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Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dalio: U.S. states and global systems face major political fragmentation
“I think we're going to see fragmentation of states from the central government. I think you're going to see big fragmentation in the world, not just in the United States, on the failure to agree on Most things.”
Ray Dalio Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 58:34 Ray Dalio: US Debt Spiral, How to Avoid Disaster | The All-In Interview
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Prediction Not checkable as stated
Computers will surpass humans at quality thinking long before intuition
“It'll be a long time before those intuitions and those imaginations are created by computers. Ok, but it won't be a long time before computers produce better quality thinking.”
Ray Dalio Oct 11, 2017 ▶ 1:13:50 #23 Ray Dalio: Life Lessons from a Self-Made Billionaire
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Ray Dalio: Gold is the second-largest reserve currency held by central banks
“Gold is not a precious metal that's speculated on, like most people have come to think of it as. It is the most established money that, it's the second largest reserve currency that central banks hold.”
Ray Dalio Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 12:02 Ray Dalio: "AI Is Eating Everything - and It Might Eat Itself"
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2031
Ray Dalio predicts central banks will not buy or hold Bitcoin
“Central banks are not going to want to buy Bitcoin and being able to hold it.”
Ray Dalio Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 21:14 Ray Dalio: "AI Is Eating Everything - and It Might Eat Itself"
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Ray Dalio: 60% of Americans read below a sixth-grade level
“For example, 60% of all Americans have below a sixth grade reading level.”
Ray Dalio Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 24:58 Ray Dalio: "AI Is Eating Everything - and It Might Eat Itself"
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ray Dalio predicts the Federal Reserve will re-expand its balance sheet
“I think that it's likely down the road.”
Ray Dalio Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 27:08 Ray Dalio: "AI Is Eating Everything - and It Might Eat Itself"
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2026
Ray Dalio predicts Democrats will likely win the House midterm elections
“I think when we have, we're going to have the midterm elections, you're going to go past the midterm elections with probably that Democrats will take the house and be, and maybe, I don't know, it's going to be difficult. And you know what? Nobody can succeed b…”
Ray Dalio Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 39:31 Ray Dalio: "AI Is Eating Everything - and It Might Eat Itself"
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ray Dalio warns AI might eat itself by failing to generate profits
“It looks to me like AI basically is eating everything and it might eat itself. And what I mean by that is not produce adequate profits.”
Ray Dalio Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 43:37 Ray Dalio: "AI Is Eating Everything - and It Might Eat Itself"
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ray Dalio asserts Chinese AI technology is nearly equal to US tech
“Their technologies are almost as good as ours, because they are, they're not far behind”
Ray Dalio Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 45:09 Ray Dalio: "AI Is Eating Everything - and It Might Eat Itself"
WTF Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dalio predicts central banks are unlikely to hold Bitcoin as reserve wealth
“Bitcoin is limited in supply, and its perception of money, it is a form of money, it, it's perceived as money, as a storehold of wealth, that is unlikely to be significantly held by central banks, and many others, because of a number of Problems it has.”
Ray Dalio Dec 20, 2025 ▶ 24:27 WTF Is Wealth? Ray Dalio Breaks It Down w/ Nikhil Kamath | WTF is Finance Ep 2 · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2035
Dalio: India has the best fundamentals for highest 10-year economic growth
“India is going to have probably the, has the best fundamentals to have the best growth rate in that, because you're going from not having enough money to having, that has infrastructure.”
Ray Dalio Dec 20, 2025 ▶ 1:09:53 WTF Is Wealth? Ray Dalio Breaks It Down w/ Nikhil Kamath | WTF is Finance Ep 2 · Nikhil Kamath
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Ray Dalio: Gold is the world's third-largest reserve currency
“Gold is the third largest reserve currency, by the way. Dollars euros, gold, and then yen.”
Ray Dalio Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 23:47 Ray Dalio: US Debt Spiral, How to Avoid Disaster | The All-In Interview
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dalio: AI productivity gains won't arrive fast enough to solve US debt
“I don't think the profit impact and the financial impact on productivity is going to be nearly enough, near enough to deal with the supply demand issue that we now have.”
Ray Dalio Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 57:21 Ray Dalio: US Debt Spiral, How to Avoid Disaster | The All-In Interview
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dalio predicts a 'hellacious' period of crisis within 10 years
“When you talk about 10 years, there's gonna be a period in that 10 year period where it's going to, it's gonna be hellacious. In that 10 year period where, you know, the coordination of dealing with our problems will be greater and the cooperation for dealing …”
Ray Dalio Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 1:05:08 Ray Dalio: US Debt Spiral, How to Avoid Disaster | The All-In Interview
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dalio: Neutral nations like India will benefit from US-China conflict
“So as we have this conflict between the United States and China and its allies, Russia, and so on, as we see that line up, countries that are in the middle, like India, are gonna be net beneficiaries of that.”
Ray Dalio Sep 17, 2023 ▶ 16:36 All-In Summit: Ray Dalio on the rise and fall of nations and the changing world order
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dalio: World will experience radical disorder over the next five years
“I think that in the next five years, I think year by year, we're going to go through a time warp. You're going to see radical disorder in the next five years as each one of those things comes to path.”
Ray Dalio Sep 17, 2023 ▶ 23:20 All-In Summit: Ray Dalio on the rise and fall of nations and the changing world order
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dalio: Expect major financial, political, and tech turmoil by early 2025
“We're going to have an interesting two years between where we are now. And let's say, almost a few years, and let's say early, ah 2025, ok? And not just interesting because we're going to have unbelievable elections, and we'll see whether, how power, how we ca…”
Ray Dalio Sep 17, 2023 ▶ 38:20 All-In Summit: Ray Dalio on the rise and fall of nations and the changing world order
MASTERS OF SCALE Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dalio: Rushing to use black-box algorithms will cause major decision mistakes
“The speed of I'm going to use algorithms to make quick bets on these things will probably at some time make very important decisions, be very major mistakes. And since we're all connected, that scares me.”
Ray Dalio Mar 15, 2023 ▶ 35:22 Ray Dalio: How to embrace conflict
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dalio: Visionary leaders like Jobs and Musk prioritize mission over feelings
“The one that you're referring to is there's a test call in workplace inventory, which is called concern for others, and it doesn't really mean concern for others. What it means is that when faced with the choice of whether the mission is Or the individual's fe…”
Ray Dalio Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 39:20 a16z Podcast | Principles and Algorithms for Work and Life
a16z Assertion Partly supported
Dalio: The bottom 60 percent of Americans have seen no income growth
“There is the top 40% and the bottom 60%. And if you just carve out and you say, what is the economy and life like of the bottom 60%? There hasn't been income growth, prospects of having a better life than your parents.”
Ray Dalio Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 46:08 a16z Podcast | Principles and Algorithms for Work and Life
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dalio: Coders riding algorithms will displace workers and cause economic bifurcation
“There are going to be people who are riding the algorithms that will replace the people who are doing jobs. And so there's going to be a bifurcation, and I think that learning how to code is like learning how to read and write for the next generation”
Ray Dalio Oct 11, 2017 ▶ 1:08:56 #23 Ray Dalio: Life Lessons from a Self-Made Billionaire
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Ray Dalio: Half of the $2T US deficit goes to interest payments
“We now have that two trillion dollar deficit. Half of that is interest payments, plus we have to roll over nine trillion dollars of debt That has been accumulated and is maturing.”
Ray Dalio Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 4:41 Ray Dalio: "AI Is Eating Everything - and It Might Eat Itself"
WTF Assertion Supported
Dalio: US stock wealth-to-money ratio matches 1929 and 2000 bubble peaks
“What's the money ratio right now in the United States is about eight and a half to one, and so on, and when you look at it and then also then there's what it's in. The stock market is, is right now about three to one, and that's very high. If you were to go ba…”
Ray Dalio Dec 20, 2025 ▶ 39:53 WTF Is Wealth? Ray Dalio Breaks It Down w/ Nikhil Kamath | WTF is Finance Ep 2 · Nikhil Kamath
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Dalio: US COVID stimulus delivered more money than total lost income
“The government wanted to, and actually did, deliver a lot more money to people, companies, than there was a loss of income.”
Ray Dalio Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 12:57 Ray Dalio: US Debt Spiral, How to Avoid Disaster | The All-In Interview
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Dalio: All commodities decline in real terms over long periods
“Commodities, by the way, in real terms, all commodities, every single commodity, in real terms over long decline, long periods of time have declined because of productivity.”
Ray Dalio Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 30:24 Ray Dalio: US Debt Spiral, How to Avoid Disaster | The All-In Interview
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Dalio: Roughly 70% of U.S. government expenditures cannot be cut
“Roughly, 70% of government expenditures are, you can't cut.”
Ray Dalio Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 50:59 Ray Dalio: US Debt Spiral, How to Avoid Disaster | The All-In Interview
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dalio: Studying 1938 dynamics enabled Bridgewater to profit in 2008
“What happened in 1938, in terms of the depression leading to the wars and so on, and the interest rates hitting zero, is the exact same thing that happened in 2008. It was because I studied that, that I, we were able to make a lot of money in the 2008 financia…”
Ray Dalio Sep 17, 2023 ▶ 3:35 All-In Summit: Ray Dalio on the rise and fall of nations and the changing world order
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dalio: Acts of nature have toppled more empires than anything else
“Acts of nature, in particular droughts, floods, and pandemics, and they killed more people, and they toppled more empires, and changed more world orders than anything”
Ray Dalio Sep 17, 2023 ▶ 5:15 All-In Summit: Ray Dalio on the rise and fall of nations and the changing world order
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Ray Dalio: Four 1930s democracies chose to become autocracies
“So, in the thirties, four major democracies, because of that dynamic, chose to be, their parliaments chose to be autocracies. That happened in Germany, Italy, Spain, and Japan.”
Ray Dalio Sep 17, 2023 ▶ 13:39 All-In Summit: Ray Dalio on the rise and fall of nations and the changing world order
ALL-IN Assertion Open · timeframe Sep 2033
Dalio: India has highest potential 10-year growth among top 22 economies
“India has the highest potential growth rate.”
Ray Dalio Sep 17, 2023 ▶ 15:36 All-In Summit: Ray Dalio on the rise and fall of nations and the changing world order
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ray Dalio: China faces a debt and restructuring problem
“They've got a debt problem, they have a debt restructuring problem”
Ray Dalio Sep 17, 2023 ▶ 19:24 All-In Summit: Ray Dalio on the rise and fall of nations and the changing world order
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dalio: Pre-WW1 and WW2 profits made the US the world's richest country
“It was before, on World War II and World War I, the United States became the richest country because of the money it made before it entered the war.”
Ray Dalio Sep 17, 2023 ▶ 26:20 All-In Summit: Ray Dalio on the rise and fall of nations and the changing world order
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dalio: U.S. opportunity and educational gaps are wider than ever
“So if you take all those measures and so on, the gaps in those things are greater than they have ever been.”
Ray Dalio Sep 17, 2023 ▶ 30:31 All-In Summit: Ray Dalio on the rise and fall of nations and the changing world order
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dalio: Society will collapse into conflict without shared principles
“If you don't have those principles and those ways of getting through that, we will be at each other's throats.”
Ray Dalio Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 47:11 a16z Podcast | Principles and Algorithms for Work and Life
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bridgewater anticipated the 2008 financial crisis by studying the 1930s
“The only reason we were able to anticipate it and benefit from it is because it, we felt that it was necessary to understand what had happened in the thirties and what happened before, because the same things happen over and over again.”
Ray Dalio Oct 11, 2017 ▶ 16:07 #23 Ray Dalio: Life Lessons from a Self-Made Billionaire
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dalio: Major Debt Crises Occur Roughly Once Every 75 Years
“Some things happen once every 75 years, particularly debt crises and those kinds of things.”
Ray Dalio Oct 11, 2017 ▶ 16:30 #23 Ray Dalio: Life Lessons from a Self-Made Billionaire
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Prediction Not checkable as stated
External systems will soon know individuals better than their spouses
“Radical transparency is coming at you fast anyway. Because we're now living in a world where the data that you leave about yourself all over the place is meaning that people will, you know, strangers, systems, can now examine you and know you better than peopl…”
Ray Dalio Oct 11, 2017 ▶ 46:35 #23 Ray Dalio: Life Lessons from a Self-Made Billionaire
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Ray Dalio: US spends $7T against $5T revenue, running 40% deficit
“Basically, it's projected to spend about seven trillion dollars, take in about five trillion dollars, so it's running a 40% Deficit, 40% of its spending. It's been running deficits for a long time, so it has a debt that is 600%, six times the amount of money t…”
Ray Dalio Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 3:46 Ray Dalio: "AI Is Eating Everything - and It Might Eat Itself"
WTF Assertion Supported
Dalio: Gold historically yields approximately a 1.2% annualized real return
“Gold is over a period of time, a low returning asset class like cash. It'll produce, it has produced, and for logical reasons, it produces about a 1.2% a year Real return.”
Ray Dalio Dec 20, 2025 ▶ 23:21 WTF Is Wealth? Ray Dalio Breaks It Down w/ Nikhil Kamath | WTF is Finance Ep 2 · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dalio predicts investors will use prediction markets to hedge equity portfolios
“Mostly different act events to bet on. And I think events affect companies, but they're two different things. So I would say it'll be something to speculate on. But, and it'd be something that smart people may use as a hedging device against owning an equity. …”
Ray Dalio Dec 20, 2025 ▶ 34:45 WTF Is Wealth? Ray Dalio Breaks It Down w/ Nikhil Kamath | WTF is Finance Ep 2 · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dalio: Natural disasters and pandemics have killed more people than wars
“Droughts, floods, and pandemics have killed more people than wars and changed more orders.”
Ray Dalio Dec 20, 2025 ▶ 44:49 WTF Is Wealth? Ray Dalio Breaks It Down w/ Nikhil Kamath | WTF is Finance Ep 2 · Nikhil Kamath
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Dalio: China accounts for 33% of global manufacturing output
“They own 33% of all world manufactured goods, which is more than the combined U.S. German and Japanese manufactured goods, Chinese produce more.”
Ray Dalio Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 36:34 Ray Dalio: US Debt Spiral, How to Avoid Disaster | The All-In Interview
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ray Dalio: US, China, and India are shifting the global world order
“I think the basic picture in China, ah, the United States, the emergence of India, and so on, is when the world order is going to change in a very profound way.”
Ray Dalio Apr 9, 2024 ▶ 3:07 All-In Summit 2023 Recap
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2028
Ray Dalio predicts central banks will print money during the next downturn
“So I think you're going to see, in the next downturn, another move to print money.”
Ray Dalio Sep 17, 2023 ▶ 24:51 All-In Summit: Ray Dalio on the rise and fall of nations and the changing world order
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Dalio: 22% of Connecticut high schoolers are failing, absent, or dropped out
“22% of the high school students in Connecticut either have dropped out of high school or are failing classes with absentee rates of greater than 25%.”
Ray Dalio Sep 17, 2023 ▶ 29:10 All-In Summit: Ray Dalio on the rise and fall of nations and the changing world order
a16z Assertion Supported
Dalio: Designed the commodity hedging strategy behind McDonald's Chicken McNugget launch
“I contributed to the economic risk of being able to come out with a Chicken McNugget. Because it came out at a time when there was a lot of commodity price volatility, and McDonald's wanted to come out with a chicken McNugget, but they couldn't lock in a price…”
Ray Dalio Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:49 a16z Podcast | Principles and Algorithms for Work and Life
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dalio: One-third of Bridgewater employees fail to overcome cognitive barriers
“About a third of the people can't get through it, something like that. Over 18 months, you can pretty well find out where you are.”
Ray Dalio Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 31:02 a16z Podcast | Principles and Algorithms for Work and Life
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dalio: Adapting to Bridgewater's culture typically takes about 18 months
“So it's a transition. It's probably like a transition of trying to eat healthy and exercise and do those types of things. Typically takes about 18 months.”
Ray Dalio Oct 11, 2017 ▶ 28:54 #23 Ray Dalio: Life Lessons from a Self-Made Billionaire
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