The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

3open predictions

0due for another look

2closed calls →

839days to next prediction date

Everyone Marc Andreessen (14)Benedict Evans (13)David George (9)Ben Horowitz (8)Jared Isaacman (7)Dylan Patel (6)Alex Rampell (6)Frank Chen (5)Gavin Baker (4)Chris Dixon (4)Vijay Pande (3)Qasar Younis (3)

drag to pan · pinch, buttons, or ⌘/ctrl scroll to zoom

today 202720282029 AugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

Next up (3)

839 days left 2028-12-31

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2028

Isaacman: NASA will launch nuclear-powered octocopter to Titan in 2028

“You've got a octocopter, nuclear-powered octocopter that we're launching to Titan in twenty-twenty-eight searching for life.”

Jared Isaacman May 6, 2026 ▶ 27:33 NASA, SpaceX, Blue Origin, and The Race to The Moon | Jared Isaacman on The a16z Show

859 days left 2029-01-20

Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2029

Isaacman: NASA will return to Moon before end of Trump's term

“NASA has stated we will achieve the national imperative to return, ah, to the moon and establish an enduring presence before the end of President Trump's term.”

Jared Isaacman May 6, 2026 ▶ 4:07 NASA, SpaceX, Blue Origin, and The Race to The Moon | Jared Isaacman on The a16z Show

859 days left 2029-01-20

Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2029

Isaacman: US Will Deploy Nuclear Power in Space Before Term Ends

“I promised him America will get underway in space on nuclear power before the end of his term.”

Jared Isaacman May 6, 2026 ▶ 22:16 NASA, SpaceX, Blue Origin, and The Race to The Moon | Jared Isaacman on The a16z Show

Closed calls (2) the full record →

Prediction Held up

Isaacman: NASA targeting new SLS mission in 2027 and lunar landings in 2028

“We are standardizing the SLS rocket, increasing launch cadence from years to months. We're inserting a new mission in 20, 27 to buy down risk and increase confidence for lunar landing attempts in 20, 28.”

Jared Isaacman May 6, 2026 ▶ 5:05 NASA, SpaceX, Blue Origin, and The Race to The Moon | Jared Isaacman on The a16z Show

Prediction Held up

Isaacman: Artemis II mission will launch around the Moon in coming weeks

“In the weeks ahead, America will send the brave Artemis II astronauts potentially farther into space than any humans have ever traveled in generations flying around the moon on a ten-day mission to test the Space Launch System rocket and Orion spacecraft befor…”

Jared Isaacman May 6, 2026 ▶ 1:15 NASA, SpaceX, Blue Origin, and The Race to The Moon | Jared Isaacman on The a16z Show

The Calls

Next up (3)

Closed calls (2) the full record →

Turn any episode into a week of clips.