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⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions on 44 shows and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

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Everyone Jason Lemkin (127)Chamath Palihapitiya (119)Rory O'Driscoll (115)Jason Calacanis (78)David Sacks (69)David Friedberg (63)Harry Stebbings (47)David Senra (45)Brad Gerstner (43)Alex Kantrowitz (38)John Coogan (37)Shaan Puri (36)
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Next up (1)

812 days left 2028-12-03
FOUNDERS Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2028
Koenigsegg will build 1.5x its 20-year historical production in three years
“Right now, the company's actually gearing up, and in the last few years, they're gonna build 1.5 times as many cars in the next three years as it has in the past 20.”
David Senra Dec 3, 2025 ▶ 39:38 The Genius of Christian von Koenigsegg

Closed calls (3) the full record →

STARTUP IDEAS Prediction Held up
Senra: AI translation platforms will automatically localize podcast audio by language
“If you look at what 11 Labs is doing, what Spotify is doing, what YouTube's doing, My calculation was way off because it's not just English speaking people at the platform level. They're going to, you're going to be in Brazil. You're going to love founders. It…”
David Senra Jan 27, 2025 ▶ 36:55 David Senra on How to Become a World Class Founder
SOURCERY Prediction Held up
Senra: Ivanka Trump will appear on his new interview show
“She's gonna do the new show too.”
David Senra Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 1:19:36 Warren Buffet & Charlie Munger's Greatest Lessons · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
FOUNDERS Prediction Held up
Peterffy predicted in 1971 that automated systems would replace floor traders
“As soon as this electronic brain is hooked up to its voice box so it can answer the phone, staff will be able to go on a permanent vacation.”
David Senra Oct 5, 2025 ▶ 10:29 The Billionaire Who Automates Everything: Thomas Peterffy
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