The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

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Everyone Marc Andreessen (14)Benedict Evans (13)David George (9)Ben Horowitz (8)Jared Isaacman (7)Dylan Patel (6)Alex Rampell (6)Frank Chen (5)Gavin Baker (4)Chris Dixon (4)Vijay Pande (3)Qasar Younis (3)
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Closed calls (2) the full record →

Prediction Held up
Pande: AI digital human models will enter clinical practice in 10 years
“And this could easily take 10 years before we start putting these things into the clinic. But I think it will happen, 10 years, a lot can happen in 10 years.”
Vijay Pande Oct 3, 2024 ▶ 27:57 AI at the Intersection of Bio | Vijay Pande, Surya Ganguli & Bowen Liu
Prediction Held up
Pande: Insurers will use NLP to process AI-generated reimbursement letters
“Eventually someone has to read all those letters. Someone has to validate them, and it's probably, you know, some sort of NLP on the other side.”
Vijay Pande Jan 9, 2023 ▶ 52:12 Expert AI as a Healthcare Superpower
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