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Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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SAASTR Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2028
Belsky: AI productivity gains will increase creative hiring, not decrease it
“And I believe that actually, when you get more ingenuity per person that you employ, the people on your creative team, when you get more possibility from each of them, you're gonna actually want to hire more of them. Look no further than engineers. Engineers h…”
Scott Belsky Nov 10, 2023 ▶ 13:03 The 5 Ways AI Will Transform Creativity with Adobe CSO & EVP Scott Belsky
LENNY'S PODCAST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Belsky: Design will increasingly commoditize tech in the AI era
“And then in the age of AI, more and more of our choices in every industry are being made at the surface, right? And I think that's another opportunity, another argument that design will increasingly commoditize tech to some degree, and that having this designe…”
Scott Belsky Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 19:21 Making and Leading Products People Love (Scott Belsky) | Lenny & Friends Summit 2024
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Belsky: AI future will not be dominated by a few mega models
“I think it's actually common belief that there are going to be a few mega models in the future that are going to do everything for every company in the cloud. What we're saying is actually it will probably be the opposite.”
Scott Belsky Dec 20, 2023 ▶ 0:13 Roundtable #7: Spotify, Adobe and Linkedin on How AI Changes The Future of Product & Design | E1097 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
MAD Assertion Not checkable as stated
Belsky: Adobe data shows AI is increasing creative hiring, not reducing it
“So in our data, we're still seeing this revolution drive hiring more as opposed to reducing the hiring.”
Scott Belsky Dec 6, 2023 ▶ 17:30 Adobe’s AI Revolution: Scott Belsky on Firefly, Photoshop & the Future of Creativity
MAD Prediction Not checkable as stated
Scott Belsky predicts local LLMs on personal devices will suffice for most
“I think that verticals will be important. I think the LMs will be abundant. And I actually think at some point, maybe relatively soon, we'll realize that some LMs, even locally running LMs on our machines are enough for a lot of the actions that we want to do …”
Scott Belsky Dec 6, 2023 ▶ 23:46 Adobe’s AI Revolution: Scott Belsky on Firefly, Photoshop & the Future of Creativity
MORE OR LESS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Belsky: Many AI Applications Will Run Locally on Smaller Models
“I happen to believe by the way that a lot of AI powered things are going to be able to be run locally. And that, you know, and also with less powerful models that, you know, for good enough outcomes.”
Scott Belsky Sep 29, 2023 ▶ 32:11 #16: Why Your AI Startup is Probably Already Dead · More or Less Podcast
LENNY'S PODCAST Prediction Not checkable as stated
AI will collapse organizational hierarchies and eliminate specialized intermediaries
“We're entering the era where we collapse the stack in every organization, where instead of having to go to someone for anything, you can kind of do more things yourself. It's very empowering to get the answer from data as opposed to having to go to a data scie…”
Scott Belsky May 18, 2023 ▶ 29:53 Lessons on product sense, AI, the first mile experience, and the messy middle | Scott Belsky (Adobe)
LENNY'S PODCAST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Creative professionals will not be replaced by generative AI
“And some people are like, oh my gosh, creative pros are going to be replaced. No, no, no, no, they're not. They're just going to find 10 X better solutions. They're going to have that capability to explore more possibilities.”
Scott Belsky May 18, 2023 ▶ 53:54 Lessons on product sense, AI, the first mile experience, and the messy middle | Scott Belsky (Adobe)
STARTUP IDEAS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Belsky predicts centralized and hybrid services will ultimately win in Web3
“In, in many cases, centralized services will win or hybrid, you know, decentralized by ethos, but centralized to some extent by like certain aspects of the user experience, you know, I think are maybe going to ultimately win”
Scott Belsky Jan 11, 2022 ▶ 17:41 Forecasting the Future of Tech with Scott Belsky | Where It Happens
STARTUP IDEAS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Belsky: AI recommendations will cause consumers to abandon the concept of favorites
“And so, you know, that for music, that for travel, that for restaurants, that for whatever, like, maybe we're all gonna vastly increase the surface area of our exposure to stuff we like, and in some ways, like, abandon the concept of favorites altogether.”
Scott Belsky Jan 11, 2022 ▶ 20:56 Forecasting the Future of Tech with Scott Belsky | Where It Happens
STARTUP IDEAS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Belsky predicts 3D creation will democratize and go mainstream like mobile photography
“Same exact thing's gonna happen for three D. I'm like wholly convinced that that's the case.”
Scott Belsky Jan 11, 2022 ▶ 1:04:13 Forecasting the Future of Tech with Scott Belsky | Where It Happens
MORE OR LESS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Belsky: AI Model Routers Will Commoditize and Directing Spend Local Will Become Default
“And it's going to be probably pretty commoditized pretty quickly. And so you're going to all have Routers that direct all sorts of spend to look more local, more efficient models. Like this is going to become the default.”
Scott Belsky Aug 14, 2026 ▶ 25:38 Special Edition MOL with Josh Wolfe, Rachel Holt, Scott Belsky, Scott Stanford, and Peter Deng. · More or Less Podcast
MAD Assertion Not checkable as stated
Belsky: Repetitive design work like banner ad formatting is already replaced by AI
“The job of someone turning squares into rectangles all day for banner ads, that job's been replaced by AI.”
Scott Belsky Dec 6, 2023 ▶ 17:39 Adobe’s AI Revolution: Scott Belsky on Firefly, Photoshop & the Future of Creativity
MORE OR LESS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Belsky predicts AI agents will protect users from AI-driven harms
“Agents are going to save us from all the concerns we have about AI, because a lot of the concerns around AI.”
Scott Belsky Sep 29, 2023 ▶ 28:03 #16: Why Your AI Startup is Probably Already Dead · More or Less Podcast
LENNY'S PODCAST Prediction Not checkable as stated
AI will enable applications to dynamically personalize onboarding experiences
“And I actually think that the role of AI, you know, going forward will be to have applications increasingly meet us where we are. You know, to this day, we've always had to generalize onboarding experiences for the most part for everyone. And I'm really excite…”
Scott Belsky May 18, 2023 ▶ 12:58 Lessons on product sense, AI, the first mile experience, and the messy middle | Scott Belsky (Adobe)
LENNY'S PODCAST Prediction Not checkable as stated
AI automation will expand employment within the experience economy
“I think that there will be far more people engaged in delivering experiences. You know, I'm very long the experience economy, because I think that there will be Some people liberated to focus more on the non-scalable things that really move the needle for expe…”
Scott Belsky May 18, 2023 ▶ 28:46 Lessons on product sense, AI, the first mile experience, and the messy middle | Scott Belsky (Adobe)
STARTUP IDEAS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Belsky predicts consumers will voluntarily opt back into brand tracking for AR
“We want to have experiences with brands where they know who we are. I think we're going to start opting back in. And I think especially in the world of AR, you know, where we have immersive experiences around us, we're going to want to be known everywhere we a…”
Scott Belsky Jan 11, 2022 ▶ 27:26 Forecasting the Future of Tech with Scott Belsky | Where It Happens
STARTUP IDEAS Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2032
Belsky predicts the number of small businesses will 10x by 2032
“And in 10 years from now, I think we're going to see probably 10 X the number of small businesses as there are today.”
Scott Belsky Jan 11, 2022 ▶ 1:06:24 Forecasting the Future of Tech with Scott Belsky | Where It Happens
20VC Prediction Partly held up
Belsky: Uber and Lyft's data and route optimization will be their moat
“Because I think that the data that is being collected and the optimization of the routes based on the data is a moat, so to speak. And I think a lot of the technology for managing these dispatch systems and autonomous vehicles will be created by those companie…”
Scott Belsky Feb 27, 2017 ▶ 18:40 20VC: Benchmark's Scott Belsky on What Makes Truly The Best VCs? Why Entrepreneurs Must Focus on 'The First Mile' & The Key Ingredients To The Perfect Onboarding Process
20VC Prediction Partly held up
Belsky: Future transportation will not be accessed via individual branded apps
“I think we're failing to think about how people actually interact with these services in the future, and I just find it hard to believe that it will all still be through their individual branded apps.”
Scott Belsky Feb 27, 2017 ▶ 21:00 20VC: Benchmark's Scott Belsky on What Makes Truly The Best VCs? Why Entrepreneurs Must Focus on 'The First Mile' & The Key Ingredients To The Perfect Onboarding Process
MORE OR LESS Assertion Contradicted
Belsky: Platforms like Instagram treat C2PA provenance as a binary AI label
“These companies like Instagram, you know, and products that are surfacing media for them, it's binary. It's like, if it has a CGPA in it that says any AI was used, they reported as being made with AI.”
Scott Belsky Aug 14, 2026 ▶ 53:24 Special Edition MOL with Josh Wolfe, Rachel Holt, Scott Belsky, Scott Stanford, and Peter Deng. · More or Less Podcast
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Belsky: AI-suggested variations will yield better UI design with fewer cycles
“We're in a world where AI will suggest alternative scenarios. You can try variations and just look and, you know, with the mistake of the eye, find a better solution. That, or at least something you want to A-B test. And so I think that the product development…”
Scott Belsky Dec 20, 2023 ▶ 3:22 Roundtable #7: Spotify, Adobe and Linkedin on How AI Changes The Future of Product & Design | E1097 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Partly supported
Belsky: Adobe's design team led the early development of Firefly
“You know, we had our design team actually build a team within that did all of the early developments of Firefly. It was a very like design driven exercise to figure out the interfaces and how they integrated into the products.”
Scott Belsky Dec 20, 2023 ▶ 24:47 Roundtable #7: Spotify, Adobe and Linkedin on How AI Changes The Future of Product & Design | E1097 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
MAD Assertion Not checkable as stated
Scott Belsky admits a significant portion of daily Photoshop downloaders get lost
“For all the people that download any of these desktop products like Photoshop every day, the number of people that get lost or can't feel successful in the product is really Significant.”
Scott Belsky Dec 6, 2023 ▶ 1:16 Adobe’s AI Revolution: Scott Belsky on Firefly, Photoshop & the Future of Creativity
MAD Assertion Partly supported
Belsky: CAI has 2,000 partners, including Nikon, Canon, Sony, and Leica
“We now have 2000 partners, Nikon, Canon, Sony, and Leica have all come out with cameras. They now add counter-credentials to assets by default taking in their camera so that when they come into Photoshop or Lightroom or third-party products of other companies,…”
Scott Belsky Dec 6, 2023 ▶ 8:50 Adobe’s AI Revolution: Scott Belsky on Firefly, Photoshop & the Future of Creativity
MAD Prediction Not checkable as stated
Belsky: Brands will flood the market with content, raising the engagement bar
“We're entering a world where, first of all, every brand's gonna absolutely flood the zone with content. That's gonna make the bar go up for the digital experiences that really engage us.”
Scott Belsky Dec 6, 2023 ▶ 15:56 Adobe’s AI Revolution: Scott Belsky on Firefly, Photoshop & the Future of Creativity
SAASTR Prediction Not checkable as stated
Belsky: Career advancement will hinge on creativity over raw productivity
“And so the big shift here that I just want to, you know, put a capstone on wave number one is that the standout, the success, the promotion is increasingly going from this advantage, this competitive advantage on the productivity side to one that's more around…”
Scott Belsky Nov 10, 2023 ▶ 5:05 The 5 Ways AI Will Transform Creativity with Adobe CSO & EVP Scott Belsky
SAASTR Assertion Not checkable as stated
Belsky: Adobe enterprise customers shifted >50% of marketing spend to social
“You look at big company marketing budgets and a lot of our customers have shifted at least if not more than 50% of their marketing spend. Towards social platforms away from a world where everything was destined for video or TV or print or whatever to this new …”
Scott Belsky Nov 10, 2023 ▶ 7:32 The 5 Ways AI Will Transform Creativity with Adobe CSO & EVP Scott Belsky
SAASTR Prediction Not checkable as stated
Belsky: Users will converse with documents instead of reading them
“I believe our documents are going to want to talk to us as opposed to us reading through and trying to find things. The documents will say, what do you want to know about me? And you'll just have a conversation.”
Scott Belsky Nov 10, 2023 ▶ 16:45 The 5 Ways AI Will Transform Creativity with Adobe CSO & EVP Scott Belsky
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Belsky: Snapchat consistently rethinks its first-mile onboarding for new cohorts
“You know, Snapchat, I think, is probably one example. Of a company that I feel has consistently rethought their first mile experience for a different cohort of new customers.”
Scott Belsky Feb 9, 2022 ▶ 6:21 20 Product: Scott Belsky on How to Hire Your Product Leader and Team, 3 Questions All Great Product Leaders Ask, How To Structure and Run Effective Product Reviews & Is Product More Art or Science?
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Belsky: Twitter persisted with outdated onboarding even as user motives shifted
“You know, Twitter really persisted with making people build their own timelines, even past the moment where people weren't joining Twitter to follow people. They were just joining Twitter for news, and then they were faced with this prospect of having to culti…”
Scott Belsky Feb 9, 2022 ▶ 6:56 20 Product: Scott Belsky on How to Hire Your Product Leader and Team, 3 Questions All Great Product Leaders Ask, How To Structure and Run Effective Product Reviews & Is Product More Art or Science?
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Belsky: Most product teams review features without full customer journey context
“If the product review is about a particular part of the product, you're not doing the customer service if you're just jumping in and looking at that, which is, by the way, what most teams do.”
Scott Belsky Feb 9, 2022 ▶ 11:56 20 Product: Scott Belsky on How to Hire Your Product Leader and Team, 3 Questions All Great Product Leaders Ask, How To Structure and Run Effective Product Reviews & Is Product More Art or Science?
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Belsky: Shutting down secondary features immediately boosted Behance's core engagement
“We killed groups, and three days later, you know, some people complained, but the engagement on the platform went up on Project And then we killed tip exchange, another uptick over the next few days.”
Scott Belsky Feb 9, 2022 ▶ 22:14 20 Product: Scott Belsky on How to Hire Your Product Leader and Team, 3 Questions All Great Product Leaders Ask, How To Structure and Run Effective Product Reviews & Is Product More Art or Science?
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2032
Belsky: I cannot see myself being a traditional VC long-term
“Also realized pretty quickly that I could not see myself being a traditional VC for the next 10 to 15 years.”
Scott Belsky Feb 27, 2017 ▶ 3:24 20VC: Benchmark's Scott Belsky on What Makes Truly The Best VCs? Why Entrepreneurs Must Focus on 'The First Mile' & The Key Ingredients To The Perfect Onboarding Process
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Belsky: Social media will become increasingly passive and ambient
“And so if I were to look ahead and say, will social media be more manual and more active or more passive, I think it will certainly be more passive.”
Scott Belsky Feb 27, 2017 ▶ 23:54 20VC: Benchmark's Scott Belsky on What Makes Truly The Best VCs? Why Entrepreneurs Must Focus on 'The First Mile' & The Key Ingredients To The Perfect Onboarding Process
LENNY'S PODCAST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Scott Belsky: Eliminating secondary features increased Behance's core engagement
“When we had groups, we had something called Tip Exchange, we had something called Circles, we had something called Work in Progress, and we realized that every time we killed one of those things, the engagement on the core feature that actually mattered most, …”
Scott Belsky Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 5:53 Making and Leading Products People Love (Scott Belsky) | Lenny & Friends Summit 2024
LENNY'S PODCAST Assertion Partly supported
Belsky: Pinterest solved site speed perception by preloading pin background colors
“I remember the early days when Pinterest started to scale in, like, 2011, 2012, and the team was, like, racing to keep this product up and running. There was this big road map, you know, of how to get scalability and performance and improve performance of the …”
Scott Belsky Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 18:38 Making and Leading Products People Love (Scott Belsky) | Lenny & Friends Summit 2024
MAD Assertion Partly supported
Belsky: Adobe automatically adds Content Credentials to AI-generated assets
“Whenever you use AI in any of our products, we automatically add credentials to the asset. That says what tool was used and what model you used.”
Scott Belsky Dec 6, 2023 ▶ 7:46 Adobe’s AI Revolution: Scott Belsky on Firefly, Photoshop & the Future of Creativity
SAASTR Assertion Partly supported
Belsky: Carvana generated 1.5 million hyper-personalized customer videos using AI
“This is an example of Carvana. They did an experiment where they made 1.5 million hyper personalized videos for their customers based on the actual car that the customer purchased, the color of the car that they purchased it in, and the hometown that they purc…”
Scott Belsky Nov 10, 2023 ▶ 18:23 The 5 Ways AI Will Transform Creativity with Adobe CSO & EVP Scott Belsky
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Belsky: Focus groups universally rejected the Behance concept in 2006
“We had a focus group back in 2006, and we got a group of creatives together that we wanted to build a portfolio network for. You know, we asked folks, do you need, you know, we described what we were building, and universally everyone said, no, I don't need th…”
Scott Belsky Jul 6, 2022 ▶ 8:58 20 Product: The Ultimate Guide to Product Reviews: What Makes the Best vs the Worst | How Often Should They Be | Who Should Be Invited | Who Sets The Agenda | How to do Follow-Ups Post Product Reviews
20VC Assertion Supported
Belsky: Adobe replaced Photoshop's blank start page with templates and tutorials
“When I came back to Adobe four years ago in this chief product officer role, I looked at products like Photoshop that literally opened up with a blank black page of, you know, just nothingness, right? And it's like, there was no orientation of what to do now o…”
Scott Belsky Feb 9, 2022 ▶ 10:30 20 Product: Scott Belsky on How to Hire Your Product Leader and Team, 3 Questions All Great Product Leaders Ask, How To Structure and Run Effective Product Reviews & Is Product More Art or Science?
20VC Assertion Supported
Belsky: Harvard study shows perceived progress is the best workplace motivator
“There's a study I wrote about in the book about a professor at Harvard Business School named Teresa Mabley, who studied creativity in organizations, and she had thousands of people keep journals, and then she analyzed the journals after a period of time and fo…”
Scott Belsky Jan 7, 2019 ▶ 10:14 20VC: Scott Belsky on Why We Must Challenge Our Faith In The Strength of Resources, Why We Must Rethink The Product Creation and Design Process & How To Determine Between The Good and The Truly Great When Assessing Individuals
LENNY'S PODCAST Assertion Supported
Belsky: Behance has 56 million creative users worldwide
“Behance is a platform of fifty-six million creatives around the world showcasing their work, and you can sort through the work by, you know, by the person who did what for what agency, with what tool in what discipline, in what color.”
Scott Belsky Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 1:14 Making and Leading Products People Love (Scott Belsky) | Lenny & Friends Summit 2024
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