The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

1open predictions
0due for another look
5closed calls →
1480days to next prediction date
Everyone Marc Andreessen (14)Benedict Evans (13)David George (9)Ben Horowitz (8)Jared Isaacman (7)Dylan Patel (6)Alex Rampell (6)Frank Chen (5)Gavin Baker (4)Chris Dixon (4)Vijay Pande (3)Qasar Younis (3)
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Next up (1)

1480 days left 2030-10-03
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2030
Alex Rampell predicts bank tellers will be obsolete within 15 years
“You know, no, no disrespect to the profession of the bank teller, but it's probably not one that's going to be around in 50 years, much less 15.”
Alex Rampell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:51 a16z Podcast | Money, Risk, and Software

Closed calls (5) the full record →

Prediction Held up
Rampell: Consumers will increasingly buy and sell homes directly with companies
“In the future, or even increasingly the present, you're gonna buy your house from, or sell your house to a company.”
Alex Rampell Nov 29, 2018 ▶ 0:07 When Software Eats the Real (Estate) World
Prediction Held up
Rampell: Banks will not compete with private fix-and-flip lenders
“So private lenders like Lending Home and Pierce Street do that, and banks aren't going to compete with them.”
Alex Rampell Oct 26, 2017 ▶ 14:57 The Future of Money: Banking on Fintech
Prediction Held up
Rampell: Apple and Google will fully open their mobile wallet platforms
“Apple and Google need to open up their respective wallets, but I think they will, because Apple and Google, if they want to build a powerful position and actually truly have the mobile wallet not just be a payment type that has three credit cards in it, But ac…”
Alex Rampell Jul 16, 2017 ▶ 25:06 What Happens When Mobile (Really) Hits the Wallet
Prediction Held up
Rampell: Repatriated corporate cash will fund buybacks, not innovation
“Exactly. It's probably going to go to buybacks M&A and dividends. And a lot of that is just kind of like reshuffling as opposed to actually building anything new.”
Alex Rampell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 24:54 a16z Podcast | Technology, Mobility, and the American Dream
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Alex Rampell predicts US zero interest rate policy will last 8-9 years
“So and I think we're going to remain in, go to year eight and year nine. That's my own personal opinion.”
Alex Rampell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 27:52 a16z Podcast | Money, Risk, and Software
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