Commodities
topic on 6 shows · 20 statements across 16 episodes
Masters of Scale
BigDeal
Lenny's Podcast
Capital Allocators
Catalyst
All-In
20 statements about Commodities, every show
AI foundation models are not fungible commodities
“I think for people who believe the models are commodities or totally fungible, you just haven't actually used the models.”
Krishna: Foundation AI models will become commodities within one to three years
“I think foundation models are going to become commodities. By the way, not that far out. Is it a year? Is it two years? Is it three years? Commodities doesn't mean that they don't have value. Gold is a commodity. So is iron. So commodities means that there is …”
Rountree: Selling low-cost commodities offsets deep tech technical risk
“Why I love commodities is because
It offsets the technical risk we're taking with less market risk, because I know if I'm selling a commodity, i.e., my product is molecularly identical to the competitors, but I have a cost advantage, I know you can sell that.”
Papic: Only Two Emerging Market Macro Hedge Funds Exist Today
“There are two macro hedge funds dedicated to emerging markets today. Two of them. There's none doing commodities.”
Dalio: All commodities decline in real terms over long periods
“Commodities, by the way, in real terms, all commodities, every single commodity, in real terms over long decline, long periods of time have declined because of productivity.”
Paul Tudor Jones is long gold, Bitcoin, commodities, and the NASDAQ
“I'm long gold. I'm long Bitcoin. I think commodities are so ridiculously under owned. So I'm long commodities. I think most young people find their inflation hedges via the NASDAQ. That's also been great. It's probably some combination. I probably have some ba…”
Lyon: US Commodity Whole Food Marketing Budget Is $750 Million
“All of the farmers, all of the producers pool their money together. Their collective marketing budget is seven hundred fifty million. All commodities. This includes beef, this includes chicken, this includes dairy, this includes corn, soy, etc.”
Future Fund Added Rare Earths and Metals to Hedge Stagflation
“We think commodities are one of the few things that have worked through stagflationary periods and inflationary periods, and we see no reason to think the future will be different, but you've got an added tailwind now that in the decarbonized economy, a lot of…”
BAM avoided physical commodity trading initially because it takes years to build
“For example, you know, physical trading takes a long time to build out. We didn't want to start with that.”
Commodities trend downward over time due to economies of scale
“Because you learn about commodities, there's no yield, there's no income. So over time, they actually go down because of economies of scale.”
Miranda: Partners Capital does not invest in commodities
“That was a big learning, so we don't do commodities today.”
Miah: We explicitly avoid commodities to focus on other African macro themes
“Commodities is the only one where we explicitly avoid and everything else is game. Everything else is open to investments, but we do maybe have a bias towards areas or sectors which are exposed to the big themes in Africa.”
Forman: Tokens represent the fifth global asset class
“Tokens are really interesting because they're very much a new asset class. They're the fifth asset class in the world. Pre-tokens, there were equities, fixed income, currencies, and commodities, and really every asset could be put into one of those four catego…”
Heller: Whiskey barrel pricing predictably appreciates compared to traditional commodities
“You never know how steep or how flat that aging curve might be, but it is typically positively sloped. Whereas some other commodities can be up, can be down, you know, if you didn't sell your corn or your wheat or your timber this year, next year you might be …”
Papic: Escalation will trigger 1973-style commodity embargoes and stagflation
“And then you're going to start talking about embargoes of commodities, both self-imposed by Russia and perhaps imposed by the West. And then you're talking about inflationary impacts of this conflict being something akin to the 1973 Yom Kippur War, which is de…”
Papic: Commodities offer the best downside portfolio protection in stagflation
“And ironically, I think the best downside risk protection is commodities, which is weird because commodities should be correlated to growth. So when growth suffers, commodities should suffer with them. That's not really a good hedge the way bonds were. But I t…”
Papic: Global markets are entering a resilient commodity super cycle
“We are at a cusp of a commodity super cycle, and a recession could obviously curtail that. It would waylay it, but not for a significant period of time.”
Papic: Dollar will fall, yields rise, and global equities beat US
“Because if Biden or Trump wins from a macro perspective, I think dollars going down, I think ten-year yields are going up. I think U.S. Equities are going to do well, but I think global equities are going to do better. Commodities are also going to do extremel…”