Kellogg: Customer Success Should Not Report to Sales or the CRO
“By the way, for whatever it's worth, I don't actually think customer success should report to sales. I think that's a stress reaction to save money. I think the company hits a downturn. There's too much sales expense, which customer success is usually classifi…”
Kellogg: Enterprise software manages pricing friction via consistency or complexity
“There's two ways to solve that problem. One is to have super consistent pricing, which in my experience in enterprise is very difficult. The other is to have very complicated pricing. So it's very hard for them to figure out who got the better deal.”
Dave Kellogg: Analyzing sector performance is low-hanging fruit for efficient growth
“The low-hanging fruit on efficient growth is a dispassionate, calm analysis of what sectors do we sell to.”
Kellogg: Good CAC ratio benchmark is 1.5 for enterprise, 1.0 for SMB
“I'd say a 1.5 or less is in enterprise. I mean, here we are back to your question. The bigger the deals, the more permission you have. So an enterprise, I might go one five. In SMB, I might go one O.”
Kellogg: SaaS operators should calculate CAC ratio with new ARR, not net new ARR
“As an operator, I actually just do it on new ARR. My first order CAC is just, it's not net new, because net new introduced churn. You just made my metric more complicated, right? You made it easier to cheat. You took away some of its meaning.”
Kellogg: Investors need compound metrics for screening; operators need atomic metrics for fixing
“If I were screening companies I would, I tend to want to use compound metrics. The more I'm trying to fix broken things, the more I want atomic metrics.”
Kellogg: Startups blaming rising CAC on 'low-hanging fruit' underestimate market size
“I think most startups, when they make that argument to me, I think they're vastly underestimating the size of their market. That if you have a really, really big market, That, that you haven't picked all the low hanging fruit.”
Kellogg: SaaS NRR dropped to 105%, driven mainly by increased churn
“And by the way, if you asked, like, the most recent study, I think, said one oh five. The reason I said one oh eight is I just can't make my mouth say one oh five. But I think it may have come down from one 20 to one oh five, to be honest, and I think it's thr…”
Dave Kellogg: Churn forecasting is easier than new sales forecasting
“Churn forecasting to me is actually easier than new sales forecasting.”
Kellogg: Leaders should be unsympathetic to CS VPs missing churn forecasts
“So, so I just think CS for it, I am, if a VP of sales misses their forecast, I'm somewhat understanding. To me, it's I'm not very sympathetic to a VP of CS that misses their forecast, because how is it that you didn't know?”
Kellogg: A good sales forecast gently upslopes to actual sales, not quota
“And a good forecast looks like this, gently upsloping to the actual number you sell. Notice I've never talked about quota. Because forecast is not about quota.”
Kellogg: Pressuring reps into higher commits ruins sales forecasting accuracy
“Some sales managers use the forecast as a club to kind of push the reps around. Like if I could just in a moment of week is get you commit to one 20, then I can hold it against you for the rest of the quarter. First, I don't think that's great sales management…”
Dave Kellogg: Startups should hire sales reps in groups of three
“So I like hiring three at a time but not for the Hunger Games effect, for the controlled experiment effect.”
Dave Kellogg: Evaluating enterprise sales reps takes six to twelve months
“I would say somewhere between six and 12 months in enterprise.”
Dave Kellogg: Keeping non-performing sales reps is harder than firing them
“The hardest case is not firing somebody who's not selling. That's easy. The hardest case is keeping somebody who's not selling.”
Kellogg: Sales reviews must be split into three distinct, specialized calls
“In my world, there's three different types of calls. Let me just define them. I think the There's a forecast call, there's a pipeline scrub, and there's a deal review. Purpose of forecast call is to come up with a forecast. Should be all numbers. One of my sid…”
Kellogg: CEOs are negligent if not deeply involved in material quarterly deals
“As a CEO founder, I think you just need to look at the materiality of the deal to the quarter. And like, are you What's the word? But negligence in your duties. Like at some level, if the deal is material of the quarter, you better be in it deep.”
Kellogg: Sales reps' sole job is forecasting and closing on time
“You don't make the software. So your only job is to sell the software. You're not a technical resource. You don't help customers deploy. So this is kind of the, you had one job argument, right? Like you had one job. And it's like, let's just remember, that's w…”
Kellogg: Sales teams must update close plans whenever deal excuses arise
“By the way, everyone should have a closed plan, and every time you hear one of those excuses, it should go on in the closed plan.”
Kellogg: Deal slips are only excusable due to unforeseen acts of God
“The company got acquired on the last day of the quarter, all purchasing got frozen. Okay! Right? That we couldn't have seen coming, right? But it needs to literally be that level of act of God, right, before It's before it's an excusable reason for a slip.”
Dave Kellogg: Selling through curiosity works better than trying to act smart
“Selling through curiosity is just amazing, because most salespeople are, in some ways, they're too busy trying to prove how smart they are, be tough and confident, and it's just so humble a place to come from”
Kellogg: Enterprise sales teams must draw a firm line on discounts
“There's a great metaphor, Harry, which is when do you stop squeezing a wet rag? When the water stops coming out, right? So as long as there's water coming out, I'm going to keep squeezing, and then even then, when the water stops coming out, what do you do? On…”
Kellogg: Outbound sales worked significantly better four years ago than today
“I think Outbound actually worked better four years ago than it does today, because I think everyone's doing it, and people are getting flooded with it, and they don't like getting called on their cell phone, they're not answering their regular phone, and you c…”
Kellogg: Expanding across verticals or use cases is high-friction for startups
“The other thing, so I imagine this all as a matrix of vertical versus use case, and every time you're hopping a cell, it's danger, right? Like you know how to sell the custom publishing use case to publishers. Can I sell it to airlines? First, the first one is…”
Kellogg: Aspiring founders should choose product management over engineering
“If I was advising a young person where to go, if you wanted to found a company in two or three years, I'd say product, not engineering.”
Kellogg: Founder replacements will increase and favor GTM executives
“If and when you replace a founder, which was extremely unpopular for the last five years, but I think will get more popular going forward, you will tend to replace them with a GTM person.”
Dave Kellogg: AI sales tools market will consolidate within 18 months
“So if I were a founder of one of these companies, I'd be very aggressive right now to get myself known and established in the market, because this market will organize, right? We're in the chaos phase of the market, and so from the vendor side, this will organ…”
Kellogg: The most common metric deception in SaaS is cherry-picking
“The most common form of misleading is what I call cherry picking, right? You just don't put up the bad numbers, right? You put up different numbers every quarter.”
Kellogg: Companies with clear metrics avoid repetitive board meeting debates
“That the companies I work with that kind of have their metrics act together, Don't have the deja vu problem because the numbers are telling us what's not working.”
Kellogg: A 90% confidence sales forecast allows missing once every 2.5 years
“And when I give the forecast to the board, I want to give a 90% confidence interval. So I'm giving them the lower bound of a 90% confidence interval. Now people hate that. And if people get scared when you use those words, I have advice. Just say you get to mi…”
Kellogg: SaaS Benchmarks Should Be Segmented by Company Aspiration
“I actually think the best way to segment them is by aspiration. That, that if we could, and nobody offers these yet, but I want you to just consider this concept that we should segment benchmarks by aspiration, which is if I want to sell for 18 times EBITDA in…”
Kellogg: Competitor Used One-Dollar Renewals to Manipulate Churn Metrics
“I competed against the company that did one dollar renewals. And they would juice their churn rate so they could offset their SAS metrics.”
Kellogg: Establishing SaaS metric foundations takes quarters, not 30 days
“Even layer one has taken me with certain companies I work with quarters. And I walk in every time I have this kind of entrepreneurial blind spot going, this is going to be easy. Me, head of FP&A, CFO, we'll get this nailed in 30 days, 60 days. Every time I do …”
Kellogg: Upgrading SaaS metrics often requires replacing non-strategic RevOps and FP&A staff
“The change management is hard. It may require staff upgrades, particularly key analytics roles like RevOps, FP&A. Sometimes those people are not that strategic. They're not that fast, right? That they're good at making a budget and they're good at getting comp…”
Kellogg: SaaS metrics cannot be calculated from nature-based P&Ls
“They produce a nature-based PNL, not a function-based PNL, and you can't do SAS metrics off a nature-based PNL.”
Kellogg: Standardized reporting templates build trust by preventing data cherry-picking
“Templates build trust. Why? Because there's no cherry picking, and the most common form of misleading is cherry picking.”
Kellogg: Metrics culture should enable business discussions, not metrics debates
“The goal is to not have conversation about metrics, but conversations about the business using metrics.”
Kellogg: Startups should aim to raise capital every two years
“If you step back and take a more kind of macro view on it, you should try to raise money about every two years.”
Kellogg: Divide competitor funding rounds by 8 to 10 to estimate burn
“You know, one interesting thing about this phenomenon is you can often take the size of somebody's round and divide it by eight to 10 and get a pretty good approximation of their burn rate.”
Kellogg: Founders should take $50M even if planning to raise $25M
“You might go out thinking you're gonna raise twenty-five million, and in this world, find out that you can raise 50. Should you take the 50? In my opinion, yes.”
Kellogg: Large Horizontal Categories Inevitably Face Massive VC Spending Arms Races
“The perverse thing about this is, the better your category, the more likely that is to happen. If you're selling some very Focused vertical SaaS app, you're unlikely to find a spending arms race, right? But if you're in some horizontal platform category, peopl…”
Kellogg: In a VC Arms Race, Founders Must Out-Raise or Pivot
“So, if you find yourself in this situation, it's probably a sign that you're in a really good category, but you either need to play to win, and go out raise the other guy, or you need to find pivot into some sub-segment where you're not directly competing with…”
Benioff dismissed early Zendesk threats to Salesforce to avoid fear-based leadership
“I did a year at Salesforce in the middle of all that, and I was mentioning Zendesk. I was like, hey, there's these guys called Zendesk, and they might be a problem for, like, our customer service business and I got the kind of uh-oh moment where, like, oh, and…”
Kellogg: Debating sales versus product drivenness is pure corporate politics
“The last three I just exclude is politics, period. Because what you're saying is you want your function to be more important than the other function. So I throw those out.”
Kellogg: Companies must be vision-driven publicly, customer-driven culturally, competitor-driven strategically
“Avoid this fake either or framing, which is you need to speak like you're vision driven. So when you're talking to customers and analysts, the markets, talk about the desired end state. Talk about the vision. Don't talk about competition. When you're building …”
Kellogg: Fully loaded cost of hiring an enterprise AE is $700,000
“Their OTE, their on-target earnings, is 300 K. They're gonna cost a 180 K for two-thirds, and you can adjust these numbers to your local market, but do the exercise, right? So I'm hiring a seller. I'm hiring two-thirds of an SC. I'm hiring two-thirds of an SDR…”
Kellogg: Process-Driven Hires Quickly Quit Startups Under $10M ARR
“And the people who got you from zero to 10 are almost by definition figure it outers, right? If a scale it upper joined your company at zero million dollars, they probably quit pretty quickly.”
Kellogg: Startups Scaling Past $10M ARR Should Redeploy Early Leaders
“I've worked with many startups where the figure it out sales VP had to leave when we hit ten million. And I always feel bad about that, because I don't actually think they have to leave. I think they should be redeployed. Like, my answer is, what do you do wit…”
Kellogg: Scale-Up Phase Replaces Individual Heroics With Repeatable Systems
“Scaling is very different. It's about a small number of amazing process and infrastructure oriented leaders leveraging a large number of great, but not necessarily amazing people, right? They're not solving problems. They're building systems and processes. Qua…”
Kellogg: Startup CEOs should listen to board ideas but mostly reject them
“Anyone with an idea is trying to help, and your job is to listen, to understand the idea, and then by and large not do it, right? Because if you have a good plan and a good strategy, you need to go execute that.”
Kellogg: Startups Expanding to the US Should Segment Vertically by Geography
“The U.S. Has geography and vertical industry, right, they're correlated. Like, if you're focused on pharma, you go to New Jersey, finance New York City, entertainment LA, and sometimes for a company, I actually recommend, even if you don't have to be verticall…”
Kellogg: Placing Sales Reps in NFL Cities Is a Terrible Strategy
“A lot of people do NFL cities, which I think is a terrible strategy, but you could do that if you want. Just, if there's a football team, put salespeople there. Not, not my recommended one, but people do it.”
Kellogg: Startups should hire a sales director before a VP of sales
“Don't hire a VP of sales, hire a director. And let them try and earn the job.”
Kellogg: Repeatable sales processes require customer-verifiable stage exit criteria
“To me, the definition of that should be customer verifiable, right? With one phone call, I should be able to verify that, and that one's easy. I just call the customer and say, do you think our product can solve your problem? Because that's what solution fit c…”
Kellogg: Consulted for a startup that missed targets despite 100x pipeline coverage
“I literally did a consulting gig with a company that had 100 X pipeline coverage. Can you imagine? So their pipeline was a hundred times bigger, and they still missed their numbers. So, so think about that. And the answer is they don't have what I call pipelin…”
Kellogg: VCs targeting billion-dollar returns will block hundred-million-dollar sales
“You don't want to raise money from a VC who wants you to be a billion dollars, and you want to sell it a hundred million. I've had friends who wanted to sell it a hundred million. VCs wouldn't let them, right? Because they'll say, no, we're blocking the sale b…”
Kellogg: Most marketers lack rigorous thinking and confuse executives with jargon
“You're confused by ill-defined terminology and process, most marketers are not that rigorous in their thinking and you're drawn into conflict between sales and marketing, right?”
Kellogg: Unformed categories require value selling; established ones need differentiation
“If the category hasn't formed yet, you're probably in a why-buy-one mode. Hey, I know there's this thing you never heard of. Let me tell you why you should buy one. If there is a category, and there's five vendors in it, and there's a magic quadrant, you're pr…”
Kellogg: Enterprise buyers will read 12-page white papers and attend hour-long demos
“The fact of the matter is, if you're talking to your buyer, and it's a high consideration purchase, they will have time to read a twelve-page white paper. They will have time to go to a one-hour demo, right?”
Kellogg: Technology pioneer references fail to persuade pragmatic enterprise buyers
“People want references who remind them of themselves. So, this is a large part of the whole Crossing the Chasm book, is you can't take a, you know, technology pioneer and reference them against a pragmatist. It doesn't work.”