The Calls, every show
Dated predictions on 44 shows and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.
shows 
every show 44 of 44
Everyone Jason Lemkin (127)Chamath Palihapitiya (119)Rory O'Driscoll (115)Jason Calacanis (78)David Sacks (69)David Friedberg (63)Harry Stebbings (47)David Senra (45)Brad Gerstner (43)Alex Kantrowitz (38)John Coogan (37)Shaan Puri (36)
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Next up (34)
51 days left 2026-11-03
51 days left 2026-11-03
51 days left 2026-11-03
Calacanis predicts Donald Trump will lose the midterms
“I think Trump's gonna lose the midterms, and we're gonna get to more chaos again, and it, we might as well start this reconciliation process of these two sides stopping their law for against each other and working together for the American people on the import…”
78 days left 2026-11-30
109 days left 2026-12-31
Calacanis: Big Tech will make a $50B+ AI acquisition in 2026
“For twenty-twenty-six, I think we're going to see some massive M&A. It doesn't matter to me how it occurs, but I do think we're going to see a fifty billion plus deal, and I think it could be, ah, one of the Mac seven, an Apple, a Meta, a Microsoft, or an Amaz…”
109 days left 2026-12-31
Calacanis: US dollar will perform poorly in 2026 due to growing national debt
“I went with the U.S. Dollar in different permutations of how you can buy it because our debt continues to grow unabated and, you know. I just think it's gonna be hard for, you know, the USD because we're talking about, we've been adding, I think we're gonna ad…”
109 days left 2026-12-31
109 days left 2026-12-31
113 days left 2027-01-04
Calacanis predicts the Magnificent Seven will be the best performing asset class
“I think the Mac seven is going to be the best performing asset. I'm taking the other side Chamath, I think in an earlier prediction said maybe not so much. I think that what they've learned in the last couple of years is that there is an incredible earnings ex…”
223 days left 2027-04-24
322 days left 2027-08-01
474 days left 2027-12-31
474 days left 2027-12-31
474 days left 2027-12-31
694 days left 2028-08-07
Calacanis: Every Tesla sold will include built-in Starlink connectivity
“So the piece there that's going to be explained probably in the next year or two is every single Tesla sold is going to have Starlink in it when they get that merger done. What that means is you're going to have wifi networks connecting any phone. To any Tesla…”
860 days left 2029-01-20
860 days left 2029-01-20
880 days left 2029-02-09
1024 days left 2029-07-03
1377 days left 2030-06-21
Calacanis predicts Microsoft's headcount will stay flat near 225,000 to 250,000
“I think they'll have just about two 50 plus or -10%. I don't think if I could pick push as the answer, I would pick push, which is they're going to get 10% better every year with AI, 20% more efficient. Therefore, they don't need to add people, but I also don'…”
1426 days left 2030-08-09
1552 days left 2030-12-13
Calacanis: AI will eliminate millions of entry-level jobs within five years
“We will have massive job displacement. Destruction, whatever term you prefer in entry level jobs already happening in, you know, what I'll call chores like dishes and driving cars, entry level jobs. Those are going away and they're going to go away in the mill…”
1665 days left 2031-04-05
1767 days left 2031-07-16
1927 days left 2031-12-23
Calacanis predicts DAOs will handle $4 billion capital formations within ten years
“I say DAOs because I believe that they will become legal and global capital formation for the first time on an instant basis will exist, and I believe forty million is the dry run for the Constitution, four hundred million and four billion will happen in the n…”
2180 days left 2032-09-01
2483 days left 2033-07-01
2601 days left 2033-10-27
2782 days left 2034-04-26
3077 days left 2035-02-15
3182 days left 2035-05-31
3546 days left 2036-05-29
3581 days left 2036-07-03
Calacanis: Humans will no longer sort or deliver packages in 10 years
“What Optimus is going to do when Bezos and Andy Jassy unleash Optimus inside of the Amazon factories is it's going to get rid of every, let me state this very clearly, every single package sorting, every single package delivery will not be done by humans in 10…”
Closed calls (60+) the full record →
Calacanis: DAO capital pools will reach $4 billion within ten years
“So what we're going to see I predict is this forty million dollar Dow will turn into a 400,000,001 in the next two years and then a 4,000,001 in the next 10.”
Calacanis predicts AI platforms will settle with content owners over training data
“There'll be a settlement where they are going to be able to claim their content.”
Calacanis: Music industry rightsholders will win AI copyright lawsuits
“That's why I think the music industry is going to win, and some other places are going to win”
Calacanis: ChatGPT consumer market share will drop well under 50%
“They're going to be well under 50% market share, and I think ChatGPT is going to have some big challenges there on the consumer side.”
Calacanis: Global annual rare earth mineral consumption will double by 2030
“You guys probably know we use about a 150 thousand metric tons a year right now. That's gonna double by 2030.”
Calacanis: Dutch emissions targets will force farmers to reduce livestock
“They're targeting a 50% cut nationwide by 20, 30 livestock produces these emissions. So the plan will likely force Dutch farmers to cut their livestock herds or stop working altogether.”
Calacanis: The EU and Germany will never buy Russian oil again
“These people are never going to buy his oil again. Not after what happened here.”
Calacanis: Trump will enact tariffs rather than just using them as negotiation
“I actually think people are starting to realize he's gonna do something here with these tariffs. They're not just a negotiating position.”
Calacanis predicts humanoid robots like Optimus will cost only $20,000
“I think there's going to be some incredible gains with Optimus and some of the other robots that are occurring, and those things are only going to cost 20 grand.”
Calacanis predicts Google will face major publisher lawsuits over AI Overviews
“And I think that we're going to see a major lawsuit here.”
Calacanis predicts Elon Musk vs. OpenAI lawsuit will end in settlement
“My guess is, like most of these things, there'll be some sort of settlement or something here, but maybe he takes it to the mat, who knows.”
Calacanis: Nvidia will decline or severely downgrade investment in OpenAI
“I think NVIDIA is not going to take their option to invest in open AI, or they're going to really downgrade at 70, 80%, and they're going to allocate it to other players.”
Calacanis: Figma aims to raise $1.5 billion in its IPO
“Figma is going to try to raise 1.5 billion in their IPO.”
Calacanis: Big tech companies will buy thousands of $5M Gold Cards
“I gotta tell you, I think out of the gate, Apple, Meta, Microsoft buy, you know, one to 10,000 of these.”
Calacanis predicts generative AI will enable founders to build MVPs without developers
“These two things are gonna come together where you're gonna be able to build your MVP for your startup by typing in text and then publish it. You're not gonna need a developer for your startup.”
Calacanis: SEC will increase crypto token prosecutions after FTX collapse
“And I think there'll be a subsequent domino to fall, which is Now that Gary G, head of the SEC, has FTX and the FTT tokens as the grift, he's gonna go down the list of other tokens and he is going to start doing more prosecutions of grifts in crypto.”
Calacanis: OpenAI market share will fall below 50 percent within two years
“So I think what we're going to see here, if we're sitting here, I don't know, next year, they're going to be in the next 12 to 24 months under 50%.”
Calacanis predicts ProPublica and Vanity Fair will win a Pulitzer
“And now ProPublica has done an investigation and they're saying, along with Vanity Fair, and they're going to win a Pulitzer for this, I bet.”
Calacanis predicts MDMA, psilocybin, and ayahuasca decriminalization is next
“MDMA, psilocybin, and some of these other plant-based medicines, ayahuasca, are next, and they're doing studies on them now.”
Calacanis: Crypto market downturn will trigger hundreds of lawsuits
“And I think this stress test is gonna result in countless And I mean countless lawsuits. Hundreds of lawsuits.”
Calacanis: Scarlett Johansson's dispute with OpenAI will settle out of court
“If you go look at all the fair use cases, they almost never go to the mat. And so this one will just be settled.”
Calacanis: Apple's custom silicon will power local LLMs on devices
“They're making their own silicon. And I think it's going to power LLMs locally on the devices.”
Calacanis: Combined SpaceX and xAI will IPO this year
“Now those two become part of SpaceX and they're going to IPO this year, potentially the biggest IPO in history in terms of money raised and market cap.”