The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

1open predictions
0due for another look
1closed calls →
109days to next prediction date
Everyone Dino Mavrookas (13)Keller Rinaudo Cliffton (4)Alex Immerman (4)Shaun Maguire (3)Pete Shadbolt (3)Doug Bernauer (3)David Ulevitch (3)Ben Lamm (3)Sir Peter Beck (2)Scott Nolan (2)Richard Socher (2)Pedro Franceschi (2)
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Next up (1)

109 days left 2026-12-31
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Ulevitch: Radiant Nuclear will activate first new-design fueled reactor next year
“I think Radiant is going to turn on the first fueled nuclear reactor of a new design in like 50 plus years. I think they're going to do it next year.”
David Ulevitch Nov 21, 2025 ▶ 5:56 $635M Exit → $600M Fund: David Ulevitch on Building a16z’s Hottest New Fund · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea

Closed calls (1) the full record →

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Ulevitch: All future autonomous vehicles will be electric
“Part of the shift to electric vehicles, obviously we have EVs today, but as we shift to more autonomous vehicles, all those vehicles are going to be electric as well.”
David Ulevitch Nov 18, 2025 ▶ 24:29 How Marc Andreessen, Ben Horowitz, & David Ulevitch Started a16z’s American Dynamism Fund · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
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