The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

2open predictions
0due for another look
0closed calls →
406days to next prediction date
Everyone Dino Mavrookas (13)Keller Rinaudo Cliffton (4)Alex Immerman (4)Shaun Maguire (3)Pete Shadbolt (3)Doug Bernauer (3)David Ulevitch (3)Ben Lamm (3)Sir Peter Beck (2)Scott Nolan (2)Richard Socher (2)Pedro Franceschi (2)
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Next up (2)

406 days left 2027-10-25
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2027
Socher: AI agents will outnumber human web surfers within years
“I think in the next few years, we're going to see more AI agents surfing the web for people than we'll have people surfing the web.”
Richard Socher Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 28:33 Former Chief Scientist at Salesforce, Richard Socher | You.com, LLMs, AI Agents, Complex Work · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
406 days left 2027-10-25
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2027
Socher: Single-employee unicorns will not emerge in next few years
“I don't think we'll have in the next few years, like the sort of unicorn with a single, single employee type of situation. I think that will probably take a little bit longer and we'll be non-trivial to get right.”
Richard Socher Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 39:05 Former Chief Scientist at Salesforce, Richard Socher | You.com, LLMs, AI Agents, Complex Work · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
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