lining for everybody is I think the Republican Party will disintegrate, and the Democratic Party will disintegrate. And in its place, I think…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Sep 19, 2020 ▶ 1:19:04 E8: TikTok + Oracle, how privacy loss will impact society, economy & COVID outlooks for 2021
Oct 3, 2020 positive
Opinion
Sacks: Joe Biden is the Democrats' most electable 2020 candidate
“Now that we know he's not senile, I think he, he's, he is the Democrats' most electable candidate because he is More centrist than certainly in Elizabeth Warren or some of the other candidates that you mentioned.”
David Sacks Oct 3, 2020 ▶ 27:18 E9: Trump has COVID, First debate reactions, Coinbase letter response & more
Nov 4, 2020 negative
Disclosure
Chamath demands a Democratic Party root cause analysis before donating again
“So if these motherfuckers want a single goddamn dollar from me, what I want first is a root cause analysis to understand what is actually going on.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 2:00:02 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 4, 2020
Prediction Partly held up
Gerstner: Pragmatic, moderate Democrat like Buttigieg will emerge as party nominee
“I think that there is a, there's been a doctrine in the Democratic Party that to win the primary, you got to veer to the left. Right. You got to contend with Bernie. You got to contend with Elizabeth Warren, but ultimately that's a losing strategy in the elect…”
Brad Gerstner Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 1:58:12 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Jan 23, 2021
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Trump forming third party will push Democrats further left
“If Trump does actually, if they do actually kick Trump out of the party, and he does set up a fringe party, you will likely see the Democrats move further left, creating a much more kind of conflicting story for some of the centrists than what they're telling …”
David Friedberg Jan 23, 2021 ▶ 16:12 E18: Inauguration talk, breaking down the $1.9T stimulus, the case for recalling Gavin Newsom & more
Apr 23, 2021 negative
Opinion
Sacks argues woke socialism is the dominant Democratic Party ideology
“There's no question in my mind that the Democratic party, all the energy, the base, the activists, And the politicians who have the microphone, they are woke socialists, okay? That is the dominant ideology in the Democratic Party, and what Biden is doing right…”
David Sacks Apr 23, 2021 ▶ 35:44 E30: Ramifications of Biden's proposed capital gains tax hike, founder psychology & more
Oct 30, 2021 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Democrats face midterm bloodbath without legislative wins
“If you go into the midterms with nothing done, With a Democratic president, Democratic Senate, and Democratic House, this is going to be a bloodbath.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 30, 2021 ▶ 33:37 E53: Wealth tax, inflation as a capital allocator, big tech earnings, paternity leave & more
Nov 6, 2021 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks: Democrats will lose 40 to 50 seats in 2022 midterms
“You're going to see. 40 to 50 seat losses by the Democrats in 2022.”
David Sacks Nov 6, 2021 ▶ 1:14:52 E54: Spread trading big tech, capital allocation, Zillow's misfire, Progressives suffer losses
Dec 4, 2021 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Gavin Newsom will never challenge teachers' unions due to presidential ambitions
“You will never hear a politician like Gavin Newsom ever stand up to them because he wants to be president and he doesn't want to basically, he doesn't want to cross any major interest in the Democratic Party.”
David Sacks Dec 4, 2021 ▶ 1:04:25 E57: Understanding Omicron, tech stocks plummet, VC's great resignation, Jack Dorsey's departure
Dec 17, 2021
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts a growing schism between liberal pragmatists and radical progressives
“I think it started after the Youngkin victory in Virginia, and I think it's going to accelerate throughout, for the next year, and especially after the red wave in November, 20, 22. There's going to be a schism between liberal pragmatists and these extreme rad…”
David Sacks Dec 17, 2021 ▶ 1:19:59 E59: Twitter's content warning algo, equity audits, politicians trading stocks, Fed's next move
Dec 17, 2021 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Racial equity auditors are Democratic political activists and consultants
“These so-called auditors are actually political consultants who are members of the Democratic Party, who are friends of the senators who are pushing for this. They're political activists.”
David Sacks Dec 17, 2021 ▶ 16:45 E59: Twitter's content warning algo, equity audits, politicians trading stocks, Fed's next move
Dec 23, 2021 negative
Opinion
Calacanis: The Democratic Party sidelined Kamala Harris due to a lack of faith
“The biggest political surprise was Kamala Harris being sidelined. Where is she? What is she working on? I thought that the democratic party was going to want to feature her showcase her with some great projects in order to maybe prep her for running if need be…”
Jason Calacanis Dec 23, 2021 ▶ 18:43 E60: The 2021 Bestie Awards PLUS Jack Dorsey starts the Web3 Wars
Dec 29, 2021
Prediction Partly held up
David Sacks predicts Hispanic and Asian American voters flip Republican in 2022
“It's already the case in polling that Hispanics and Asian Americans now are swing voters, and I think you're gonna see in November, 20, 22, that they go for Republicans in big numbers, and so the idea that the Democratic Party can just coast to election based …”
David Sacks Dec 29, 2021 ▶ 36:30 E61: 2022 Predictions! Business, politics, science, tech, crypto, & more
Dec 29, 2021
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Democratic Party will embrace Bill Clinton's centrist formula by end of 2022
“I predict that there will be a strange new respect for Bill Clinton in the Democratic Party by the end of next year. Why? Because after the red wave, there'll be a recognition that they need to move towards the center, they need to triangulate, and Clinton was…”
David Sacks Dec 29, 2021 ▶ 36:08 E61: 2022 Predictions! Business, politics, science, tech, crypto, & more
Apr 1, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Democrats will keep losing until shifting away from progressive stance
“Where I think this thing is headed is that the working class voters of this country don't like this radical progressive shift in the Democratic Party, and the Democratic Party's gonna keep losing until they're willing to make changes.”
David Sacks Apr 1, 2022 ▶ 47:36 E74: Market update, inverted yield curve, immigration, new SPAC rules, $FB smears TikTok and more
Jun 7, 2022
Disclosure
Gracias: Registered Democrat now backing centrist candidates across both parties
“I'm a registered Democrat. I've supported Democrats for most of my life, but the reality is now all I care about is sensible people that I think are really good, and I'm engaging in micro-targeting efforts across the spectrum in primary races.”
Antonio Gracias Jun 7, 2022 ▶ 1:14:32 #AIS: Bestie AMA with Valor's Antonio Gracias
Jul 22, 2022 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: November red wave will elect boosted MAGA candidates
“If we have a red wave in November, you're gonna end up with more of these candidates basically winning.”
David Sacks Jul 22, 2022 ▶ 20:46 E88: First principle politics, China chaos & outlook, state of private/public markets & more
Nov 12, 2022 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks: SBF was the second-largest donor to the Democratic Party
“SBF was going to create this billion-dollar philanthropy to, you know, save the world, improve humanity's long-term prospects, number two donor to the entire Democratic Party”
David Sacks Nov 12, 2022 ▶ 48:58 E104: FTX collapse with Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong + election results, macro update & more
Nov 19, 2022 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Palihapitiya: Any Democratic nominee will crush Trump in 2024 election
“Because if it is Trump, whoever the Democratic candidate is, I don't think it really matters, will crush Trump.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 19, 2022 ▶ 16:25 E105: Tech culture wars: Elon vs. SBF, Sabotaging Republicans with Trump
Nov 19, 2022 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Democrats spent $50M boosting far-right candidates in GOP primaries
“Remember the fifty million that went into Republican primaries to support the, you know, the election denier candidate? Turns out that was a successful strategy for them, as much as I hate to admit it.”
David Sacks Nov 19, 2022 ▶ 8:37 E105: Tech culture wars: Elon vs. SBF, Sabotaging Republicans with Trump
May 5, 2023 bullish
Opinion
Sacks: RFK Jr.'s candidacy reflects a historic pro-peace Democratic Party
“But the biggest reason why I think his candidacy is so interesting and relevant is that it harkens back to a democratic party that believed in peace instead of war, free speech and civil liberties instead of censorship.”
David Sacks May 5, 2023 ▶ 3:20 In conversation with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
May 12, 2023 positive
Opinion
Sacks praises RFK Jr. as an authentic rebel against Democratic orthodoxy
“And for him to deviate From Democratic Party orthodoxy and elite thinking in all these really significant ways shows that he is, again, very principled, very authentic, and I think a rebel in a really good way.”
David Sacks May 12, 2023 ▶ 41:49 E128: Google enters AI wars, Druck’s warning, Trump crushes CNN & more
Jun 2, 2023 negative
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Neither political party would nominate a major bank head for president
“And actually I think neither party could nominate a banker right now. I mean, if you saw what happened around the whole banking crisis, That I think is still going on in slow motion. I mean, the amount of animosity, both towards the banks that went under and t…”
David Sacks Jun 2, 2023 ▶ 23:03 E131: 2024 Fantasy President picks, debt ceiling agreement, Dollar dominance & more
Aug 26, 2023 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks: DNC is refusing primary debates to protect Joe Biden
“You compare that to the Democratic Party, they're not even having a debate. They're protecting Biden from a debate.”
David Sacks Aug 26, 2023 ▶ 1:04:15 E143: Nvidia smashes earnings, Arm walks the plank, M&A market, Vivek dominates GOP debate & more
Sep 12, 2023
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ro Khanna: Democrats cannot win Rust Belt states without addressing industrial loss
“Until other people in the Democratic Party can speak to folks in places like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio, about the loss that they have felt in, ah, industry and can connect and have a real vision there, they're not going to be able to win those states.”
Ro Khanna Sep 12, 2023 ▶ 27:40 All-In Summit: Ro Khanna on China, political reform, major challenges facing the US and more
Sep 22, 2023 negative
Opinion
Chamath: Democratic Party is railroading RFK Jr.'s presidential candidacy
“But I think it's been pretty clear that the Democrats have chosen to railroad RFK's candidacy.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 4:42 E146: Did the Fed break the VC model? Plus IPOs, M&A, revaluing unicorns & more
Dec 1, 2023
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Carlson: Gavin Newsom will be 2024 Democratic nominee if Biden steps down
“Oh, it's Gavin. Gavin. It's Gavin, for sure.”
Tucker Carlson Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 1:05:27 Tucker Carlson: State of America, leaving Fox News, Media Control, Politics, and more
Dec 1, 2023 negative
Opinion
Tucker Carlson calls Gavin Newsom the most evil person in Democratic Party
“He's by far the most evil person in the Democratic Party, and in the end, they just sort of rise to the peak, you know, oil and water, man.”
Tucker Carlson Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 1:05:31 Tucker Carlson: State of America, leaving Fox News, Media Control, Politics, and more
Jan 26, 2024 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Border strategy could backfire on Democrats as immigrants favor Republicans
“I think this could blow up in Democrats' faces if it is their strategy, because a lot of people who are coming here, immigrants, don't want to be part of the Democratic and the liberal woke Democratic Party. They want to be part of the Republican hardworking p…”
Jason Calacanis Jan 26, 2024 ▶ 56:37 E163: Market rips, Media RIFs, Texas defies Biden, Fintech reckoning, ARkStorm 2.0 & more
Mar 1, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Over 90% of Google employee political contributions go to Democrats
“When everybody is left to center, I mean, just look at something like political contributions, right? It's 90 something percent are democratic. I mean, like high nineties.”
David Sacks Mar 1, 2024 ▶ 28:57 E168: Can Google save itself? Abolish HR, AI takes over Customer Support, Reddit IPO teardown
Apr 5, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Media narrative on FTX aims to commute Bankman-Fried's sentence
“I believe that this narrative that they're trying to concoct, which we now know is completely false, is designed to serve a purpose. And I think that purpose is to get SBF either pardoned or have his sentence commuted because Mr. Bankman and Ms. Freed are huge…”
David Sacks Apr 5, 2024 ▶ 10:11 E173: Google buying HubSpot? FTX depositors not made whole, AI job fears, Ukraine joining NATO
May 31, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Democrats will win 2024 election if they replace Biden in June
“I think the Democrats need to immediately, this month, in June, do the switcheroo. And if they do, I think they win in the landscape.”
Jason Calacanis May 31, 2024 ▶ 16:45 Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
Jun 7, 2024 negative
Opinion
Calacanis: Democratic Party and Biden have lost working-class support
“The Democrats were supposed to be the party of the working people and Biden was supposed to be the pinnacle of that, like fighting for unions, fighting for the working person. And so they've just lost that whole thing.”
Jason Calacanis Jun 7, 2024 ▶ 6:09 DOJ targets Nvidia, Meme stock comeback, Trump fundraiser in SF, Apple/OpenAI, Texas stock market
Jun 14, 2024 bearish
Prediction Held up
Calacanis guarantees Democrats will replace Biden on 2024 presidential ticket
“I guarantee you hot swap is coming. I predicted the Trump TV flip, and I predict it now.”
Jason Calacanis Jun 14, 2024 ▶ 19:51 Elon gets paid, Apple's AI pop, OpenAI revenue rip, Macro debate & Inside Trump Fundraiser
Jun 29, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts replacing Joe Biden on Democratic ticket probably will not happen
“I think that although a lot of people are going to say what you said, J. Cal, about the hot spot being desirable, I think at the end of the day, on balance, probably not going to happen, although certainly I admit it could.”
David Sacks Jun 29, 2024 ▶ 32:55 Presidential Debate Reaction, Biden Hot Swap?, Tech unemployment, OpenAI considers for-profit & more
Jul 4, 2024 neutral
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks: Democrats are more likely than not to keep Biden on ticket
“Whoa. I think it's more likely than not that they're not going to replace Biden because the only feasible alternative is Harris and should be worse, and I think it's more dangerous for the country, frankly.”
David Sacks Jul 4, 2024 ▶ 1:21:21 Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship
Jul 4, 2024
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Democratic Party will never select an outsider presidential candidate
“They're never going to hand the reins of the party to a total outsider. The Democratic Party is the ultimate insider party, and they are going to pick an insider.”
David Sacks Jul 4, 2024 ▶ 18:25 Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship
Jul 4, 2024
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: Democrats must refund $1B if replacing both Biden and Harris
“They would lose roughly a billion dollars of contributions to the Biden-Harris campaign if neither Biden nor Harris is running at the top of the ticket. They'd have to refund all of that money back to the donors who contributed it.”
David Sacks Jul 4, 2024 ▶ 14:02 Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship
Jul 4, 2024 positive
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Kamala Harris is the only candidate option if Biden exits
“We are gonna get President Kamala Harris. She's the only alternative.”
David Sacks Jul 4, 2024 ▶ 13:42 Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship
Jul 4, 2024 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Chamath: Democrats must wrap up nominee replacement by mid-August
“How the electoral college works and how the ballot system works is that you don't have infinite time. You have to get all of this wrapped up and cinched up by the middle of August at the latest.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 4, 2024 ▶ 24:53 Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship
Jul 26, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Chamath: Democrats had no choice but to nominate Harris due to campaign funds
“I don't think the process was super open and transparent and Democratic, but I don't think they had much of a choice. And I think we've talked about that because too much of the money would have had to Essentially been returned. And I don't think you can fight…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 26, 2024 ▶ 50:12 Mag 7 sell-off, Wiz rejects Google, UBI, Kamala in, China's nuclear buildout, Sacks responds to PG
Sep 10, 2024 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Vance: Wealth distribution flipped from 80% Republican to 70% Democratic counties
“You go back even 30 years ago, and approximately 80% of the counties That represented, sorry, 80% of the wealth in American counties went in places that voted Republican, and about 20% of the wealth went to places that voted Democrat. Now it's 70% of the wealt…”
JD Vance Sep 10, 2024 ▶ 21:36 JD Vance | All-In Summit 2024
Sep 24, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sinema: Neither major U.S. political party cares about national debt
“Neither party cares about debt. Neither party cares about debt.”
Kyrsten Sinema Sep 24, 2024 ▶ 10:57 Senator Kyrsten Sinema | All-In Summit 2024
Nov 6, 2024 negative
Opinion
Calacanis: Democratic Party fails to court Silicon Valley technologists and VCs
“They, you know, are doing a terrible job of courting Silicon Valley technologists, venture capitalists, and just builders in the country, and we heard that tonight from a number of people.”
Jason Calacanis Nov 6, 2024 ▶ 2:44:26 2024 Election Night Livestream with the Besties!
Nov 6, 2024 negative
Opinion
Phillips: Democratic and Republican parties act as a monopoly to prevent competition
“These are two private corporations. I mean, they are a duopoly, but when you really get down to it is a monopoly because they do work together, collude, if you will, to prevent competition”
Dean Phillips Nov 6, 2024 ▶ 35:34 2024 Election Night Livestream with the Besties!
Nov 6, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Biden's cognitive decline was obvious to Democratic insiders
“The cognitive decline was obvious to so many internally. It was obvious to so many people publicly”
David Friedberg Nov 6, 2024 ▶ 33:13 2024 Election Night Livestream with the Besties!
Nov 6, 2024 negative
Opinion
Aaron Levie: Democrats have slid away from being pro-business and pro-tech
“There's no question that we have let the party, slide, you know, out of being a sort of firmly pro-business, you know, pro-tech party at times. There's been issues around, you know, regulation that, that absolutely blocks the kind of innovation that we need.”
Aaron Levie Nov 6, 2024 ▶ 2:11:53 2024 Election Night Livestream with the Besties!
Nov 6, 2024 negative
Opinion
Friedberg: Democrats blundered by delaying Biden exit and skipping primary
“They let the Biden thing go on too long. They should have run a speed primary. And the VP pick was off.”
David Friedberg Nov 6, 2024 ▶ 2:41:48 2024 Election Night Livestream with the Besties!
Nov 8, 2024 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Chamath: Democratic margins shrank sharply in California and New York in 2024
“I think in 2020, they won California by 29 points. It was barely half is what they won by this year. In New York, it shrunk to a 12 point margin.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 11:28 Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
Nov 8, 2024 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Democratic Party will shift more centrist over next few years
“My big prediction over the next few years is you will see a more centrist Democratic Party as they try and-”
David Friedberg Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 1:35:00 Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
Nov 8, 2024 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Democrats won't win elections without updating their policy agenda
“The Democratic Party as a whole has to own this, and they're not going to start winning elections again until they have an improvement in their agenda, not just their messenger.”
David Sacks Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 24:27 Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
Nov 8, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Palihapitiya: Media colluded with Democrats to lie about Trump on Charlottesville
“There are so many very powerful examples of how the media colluded with the Democratic Party to fundamentally lie about things that actually happened when it relates to Donald Trump. One of the most simple and powerful was the lie about Charlottesville.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 43:38 Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
Nov 8, 2024 negative
Opinion
Chamath: Mainstream media colluded with Democrats to vilify Donald Trump
“I think that the mainstream media has been working hand in hand with the Democratic Party to propagate and move forward an agenda that tried to vilify Donald Trump.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 18:07 Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
Nov 8, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Republicans could maintain an electoral majority long-term
“If those people stay in control, I think that the Republicans could have an electoral majority as far as the eye can see.”
David Sacks Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 27:08 Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
Nov 8, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Democrats will lose three to five more elections before reforming
“They're gonna have to go through maybe three or four or five more elections of just getting totally trounced in order to learn the lesson.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 41:40 Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
Jan 20, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Jason Calacanis says Trump's campaign courted him while Democrats pushed him away
“I have never been more courted by a political party than Trump's. And I have never been more hated than I've been by the democratic party.”
Jason Calacanis Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 38:26 Inauguration Interviews: Trump's Talent, Dem Rebrand & more w/ Whip Emmer, Reps Swalwell & Khanna
Jan 20, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Swalwell admits Democrats lost a broad range of voters in 2024
“And we didn't just lose you. You lost a lot of folks.”
Eric Swalwell Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 35:19 Inauguration Interviews: Trump's Talent, Dem Rebrand & more w/ Whip Emmer, Reps Swalwell & Khanna
Jan 20, 2025 negative
Opinion
Rep. Eric Swalwell says Democrats suffer from an ideological purity perception
“I think the perception is that to be a Democrat, you have to check all these purity boxes and then You can be a part of the party. And right now the Republican party is like, I think the exact opposite.”
Eric Swalwell Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 38:01 Inauguration Interviews: Trump's Talent, Dem Rebrand & more w/ Whip Emmer, Reps Swalwell & Khanna
Jan 20, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khanna: Admitting Greenland as a state would yield two Democratic senators
“Greenland is going to, that's going to, those two senators are going to be democratic senators.”
Ro Khanna Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 1:42:43 Inauguration Interviews: Trump's Talent, Dem Rebrand & more w/ Whip Emmer, Reps Swalwell & Khanna
Jan 20, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Swalwell calls Mark Cuban one of the Democratic Party's best thought leaders
“I think one of our best thought leaders is Mark Cuban.”
Eric Swalwell Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 40:47 Inauguration Interviews: Trump's Talent, Dem Rebrand & more w/ Whip Emmer, Reps Swalwell & Khanna
Jan 20, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Khanna: Democratic Party has largely been opposed to nuclear energy
“I'm for nuclear energy. I'm for smart modular nuclear energy. I'm for looking at how we build nuclear energy. Here in the United States in a safe way, but in one that I agree that our part, my party has been opposed to largely.”
Ro Khanna Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 1:15:54 Inauguration Interviews: Trump's Talent, Dem Rebrand & more w/ Whip Emmer, Reps Swalwell & Khanna
Jan 20, 2025 negative
Opinion
Jason Calacanis criticizes Democratic Party's stance on entrepreneurs and 2024 primary
“I'll just leave it at that, that you didn't have a speed run primary, that Biden was put up when he was clearly in cognitive decline, and I'm absolutely disgusted by the Democratic Party's hatred of successful entrepreneurs in this country.”
Jason Calacanis Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 34:35 Inauguration Interviews: Trump's Talent, Dem Rebrand & more w/ Whip Emmer, Reps Swalwell & Khanna
Jan 20, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khanna: A pro-choice Republican can be competitive in California governor race
“Can a Republican who is a pro-choice and take some of the social issues off the table be competitive? Yeah, I think the Democratic Party would be naive to take that for granted.”
Ro Khanna Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 1:23:39 Inauguration Interviews: Trump's Talent, Dem Rebrand & more w/ Whip Emmer, Reps Swalwell & Khanna
Jan 20, 2025
Opinion
Emmer: Democratic nomination process is top-down while Republican process is bottom-up
“Watching from the outside, that's a top-down process. On the Republican side, that's a bottom-up process, and, ah, Donald Trump is the best example of it.”
Tom Emmer Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 6:11 Inauguration Interviews: Trump's Talent, Dem Rebrand & more w/ Whip Emmer, Reps Swalwell & Khanna
Jan 20, 2025 negative
Insight
Khanna: Democrats must stop listening to foreign policy blob and pundits
“One of the things the Democrats need to do is stop listening to the foreign policy blob and the beltway exec, you know, pundits who've got fancy titles and fancy think tanks.”
Ro Khanna Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 1:29:15 Inauguration Interviews: Trump's Talent, Dem Rebrand & more w/ Whip Emmer, Reps Swalwell & Khanna
Jan 20, 2025
What-if
Calacanis: Democrats likely would have won without high inflation and with a primary
“If inflation hadn't been As bad as it was they probably would have won if they had a primary. I believe that.”
Jason Calacanis Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 1:54:36 All-In Inauguration Day Livestream with the Besties from Washington, DC!
Feb 7, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Democratic Party will shrink to 15-20% support without a hard reset
“It'll consolidate the Democrats to a shell of their former self. It'll take a year or 18 months. But I think unless they figure out how to totally hard reset, they're gonna be in a really difficult struggle to find a cohort of people beyond 15 or 20% of the po…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 48:31 DOGE vs USAID, Crypto Framework, Google's $75B AI Spend, US Sovereign Wealth Fund, GLP-1s
Mar 15, 2025 negative
Opinion
Schulz: Democrats could win by framing elections around class conflict
“I think that they could easily win the next election if they made it a class war, but they don't because it feels like they're in the pockets of these billion dollar corporations.”
Andrew Schulz Mar 15, 2025 ▶ 35:11 Fixing the American Dream with Andrew Schulz
Mar 15, 2025 negative
Opinion
Andrew Schulz: The 2024 election was a rejectionist vote against Democrats
“So I think people rejected the democratic proposal. And they went with what the other alternative was, which was Trump.”
Andrew Schulz Mar 15, 2025 ▶ 16:38 Fixing the American Dream with Andrew Schulz
Mar 15, 2025 positive
Opinion
Calacanis: Trump represents the traditional working-class Democratic Party
“Trump is the Democratic Party that we grew up with.”
Jason Calacanis Mar 15, 2025 ▶ 34:56 Fixing the American Dream with Andrew Schulz
Mar 15, 2025 negative
Opinion
Friedberg: Democrats lost election due to slight missteps on taxes and social issues
“They're slightly off on taxes. They're slightly off on social issues, and they're off just enough that they lost the election.”
David Friedberg Mar 15, 2025 ▶ 15:46 Fixing the American Dream with Andrew Schulz
Apr 19, 2025 negative
Insight
Dillon: Democratic Party's disconnect stems from association with elite academic culture
“I think it's why the Democratic Party no longer connects, because they're too closely associated with, like, that type of, you know, that type of vibe.”
Tim Dillon Apr 19, 2025 ▶ 36:22 Trump vs Harvard, Nvidia export controls, how DEI killed Hollywood with Tim Dillon
Jun 28, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Future politics limited to MAGA nationalism or Democratic socialism
“You're going to have a populist socialism in the Democratic Party, or you're going to have a populist nationalism in the Republican Party. And to all my friends on the tech right, your choices in the future are not going to be neoliberalism or neoconservatism.…”
David Sacks Jun 28, 2025 ▶ 54:25 12 Day War, Socialism Wins in NYC, Stocks All-Time High, AI Copyright, Science Corner
Sep 5, 2025 negative
Opinion
Rand Paul: Tea Party failed because partisans tolerated debt under Republicans
“Came, conquered, and nothing happened because, ah, some of the people left, and some of the people decided that debts were okay if you had a Republican in charge, and were bad if a Democrat was.”
Rand Paul Sep 5, 2025 ▶ 6:53 Senator Rand Paul: Tariffs, Debt, China, and a Warning for America
Sep 9, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Mark Cuban states he is not a Democrat
“People think I'm a Democrat. I'm not.”
Mark Cuban Sep 9, 2025 ▶ 15:53 Tucker Carlson and Mark Cuban Debate How to Save America 🔥 | All-In Summit 2025
Sep 9, 2025 negative
Opinion
Cuban: GOP is the Trump family business and Democrats lack leadership
“The Republican Party isn't the Republican Party anymore, it's the Trump family business, and the Democratic Party doesn't even exist anymore because, you know, they don't even know what they're doing, and there's nobody in charge, right?”
Mark Cuban Sep 9, 2025 ▶ 16:34 Tucker Carlson and Mark Cuban Debate How to Save America 🔥 | All-In Summit 2025
Oct 2, 2025 negative
Opinion
Ro Khanna says being anti-Trump is not enough for Democrats
“I don't think just being anti-Trump is the way back for the Democratic Party.”
Ro Khanna Oct 2, 2025 ▶ 11:38 Ro Khanna Calls Out Both Parties: Immigration, Tech & Free Speech
Oct 23, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Manchin says he begged Democratic Party to host a 30-day mini-primary
“I begged the Democratic Party to have a mini primary, thirty-day primary when Joe Biden”
Joe Manchin Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 1:06:58 Joe Manchin Exposes The Chaos Inside Biden’s White House
Oct 23, 2025 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Manchin claims Democrats lost 100,000 registered voters to progressive crusades
“They lost registration of over a hundred thousand people who've left the Democratic Party since they've started that crusade.”
Joe Manchin Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 1:06:06 Joe Manchin Exposes The Chaos Inside Biden’s White House
Oct 23, 2025 negative
Opinion
Joe Manchin: Democratic Party has been taken over by extremes
“The Democratic Party has been basically taken over by the extremes.”
Joe Manchin Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 1:03:41 Joe Manchin Exposes The Chaos Inside Biden’s White House
Oct 30, 2025 negative
Opinion
Pete Buttigieg: Identity has become too central to Democratic Party strategy
“I think identity has become too central to how my party thinks.”
Pete Buttigieg Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 34:55 Pete Buttigieg: The Left's Identity Crisis, Wealth Tax, 2024 Mistakes, Plans for 2028
Jan 10, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Democratic Socialists of America will solidify takeover of Democratic Party in 2026
“Democratic Socialists of America, the DSA, just like the MAGA movement took over the Republican Party, I think the DSA is taking over the Democrat Party, and I think that's the move we'll see solidified in twenty-twenty-six.”
David Friedberg Jan 10, 2026 ▶ 13:07 All-In's 2026 Predictions
Mar 3, 2026 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2026
Ray Dalio predicts Democrats will likely win the House midterm elections
“I think when we have, we're going to have the midterm elections, you're going to go past the midterm elections with probably that Democrats will take the house and be, and maybe, I don't know, it's going to be difficult. And you know what? Nobody can succeed b…”
Ray Dalio Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 39:31 Ray Dalio: "AI Is Eating Everything - and It Might Eat Itself"
Mar 18, 2026 negative
Opinion
Fetterman says Democratic Senate candidates are becoming increasingly hostile toward Israel
“Watch what they're saying and doing, and that's becoming more and more anti-Israel openly hostile to Israel. And now that becomes part of the litmus purity test.”
John Fetterman Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 4:45 John Fetterman: 'I'm the Only Democrat in Congress Saying This'
Mar 18, 2026 negative
Disclosure
Fetterman states he no longer identifies as a progressive Democrat
“I am no longer, I, I'm just a Democrat. I'm not a progressive”
John Fetterman Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 2:27 John Fetterman: 'I'm the Only Democrat in Congress Saying This'
Mar 18, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Fetterman cites polling showing ~50% Democratic and 60%+ Republican approval
“The realistic numbers was like earlier in the morning console, and that hit me at basically fifty-fifty with Dems, and I was in the sixties for, with Republicans.”
John Fetterman Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 1:34 John Fetterman: 'I'm the Only Democrat in Congress Saying This'
Mar 18, 2026 negative
Opinion
Fetterman says the Democratic Party is governed by Trump Derangement Syndrome
“I think the TDS, I think that's the leader right now. You know, right now our party is, is governed by the TDS, and now it's made it virtually impossible without being punished as a Democrat to agree something's good, or I agree with the other side, and I woul…”
John Fetterman Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 9:05 John Fetterman: 'I'm the Only Democrat in Congress Saying This'
Mar 18, 2026 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Fetterman claims he is the only Democrat refusing to shut down DHS
“I'm also the only Democrat that refuses to shut down The Department of Homeland Security.”
John Fetterman Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 3:08 John Fetterman: 'I'm the Only Democrat in Congress Saying This'
Mar 18, 2026 negative
Opinion
Fetterman says the Democratic Party has changed while his positions remain constant
“Because I am a Democrat, and it's not because I've changed, it's because, you know, parts of my party has changed right now, and that's where I'm at.”
John Fetterman Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 37:49 John Fetterman: 'I'm the Only Democrat in Congress Saying This'
Mar 23, 2026 negative
Opinion
Mahan: Both parties are complicit in failing to fix illegal immigration
“So my sense growing up in an ag town that historically has probably been about a third undocumented is that the primary incentive for the parties to not solve this problem is that a lot of people became very wealthy. A lot of industries did very well by having…”
Matt Mahan Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 1:12:07 How Matt Mahan Thinks He Can Save California
Mar 23, 2026 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mahan: California will see MAGA-like movement if Democrats fail to deliver
“If the Democratic Party doesn't start to wake up and be more responsive to the needs of our constituents and deliver with the resources we've got, we're gonna see the pendulum swing all the way the other way, and you're going to see a MAGA-like movement happen…”
Matt Mahan Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 15:43 How Matt Mahan Thinks He Can Save California
Jun 10, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Sen. John Fetterman says he votes with Democrats 93% of the time
“If Democrats run me out of the party, they will be attacking a committed Democrat that votes your line 93% of the time”
John Fetterman Jun 10, 2026 ▶ 26:40 Senators John Fetterman and Dave McCormick: Bipartisanship, Money in DC, Datacenters, Graham Platner
Jun 10, 2026 negative
Disclosure
Fetterman: Calling out antisemitism in Democratic Party has isolated him
“One of their signature view is anti-anti-Israel and borderline Just, you know, raw anti-Semitism, and from a lot of these candidates now, too, and that's exactly where, where we are and now that has isolated me in the party, and just calling that what that is.”
John Fetterman Jun 10, 2026 ▶ 23:08 Senators John Fetterman and Dave McCormick: Bipartisanship, Money in DC, Datacenters, Graham Platner
Jun 10, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Sen. John Fetterman vows he will never switch political parties
“There was a lot of palace intrigue that I'm going to change the party, and I'm never going to do that.”
John Fetterman Jun 10, 2026 ▶ 26:18 Senators John Fetterman and Dave McCormick: Bipartisanship, Money in DC, Datacenters, Graham Platner
Jun 10, 2026 neutral
Opinion
McCormick: Republicans need a strong Democratic Party to keep them honest
“Ironically, the best thing we want if we're Republicans is a strong Democratic Party that keeps Us honest and keeps us in check with good ideas, and that's not happening”
Senator Dave McCormick Jun 10, 2026 ▶ 22:43 Senators John Fetterman and Dave McCormick: Bipartisanship, Money in DC, Datacenters, Graham Platner
Jun 13, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Democrats denied 2016 election and concocted Russiagate hoax
“Look, the Democratic Party as a whole were election deniers about Trump winning in 2016. They concocted the whole Russiagate hoax to basically try and discredit his election.”
David Sacks Jun 13, 2026 ▶ 1:31:54 Anthropic's Fable Backlash, Nationalizing AI, Inflation Heats Up & California’s Broken Elections
Jun 27, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Democratic Socialists of America will gradually take over Democratic Party
“I think this takeover will continue. I think the DSA will gradually take over more and more of the Democratic Party.”
David Sacks Jun 27, 2026 ▶ 11:03 Socialists Sweep NYC, China Catches Up in Coding, AI Memory Crunch, Micron's Blowout Quarter
Jun 27, 2026 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Zohran Mamdani will destroy the Democratic Party from within
“He's got that Obama-Trump charisma, and he is going to destroy your party from the inside out.”
Jason Calacanis Jun 27, 2026 ▶ 43:56 Socialists Sweep NYC, China Catches Up in Coding, AI Memory Crunch, Micron's Blowout Quarter
Jun 27, 2026 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Future US politics will be socialism vs. nationalism
“I think the choices of the future are going to be communism, or if you want to call it socialism in the Democrat Party, or nationalism in the Republican Party. I mean, that is where we're headed.”
David Sacks Jun 27, 2026 ▶ 7:11 Socialists Sweep NYC, China Catches Up in Coding, AI Memory Crunch, Micron's Blowout Quarter
Jun 29, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Nate Silver: Immigrant and entrepreneurial groups are shifting away from Democrats
“You have seen shifts in those groups and the most entrepreneurial groups away from Democrats.”
Nate Silver Jun 29, 2026 ▶ 34:04 Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading, President AOC?!
Aug 12, 2026 negative
Opinion
Emanuel: The DSA functions as an opposing party to Democrats
“You're not Democrats. You're a separate party. I'll see you in November. You're living, you're literally beating Democrats. Forget about it. Not interested in it.”
Rahm Emanuel Aug 12, 2026 ▶ 1:09:29 Rahm Emanuel: Trump's Foreign Policy, China, Europe's Decline, Immigration & DSA vs Democrats
Aug 12, 2026 negative
Opinion
Emanuel: Democrats offering healthcare to illegal border crossers was completely foolish
“And I, I'm so angry at our part, my party, not only losing control of the border, but in the twenty-twenty debate, raising your hand and saying, I'm going to give health care to people that cross illegally. From a, forget the immigration policy, the value syst…”
Rahm Emanuel Aug 12, 2026 ▶ 45:45 Rahm Emanuel: Trump's Foreign Policy, China, Europe's Decline, Immigration & DSA vs Democrats
Aug 13, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Rahm Emanuel has no chance in modern Democratic Party
“Which means he has no chance whatsoever in the Mondani DSA Democrat Party.”
David Sacks Aug 13, 2026 ▶ 1:32 Anthropic's $2T IPO, Zuck's AI Manifesto, Nvidia's $500B AI Bet, Grok's Comeback
Aug 21, 2026
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Polls Since 2018 Have Averaged a D+3.7 Polling Error
“Political scientist Patrick Graffini analyzed over 3000 polls over the last four election cycles every two years since 2018. And what he saw is that there is a huge bias. The preponderance of polls in all four cycles favored the Democrats. And the average poll…”
David Sacks Aug 21, 2026 ▶ 1:02:11 Dario Defends Himself, Datacenter Panic, AI Doomer Trap, Senate Toss-Up
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