The Ledger, every show

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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SOURCERY Opinion
Schimpf: Traditional cost-plus defense contracts are a disaster
“Versus the traditional approach where it's like the government took all the risk and you get a fixed profit fee. That's a disaster. Like everything just gets more complex and more expensive. It doesn't work out.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 10:20 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
a16z Insight
Schimpf: Small numbers of exquisite weapons cannot win modern wars
“A low number of really exquisite weapons is not gonna win a conflict, and I think Ukraine kind of definitively showed that to the world, that that is not a winning strategy.”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 3:02 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Disclosure
Schimpf: Anduril found virtually no American-born tier-one manufacturing executives
“Looking for a great head of manufacturing. There's basically no like tier one execs we could find that were American born. We ended up finding someone who was from Canada, but everyone I found who was like great thinking about this differently, like really nov…”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 4:05 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Opinion
Schimpf: Government grants to Intel are the worst form of industrial subsidy
“Grants are, in my opinion, the worst possible form of this. It's like, you know, giving Intel an outrageous amount of money to build a facility that they didn't believe they had demand for. It's like, why would they not take the money to build a facility? They…”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 43:20 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Assertion Supported
Schimpf: China possesses 250 times the shipbuilding capacity of the US
“Where there's something like 250 times the shipbuilding capacity you know, massively, massively, probably thousands of times on the weapon side. You know, it is just on drones. It's massive. Like, you just, kind of look category by category, massively outpacin…”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 48:04 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Opinion
Schimpf: Refusing to apply AI to military decisions is unethical
“Is like, to me, it is unethical to not apply these technologies to these problems.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 8:46 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Disclosure
Anduril is partnering with OpenAI on counter-drone defense systems
“This is one of the areas we're partnering with OpenAI on”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 12:54 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Opinion
Schimpf: Defense prime contractor cartel refuses fixed-price government contracts
“So you have a relatively small cartel of these companies who sort of all say we won't do fixed price programs anymore. They won't do things on a fixed cost basis.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 20:31 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Supported
Schimpf: Wargames show key U.S. munition stockpiles run out in eight days
“You know, one of the areas where we see it is showing up with weapons, so when you look at these wargaming sort of scenarios, and you know, all these wargames are sort of questionable in their own ways but pretty consistently the stockpile of key U.S. Munition…”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 24:33 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Pentagon oversight bureaucrats outnumber accountable leaders 10 to 1
“It's just there are 10 times as many people who say no as there are to people who are accountable for doing it.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 30:17 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Insight
Defense startups willing to build weapons are the most likely to succeed
“A lot of the areas that You know, are going to succeed are often the ones that are less popular. It's areas working on weapons. Like, this is not an area that a lot of companies are interested in doing, but I think to succeed in the defense space, you have to …”
Brian Schimpf Mar 5, 2024 ▶ 2:53 Securing America's Future: How Technology Companies and Washington Are Building A Safer World
a16z Opinion
F-35 fighters are merely incremental improvements compared to autonomous systems
“The ability to use autonomous systems is, in effect, like a new way of operating, whereas, you know, F-thirty-five and all these were sort of Incremental improvements to, like, a conventional way we've been fighting for quite a long time.”
Brian Schimpf Mar 5, 2024 ▶ 5:44 Securing America's Future: How Technology Companies and Washington Are Building A Safer World
NO PRIORS Opinion
Schimpf: China holds a decisive military advantage with longer-range missiles
“China has been able to modernize and build new technologies and sort of like they're pretty decisive advantage in countering the way that U S fights the longer range of their missiles. Like all of these things are pretty substantial. So there was a degree of l…”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 42:24 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
NO PRIORS Disclosure
Schimpf: Anduril Builds Weapons and Believes It Is Ethical and Necessary
“We've been clear. We work on weapons. We believe that's important. We believe you can do it ethically. We believe it's necessary. And we're not shy about that.”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 49:16 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
SOURCERY Opinion
The US could get 2x more capability per dollar on weapons
“I tend to think we can get a lot more bang for our buck on weapons, on aircraft, you know, probably two X from where we are. By just looking at a different mix of these things.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 14:32 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: US defense budgets cannot shrink without sacrificing necessary military capability
“I don't see a world where, like, the defense budgets could magically shrink, and we still have the military that we need to have, but I do think these things can be done wildly more efficiently than they ever have in the past.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 15:15 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Schimpf: Europe will spend 4x US defense procurement over next five years
“Europe is going to spend something like Four times the amount of procurement that the U S is over the next five years.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 22:01 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: US has sufficient PCB, composites, and CNC capacity for defense
“Is there enough composites capacity or printed circuit board capacity in the U S or CNC shops? The answer is absolutely yes. There is definitely enough capacity”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 24:08 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Insight
Schimpf: Critical defense supply chains require commercially viable factories
“You have to solve this at a commercially viable level, not at a defense specific level. It will always then be too expensive and unproducible. If you just have a defense exquisite magnet factory, like that doesn't work. You need a commercially viable magnet fa…”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 24:31 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Schimpf: Europe will outspend US procurement fourfold over next five years
“Europe is going to spend something like four times the amount of procurement that the U.S. Is over the next five years.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 15, 2025 ▶ 10:41 Inside Anduril: Exclusive HQ Tour w/ Palmer Luckey, Brian Schimpf, Matt Grimm & Trae Stephens · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
a16z Assertion Supported
Schimpf: Russia outproduces NATO in 155mm artillery munitions after two-year ramp
“Russia today is outproducing NATO on one five five munitions and took about two years.”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 0:00 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: The US lacks a strategic plan for supply preservation
“We have no strategic plan as a country for how we preserve supply in a catastrophic situation.”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 20:42 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Insight
Schimpf: Industrial capacity serves as a vital independent military deterrent
“Industrial production has a deterrence factor all itself, and that it is critical for winning a conflict.”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 2:27 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Assertion Supported
Schimpf: China has legally banned the export of magnet-making technology
“China has strategically kind of strangleholded that, you know, not only did they have the processing of those rare earths, but now they've exported, controlled, so they don't allow the export of magnet-making technology. That is now a restricted national techn…”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 12:55 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Opinion
Schimpf: China holds far greater industrial independence than the US
“China has definitively more industrial independence and the ability to continue production absent, you know, kind of like their choke points are quite a bit more, more mineral minimal, right?”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 18:18 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: EPA non-attainment zone designations kill local manufacturing growth
“An area can be designated a non attainment zone that is over polluted on a certain pollutant. And so then going forward, the EPA says that any new construction requires to remediate that pollutant by any means available, not cost benefit, not that there is any…”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 31:33 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Opinion
Schimpf: Government grants to save uncompetitive legacy industrial giants will fail
“And that, that I think is where the US policy is, is landed on, where it's like, let's give grants to these industrial giants that everyone agrees are no longer Competitive, and we'll try to save them. And you're like, it is obviously not gonna work.”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 40:54 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Opinion
Schimpf: Xi Jinping prioritizes CCP preservation over economic growth
“The, he has demonstrated that he does not care if he harms the economy, if he believes it is in the interest of national security and preservation.”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 54:25 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Next 30 years of defense tech relies on cheap autonomous systems
“So number one, the tech for the next 20 or 30 years was going to be like primarily how do you just have more cheap autonomous systems on the battlefield, just more sensors, just more information flowing in.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 0:30 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Military surveillance and strikes will soon achieve high automation levels
“Yeah, I, look, I think the mechanics of, okay, there's this airfield, and you want to go surveil it, and, like, take it you can do some strike, you can do some surveillance, you can do all these things. That, there will be a large degree of automation in that,…”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 11:18 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Supported
Schimpf: Sam Altman publicly committed OpenAI to supporting US national defense
“Sam especially has been very clear that he supports our war fighters and he cares about having the best minds in AI working on national security and like who better exists to work through these hard problems.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 14:56 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Anduril doesn't need government procurement reform to succeed
“Do I think it's necessary to change for us to be successful? Not really. Like, we're just going to play the game that they present.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 17:33 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Contradicted
Schimpf: SpaceX received one-third of Boeing's Starliner funding
“I think SpaceX had a third the amount of money that Boeing was given to make Starliner work.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 19:01 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Partly supported
Schimpf: China conducts hundreds of hypersonic weapon tests annually versus US's four
“The single best stat for this is they are running hundreds of tests a year of hypersonic weapons. The US is running, like, four.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 22:26 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Supported
Schimpf: Russia retooled defense production and outproduces all of NATO on munitions
“Empirically, Russia, You know, about same duration, about two years to retool their industry against defense production. They are now out producing all of NATO on munitions.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 24:02 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Traditional defense weapons face four-year lead times from bespoke components
“Most of these traditional weapons where it's like overly bespoke components, you're like, it's like, we got to get the dude that knows how to solder this one thing out of retirement. Like in the supply chains are super deep. Like four year lead times on these …”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 27:08 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Insight
Schimpf: Commercial sector drives defense innovation, rendering 10-year roadmaps obsolete
“The innovation Is much more coming from the commercial world. So it becomes being the best adopter. It is no longer these 10 year tech roadmaps the department controls.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 35:40 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Insight
Schimpf: Cost-plus contracts actively disincentivize defense contractors from lowering production costs
“And on top of that, when you get into production, there's no incentive to reduce your costs because that you list literally will make less money if you reduce your costs and they're going to buy a fixed quantity.”
Brian Schimpf Mar 7, 2024 ▶ 15:47 From Silicon Valley to the Pentagon: The Future of Defense Innovation
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Traditional defense primes refuse firm fixed-price contracts after heavy losses
“Actually a lot of the primes right now are saying they will not do firm fixed price. Contracts anymore because they've often taken a significant loss on most of the programs that they're doing with this.”
Brian Schimpf Mar 7, 2024 ▶ 17:18 From Silicon Valley to the Pentagon: The Future of Defense Innovation
a16z Prediction Held up
China is actively investing in and will deploy autonomous weapons
“We know that China is, you know, investing in similar technologies. We know they're going to move out on it,”
Brian Schimpf Mar 5, 2024 ▶ 6:08 Securing America's Future: How Technology Companies and Washington Are Building A Safer World
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Drone attacks on U.S. military bases will increase in frequency
“The attack in Tower 22 is very tragic, and it's the type of thing that I think is going to, frankly, increase in frequency.”
Brian Schimpf Mar 5, 2024 ▶ 9:12 Securing America's Future: How Technology Companies and Washington Are Building A Safer World
a16z Assertion Contradicted
Nearly every country now possesses cruise missile-equivalent drone technology
“Nearly every country has what is the equivalent of cruise missiles.”
Brian Schimpf Mar 5, 2024 ▶ 9:32 Securing America's Future: How Technology Companies and Washington Are Building A Safer World
a16z Assertion Supported
The U.S. military fires $2 million missiles at $100,000 aerial threats
“As a result, we're shooting Patriot missiles and, you know, advanced air-to-air missiles at these 100,000 dollars threats, shooting two million dollar missiles at them.”
Brian Schimpf Mar 5, 2024 ▶ 11:14 Securing America's Future: How Technology Companies and Washington Are Building A Safer World
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Defense manufacturing capacity constraints will be eliminated within five years
“So our belief is this is a solvable problem. You could take advantage of commercial innovation on this, and there should be no capacity constraints you know, over any sort of five-year period to actually be able to produce these systems.”
Brian Schimpf Mar 5, 2024 ▶ 12:30 Securing America's Future: How Technology Companies and Washington Are Building A Safer World
NO PRIORS Opinion
Schimpf: US cannot outbuild China on expensive military platforms
“So we're not going to outbuild China. That's not an option. On these large, you know, very expensive platforms. It's just, it's not going to work. It's a bad strategy.”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 9:36 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
NO PRIORS Opinion
Schimpf: Autonomous Defense Tech Makes Invading Taiwan Immensely Hard
“It actually really favors the defender. Now, if you can operate in this new way it would be immensely hard for any sort of successful invasion of, you know, Taiwan to actually play out because of You know, what we've learned and what we've seen and how the US …”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 12:51 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
NO PRIORS Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2028
Schimpf: US will not adopt autonomous robots making lethal strike decisions
“The U S is not going to adopt systems that have autonomous robots going out and making sort of lethal decisions about, you know, what to attack or not. That's not really how the U S works. We assign accountability to the person that employed a weapon system. T…”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 19:20 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
NO PRIORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Hypersonic startups operate at 5x pace and fraction of Lockheed's cost
“There are multiple companies doing very credible things on, you know, hypersonic air vehicles, hypersonic rockets and missiles that will be wildly cheaper than the state of the art defense. And it's something that, you know, historically you would have said th…”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 36:42 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
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