Pattern Recognition
topic on 5 shows · 15 statements across 13 episodes
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the Knowledge Project
Invest Like the Best
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15 statements about Pattern Recognition, every show
Trigg: WCM analysts initially rejected the moat trajectory investment framework
“There was a moment years ago when we were trying to go all in on this concept of mode trajectory and pattern recognition. And several of the analysts at the time were questioning whether this was the right thing to do. And most of the people in the room said, …”
Horing: Investing success relies on deal volume and pattern recognition over intelligence
“I think investing is pattern recognition and everyone can draw their own, you know, Graphs out of those patterns, but you know, that's fundamentally the core thesis. Like you could be the smartest guy in the world, but if you don't see the patterns or if you d…”
Sturdy: Cross-industry insights outweigh pattern recognition in venture capital
“So I don't know if that's pattern recognition or an insight but I think some of the best investors, that's what they have. They have insights across industries that they bring together to make the right type of bets and lean into the right type of risk. So I t…”
Mauboussin: Pattern recognition works better on micro than macro levels
“So I do think it's going to be more effective on the micro level than it's going to be on the macro level, because it's just a much simpler problem to try to parse.”
Mauboussin: Investors Selectively Remember Successful Pattern Recognition and Forget Failures
“We remember when pattern recognition led us to a good outcome, even if it was luck, and we forget about when it led to a bad outcome, even if it was bad skill. That's the other thing is we're very selective as to when we remember when it works and when we reme…”
Mauboussin: People Overapply Personal Experiences and Ignore Broad Base Rates
“The key thing to underscore in all this is that we all have our little mental databases. We've all had experiences. We've all had wins and losses. We value those, right? They're important to us. And so we tend to think that they're going to apply more than the…”
Tisch: Scaled pattern recognition does not work in seed investing
“I truly don't believe in pattern recognition at scale. I think there's nuanced pattern recognition, but I view each one of those companies as an individual relationship, as an individual journey”
Fisher: Pattern recognition's real value is identifying what will fail
“The best thing about pattern recognition over time is that you recognize what won't work. It's not what will work. Now, if you recognize what won't work, it will help you avoid spending time on, on bad deals, or bad entrepreneurs, or if you're on the board of …”
Kelly: AI has synthesized pattern recognition but not symbolic reasoning or deduction
“So far we've synthesized basically two varieties, a pattern recognition and a little bit of kind of generative ability. There's this logical deduction
You know, symbolic reason. None of these things have we come close to synthesizing.”
Evans: Generative ML is essentially running pattern recognition models backwards
“Generative ML, which is basically running the model backwards. Maybe you weren't, you've taught it what the pattern is, now it can make more of the pattern.”
Evans: Traditional ML recognizes patterns, while generative AI creates new ones
“So basically what this is, is if you think very, very crude terms of machine learning is pattern recognition on a massive scale. This is take that pattern and make another one. So where image recognition is to say, does this, which pattern does this fit? Does …”
Vasen: VC pattern recognition introduces systemic bias and intellectual laziness
“I would tend to agree with Finn. I think I would say it can really work, and I imagine it can help lead to success in many situations, but I also think it can tend to introduce biases, and as Finn said, I think some level of laziness”
Phin Barnes: VC Pattern Recognition Is Just Intellectual Laziness
“I think pattern recognition is another name for intellectual laziness, right?”
VCs claiming pattern recognition under 10 years experience are mistaken
“Trying to sort of assume you have it and have figured it out this soon I think is, is probably a mistake.”
Nakache: Pattern recognition in VC partner hiring perpetuates gender imbalance
“The second P is, is what I call pattern recognition, and that's just the notice, a notion, and it applies to investment decisions too, but it's the notion that decisions are made based on recognizing attributes that have worked for you in the past or been succ…”