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INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: Autonomous vehicles will have multiple winners, not a single monopoly
“You know, just like you're seeing in the foundation model space, there isn't going to be a single winner. There are going to be many players on the foundation models. There'll be open source, smaller models as well. We're seeing the same kind of acceleration i…”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 24:35 Uber CEO on AI, Autonomous Vehicles, and the Future of Transportation · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: Waymo robotaxis in Austin and Atlanta increased human Uber driver earnings
“Now drivers in Austin and Atlanta, where we have two big partnerships with Waymo, Drivers on the Uber platform, they're making more money. The number of drivers joining the platform is increasing because it looks like AVs are actually adding incremental demand…”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 31:15 Uber CEO on AI, Autonomous Vehicles, and the Future of Transportation · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
Khosrowshahi: Traditional OEMs will scale L4 AV manufacturing in 2-4 years
“So I think you'll see the traditional players get there over the next, you know, two to four years, and they'll start, you know, right now the cars are being manufactured in the hundreds and the thousands. It'll get to the tens of thousands. It'll get to the h…”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 34:42 Uber CEO on AI, Autonomous Vehicles, and the Future of Transportation · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: Food and grocery drone delivery will scale in 2-5 years
“And I think drones for food and other grocery are going to start hitting real scale over the next two to five years.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 36:24 Uber CEO on AI, Autonomous Vehicles, and the Future of Transportation · Invest Like The Best
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Tesla's camera-only autonomy strategy trades hardware savings for software difficulty
“Elon is doing camera only. Tougher on the software, cheaper for the hardware, ok?”
Dara Khosrowshahi Sep 17, 2025 ▶ 4:20 Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi on self-driving's future, changing business model, job displacement
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2035
Financial firms will own large autonomous vehicle fleets within ten years
“10 years down the line, you know, there are these things called REITs, real estate investment trucks. You're going to have fleets. You're going to have financial owners that own big fleets of cars that are on our network, maybe on other networks.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Sep 17, 2025 ▶ 11:49 Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi on self-driving's future, changing business model, job displacement
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Austin Uber drivers earn as much or more following Waymo's local launch
“Austin drivers now are making as much or more money than they were before we introduced Waymo.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Sep 17, 2025 ▶ 24:21 Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi on self-driving's future, changing business model, job displacement
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2032
Uber expects to employ more human drivers in five to seven years
“So I think for the next five to seven years, we're going to have more human drivers and delivery people just because we're going so quickly.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Sep 17, 2025 ▶ 24:27 Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi on self-driving's future, changing business model, job displacement
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Autonomous vehicle job displacement will become a real issue in 10-15 years
“But I think, you know, 10 to 15 years from now, this is going to be a real issue.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Sep 17, 2025 ▶ 24:34 Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi on self-driving's future, changing business model, job displacement
WTF Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: OpenAI and Google will completely dominate AI travel inspiration startups
“I would not go after the inspiration side, because I think the inspiration side, thank you very much, is, is going to be served really, really well by an open AI or a Google.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Aug 24, 2025 ▶ 32:24 From Iran to Uber CEO | Nikhil Kamath x Dara Khosrowshahi | People by WTF | Ep. 14 · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: An umbrella AI agent above all OTAs will win travel booking
“The ultimate solution is going to be an agent that can sit above it all, and can kind of scour the internet and scour all the booking services and then surface the results, which may be a mix and match of all of them for you based on your tastes.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Aug 24, 2025 ▶ 34:06 From Iran to Uber CEO | Nikhil Kamath x Dara Khosrowshahi | People by WTF | Ep. 14 · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2028
Khosrowshahi: Uber will inevitably overtake DoorDash in the US delivery market
“They're beating us right now in the U.S., but not for long, and we're beating them outside the U.S., and the two companies going against each other makes both companies better and actually builds a better service for consumers and couriers and restaurants all …”
Dara Khosrowshahi Aug 24, 2025 ▶ 56:41 From Iran to Uber CEO | Nikhil Kamath x Dara Khosrowshahi | People by WTF | Ep. 14 · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Prediction Held up
Khosrowshahi: Global EV market share will favor China for a while
“My expectation is overall share, especially in the EV sector on a global basis of EVs is going to be is going China's way for a while, but individual innovative OEMs, they're going to do fine.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Aug 24, 2025 ▶ 1:23:34 From Iran to Uber CEO | Nikhil Kamath x Dara Khosrowshahi | People by WTF | Ep. 14 · Nikhil Kamath
ACQUIRED Assertion Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: Son threatened to invest billions in Lyft if Uber rejected SoftBank
“SoftBank wanted in, and in typical MASA fashion, it was like, hey, if you don't let us invest in you, we're going to invest in that pink company, right?”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 13, 2023 ▶ 1:07:47 Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi · Acquired
ACQUIRED Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2033
Khosrowshahi: Autonomous vehicles will take 10 years to become material in transportation
“My instinct is that you will see small scale continued experiments kind of get bigger over the next five years, but it's going to take a good 10 years for it to be a material part of our network or transportation at large. But that's a guess.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 13, 2023 ▶ 1:22:59 Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi · Acquired
ACQUIRED Assertion Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: Uber Is the Largest Source of Work in the World
“I think we're the largest source of work anywhere by far, and growing pretty fast.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 13, 2023 ▶ 1:33:44 Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi · Acquired
20VC Assertion Supported
Khosrowshahi: Uber Eats is as big as DoorDash globally
“Uber Eats is actually as big as DoorDash on a global basis, and so when we think about Uber, we think globally, right? And we are the global leader along with DoorDash.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Mar 27, 2023 ▶ 17:35 Dara Khosrowshahi: How I Became CEO of Uber; Uber Eats vs DoorDash; The Postmates Acquisition | E994 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: Uber developers in India drive 10x more code commits using AI
“We've got devs in India who all of a sudden are driving 10 X the code commits that they used to. They're using autonomous agents all over the place.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 18:08 Uber CEO on AI, Autonomous Vehicles, and the Future of Transportation · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: Uber exhausted its annual AI compute budget in one quarter
“We blew through our AI budget in a quarter, you know, for the whole year, essentially.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 19:09 Uber CEO on AI, Autonomous Vehicles, and the Future of Transportation · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: Autonomous vehicles on Uber's network are 30% busier than standalone AVs
“And what we're seeing is consumers love the product and AVs that are on our network Are 30% or more busy than, let's say, one P AVs who aren't using our network.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 25:50 Uber CEO on AI, Autonomous Vehicles, and the Future of Transportation · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: AV transportation will blend direct competition and platform partnerships
“I don't think it's going to be black or white, which is, do we only compete or do we only work together? We think there's going to be an amalgamation of business models. There already is in travel. There already is in food. Same, same thing will happen in tran…”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 29:49 Uber CEO on AI, Autonomous Vehicles, and the Future of Transportation · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2029
Khosrowshahi: Lucid and Nuro's midsize autonomous vehicle will cost $60,000 to $70,000
“You know, we think the Lucid midsize that they are building for us and Neuro together, it'll be a 60, 70,000 dollar car.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 32:54 Uber CEO on AI, Autonomous Vehicles, and the Future of Transportation · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Held up
Khosrowshahi expects Uber robotaxi pilots in London by year-end
“And I think we will have pilots, for example, in London before the end of the year.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 38:02 Uber CEO on AI, Autonomous Vehicles, and the Future of Transportation · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: Uber One is solidly profitable despite first-year member losses
“The membership program took some time to kind of get up to speed. It is solidly profitable now, but the first year of membership is a year where we lose money on you, but we're going to make money on you two, three, four years from now.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 45:42 Uber CEO on AI, Autonomous Vehicles, and the Future of Transportation · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2033
Khosrowshahi: Apps will still exist in seven years for visual communication
“I think you're gonna have apps, because there are certain circumstances, many circumstances, where the communication back to you is much more efficient in the written word or in pictures.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 54:59 Uber CEO on AI, Autonomous Vehicles, and the Future of Transportation · Invest Like The Best
SOURCERY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: Most of Uber's growth will come from building products, not M&A
“Most of our growth is going to come through building new great products versus going out and buying stuff.”
Dara Khosrowshahi May 8, 2026 ▶ 7:31 Dara Khosrowshahi’s Full Circle Launch: Expedia x Uber · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: Uber Eats Could Be Bigger Than Rides in 10 Years
“I wouldn't be surprised if Eats is bigger than rides 10 years from now.”
Dara Khosrowshahi May 8, 2026 ▶ 18:45 Dara Khosrowshahi’s Full Circle Launch: Expedia x Uber · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Uber is partnered with Chinese autonomous operators Baidu, WeRide, and Pony
“So there are Baidu WeRide, Pony are all on the road today, no safety driver. We are partners with all of them.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Sep 17, 2025 ▶ 2:19 Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi on self-driving's future, changing business model, job displacement
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Solid-state LiDAR costs have dropped from $20,000 to $300-$500 per unit
“LiDAR was 20, 30,000 bucks a pop like five, six years ago. Now solid state LiDAR is 300 to 500 bucks a pop.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Sep 17, 2025 ▶ 6:39 Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi on self-driving's future, changing business model, job displacement
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Robots and drones could eventually cover over 50% of Uber's delivery market
“Those two together we think can cover 50 plus percent of our delivery TAM, so to speak.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Sep 17, 2025 ▶ 15:31 Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi on self-driving's future, changing business model, job displacement
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Tesla currently intends to launch its robotaxi network independently without Uber
“At this point they're looking to go it alone”
Dara Khosrowshahi Sep 17, 2025 ▶ 22:24 Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi on self-driving's future, changing business model, job displacement
WTF Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: AI agents will never fully automate travel bookings without human approval
“The cost of a bad decision in travel is very high. So I don't think you're going to get to a place, and I'm certainly not going to get to a place where I tell an agent to find me a hotel in San Francisco and just book it, and then, you know, on the day when I …”
Dara Khosrowshahi Aug 24, 2025 ▶ 31:17 From Iran to Uber CEO | Nikhil Kamath x Dara Khosrowshahi | People by WTF | Ep. 14 · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Assertion Supported
Khosrowshahi: 70% of Uber drivers work under 20 hours weekly
“70% of our drivers and couriers are working less than 20 hours a week.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Aug 24, 2025 ▶ 1:04:43 From Iran to Uber CEO | Nikhil Kamath x Dara Khosrowshahi | People by WTF | Ep. 14 · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: Significant autonomous vehicle deployment in developed markets within 10 years
“You know, within 10 years, you're gonna see a significant number of autonomous vehicles, especially in developed markets.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Aug 24, 2025 ▶ 1:08:59 From Iran to Uber CEO | Nikhil Kamath x Dara Khosrowshahi | People by WTF | Ep. 14 · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Assertion Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: Uber is adopting EVs five times faster than the public
“Within Uber, you know we are moving to EVs five times faster than the general public, so EVs inside of the Uber system are definitely increasing”
Dara Khosrowshahi Aug 24, 2025 ▶ 1:25:28 From Iran to Uber CEO | Nikhil Kamath x Dara Khosrowshahi | People by WTF | Ep. 14 · Nikhil Kamath
ACQUIRED Assertion Partly supported
Khosrowshahi: Year-over-year Uber ride prices are down as supply outpaces demand
“Now, in this environment, where we are adding supply faster than demand because the supply is really coming into the marketplace, prices in Uber now, year on year, are down.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 13, 2023 ▶ 35:04 Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi · Acquired
ACQUIRED Assertion Supported
Khosrowshahi: Uber eliminated all dual-class super-voting shares for SoftBank deal
“We literally had to, like, get everyone to agree to blow up the high vote shares. I think it's actually the only time when tech, a tech company like, they blew up all of the high votes.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 13, 2023 ▶ 1:08:18 Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi · Acquired
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: Kareem and Transplace acquisitions are or will be major hits
“I would say probably Kareem or there's a, we're pretty early on in terms of development, but a, an acquisition that we made in with Uber Freight Transplace, which really runs the logistics outsource logistics function of a lot of companies out there. Both of t…”
Dara Khosrowshahi Mar 27, 2023 ▶ 23:28 Dara Khosrowshahi: How I Became CEO of Uber; Uber Eats vs DoorDash; The Postmates Acquisition | E994 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Held up
Khosrowshahi: Uber will focus exclusively on software moving forward
“I will tell you right now, based on everything I see, we're going to stay squarely in software, because we're really, really good at it.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Mar 27, 2023 ▶ 27:21 Dara Khosrowshahi: How I Became CEO of Uber; Uber Eats vs DoorDash; The Postmates Acquisition | E994 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: Travis Kalanick will lead dark kitchen success if anyone does
“He has a, he's built a dark kitchen company that we do work with, and I think it's the biggest dark kitchen company out there, so if anyone succeeds in that area, I think it'll be Travis.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Mar 27, 2023 ▶ 43:13 Dara Khosrowshahi: How I Became CEO of Uber; Uber Eats vs DoorDash; The Postmates Acquisition | E994 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Khosrowshahi: Uber generates over $10B in free cash flow across 10B+ trips
“We've got over ten billion dollars in, in free cashflow, which is great. But it's on well over ten billion trips a year. So these are, we are not a high margin business.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 19:44 Uber CEO on AI, Autonomous Vehicles, and the Future of Transportation · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: Uber predicts passenger destinations 75% of the time
“And today we can guess when you take an Uber ride three quarters of the time, we can guess where you're going and it's just a one tap interaction that can only improve based on these larger models.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 21:53 Uber CEO on AI, Autonomous Vehicles, and the Future of Transportation · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Khosrowshahi: Uber has over 30 autonomous vehicle partnerships
“So we've got over 30 partnerships now with incredible partners like a Waymo to a Neuro and Lucid to an NVIDIA that is building not just compute and sensors, but also a software driver now to companies like Wabi and Wave, WeRides of the World, Pony AIs of the W…”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 24:19 Uber CEO on AI, Autonomous Vehicles, and the Future of Transportation · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Khosrowshahi: Uber secured a $1B fleet financing facility with Santander
“We just announced a billion dollar financing line with Santander for EV fleets and AV fleets.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 25:19 Uber CEO on AI, Autonomous Vehicles, and the Future of Transportation · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Khosrowshahi: 13% of Uber Eats bookings come from the mobility app
“When you open your mobility app now on, on Uber, you're going to see Eats right there, and about 13% of Eats bookings are actually coming from the mobility business.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 39:14 Uber CEO on AI, Autonomous Vehicles, and the Future of Transportation · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Khosrowshahi: Uber One has 50M members, growing 50% year-over-year
“And then we have our Uber One membership program, fifty million members now, growing 50% year on year.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 39:47 Uber CEO on AI, Autonomous Vehicles, and the Future of Transportation · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Khosrowshahi: Uber completed 1.5 billion trips outside home cities last year
“Just last year, we completed one and a half billion trips for people outside of their home city.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 47:46 Uber CEO on AI, Autonomous Vehicles, and the Future of Transportation · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Open · timeframe Jun 2026
Khosrowshahi: Uber Reserve has surpassed a $5 billion run rate
“And Reserve now is Over five billion dollar run rate.”
Dara Khosrowshahi Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 51:29 Uber CEO on AI, Autonomous Vehicles, and the Future of Transportation · Invest Like The Best
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