Global Trade

topic on 9 shows · 12 statements across 10 episodes

the Y Combinator Startup Podcast BG2 Pod the Knowledge Project the Official SaaStr Podcast A Product Market Fit Show Capital Allocators the MAD Podcast All-In 20VC

12 statements about Global Trade, every show

BG2 Opinion
Gurley: Claiming the US Would Be Better Off Without Free Trade Is Fanciful
“Neil makes a great point about the argument that, oh, we shouldn't have done this. We regret global trade. That argument takes, you're allowing yourself to imagine, you're taking where we are today and competing with an imaginary version of how things evolved …”
Bill Gurley Apr 24, 2025 ▶ 15:08 Tariffs, Free Trade, Export Controls, H20 & Rare Earth Ban | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Sullivan: Global trade, capital, and labor mobility are reversing in new regime
“We're of the viewer living through a regime change, and that many of the characteristics that characterize the last 30 years or so, things like free movement of capital, free movement of labor, increasing global trade, that actually all these things are likely…”
Mark Sullivan Jan 16, 2025 ▶ 42:33 Mark Sullivan and Roberto Isch – Hedge Fund Investing at Wellington (EP.427)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bessent: A Bretton Woods-scale realignment is coming to global trade
“I also felt very strongly that we're in the midst of a great realignment and of a Bretton Woods realignments coming in terms of global policy, global trade.”
Scott Bessent Nov 4, 2024 ▶ 59:48 Scott Bessent - Macro Maven (EP.415)
PRODUCT MARKET FIT Assertion Contradicted
Andrew Butt: 80% of global trade flows through supply chain intermediaries
“80% of global trade goes from a manufacturer through middle parties like distributors, buying groups, retailers. Contractors, and then eventually to the end customer. That's 80% of trade. There's very, very little that goes direct from a manufacturer to an end…”
Andrew Butt Apr 1, 2024 ▶ 5:50 He raised $275M in the last 3 years. His 'boring' B2B startup is now a $1B unicorn. | Andrew Butt... · PMF Show
20VC Assertion Partly supported
Petersen: Global trade comprises 47% of world GDP
“Global trade is 47% of GDP.”
Ryan Petersen Nov 13, 2023 ▶ 14:29 Ryan Petersen: Why Velocity not Speed is Most Important in Company Building | E1081 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Contradicted
Petersen: Global trade has grown 4% annually since 1200 AD
“Global trade has grown four percent annually since the Mongol invasions in around 1200 AD.”
Ryan Petersen Nov 13, 2023 ▶ 40:46 Ryan Petersen: Why Velocity not Speed is Most Important in Company Building | E1081 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Petersen: Future trade will remain globalized rather than nationalized
“I think it'll be globalized trade.”
Ryan Petersen Nov 13, 2023 ▶ 41:53 Ryan Petersen: Why Velocity not Speed is Most Important in Company Building | E1081 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ridley: Container shipping revolutionized global trade without any new technology
“And there are innovations that change the world dramatically, which don't actually depend on any inventions. Things like container shipping, which had an enormous impact on global trade by drastically cutting the cost of shipping goods overseas, which didn't i…”
Matt Ridley Mar 23, 2021 ▶ 11:38 #107 Matt Ridley: Infinite Innovation
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Post-pandemic world will break into four or five major trading blocs
“So I think all of this sort of at the coming out of the pandemic, basically what you're going to have is like four or five major trading blocks in the world, right?”
Chamath Palihapitiya Feb 20, 2021 ▶ 1:11:21 E23: Radical DAs, breaking down FB/Google vs. Australia, sustained fear post-vaccine & fan questions
SAASTR Assertion Contradicted
Global trade has grown 4% annually for over 800 years
“It has grown four percent annually for over 800 years, which is a nice slide to present to investors.”
Ryan Petersen May 27, 2020 ▶ 6:05 Flexport: How to Build a Truly Global Business From Day One with CEO Ryan Petersen
Traditional freight forwarders exploit information asymmetry to overcharge their customers
“There's this information asymmetry and the forwarder global trade's kind of a black box and the freight forwarder knows how it works and you don't. And they use that against you. They use that to make money off you.”
Ryan Petersen Aug 30, 2018 ▶ 18:19 Ryan Petersen on Building Flexport, a Modern Freight Forwarder · Y Combinator
MAD Assertion Supported
$18 trillion worth of goods crosses global borders annually
“18 trillion dollars worth of stuff goes across borders every year.”
Josh Green Mar 3, 2014 ▶ 1:23 Josh Green, Panjiva // Data Driven NYC 23 // January 2014 (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)

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