The Ledger, every show

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

shows every show 44 of 44
every show
clear all ✕
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Smith: Gas Companies Overstate Their Drillable Well Inventories
“A number of companies Describe themselves as having a lot more inventory of wells to drill than we can justify with facts, and I'll just leave it at that”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 15:59 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2029
Smith: Bloom Energy will struggle to secure gas for 2GW+ deployments
“We don't think that Bloom Energy's assets at two gigawatts or more will be able to get natural gas in competition with all of the other assets that are being deployed that will consume gas, given the scarcity that we see.”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 36:16 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2028
Smith: U.S. will start depleting gas storage in 2028 from AI and LNG
“Our work suggests that 26, 27 natural gas is, is appropriately supplied. But as we get into 28, and you plug in this compute, and you assign gas to very specific assets as they're plugged in as well, and you continue to export LNG as we're planning to do with …”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 1:57 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Smith: Gas deficit will hit electricity prices hardest in 2028-2030
“Where you will feel it the most securely will be electricity prices in 28, 29, 20 30 based on our work.”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 2:31 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Matt Smith: US gas infrastructure can only add 20 BCF daily
“After evaluating every producing gas well and the entire pipeline and processing and gathering system, we have the capacity to add about 20 BCF a day of gas production.”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 5:01 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Smith: AI compute will drive 5 BCF/day of base-case natural gas demand
“When you do that, it's about five BCF a day, we think, of very credible incremental natural gas demand associated with Mostly AI compute.”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 6:22 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Smith: AI gas demand could hit 12-15 BCF/day by early 2030s
“If you start to move it down, it's a P-thirty or P-zero, that number, you know, can more than double and be, you know, 12 to 15 BCF a day by the early twenty-thirties if unmitigated.”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 7:17 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Smith: US Gas Producers Will Exhaust Captured Inventory in 4-5 Years
“We get through most of the existing captured inventory of companies in the next four or five years.”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 13:47 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Contradicted
Matt Smith: US built only one interstate gas pipeline in 10-12 years
“In the last 10 or 12 years, we've really built one interstate gas pipeline. That was Mountain Valley Pipeline connecting Appalachia to Mid-Atlantic.”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 19:46 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2029
Smith: U.S. gas storage will fall below historical minimums by 2029
“When you get to the middle of twenty-twenty-eight, We start to break very materially below in a historical way where gas available in storage has ever been before. And by 20, 29, we dropped below all known historical storage evidence.”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 23:00 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2032
Smith: NextEra yieldco will see a profit windfall by the 2030s
“XPLR, tickers XIFR, formerly Nextera Yulco, which is an interesting, interesting set of assets. They have a windfall coming in the latter part of the decade, in early 20 thirties, Ceteris Peribus, because they mark their PPAs to market at much higher values wi…”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 27:24 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Smith: US residential solar will grow exponentially without tax subsidies
“We think residential solar grows exponentially from here even without tax incentives. For the first time, it's very economic with where electricity prices are likely to go to install solar, especially when it accompanies batteries, which make it much more make…”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 28:21 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Smith: Energy could reach 30% of hyperscaler compute costs by 2029
“When we think about the cost of the hyperscalers, right now energy is about budgeted to be about 10% of their cost... If you plug in all of this compute and it's gas powered, and we think gas could double or triple structurally, Even without weather, it could …”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 37:59 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Smith: U.S. Will Face Pressure to Curtail LNG Exports by Late 2020s
“It is pretty important that we don't curtail LNG, although that will certainly be one of the levers as we go out to the late, late decade that we will be forced to think about to deal with rising electricity prices in the country.”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 50:45 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Smith: Utilities Will Face Unprecedented Scramble for Natural Gas by 2028
“As soon as utilities turn the page and start to really hedge or buy gas in 28, and we start to see all these natural gas generating companies start to think about securing supply, you're gonna see, you're gonna start to see a knife fight to secure natural gas …”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 53:05 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2027
Smith: Natural Gas Forward Curves Will Move Up Materially in Six Months
“People are not really willing to look past summer heat or a slight outage in an LNG facility right now, but in six months, we start to see these companies roll forward to look at 28. In six months, you can start to see the forward curves really move up materia…”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 54:04 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Held up
Matt Smith: US LNG exports scheduled to hit 35 BCF daily by 2030
“As of today, we're scheduled to export up to 35 BCF a day by the end of 2030. And in that case, the dye has been mostly cast.”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 3:48 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
TOP FOUNDERS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Canadian government subsidies cover 80% of Latergram's tech salaries
“80% of our salaries for tech is covered by the government.”
Matt Smith Mar 6, 2016 ▶ 12:01 How Latergram.me Grew to $50k/mo, 500,000 users, $1.2m Raised in Episode 190 with Matt Smith
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Smith: Natural gas is overtaking petroleum as America's most important fuel
“Natural gas, which is over 40% of US power generation, has become, or is imminently going to become, the most important fuel in the country. It's overtaking petroleum, given the amount that we use now for generation.”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 1:42 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2029
Smith: US will supply about one-third of global natural gas in several years
“As the U.S. Will be about a third of global gas supply in several years our allies and other FTA and increasingly non-FTA countries are reliant on-”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 8:00 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2031
Smith: US Unlikely to Find New Major Shale Gas Basins
“We've accounted for all of the major productive basins in the country, and I do not think we're likely to be surprised by some new major shale find.”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 16:32 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Smith: Natural gas forward curves are flat through 2030 at $3.50-$3.60
“Gas, which is currently at three dollars and 50 cents, three dollars and 60 cents, going out to 26, 27, in 28, the curve is flat. 20, 29, 20 30, the curve is flat because people believe the gas is abundant.”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 22:07 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Smith: Gas at $8-$10 will shut off U.S. spot LNG exports
“At eight or 10 dollars, We think you potentially shut off some of the U.S. Exports where there are spot cargos, and they are leaving the border to capture uplift in Europe or elsewhere.”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 24:16 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Contradicted
Smith: Expand Energy controls roughly 70% of core Haynesville wells
“They probably control 70% of remaining core Haynesville wells.”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 25:29 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Smith: Hyperscaler decisions rely on flat $3.50 natural gas forward curve
“Everybody who are making decisions in this moment are using the forward curve for natural gas, which is flat, a little backward, a little contiguous, mostly flat out to the twenty-thirties, in the mid threes.”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 38:45 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INNOVATORS & INVESTORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Smith: Strong SaaS Acquisition Multiples Currently Range From 7x to 12x
“And so I would say like in general SAS, At an exit level, where we're seeing, you know, companies be acquired right now, I would say a good outcome is in the high single digits to, you know, call it like seven to 12, would be like, that's a good strong outcome…”
Matt Smith May 21, 2025 ▶ 10:17 Matt Smith from Kickstart on Early-Stage Investing in the Mountain States
INNOVATORS & INVESTORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Smith: Venture capital market will return to equilibrium over next two years
“So I think it's coming back, but I do think that over the next Call it two years. I don't know if I have a crystal ball good enough to look at four years, but call it over the next two years. I see a return to kind of normal. I wouldn't say like back to like s…”
Matt Smith May 21, 2025 ▶ 14:16 Matt Smith from Kickstart on Early-Stage Investing in the Mountain States
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Matt Smith: US exports 15 BCF daily of total 110-112 BCF gas production
“Today we're exporting about 15 BCF a day of nameplate US export capacity. Now that fifteen billion cubic feet is on a base of about a 110 to a 112 BCF a day of natural gas production in the US.”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 3:18 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Smith: Bloom Energy Series 6 fuel cells consume 150M cubic feet/day/GW
“Six series Bloom Energy, you know, kind of latest gen fuel cell will take a hundred and fifty million cubic feet a day of gas per gigawatt.”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 6:51 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Smith: EQT is shutting in natural gas production
“In fact, EQT is shutting in natural gas right now because they think it'll be more valuable later.”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 21:30 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Smith: Expand Energy trades at four times forward EBITDA
“The stock has plummeted over the last six months as a part of that search, and it's trading at four times EBITDA on a forward curve where no one believes what I'm telling you to be the case, even though we think modeling the facts gets you to a much higher gas…”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 25:48 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Smith: China Is Building Roughly 39 Nuclear Reactors, Mostly Gigawatt-Plus
“Today, China is building 39 plus or minus nuclear reactors. 34 of them are one gigawatt plus. I think a third of those are modeled after the AP 1000.”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 32:22 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
TOP FOUNDERS Prediction Not publicly verifiable
Smith predicts Thinkific will exceed $100k MRR by the end of 2016
“I think they're well on their way to going well over, I don't know, probably over a hundred K MRR.”
Matt Smith Mar 6, 2016 ▶ 7:01 How Latergram.me Grew to $50k/mo, 500,000 users, $1.2m Raised in Episode 190 with Matt Smith
TOP FOUNDERS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Smith personally emailed nearly 20,000 pre-launch Latergram sign-ups
“I think I personally emailed all, almost all 20,000 of people those signups, and spent, you know, most of my evenings writing these emails, ah, and engaging with people, and I think when people see, you know, a founder doing that, they say, and they like the p…”
Matt Smith Mar 6, 2016 ▶ 9:48 How Latergram.me Grew to $50k/mo, 500,000 users, $1.2m Raised in Episode 190 with Matt Smith
TOP FOUNDERS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Latergram crosses $50,000 in monthly recurring revenue in early 2016
“Just over a 50 K. Okay.”
Matt Smith Mar 6, 2016 ▶ 11:01 How Latergram.me Grew to $50k/mo, 500,000 users, $1.2m Raised in Episode 190 with Matt Smith
TOP FOUNDERS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Latergram approaches 500,000 registered users
“We're closing in on half a million, so just shy of that.”
Matt Smith Mar 6, 2016 ▶ 12:37 How Latergram.me Grew to $50k/mo, 500,000 users, $1.2m Raised in Episode 190 with Matt Smith
TOP FOUNDERS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Latergram counts roughly 40,000 monthly active users
“We're looking at about 40,000 monthly active right now.”
Matt Smith Mar 6, 2016 ▶ 12:48 How Latergram.me Grew to $50k/mo, 500,000 users, $1.2m Raised in Episode 190 with Matt Smith
TOP FOUNDERS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Latergram has 3,000 to 4,000 paying customers
“I think we're in like the three to 4000 range.”
Matt Smith Mar 6, 2016 ▶ 13:15 How Latergram.me Grew to $50k/mo, 500,000 users, $1.2m Raised in Episode 190 with Matt Smith
TOP FOUNDERS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Latergram averages approximately 5% monthly churn
“Our churn has been a bit variable recently. There's been a lot of a lot of competitors coming to the space, but on average we're looking at about five percent.”
Matt Smith Mar 6, 2016 ▶ 13:27 How Latergram.me Grew to $50k/mo, 500,000 users, $1.2m Raised in Episode 190 with Matt Smith
TOP FOUNDERS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Latergram operates without any paid customer acquisition
“No, we don't do any paid acquisition at this point.”
Matt Smith Mar 6, 2016 ▶ 14:18 How Latergram.me Grew to $50k/mo, 500,000 users, $1.2m Raised in Episode 190 with Matt Smith
TOP FOUNDERS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rocketship.vc used a growth algorithm to find and cold-email Latergram
“Cold emailed us, wanted to put money in, said they liked what they're doing. Apparently, so they say there's some of the guys that really early investors in Facebook so back when Facebook was like, you know, eight employees or something like that and they deve…”
Matt Smith Mar 6, 2016 ▶ 16:18 How Latergram.me Grew to $50k/mo, 500,000 users, $1.2m Raised in Episode 190 with Matt Smith
HOW I BUILT THIS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Matt Smith: Wandering Soul Beer Sales Peaked at $500,000 During COVID
“Yeah, last year sales were around a 150,000. Really my best year was COVID. Well, twenty-twenty was my best year. Did almost a half a million in sales.”
Matt Smith Jul 2, 2026 ▶ 32:17 Advice Line with Ronnen Harary of Spin Master/PAW Patrol
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, thousands of episodes across every show transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.