The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

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Everyone Dino Mavrookas (13)Keller Rinaudo Cliffton (4)Alex Immerman (4)Shaun Maguire (3)Pete Shadbolt (3)Doug Bernauer (3)David Ulevitch (3)Ben Lamm (3)Sir Peter Beck (2)Scott Nolan (2)Richard Socher (2)Pedro Franceschi (2)
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Closed calls (2) the full record →

Prediction Held up
Bernauer predicts multiple nuclear entities will conduct fuel tests in 2026
“And I think others are going to do that same thing in that same year. So it won't even be just us. It'll be several different entities.”
Doug Bernauer May 31, 2024 ▶ 25:00 Radiant CEO Doug Bernauer on Portable Nuclear Microreactors & the Future of Clean Energy · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Bernauer predicts Radiant will complete and ship a reactor in 2025
“Twenty-twenty-four will be the last year that we're playing around with the analysis paralysis and the design and answering all the questions, the regulator and simulating things in the twin. And twenty-twenty-five is going to be actually building the thing up…”
Doug Bernauer May 31, 2024 ▶ 44:27 Radiant CEO Doug Bernauer on Portable Nuclear Microreactors & the Future of Clean Energy · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
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