The Ledger, every show

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

shows every show 44 of 44
every show
clear all ✕
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Drones and satellites will eliminate need to risk carrier strike groups
“Proliferated satellites and drones you know, an ability to consume mass amounts of information, make sense of the whole battle space, and the ability to engage with targets at outrageously long ranges on a very quick timeline, that fundamentally alters the cha…”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 37:29 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
NO PRIORS What-if
Schimpf: Ukraine would 100% strike deep into Russia if given tools
“You know, you don't want necessarily to give Taiwan the ability to strike deep into mainland China, that Ukrainians would a hundred percent be doing that if we gave them tools to do that into Russia.”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 45:22 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Insight
Brian Schimpf: AI enables military deployment of 100,000 autonomous systems
“AI kind of broadly gets you this ability to scale up to 100,000 of systems Being able to do a much, much higher volume of activity that's much harder to defeat, it's much harder to counter and you can conduct, you know, warfare in a much more precise and large…”
Brian Schimpf Feb 6, 2023 ▶ 5:31 AI & The Future of Modern Warfare
SOURCERY Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Anduril has 7,000 employees and is still doubling revenue past $1B
“So we're eight years ish in we're at about 7000 employees. We have consistently doubled revenue like every year, right? So even like over a billion, we're still doubling revenue.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 2:21 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Prediction Held up
Schimpf: Anduril will produce autonomous fighter jets in months
“We're making autonomous fighter jets. You know, like three years ago, we weren't believable to make autonomous fighter jets. Now we're doing it. And we're going to have them be produced in a production facility in like months from now.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 4:17 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Assertion Contradicted
US defense procurement relative to GDP is at an all-time low
“The procurement budget as a percentage of GDP, for example, is I think the lowest it's ever been.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 13:49 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
a16z Assertion Supported
Schimpf: US government guaranteed price floor for MP Materials
“I think the way they're structuring some of these is actually really clever, right? Like they basically, with one of these, this empty materials company, they basically guaranteed a minimum offtake and a price floor.”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 13:32 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Anduril CEO: Rebuilding domestic manufacturing competitiveness will take years
“This is where I think tariffs applied on more of like, you know, kind of a national security industrial policy basis can be really advantageous. Create the time for, you know, American and allied industry to be able to get price competitive. It's just going to…”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 13:56 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Rebuilding unplanned defense supply chains takes five years in a crisis
“But if we are looking at, you know, we've got to add a crisis work all the way back to the raw materials that we didn't plan for. Now you're looking at five years of lack of being able to reconstitute that supply chain.”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 24:27 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Opinion
Schimpf: US capital market structure is thousands of times better than competitors
“The US capital market structure is, it's not like it's 10% better than anyone else. It's a, it's like several thousand times better than anyone else. Like it is just wildly better.”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 42:22 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Opinion
Schimpf: Traditional defense industry technology is outdated, slow, and lacks competition
“The tech is old. It is not moving fast. It is very lethargic. There are relatively few competitors at this point.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 1:47 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Insight
Schimpf: Autonomous military tech acts as a stabilizing strategic deterrent
“Has a significant kind of stabilizing impact and a turn impact on It just is harder to use force to get your political ends.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 10:06 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Supported
Palantir streamlined Ukraine military targeting workflows from satellite imagery to approval
“You know, I think a lot of the things that were starting to happen in Ukraine, a lot of the great work Palantir did was on things like this, where it was like the targeting process of going from satellite imagery through to, hey, this looks like a tank, throug…”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 11:50 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Opinion
Schimpf: Selling to the Pentagon is only 30% harder than commercial sales
“Is it much worse than selling to a bank or an oil and gas company? It's like, I don't know, maybe like, 30% worse, but like, probably not five X worse.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 16:43 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Insight
Schimpf: Cost-plus contracts provide zero incentive to reduce defense costs
“The longer it takes, the less reliable it is, the more complicated it is. It just there's no point of incentive in there to actually drive down costs.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 18:51 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Insight
Schimpf: Commercial supply chains are the only solution for weapons volume
“And I think on the weapons production side, look, the only solve out of this is to actually tap into the commercial and industrial supply chains that exist.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 26:19 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Disclosure
Schimpf: Anduril uses bathtub manufacturing techniques for cruise missile fuselages
“And we made the exterior fleet fuselage in this process that you use for making acrylic bathtubs. It's this hot press process.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 26:44 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Defense budget allocates under 0.2% to modern autonomous systems
“The amount of money that's actually spent on capabilities like the types of things we're working on is somewhere like between .1 and .2% of the defense budget.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 28:12 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Opinion
Schimpf: Defense Department needs Project Warp Speed for autonomous weapons
“I think there's, I think you have to do both, right? So you've got to say, like, look, like, yeah, we need a warp speed for autonomous systems or weapons. Like, we need that, right? Like, that's a no brainer that we need to have. And in doing that, you can tea…”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 30:38 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Disclosure
Schimpf: Anduril skips proprietary AI model research to leverage commercial models
“We don't do AI model research. We don't need to. We just take the best things that are there.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 35:30 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Defense tech will not produce hundreds of major startup success stories
“I think the hard reality with this is it's just like venture. It's just like any sort of industry where there isn't going to be 500 success stories. That is unlikely to be the case, right?”
Brian Schimpf Mar 5, 2024 ▶ 2:31 Securing America's Future: How Technology Companies and Washington Are Building A Safer World
a16z Assertion Supported
Anduril fielded its first weapon system in under two years
“It was just like under two years from when we started from Never having done a weapons program to having a fielded weapon capability”
Brian Schimpf Mar 5, 2024 ▶ 10:14 Securing America's Future: How Technology Companies and Washington Are Building A Safer World
NO PRIORS Insight
Schimpf: Defense tech requires controlling both hardware and software
“To be really successful in moving The, you know, technology forward, you had to control the hardware and the software to really be able to move the needle. The way defense buys at the end of the day is they want to buy a capability. They want to buy something …”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 5:29 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
NO PRIORS Assertion Partly supported
Schimpf: US produces only 1.7 nuclear submarines annually as workforce retires
“We are producing less nuclear submarines per year, year over year than we have in the past. So we're like, 1.7 per year we can produce these submarines. It's not getting better, and the workforce to make these is retiring.”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 9:18 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
NO PRIORS Assertion Supported
Schimpf: Low-cost drones give adversaries cruise missile equivalents under $100K
“Historically the US has been one of the few countries that has been able to make like cruise missiles, but with the low cost of drones, now effectively Iran and nearly every country has the equivalent of low cost cruise missiles. For, you know, like a 100,000 …”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 16:19 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
NO PRIORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Adversaries deploy new drone technologies in months, not decade cycles
“This was not like 10 year development programs. They're able to turn new drone technologies in months.”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 17:10 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
NO PRIORS Insight
Schimpf: The DoD buys full organizational capabilities, not standalone tech
“What the Department of Defense buys is a capability and a capability to them is not just The hardware and the software that does the thing. It's the support. It's the training. It's the logistics. It's the manufacturing. It's the, you know, it's all the integr…”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 33:31 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Starship will enable mega-constellations for the cost of four satellites
“Just, you know, the dollars to launch, you know, any given amount of satellite with Starship is going to be so cheap. It changes things so fundamentally that, I don't think people have fully realized how monumental a shift that is going to be in terms of the a…”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 35:46 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
NO PRIORS Insight
Schimpf: Few commercial companies pivot as substantially as the DoD has
“They have been operating for, you know, over a century and they have substantially changed the way they operate and organize multiple times over. There are very few commercial companies that can say that is true. Like that is just not actually common. So they …”
Brian Schimpf Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 42:52 No Priors Ep. 19 | With Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Standard drone communication links fail under electronic jamming in Ukraine
“Nearly every drone company that's been deployed into there has had the same reaction. Very little works on that communication link. You gotta actually very quickly innovate on it and solve these problems.”
Brian Schimpf Feb 6, 2023 ▶ 21:54 AI & The Future of Modern Warfare
SOURCERY Insight
Schimpf: Defense tech products unaligned with military 10-year plans fail
“You can chase kind of nonsensical you know, products that don't have longevity to it, that aren't actually fit for purpose. Maybe you can make some money off of it for like a few years, but if you're not actually aligned to where the government's going to be, …”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 6:11 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Anduril will be involved in nearly every aspect of US/allied defense
“Over the next few years, we are going to become So involved in nearly every aspect of U S and international defense in a way that I think is going to be very positive for us, very positive for the world, but just the sheer scale and breadth that we will be op…”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 27:46 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Brokers are offering secondary Anduril stock they don't possess
“Everyone is slinging Andurl stock that they don't have.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 30:23 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Assertion Partly supported
Schimpf: Over half of US defense budget covers personnel and facilities
“More than half goes to personnel costs, to facilities, to military construction. So you just have an outrageous percentage going to these fixed costs that you have that are not next generation technology. And then There's an outrageous cost as well then to sus…”
Brian Schimpf Dec 15, 2025 ▶ 3:59 Inside Anduril: Exclusive HQ Tour w/ Palmer Luckey, Brian Schimpf, Matt Grimm & Trae Stephens · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Assertion Supported
Schimpf: US defense procurement as percentage of GDP is historically low
“The procurement budget as a percentage of GDP, for example, is I think the lowest it's ever been.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 15, 2025 ▶ 4:31 Inside Anduril: Exclusive HQ Tour w/ Palmer Luckey, Brian Schimpf, Matt Grimm & Trae Stephens · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: US manufacturing rebuild will start in defense and aerospace
“I don't think it's gonna start with, you know, making low cost iPhones, but I think starting in defense production, starting in aerospace, Areas where there's like a national interest in keeping this on the U.S., and then looking at mass-producibility there.”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 5:51 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: U.S. government lacks data on deep defense supply chain dependencies
“Number one, I think you need data, right? Like there's very little data on like what two, three levels down into the supply chain is actually on that bill of materials and what are the, you know, kind of critical components.”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 23:21 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Recruiting hardware and manufacturing talent to California is extremely difficult
“Particularly as you get to more hardware skill sets, manufacturing skill sets, getting them to come to California is a huge problem.”
Brian Schimpf Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 34:24 Anduril CEO: China Has Scale. Can America Catch Up?
a16z Insight
Schimpf: Perfect global battlefield intelligence creates overwhelming information overload
“Now I say I had a perfect AI system that could tell me where every ship, aircraft, and soldier was in the world. What are you gonna do with that? Now I know everything. That is overwhelming.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 5:28 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: AI's primary defense role is managing massive sensor scale
“So when I think about, like, where AI is going to drive The most value for warfare. It is dealing with the scale problem, which is really like the amount of information that is the number of sensors, like the sheer volume of systems that are going to be fielde…”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 3:55 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Manually piloted military drones cannot scale due to jamming limits
“It's all like manually piloted, but that doesn't really scale. And there presents a lot of limitations on communication, jamming, all these things.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 6:19 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Supported
Schimpf: US defense posture requires human accountability in warfare
“And so the US posture on this is very much, we want to have humans accountable for what happens in war.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 7:40 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Opinion
Schimpf: Ukraine invasion was biggest global wake-up call on bad actors
“Turns out invading Ukraine was probably the single biggest shift I've seen in terms of people recognizing that, look, like, there are still bad actors in the world.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 10:46 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Partly supported
Schimpf: Commercial vehicle development takes 2-3 years while military timelines skyrocket
“There's this awesome chart, which shows how long it takes to get commercial aircraft or autos from kickoff to fielding. And it's been flat to slightly better for all of those things, on the order of two to three years. The military aircraft side just went lite…”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 19:44 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Assertion Supported
Schimpf: New defense missiles take 12 years from concept to deployment
“New missile takes about 12 years to go from concept through to fielding, like, 12 years.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 21:26 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z What-if
Schimpf: Anduril depended on a strict 2-to-3-year window for success
“I don't think we could have done it five years or later would be too late. Five years earlier probably would have been too early. I think we were in this like two to three year window where we could ride all those waves correctly.”
Brian Schimpf Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 36:23 How AI Is Changing Warfare, with Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf
a16z Insight
Schimpf: Urgent conflict and top-down leadership drive change in DoD
“There's two things that drives change in any organization, and especially in the DoD. It is an urgent conflict, and it is top-down leadership, and those are the two things that get changed to happen.”
Brian Schimpf Mar 7, 2024 ▶ 26:47 From Silicon Valley to the Pentagon: The Future of Defense Innovation
a16z Opinion
Schimpf: Defense Innovation Succeeds Only When DoD Bets Big on Startups
“I think if we are in a position where we're working on top tier defense programs at scale, I'll feel like we've started to move the needle. And we are actually making a dent in, you know, both how the department buys, but also the types of technology it's buyi…”
Brian Schimpf Mar 7, 2024 ▶ 42:30 From Silicon Valley to the Pentagon: The Future of Defense Innovation
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, thousands of episodes across every show transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.