OpenAI

also referred to as: open ai

includes OpenAI Codex, OpenAI O1, OpenAI API, OpenAI Deep Research, OpenAI O3

90 statements across 48 episodes · 59 bullish · 8 bearish · 44 people on the record · first statement Feb 1, 2024 by Xander Oltmann · said 485 times in 108 episodes since 2024 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Molly O'Shea (214), Apoorv Agrawal (29), Alex Kolicich (22), Michael Barton (11), Rune Kvist (7), Art Levy (7), Michael Mignano (6), Max Cook (6)

tap a year for its mentions
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03060202420252026episodes it came up in
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2026 191 mentions in 58 episodes 3 per episode
2025 233 mentions in 35 episodes 7 per episode
2024 61 mentions in 15 episodes 4 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about OpenAI, oldest first

Feb 1, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Oltmann: OpenAI is attempting to build its own chip factories
“OpenAI is currently out in the market now trying to actually build their own chip factories and develop their own chips internally, which is a total shift away from historically what software companies have done.”
Xander Oltmann Feb 1, 2024 ▶ 4:40 Xander Oltmann, Commodity Capital: Downfall of SaaS & Uprising of Vertically Integrated Monopolies · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Mar 3, 2024 neutral
Insight
Kolicich: Software incumbents hold the advantage over thin AI wrapper startups
“Incumbents have the advantage. Where in most cases, you are a thin layer on top of open AI and that's okay. And in that case, if you have distribution to users and you make that value transparent to them, you already hold their data. That's going to be a great…”
Alex Kolicich Mar 3, 2024 ▶ 35:43 Alex Kolicich, 8VC: Exodus of Venture Capital, AI Predictions · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Mar 15, 2024 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Asparouhov: Khosla is the only equity owner in OpenAI besides Microsoft
“Mattershund being the largest, you know, sort of investor You know, in SpaceX, Coastal Ventures being the largest investor in Rocket Lab, and then in some ways more recently, you know, the only equity owner in OpenAI other than Microsoft.”
Delian Asparouhov Mar 15, 2024 ▶ 34:21 Varda's Landing, Peter Thiel, & the Future of El Segundo, Delian Asparouhov, Founders Fund · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Oct 11, 2024 neutral
Prediction Held up
Competitors will catch up to OpenAI's o1 reasoning model within six months
“O1 just came out. We haven't fully benchmarked on our side yet. It's definitely an improvement. And so open AI is ahead of everybody else. It's an improvement in reasoning which is good. We can talk about that later on, but I expect people will catch up within…”
Alex Kolicich Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 8:47 Alex Kolicich, 8VC | AI & Defense Tech Renaissance · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Oct 11, 2024 negative
Opinion
The volume of pre-IPO leadership departures at OpenAI is historically unprecedented
“I don't think we've ever seen pre-IPO so many leaders leave the best, like, crown jewel company in Silicon Valley. It's common, like, you IPO, everyone gets rich and they leave. Okay, that's normal. But before IPO, right in its, like, heyday, you don't see the…”
Alex Kolicich Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 52:20 Alex Kolicich, 8VC | AI & Defense Tech Renaissance · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Oct 25, 2024
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Socher: OpenAI cited Socher's 2018 paper, crediting it with influencing early GPTs
“That paper was actually cited by OpenAI, and they're still doing research papers. Like, we were told by some of the folks that worked on the first version of GPTs, like one and two, that that actually had influenced them to work more in NLP.”
Richard Socher Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 44:25 Former Chief Scientist at Salesforce, Richard Socher | You.com, LLMs, AI Agents, Complex Work · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jan 23, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Tunguz: The $250B annual search marketing market is up for grabs
“There's two hundred fifty billion in search engine marketing spend every year, and so all of that is now totally up for grabs.”
Tomasz Tunguz Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 13:59 Inside Theory Ventures: Tomasz Tunguz’s $688M Thesis on Go-To-Market Disruption · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jan 23, 2025 bullish
Prediction Held up
Tunguz: Consumer AI will surpass one billion users in 2025
“So you're kind of approaching the billion user number in consumer AI. I think we'll definitely surpass that this year.”
Tomasz Tunguz Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 2:54 Inside Theory Ventures: Tomasz Tunguz’s $688M Thesis on Go-To-Market Disruption · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jan 30, 2025 neutral
Insight
El-Baba: Top organizations will use multiple AI models, not just OpenAI
“Like, I think the major takeaway from that piece is that the best organizations are going to use multiple models in concert with one another to power their end experiences. It would no longer be a world in which you just plug in to open AI's latest model.”
Yaz El-Baba Jan 30, 2025 ▶ 37:13 How Emergence Capital Bet Early on Zoom, Salesforce, Veeva—& Now Together.ai · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Feb 14, 2025 bullish
Opinion
McCormick: Consumer brand equity creates real value in AI despite commoditization
“That is a brand that like, you know, he might be with, like talking to ChatGPT for the rest of his Life, you know, or like some version of it. And so I do think there's real value in brand.”
Packy McCormick Feb 14, 2025 ▶ 57:17 How Writing Led To Investing In Ramp, Scale AI, Replit, Varda | Packy McCormick, Not Boring · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
May 2, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Scale AI provided data labeling for OpenAI's GPT-2
“We actually helped OpenAI with GPT too.”
Leigh Marie Braswell May 2, 2025 ▶ 43:58 Windsurf: The Making of a Billion-Dollar AI Company | Leigh Marie Braswell, Kleiner Perkins · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
May 5, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Moore: SpaceX, Anduril, OpenAI, and Anthropic could reach trillion-dollar valuations
“These companies that could be worth trillions of dollars someday. The SpaceX's, the Anduril's, the OpenAI's, the Anthropics.”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 1:11 Why Bucky Moore Joined $30 Billion AUM Megafund Lightspeed · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
May 5, 2025 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Moore: Frontier tech companies are growing 100% at multi-billion-dollar run rates
“I mean, these companies are compounding it over a hundred percent year over year in the billions of run rate. We have never seen that before, right?”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 10:50 Why Bucky Moore Joined $30 Billion AUM Megafund Lightspeed · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
May 5, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Moore: Massive valuations for OpenAI and Anthropic can still generate fund-level multiples
“And so when you look at investment like open AI at thirty billion or anthropic at sixty billion, you know, I can tell you these are opportunities that I personally believe have the upside to generate multiples versus say IRR.”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 14:18 Why Bucky Moore Joined $30 Billion AUM Megafund Lightspeed · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jun 27, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
O'Shea: Coatue and Altimeter data show OpenAI outpacing viral social platforms
“KOTU and Altimeter did like a bunch of different surveys and data science around OpenAI's traction and daily active users against social platforms. So they're comparing it against like, okay, there's like a resource, like a learning tool for knowledge, and now…”
Molly O'Shea Jun 27, 2025 ▶ 30:43 How Jack Altman Hit 100x Growth | Uncapped, AI, VC, Founders · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jul 3, 2025 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2028
Kim: Jony Ive and OpenAI device will resemble AirPods rather than glasses
“My guess it's an ambient device. I think it'll be closer to I AirPods of the world than glasses.”
Brian Kim Jul 3, 2025 ▶ 1:06:17 Why a16z Bet $15 Million on THIS Controversial Startup · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jul 10, 2025 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2028
The AI device from Jony Ive and OpenAI will be an earbud
“So I think it's going to be an earbud.”
Art Levy Jul 10, 2025 ▶ 1:32:38 Brex’s Road to IPO and The Golden Age of M&A · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jul 10, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Google X spinoff Iyo is suing Jony Ive and OpenAI
“There was a lawsuit against a company called IO that or sorry, the company called IO that spun out of Google X is suing John Ives and OpenAI, and that was a headphone company, like an earbud company.”
Art Levy Jul 10, 2025 ▶ 1:32:21 Brex’s Road to IPO and The Golden Age of M&A · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jul 22, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Little: DoD's $1.8B AI Budget Cannot Compete With $500B Commercial Investment
“Department of Defense had a budget for AI in 20, 24 of 1.8 billion. You just saw like the announcement with Oracle open AI and SoftBank for five hundred billion. And that's like only part of their investment for only three companies. And so you're just never g…”
Greg Little Jul 22, 2025 ▶ 21:06 How Palantir Is Modernizing the Military With AI · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Aug 27, 2025 bullish
Insight
Agrawal: Fast shipping velocity is OpenAI's primary defensibility
“Keeping up with OpenAI product updates is a full-time job, and that's the strategy, is ship fast. And I feel like that done at a consistent pace, I mean, just in, just this year alone, you've had Operator and Deep Research and ChatGPT agents and Codex, and the…”
Apoorv Agrawal Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 13:44 Understanding OpenAI’s $500B Valuation · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Aug 27, 2025 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Agrawal: ChatGPT exhibits rare retention 'smile curve' like TikTok and Instagram
“And ChatGPT exhibits a smile curve. The other apps that exhibit smile curves are Instagram, and TikTok.”
Apoorv Agrawal Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 10:21 Understanding OpenAI’s $500B Valuation · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Aug 27, 2025 bullish
Assertion Contradicted
Agrawal: ChatGPT Daily Time Spent Exceeds Mainstream Social Apps Like X
“On, in terms of time spent, you know, we've published this analysis. They are far and above time spent per user per day compared to any of the other apps AI apps today. Actually not just AI apps. I, you know, one of the analysis we did is they are now larger t…”
Apoorv Agrawal Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 9:35 Understanding OpenAI’s $500B Valuation · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Aug 27, 2025 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Agrawal: Switching to OpenAI's New Model Boosted XBOW's Cyber Detection to 81%
“Their benchmark, on their benchmarks, they saw a significant step up with GPT-V, much better than any other coding or design or math startup saw in their ability to find cyber exploits. And, you know, summarizing, basically, the jump was from just under 60% to…”
Apoorv Agrawal Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 32:03 Understanding OpenAI’s $500B Valuation · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Aug 27, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Agrawal: OpenAI is anti-fragile and has become faster over time
“The single word to define them is anti-fragile. I've seen this for years now. Remember the time that the blip happened when Sam was for a hot second, not at OpenAI, and it felt like, oh, what's going to happen to this org? You know, this is obviously a pretty …”
Apoorv Agrawal Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 24:46 Understanding OpenAI’s $500B Valuation · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Aug 27, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Agrawal: Meta Generates Double OpenAI's $40B Funding in Annual Operating Cash Flow
“To put that in perspective, OpenAI just raised this massive round, forty billion dollars, and Meta is producing more than twice that in a year.”
Apoorv Agrawal Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 43:31 Understanding OpenAI’s $500B Valuation · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Aug 27, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Altimeter Invested in OpenAI at $150B Valuation
“We entered last year at the hundred and fifty billion dollar round.”
Apoorv Agrawal Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 6:15 Understanding OpenAI’s $500B Valuation · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Aug 27, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Agrawal: OpenAI is Altimeter's largest investment in firm history
“OpenAI is our largest investment in the history of Altimeter.”
Apoorv Agrawal Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 7:28 Understanding OpenAI’s $500B Valuation · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Aug 27, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Agrawal: AI Semis Generate $200B, While AI Apps Are Only Earning $40B
“Nvidia earned, Nvidia alone at the chip player earned roughly forty billion dollars in data center revenue in Q one last quarter. So analyze that's about a 160. Let's say the total industry is 170, 180, maybe let's say 200. The infra layer is 20, thirty billio…”
Apoorv Agrawal Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 39:43 Understanding OpenAI’s $500B Valuation · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Aug 27, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Agrawal: OpenAI's Latest Release Is a Unified System with Dynamic Routing
“It was the first time they released a system, not a single model. It has a model router. It makes, bakes in a lot of thinking of how much compute resources to allocate to a query coming in.”
Apoorv Agrawal Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 25:43 Understanding OpenAI’s $500B Valuation · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Aug 27, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Agrawal: OpenAI's Consumer Business Could Reach $200B in Annual Revenue
“We think over time, The number of users could go up to three to four billion users. We think on the monetization side, over time, it could go from 10 today to 60, 70 dollars per user per year, which is where Meta and Google and other large consumer platforms a…”
Apoorv Agrawal Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 5:10 Understanding OpenAI’s $500B Valuation · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Sep 1, 2025 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2028
McGee: Jony Ive and OpenAI's AI Device Will Just Become an iPhone App
“I think it becomes an iPhone app.”
Patrick McGee Sep 1, 2025 ▶ 22:48 Apple in China: Tim Cook’s $275B Pledge | Patrick McGee · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Sep 10, 2025 neutral
Insight
Shadbolt: The public never cares about supercomputers, only their output
“People have been building leadership class supercomputers for a very long time, and usually people don't care about them, and that's fine. Like nobody cared prior to GPT-III. Nobody cared that Azure and Microsoft and open AI were building big, ugly computers. …”
Pete Shadbolt Sep 10, 2025 ▶ 1:38:07 Raising $2 Billion to Become the SpaceX of Quantum | PsiQuantum's Pete Shadbolt · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Oct 10, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
O'Shea: Turing Reaches $300M+ Revenue and $2.2B Valuation Profitably
“Three hundred million plus in revenue and profitable. Two hundred and twenty-five million in funding at a last valuation of 2.2 billion. A network of four million engineers and customers that include OpenAI, NVIDIA, Anthropoc, Google, Microsoft, Meta, Salesfor…”
Molly O'Shea Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 3:02 Inside The $2.2B AI Research Accelerator | Turing · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Oct 10, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Siddharth: Turing works with seven of the eight frontier AI labs
“We work with seven out of the eight Frontier Labs. We work with OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta, Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, anybody that's building a Frontier Foundation model, we are probably working with them already.”
Jonathan Siddharth Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 3:32 Inside The $2.2B AI Research Accelerator | Turing · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Oct 17, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Gil: OpenAI and Anthropic valuations are reasonable relative to growth rates
“I, my sense is that for many of these foundation lab companies, if you just do a revenue multiple and you look at the growth rate, it's actually pretty reasonable. That's true of OpenAI, that's true of Anthropic.”
Elad Gil Oct 17, 2025 ▶ 33:55 Elad Gil of Gil Capital, Gil & Co. & Enigma Global · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Oct 23, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Barton: Google and OpenAI Pay Reddit ~$50M Annually for Training Data
“I think it's ballpark, fifty million dollars. For Google, so Google pays Reddit, fifty million dollars a year to kind of, ah, have trained in the past on it, but B, have updated data, and, ah, ChatGPT does the same thing.”
Michael Barton Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 1:03:08 Inside Coatue: $70B Hedge Fund’s AI & Retail Strategy · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Oct 23, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Barton: Marketing spend will shift from Meta to AI agents and Shopify
“So that 20% that I'm spending on marketing to, you know, maybe it was meta, is now gonna, like, that profit pool is gonna be more going toward a Shopify or the actual agent players themselves, OpenAI or Gemini.”
Michael Barton Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 16:54 Inside Coatue: $70B Hedge Fund’s AI & Retail Strategy · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Oct 23, 2025 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Barton: OpenAI has 800M WAU with engagement rivaling Instagram
“OpenAI's got, what, like, eight hundred million weekly active users. Spending, like, spending, by my estimates, close to the amount of time every day that is spent on Instagram.”
Michael Barton Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 53:31 Inside Coatue: $70B Hedge Fund’s AI & Retail Strategy · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Oct 23, 2025
Assertion Supported
Barton: Mattel stock rose 6% after OpenAI DevDay mention
“Like, they got mentioned in this thing, Mattel, the toy company, stock went up six percent, like, in a second.”
Michael Barton Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 19:18 Inside Coatue: $70B Hedge Fund’s AI & Retail Strategy · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Oct 30, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Lin: OpenAI at $500 Billion Works If It Can Reach $5 Trillion
“Well, so it's easy to dismiss the 500 Billion and say that you can't make money from five hundred billion, but if we let NVIDIA, which is worth four trillion today, compound at 10% for another decade, it's going to be worth more than 10 trillion. So if OpenAI …”
Alfred Lin Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 39:54 Sequoia’s Alfred Lin: Backing Founders Who Redefine Markets · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Nov 24, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Clark: OpenAI's Sora team has an average age in the low twenties
“Sora You know, recent OpenAI product launch. I think if you look at the average or median age of that team, I think it's in the low twenties.”
Philip Clark Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 43:55 Inside Thrive Capital: Investing in OpenAI, Wiz, Cursor, Nudge, Physical Intelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Nov 24, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Clark: OpenAI will endure in the near term like Meta or Google
“I think the beauty is one, hopefully open AI is going to be an enduring technology. And so I'd be very surprised if in the near term we were talking about an after open AI, you know, is there an after meta or an after Google?”
Philip Clark Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 47:19 Inside Thrive Capital: Investing in OpenAI, Wiz, Cursor, Nudge, Physical Intelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Nov 24, 2025 positive
Insight
Clark: AI-native youth excel at frontier model experimentation
“The people who almost hold the model weights in their brains because they've been brought up thinking about AI natively are really, really good at the creative thinking and experiments and hypothesis testing that is necessary to push the performance of these m…”
Philip Clark Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 43:33 Inside Thrive Capital: Investing in OpenAI, Wiz, Cursor, Nudge, Physical Intelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Nov 24, 2025
Disclosure
Clark: Thrive received a GPT-4 demo in November 2022
“We actually got a demo of GBT-IV in November of twenty-twenty-two before it was publicly released in March, and it was one of the most astounding pieces of technology we'd ever seen.”
Philip Clark Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 39:37 Inside Thrive Capital: Investing in OpenAI, Wiz, Cursor, Nudge, Physical Intelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Nov 24, 2025
Disclosure
Clark: Only two venture firms gave OpenAI a term sheet in early 2023
“And so when we invested in open AI in that round, I think we were one of two firms that gave the company a term sheet.”
Philip Clark Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 40:32 Inside Thrive Capital: Investing in OpenAI, Wiz, Cursor, Nudge, Physical Intelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Nov 24, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Clark: Every major large model paradigm has originated at OpenAI
“Every single major paradigm In large models at this sort of macro level that has been very successful to my knowledge has come from open AI or at least been originated at open AI.”
Philip Clark Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 46:47 Inside Thrive Capital: Investing in OpenAI, Wiz, Cursor, Nudge, Physical Intelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Nov 24, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Clark: Productized intelligence will create a post-SaaS era of software companies
“Now there's a new substrate for technology, which is what if you could productize intelligence and call it via API or fine tune a model with it? And I think that it engenders an entirely new breed of software companies. So I don't think it's an after open AI. …”
Philip Clark Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 47:56 Inside Thrive Capital: Investing in OpenAI, Wiz, Cursor, Nudge, Physical Intelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Nov 24, 2025
Disclosure
Clark: Thrive's original OpenAI memo made no mention of ChatGPT
“We looked at our original investment memo. There was no mention of ChatGT in there.”
Philip Clark Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 40:57 Inside Thrive Capital: Investing in OpenAI, Wiz, Cursor, Nudge, Physical Intelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Nov 24, 2025 bullish
Insight
Clark: AI Labs' Key Edge Is Finding Next Paradigms While Productizing
“The ultimate competitive advantage for the labs and for OpenAI in particular is actually being able to constantly figure out what the next paradigm is, even as you're productizing and implementing the last paradigm.”
Philip Clark Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 46:34 Inside Thrive Capital: Investing in OpenAI, Wiz, Cursor, Nudge, Physical Intelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Dec 13, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
DoD prioritizes adapting commercial AI over building in-house foundation models
“Applied AI is number one. And the reason I call it applied AI is because the big companies, OpenAI, Anthropic, XAI, they're all investing hundreds of billions of dollars in AI and AI infrastructure. So all I need to do is take that and adapt it for the departm…”
Emil Michael Dec 13, 2025 ▶ 11:08 Inside the Myths: Emil Michael on Palantir, SpaceX, Anduril & the Modern DoW · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Dec 27, 2025
Insight
Mignano: AI startups must build sticky user habits early to survive incumbents
“When you think about moats, I think what's really important right now, given how fast OpenAI can move, is getting to a behavior that is sticky and is durable extremely early.”
Michael Mignano Dec 27, 2025 ▶ 8:25 Why Lightspeed Bet on xAI, Neuralink, Suno, Granola, & Pika | Michael Mignano · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Dec 27, 2025 positive
Opinion
Mignano: OpenAI differentiates via Sam Altman's ruthless execution and speed
“I think the difference of what we're seeing here is kind of the ambition of Sam Altman and the speed and the kind of ruthlessness, and that's a compliment to which his organization can move and can move fast.”
Michael Mignano Dec 27, 2025 ▶ 8:14 Why Lightspeed Bet on xAI, Neuralink, Suno, Granola, & Pika | Michael Mignano · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Dec 27, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Mignano predicts OpenAI is likely to announce an IPO
“Boring answer, but OpenAI.”
Michael Mignano Dec 27, 2025 ▶ 42:51 Why Lightspeed Bet on xAI, Neuralink, Suno, Granola, & Pika | Michael Mignano · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Dec 27, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Mignano: Sam Altman hinted at compensating creators for name and likeness
“Sam actually even hinted to this in his blog post, sort of hinted that there's going to be a new model where they're compensating creators for their likeness, their name and likeness.”
Michael Mignano Dec 27, 2025 ▶ 26:08 Why Lightspeed Bet on xAI, Neuralink, Suno, Granola, & Pika | Michael Mignano · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jan 23, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Ramaswamy: ChatGPT has nearly one billion users
“Value is being created by all the users of ChatGPT, nearly a billion of them.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 7:08 Snowflake vs Databricks: The AI Data War | CEO of $SNOW · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jan 26, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Wright: Armada partnered with OpenAI to bring models to the edge
“We announced another one with OpenAI, taking their models to the edge for the first time, so partnerships are a key part of our strategy, and it's,”
Dan Wright Jan 26, 2026 ▶ 5:26 Data Centers in Space? Armada’s CEO on SpaceX and the Edge · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Feb 7, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bueller: Vast majority of academia believed OpenAI's research would fail
“Remember, the vast majority of academia, when OpenAI was doing their research that now has changed the world, would have thought that that would fail.”
Constantine Bueller Feb 7, 2026 ▶ 1:01:20 Inside the $4.5B Startup Building Brain-Inspired Chips for AI · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Feb 11, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Woo: Anti Fund meets with OpenAI Chief Research Officer Mark Chen on roadmap
“Because, like, you're sitting down with Mark Chen, the chief research officer of OpenAI, talking about, like, the roadmap and the future models that they're working on.”
Geoffrey Woo Feb 11, 2026 ▶ 11:35 Inside Jake Paul’s Empire: $200M Boxing Earnings to $65M+ Tech Investing · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Feb 11, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
Woo: Anti Fund is a major investor in OpenAI
“We're big investors in OpenAI”
Geoffrey Woo Feb 11, 2026 ▶ 23:56 Inside Jake Paul’s Empire: $200M Boxing Earnings to $65M+ Tech Investing · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Feb 11, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Paul: Sora launch generated 1 billion views in six days
“There are one billion views in six days and yeah, really just a great partnership that worked across the board really well with, between us two.”
Jake Paul Feb 11, 2026 ▶ 34:54 Inside Jake Paul’s Empire: $200M Boxing Earnings to $65M+ Tech Investing · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Feb 11, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Paul: Anti Fund consulted OpenAI on Sora and licensed his likeness
“That eventually led to us helping them, yeah, develop Sora, and like what it was gonna even be and look like, and all of that stuff, and consulting them. You know, me and my brother have however many years combined of social media experience, like since the be…”
Jake Paul Feb 11, 2026 ▶ 33:12 Inside Jake Paul’s Empire: $200M Boxing Earnings to $65M+ Tech Investing · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Feb 11, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Paul: Sam Altman runs ultra-productive 15-minute meetings with zero wasted time
“No waste of time. 15 minutes. He was hella productive. And then we'll go to the next meeting. And I think a lot of people just sit around and We'll do hour long meetings or calls and just waste time.”
Jake Paul Feb 11, 2026 ▶ 36:00 Inside Jake Paul’s Empire: $200M Boxing Earnings to $65M+ Tech Investing · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Feb 16, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Blania: OpenAI invested directly into Merge Labs, not via venture fund
“It's a direct investment from OpenAI, not the venture arm, and so it is an actual collaboration”
Alex Blania Feb 16, 2026 ▶ 41:33 99.9% of the internet is about to be AI? · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Feb 16, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Blania: OpenAI wrote the biggest check in Merge Labs' seed round
“A large group of people, but the biggest check was OpenAI and then many of our friends, you know, some of the funds that have been involved here, many, many individuals, it's like a broad, like it's a class, like it's a large scale seed, but it is, from that p…”
Alex Blania Feb 16, 2026 ▶ 34:06 99.9% of the internet is about to be AI? · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Mar 6, 2026 positive
Prediction Held up
Laffont: Top AI and tech unicorns will likely IPO within 24 months
“You know, some of them will probably go public in the next 12 to 24 months, so that'll be kind of one impact of it”
Thomas Laffont Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 7:59 Thomas Laffont, Coatue - Anthropic, Citrini Paper, AI Volatility & Next Mag 7 · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Mar 6, 2026 bullish
Insight
Laffont: Long-term index outperformance requires exposure to top private tech leaders
“I do think if you're going to want to outperform you know, the index over a long period of time, you're going to need exposure to these companies.”
Thomas Laffont Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 7:48 Thomas Laffont, Coatue - Anthropic, Citrini Paper, AI Volatility & Next Mag 7 · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Mar 9, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Lin: OpenAI leverages Oracle's balance sheet and tools for data centers
“Oracle, the last time I checked, still exists. If you think that they're a legacy company, I don't know why OpenAI would want to leverage their balance sheet and their and their tools to be able to run data centers.”
Alfred Lin Mar 9, 2026 ▶ 7:32 Sequoia’s Alfred Lin: $10T Companies Are Coming · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Mar 13, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Immerman: OpenAI and Anthropic added revenue equal to half of public cloud
“If you look at OpenAI and Anthropic alone, the two, those two companies added as much revenue last year as half of the public cloud universe, excluding the mag seven.”
Alex Immerman Mar 13, 2026 ▶ 4:22 Inside a16z Growth: Waymo, Stripe, ElevenLabs, Revolut, Coinbase, Kalshi · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Mar 17, 2026 positive
Opinion
Alex Bouaziz praises Instacart CEO Fiji Simo as a top tech executive
“Fiji is like it's like the person I, one of the person I look up to the most, right? Whether it's her still at Meta, whether it's her leading Instacart for, like, very rough time, whether it's her not open AI and kind of, like, figuring out the business life. …”
Alex Bouaziz Mar 17, 2026 ▶ 54:54 Deel Hits $1.4B+ in ARR | CEO Alex Bouaziz Shares Growth Playbook · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Mar 20, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Huffman: Reddit data has trained every major LLM, with or without permission
“Reddit's data has been used to train every large language model you've heard of, some with and others without our permission, which has, you know, been a situation to navigate but with our biggest partners, Google and OpenAI, you know, we do it on purpose, and…”
Steve Huffman Mar 20, 2026 ▶ 19:49 How Reddit Went From $12M to $2.2B + Cracked Social Media Monetization · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Mar 27, 2026 bullish
Prediction Held up
O'Shea predicts SpaceX will IPO before OpenAI
“I think SpaceX.”
Molly O'Shea Mar 27, 2026 ▶ 56:46 Inside Marc Andreessen & Ben Horowitz’s Multi-Family Office · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Mar 30, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
O'Shea: OpenAI's $110B round comprised roughly one-third of 2025 tech funding
“OpenAI just raised a hundred and ten billion dollar round. I think that amounted to about a third of all funding in the private markets for tech in 2025.”
Molly O'Shea Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 17:35 The Public Venture Fund That 9x’d in 3 Days (Fundrise VCX) · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Apr 30, 2026 negative
Disclosure
Brett Adcock says he terminated Figure's AI collaboration agreement with OpenAI
“And so I fired him.”
Brett Adcock Apr 30, 2026 ▶ 17:38 The $10 Trillion Bet on Humanoid Robots | Figure Founder Brett Adcock · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Apr 30, 2026 positive
Opinion
Adcock claims Figure's internal AI team was running circles around OpenAI
“It got to a point where we were just like, our team internally that was designing these models were running circles around OpenAI. We were just way better at this. And we were better about testing on the robots, training the models, like all, all of it.”
Brett Adcock Apr 30, 2026 ▶ 17:13 The $10 Trillion Bet on Humanoid Robots | Figure Founder Brett Adcock · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Apr 30, 2026 neutral
Disclosure
Adcock: OpenAI co-led Figure's Series B alongside AI collaboration deal
“OpenAI led our, led my series B a couple years ago. And as a part of that, we did a collaboration agreement to work on like next-generation AI models together.”
Brett Adcock Apr 30, 2026 ▶ 16:16 The $10 Trillion Bet on Humanoid Robots | Figure Founder Brett Adcock · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
May 8, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Khosrowshahi: Uber will integrate with OpenAI so AI agents can book rides
“We will work with an open AI so that an open AI agent can essentially get an Uber for you as well.”
Dara Khosrowshahi May 8, 2026 ▶ 27:06 Dara Khosrowshahi’s Full Circle Launch: Expedia x Uber · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
May 15, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Rangwalla: OpenAI Reached Almost 1B Users Fastest in History
“How OpenAI reached, you know, almost a billion users in the fastest time in history.”
Jaimin Rangwalla May 15, 2026 ▶ 3:35 Chips, Gigawatts, AI, & Agents: Coatue's Public Markets Update | CIO Jaimin Rangwalla · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
May 15, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Rangwalla: Trillion-dollar AI IPOs will not trigger Mag Seven selloff
“I don't think that there's this concern in my mind of, oh, that means you got to sell mag seven or this and that, because, you know, the S and P is 60 or 70 trillion dollars of market cap. We're talking about one trillion dollar, three one trillion dollar comp…”
Jaimin Rangwalla May 15, 2026 ▶ 52:19 Chips, Gigawatts, AI, & Agents: Coatue's Public Markets Update | CIO Jaimin Rangwalla · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
May 15, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Rangwalla: OpenAI's latest funding round valued it over $800B
“OpenAI's most recent round was 800 plus billion dollars.”
Jaimin Rangwalla May 15, 2026 ▶ 11:19 Chips, Gigawatts, AI, & Agents: Coatue's Public Markets Update | CIO Jaimin Rangwalla · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
May 15, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Rangwalla: Combined OpenAI and Anthropic ARR Exceeds Salesforce and ServiceNow
“And then when you think about both of them combined, let's say they're close to sixty billion dollars. I mean, that is bigger than ServiceNow, that is bigger than Salesforce, that is bigger than any big name SaaS platform that you would think about. And these …”
Jaimin Rangwalla May 15, 2026 ▶ 14:37 Chips, Gigawatts, AI, & Agents: Coatue's Public Markets Update | CIO Jaimin Rangwalla · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jun 14, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Fishner-Wolfson claims OpenAI and Anthropic have confidentially filed S-1s
“SpaceX is the big one to kind of start this, but, I mean, as you mentioned, like, OpenAI and Anthropic are both valid. They're S-one's confidentially, so it's gonna be a pretty interesting, you know, few quarters in the public markets.”
Justin Fishner Wolfson Jun 14, 2026 ▶ 15:01 SpaceX IPO: Inside the Firm That Owns 1% · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jun 18, 2026 neutral
Insight
Pereyra: Client conflict rules mean law firms need multiple AI providers
“Most of these law firms and enterprises Can't rely on a single lab provider. So like there's a big risk if you're a law firm that if you just use Anthropic or you just use OpenAI you run into conflict risk. So imagine you're using only Anthropics models as a l…”
Gabe Pereyra Jun 18, 2026 ▶ 7:13 Harvey Co-Founder Gabe Pereyra on the Token Pricing Reckoning Coming for AI · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jun 20, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Slotowicz: OpenAI recently announced internal plans to go public
“OpenAI just announced that they're going to be going public.”
Israel "Izzy" Slotowicz Jun 20, 2026 ▶ 3:13 SpaceX Hit $2 Trillion. Now Everyone Wants a Jet · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jun 26, 2026 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2031
Armstrong: OpenAI and Anthropic will not enter regulated financial services
“Ah, well, I don't think OpenAI and Anthropic are going to build all the companies. I think they're mostly focused on building foundational models, which are broadly applicable. But for instance, I don't think anyone thinks they're going to get into regulated f…”
Brian Armstrong Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 47:18 Brian Armstrong: Rebuilding Coinbase Around Intelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jun 29, 2026 positive
Opinion
Randle: Model commoditization will not kill OpenAI because users love ChatGPT
“I don't think it's like a death knell for them because, you know, it's like, again, like most of the users of ChatGPT would use ChatGPT whether or not it was a GPT model in there or not. Like they like the product.”
Ev Randle Jun 29, 2026 ▶ 33:13 Benchmark's AI Bets: Cerebras, Sierra, Legora, Fireworks, Starcloud, Gumloop.. · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jul 6, 2026 positive
Opinion
Clements: OpenAI and Anthropic parallel Facebook's platform era
“The thing that still kind of inspires us, you know, through the Facebook parallel was, it was like the first platform company that we saw. So all the companies As associates that we were building relationships with, we're figuring out how they could like build…”
Miles Clements Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 2:57 Accel: The Quiet Firm Behind Facebook, Cursor, Nebius, Lovable, Vercel · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jul 10, 2026 negative
Opinion
Banister: OpenAI and Anthropic's closed, centralized AI approach is the wrong path
“It became incredibly centralized and closed source. And you're seeing that happen with open AI and Anthropic. It's the wrong path because everyone needs to have their own models. Everyone needs to be able to be able to compete and you don't want one company wi…”
Cyan Banister Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 53:06 "Dig Through Your Couches. SpaceX Needs It." Cyan Banister on Luke Nosek's Pitch · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jul 13, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
Feldman: Cerebras to provide OpenAI over $20B in hardware
“We'll be doing more than twenty billion dollars of hardware with, for them over the next several years.”
Andrew Feldman Jul 13, 2026 ▶ 3:17 Andrew Feldman on Building a Chip 58x Larger Than Nvidia's · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jul 13, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Feldman: OpenAI Partnership Informs Cerebras's Chip Designs for Frontier AI
“One of the advantages of our relationship with open AI is we get to see exactly where the frontier is going and we get a chance to roll that into our designs.”
Andrew Feldman Jul 13, 2026 ▶ 17:06 Andrew Feldman on Building a Chip 58x Larger Than Nvidia's · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Jul 19, 2026 positive
Insight
Agrawal: Enterprises must plan for multi-model routing over single-lab lock-in
“So if you're a CIO, if you're a CEO, if you're about to make a multi-million, billion-dollar decision of which lab to build your intelligence on, plan for the climate, not for the weather. What does that mean? That's multi-model routing. That's evals. That's t…”
Apoorv Agrawal Jul 19, 2026 ▶ 35:54 SemiAnalysis, Altimeter, Nebius, Glean.. 12 Hot Takes From Biggest Names in AI · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
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