The Ledger, every show
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.
shows 




every show 44 of 44
Rabois: Opendoor should cut headcount from 1,400 to 200–300 max
“There's 1400 employees. There should be like more like 200 or 300 max”
Rabois: I refuse to let colleagues talk to consumer customers
“I refuse to allow colleagues of mine to talk to customers.”
Rabois: Criticizing employees publicly optimizes for the system over the individual
“When you give people feedback negative individually, you're optimizing for the atomic unit, not the system. The reason why to do it in public is it's more important for all the colleagues to understand that there's an issue it's being addressed.”
Rabois: High-performance teams do not have psychological safety
“No, no, I don't believe in that at all. Like high performance machines don't have psychological safety. They're about winning.”
Keith Rabois claims Jerome Powell lowered interest rates to help Kamala Harris
“I think he has Trump derangement syndrome. He just hates Trump. That's why he artificially lowered rates to try to get Kamala elected. It is indefensible cutting 50 basis points off in, you know, last fall.”
Keith Rabois predicts ChatGPT will become a multi-trillion dollar monopoly
“I think ChatGBT becomes a monopoly. It's the fastest growing consumer product of all time. It is transforming how everybody, every normal person basically does their work, runs their life. And so that product alone is a several trillion dollar company.”
Raboy: Lina Khan's Yale academic paper on Amazon contained false data
“She published a paper that was false. Like, her whole claim to fame is this paper about Amazon. And the data in the Amazon, the data she used in the paper at Yale was false.”
Rabois: No $100 billion European tech company has been created since 1990
“There hasn't been a hundred billion dollar European company created since 1990.”
Rabois: LinkedIn developed a mediocre culture because early engineers wanted 35-hour weeks
“Yeah, we didn't have an Olympic work ethic. We had a bunch of French engineers that wanted to work 35 hours a week. At the time, In 2003 to five, when the company was really founded, most people thought the internet was dead, so we didn't, Reid Hoffman, who fo…”
Rabois: Building a tech company in Silicon Valley is an active disadvantage
“And I now believe Silicon Valley is a disadvantage not even neutral, it's an actual disadvantage.”
Rabois: Lack of corporate data creates recruiting alpha in younger talent
“Like one of the reasons why, you know, sometimes it's controversial to say this, but one of the reasons why the net impact of by higher undiscovered talent is you wind up skewing younger. It's not because you need young people. It's that younger people have by…”
Rabois: Conventional PM roles make no sense in the AI era
“Well, I saw this podcast, or listen to this podcast that Peter Fenn did, and he convinced me that the idea of a PM makes no sense, basically, in the future. If you think about decomposing the logic, is what does a PM usually do? They take these inputs from cus…”
Rabois: Consumer interviews give misleading data due to subconscious buying decisions
“Customers don't know what They want, and they're very bad because it's a subconscious decision, especially for consumers. Like what I purchased, what I wear is not a conscious decision. And when you're consciously trying to answer a subconscious decision, you …”
Rabois: Companies should skip failure retrospectives to encourage risk-taking
“I don't want to deter people from taking ambitious shots on goal. And if you overemphasize failures and, you know, really people think they're going to get criticized. This is where the psychological safety maybe has some validity, which is be ambitious, be bo…”
Keith Rabois predicts multiple countries will make peace with Israel within months
“You're gonna see lots of countries You know, make peace explicitly with Israel, which is great. Whether they join the Abraham Accords directly or indirectly, it's all gonna happen in the next six months.”
Keith Rabois predicts 4% US GDP growth will render national debt irrelevant
“We're gonna have four percent or more growth all of next year. That will make the debt irrelevant. You can grow your way out of deficits.”
Keith Rabois claims half of the non-military federal government can be cut
“I actually believe you could probably cut 50% of the federal government ex-military easily.”
Keith Rabois predicts AI will enable 4% to 6% inflation-free GDP growth
“Well, I think you can run four to six percent durably without inflation, which is magic.”
Rabois: Anthropic and rivals present no real competition to ChatGPT
“But ChatGBT alone, there is no competition for. It's not like Anthropic or all these other companies have any competition for that.”
Keith Rabois predicts people will stop using Microsoft Word within five years
“Do people draft documents in Word in three, four, five years? Probably not.”
Rabois: Promoting CFOs to CEO Is Almost Always a Mistake
“Promoted this completely mediocre CFO, which is almost always a bad idea, to be CEO. And she went from mediocre to, like, the worst CEO in the planet.”
Rabois: Reinventing an industry requires non-experts rather than domain specialists
“So I think if you're going to reinvent an industry, you don't want experts.”
Rabois: Every successful startup is a cult with a non-consensus worldview
“Every successful company is a cult. And what a cult really means is you have a view about the world that's different than other normal people. And you're right to be successful. Like a cult doesn't have to be right, but the startup is a cult. That's right. And…”
Rabois: Homebuyers should replace real estate agents with ChatGPT
“Instead of using a real estate agent, there's no reason they can't use ChatGPT or an equivalent product.”
Keith Rabois predicts human-labeled AI data will be obsolete within three years
“The truth is, I think there's a very short half-life on human label data. And so everybody who's investing in these companies just to get revenue traction really didn't understand that there may be a year, two years, Three years max when anybody uses human lab…”
Rabois predicts Google Search will lose to AI competitors like ChatGPT
“I think Google's also, Google search, cross-search, is toast. And since they have Chrome and they theoretically have a quality team in Gemini, they should be putting these two things together and hoping to compete with Chad GPT. They're going to lose the searc…”
Rabois: US educational metrics uniformly declined since Department of Education's 1979 creation
“Every single educational stat has got worse in the United States since the department was created.”
Rabois: China is ahead of the US in humanoid robotics
“Well, spicy is that look, Chinese are ahead of us and it's very dangerous politically, geopolitically.”
Rabois: Trump administration will find a way to ban Chinese robots
“I would be shocked if this administration doesn't figure out a way to ban Chinese robots before it's too late.”
Raboy: No other active VC can invest on just a keynote deck
“If I meet a founder and there's a keynote deck, there's no product, there's no metrics, that's my sweet spot. Because I also know nobody else in venture is good at that. Nobody else is still active in venture.”
Keith Raboy: Avoids investing in startup founders with prior domain expertise
“I always mentioned that I don't like people with expertise typically as founders.”
Raboy: TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew lied to Congress about data access
“There are people in China monitoring what certain people in the United States are doing, and the CEO lied under oath to congressional committees about this, and the evidence is now in the public domain.”
Rabois: Ramp is the best-run private company on the planet
“I think we just finished a board meeting where it's pretty clear that this is the best run private company on the planet.”
Rabois: Ramp will beat Brex and become 10x more valuable
“Ramp is absolutely going to be the winner. Probably will be two, three, four, five, 10 times more valuable.”
Rabois: Most growth VC funds are dead or dying from chasing momentum
“Chasing momentum, not really understanding fundamental company building, thinking spreadsheets dictate results, like, you know, not understanding the inputs versus the outputs, that these companies are built by people, not by math. At the end of the day, still…”
Rabois: Donald Trump will not win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination
“You know, as you've probably seen on Twitter, I don't even believe he's gonna be the Republican nominee for president.”
Rabois: Most technology startups are better off going public early
“I'm going to get, I believe that most companies, you know, and I have a chapter in Eli Gill's high growth handbook on the topic in a fairly lengthy core answer as well on, I believe most companies are better Off going public early period.”
Rabois: LinkedIn should have been more valuable than Facebook
“LinkedIn by any measure was Yeah, pretty successful. Certainly impact, you know, acquisition, twenty four billion or so. Truthfully, probably hit somewhere between five and 20% of its, you know, potential because it didn't do some of these things. Like, I, in …”
Rabois: First-time founders are on average better than repeat founders
“I think first time founders are actually better on average. Most of the best companies I've invested in are first time founders, not all.”
Rabois: Google's 20% time policy is catastrophic for non-monopoly startups
“If you have a monopoly, for example, Google has this 20%, you know, side project bullshit where they used to. If you have a monopoly business with 99% gross margins or 90% margins, maybe letting your employees waste time once in a while maybe isn't catastrophi…”
Rabois: Founders Fund will not invest in remote-first startups
“We at Founders Fund have pretty much put a light in the sand that we won't invest in remote companies because we've just watched 50 years that there's almost no examples of people building companies that way.”
Rabois will now exclusively invest in in-person startups
“I really want to invest in only companies that are in person. So I think there's a lot of alpha there. I think in-person companies will be the successful startups. I only want to find founders who are working in person and that's my new investment filter.”
Rabois: Only 5 to 10 VCs actually add value at scale
“There's probably only five to 10 VCs that actually add value at scale.”
Rabois: Seed investing skills are incompatible with growth investing
“The skill set required to invest at seed is utterly different, different and probably completely incompatible with the idea of being a good growth or public market investor. The reason why is at the end of the day, Seed companies have no financial metrics.”
Rabois: A flipped Congress will subpoena Twitter over foreign government influence
“But the government, if the U.S. Congress is turned over, there's gonna be a lot of subpoenas flying over to Twitter, because there are absolutely foreign governments influencing some of those decisions at Twitter.”
Rabois: Florida abortion law is more permissive than France and Germany
“It's actually more permissive than any European country. But nobody knows that. France actually only allows abortion up to 14 weeks. Germany is like 16. So we're 20 here, so we're more liberal than Europe.”
Rabois: Tiger Global will struggle with Series A investing
“And if Tiger thinks that they're going to be successful Series A investors, they're in for a very rude awakening.”
Rabois: Success is learned from winning teams, not analyzing failure
“I think you can learn from failure what not to do again, and that's probably worth learning, like repeating the same mistakes makes no sense, but you can't learn how to be successful just by avoiding mistakes. The way you learn how to be successful is just You…”