| 100M | “a hundred million” | Armstrong: Coinbase prediction markets reached ~$100M run rate within months | Brian Armstrong | Sep 10, 2026 | Supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Armstrong: Coinbase prediction markets reached ~$100M run rate within months | Brian Armstrong | Sep 10, 2026 | Supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Armstrong: About 0.5% of global GDP runs on cryptocurrency | Brian Armstrong | Sep 10, 2026 | — |
| 88% | “88%” | Armstrong: 88% of Coinbase revenue comes from non-Bitcoin trading | Brian Armstrong | Sep 10, 2026 | Supported |
| $20B | “twenty billion dollars” | Armstrong estimates an effective ALD drug might be worth $20 billion | Brian Armstrong | Sep 10, 2026 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Armstrong predicts skin rejuvenation is probably a trillion-dollar market | Brian Armstrong | Sep 10, 2026 | — |
| 76% | “76%” | Armstrong: 76% of agentic commerce transactions are under 30 cents | Brian Armstrong | Sep 10, 2026 | — |
| 700M | “seven hundred million” | Armstrong estimates 50M to 100M people actively use crypto monthly | Brian Armstrong | Sep 10, 2026 | Supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Armstrong estimates 50M to 100M people actively use crypto monthly | Brian Armstrong | Sep 10, 2026 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Haas: AI Won't Push-Button Design Frontier Chips Outperforming Leading Architectures | Rene Haas | Sep 3, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Haas: AI Won't Push-Button Design Frontier Chips Outperforming Leading Architectures | Rene Haas | Sep 3, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Haas: AI Won't Push-Button Design Frontier Chips Outperforming Leading Architectures | Rene Haas | Sep 3, 2026 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Haas: 80% to 90% of Arm engineers use AI daily | Rene Haas | Sep 3, 2026 | — |
| $10M | “ten million dollars” | Ehrlich says Google bought bankrupt Spirit Airlines' data for $10 million | Ofir Ehrlich | Aug 27, 2026 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Stein says an unmapped AWS customer lost data to ransomware | Gonen Stein | Aug 27, 2026 | — |
| $1.5M | “half a million dollars” | Hodak: Vision gene therapy reimburses at nearly $500,000 per eye | Max Hodak | Aug 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Hodak: Vision gene therapy reimburses at nearly $500,000 per eye | Max Hodak | Aug 20, 2026 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 times” | Taylor: Valar Atomics Will Scale Fission to Make Energy 10x Cheaper | Isaiah Taylor | Aug 15, 2026 | — |
| 500B | “five hundred billion” | Taylor: Valar Atomics could be worth $500B in 10 years | Isaiah Taylor | Aug 15, 2026 | Open |
| $5M | “five million dollars” | Valar Built a $5M Nuclear Reactor Component In-House For $400K | Isaiah Taylor | Aug 15, 2026 | — |
| 100× | “100 X” | Taylor: Nuclear is a fake industry charging 100x margins | Isaiah Taylor | Aug 15, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Taylor: Nuclear Fission Will Make Energy 1,000 Times Cheaper | Isaiah Taylor | Aug 15, 2026 | Open |
| 10M | “ten million” | Chess.com has 10 million daily and 50 million monthly active users | Erik Allebest | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Chess.com has 10 million daily and 50 million monthly active users | Erik Allebest | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 250M | “two hundred fifty million” | Allebest: Chess.com has over 250 million registered members | Erik Allebest | Aug 13, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Chess.com had roughly one million daily active users before COVID-19 | Erik Allebest | Aug 13, 2026 | Supported |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Gil: Late-stage AI investors wrongly assume startups have trillion-dollar trajectories | Elad Gil | Aug 6, 2026 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Tokmak: Over 70% of Netic's enterprise customers use AI-first interactions | Melisa Tokmak | Jul 31, 2026 | — |
| 2.5M | “a half a million” | Tokmak: Netic closed a $500k enterprise contract in 14 days | Melisa Tokmak | Jul 31, 2026 | — |
| $600M | “six hundred million dollars” | Tokmak: Netic has generated over $600M in customer revenue from AI interactions | Melisa Tokmak | Jul 31, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Fang: 50% of Ask DoorDash Restaurant Orders Are From New Places | Andy Fang | Jul 23, 2026 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Fang: Ask DoorDash Drives 40% Larger Grocery Basket Sizes | Andy Fang | Jul 23, 2026 | — |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Tang: DoorDash leverages 10 billion delivery data points and 40M MAUs | Stanley Tang | Jul 23, 2026 | Supported |
| 40M | “forty million” | Tang: DoorDash leverages 10 billion delivery data points and 40M MAUs | Stanley Tang | Jul 23, 2026 | Supported |
| 20× | “20 X” | Fang: DoorDash internal AI spend jumped 20x from January to June | Andy Fang | Jul 23, 2026 | — |
| 9M | “nine million” | Tang: DoorDash employs over 9 million Dashers with 25 percent growth | Stanley Tang | Jul 23, 2026 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Tang: DoorDash employs over 9 million Dashers with 25 percent growth | Stanley Tang | Jul 23, 2026 | Supported |
| $86B | “eighty six billion dollars” | Fogel: Booking Holdings processed $186B in travel and 1B room nights | Glenn Fogel | Jul 9, 2026 | Supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Fogel: Booking Holdings processed $186B in travel and 1B room nights | Glenn Fogel | Jul 9, 2026 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Fogel: Booking Holdings repurchased roughly 40% of shares over 12 years | Glenn Fogel | Jul 9, 2026 | Supported |
| 100M | “A hundred million” | Brown: AISI evals show AI cyber capabilities improve past 100M tokens | Noam Brown | Jun 26, 2026 | Supported |
| 100M | “hundred million” | Brown: Test-time AI performance scales along a continuous, projectable slope | Noam Brown | Jun 26, 2026 | — |
| 5× | “five times” | Brown: Scaffolding Easily Inflates AI Benchmark Scores Without Real Gains | Noam Brown | Jun 26, 2026 | — |
| $10M | “ten million dollars” | Brown: GPT-3 Capabilities Could Not Scale With Test-Time Compute Budget | Noam Brown | Jun 26, 2026 | Supported |
| 100× | “hundred x” | Complex task compute costs fall 10x to 100x per model release | Noam Brown | Jun 26, 2026 | — |
| 1,000× | “1000 x” | Brown says AI models optimized his PhD poker algorithms by 1,000x | Noam Brown | Jun 26, 2026 | — |
| 5B | “five billion” | Tan: Jensen Huang's $5B Intel investment is now worth $25B+ | Lip-Bu Tan | Jun 18, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 25B | “twenty five billion” | Tan: Jensen Huang's $5B Intel investment is now worth $25B+ | Lip-Bu Tan | Jun 18, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 38% | “38%” | Lip-Bu Tan reports 159 IPOs, 126 M&A exits across his investment career | Lip-Bu Tan | Jun 18, 2026 | — |
| 1B | “one billion” | Tan: Venture Capital Firms Are Now Putting $1B Checks Into Startups | Lip-Bu Tan | Jun 18, 2026 | Supported |
| 76× | “76 times” | Tan: Cadence delivered an ~85x shareholder return under his leadership | Lip-Bu Tan | Jun 18, 2026 | Supported |
| 85× | “85 times” | Tan: Cadence delivered an ~85x shareholder return under his leadership | Lip-Bu Tan | Jun 18, 2026 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Tan: Setting goal of 10x shareholder return at Intel within a decade | Lip-Bu Tan | Jun 18, 2026 | — |
| 1.1B | “1.1 billion” | Rives: ESM Fold has predicted structures for over 1.1 billion proteins | Alex Rives | Jun 10, 2026 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Nadella: AI agent usage of Microsoft 365 could exceed human end users | Satya Nadella | Jun 4, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Human-in-the-loop oversight will fail as AI agent actions scale exponentially | Maxim Bar Kogan | May 28, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Human-in-the-loop oversight will fail as AI agent actions scale exponentially | Maxim Bar Kogan | May 28, 2026 | — |
| 100× | “hundred X” | Human-in-the-loop oversight will fail as AI agent actions scale exponentially | Maxim Bar Kogan | May 28, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Autonomous coding agents make up over 50% of enterprise AI usage | Maxim Bar Kogan | May 28, 2026 | — |
| 45% | “45%” | Autonomous coding agents make up over 50% of enterprise AI usage | Maxim Bar Kogan | May 28, 2026 | — |
| 2% | “two percent” | Autonomous coding agents make up over 50% of enterprise AI usage | Maxim Bar Kogan | May 28, 2026 | — |
| 10T | “10 trillion” | Independent AI oversight will become a $100 billion market opportunity | Maxim Bar Kogan | May 28, 2026 | — |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Independent AI oversight will become a $100 billion market opportunity | Maxim Bar Kogan | May 28, 2026 | — |
| 20× | “20 X” | Feldman: Cerebras is 15 to 20 times faster than GPUs at inference | Andrew Feldman | May 21, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 8M | “eight million” | Feldman: Cerebras burned $8M monthly for two years before chips worked | Andrew Feldman | May 21, 2026 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Feldman: UAE sovereign AI firm G42 placed a $1B order with Cerebras | Andrew Feldman | May 21, 2026 | Supported |
| $1K | “a thousand dollars” | Feldman: Cerebras spends $25k to $30k per engineer on AI tokens | Andrew Feldman | May 21, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Feldman: Companies scaling past 1,000 employees dangerously abandon fearless risk-taking | Andrew Feldman | May 21, 2026 | — |
| 2M | “2003 thousand” | Feldman: Companies scaling past 1,000 employees dangerously abandon fearless risk-taking | Andrew Feldman | May 21, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Feldman: Cerebras is the only pure-play public AI company | Andrew Feldman | May 21, 2026 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Helberg: US Accounts for 20% to 30% of Global Consumption | Jacob Helberg | May 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 4% | “four percent” | Helberg: US Accounts for 20% to 30% of Global Consumption | Jacob Helberg | May 14, 2026 | Supported |
| 4% | “four percent” | Helberg: US Re-Industrialization Inevitably Requires High Automation | Jacob Helberg | May 14, 2026 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Taubman: 80% of Long Lake's AI platform infrastructure is shared across verticals | Alexander Taubman | May 11, 2026 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Taubman: Long Lake HOA business accelerated from 0-5% to 20%+ annual growth | Alexander Taubman | May 11, 2026 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Taubman: Enterprise AI adoption is currently only around 1% penetrated | Alexander Taubman | May 11, 2026 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Taubman: Labor-intensive service businesses keep only 20 cents per incremental revenue dollar | Alexander Taubman | May 11, 2026 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Taubman: 30-40% AI efficiency gives service businesses software-like incremental margins | Alexander Taubman | May 11, 2026 | — |
| 30× | “30 X” | Guo: Baseten Has Grown 30x Over the Past Year | Sarah Guo | May 1, 2026 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | Srivastava: AI-Native Startups Represent 99% of Total Inference Call Volume | Tuhin Srivastava | May 1, 2026 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Srivastava: 95% of Tokens on Baseten Run on Custom Modified Models | Tuhin Srivastava | May 1, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Srivastava: 1,024 B200s Require 3-5 Year Contracts and 20-30% Prepay | Tuhin Srivastava | May 1, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Srivastava: 1,024 B200s Require 3-5 Year Contracts and 20-30% Prepay | Tuhin Srivastava | May 1, 2026 | — |
| 400% | “400%” | Srivastava: Baseten Maintains 400% Annual NDR and Zero Top-30 Customer Churn | Tuhin Srivastava | May 1, 2026 | — |
| 10× | “10 times” | McDermott: Replicating a ServiceNow app with LLMs costs 10x more | Bill McDermott | Apr 17, 2026 | — |
| 2T | “a one trillion” | McDermott: Cybercrime is a $1 trillion per month global problem | Bill McDermott | Apr 17, 2026 | Supported |
| 85B | “eighty-five billion” | McDermott: ServiceNow hosts over 85B workflows and 7T transactions | Bill McDermott | Apr 17, 2026 | Supported |
| 7T | “seven trillion” | McDermott: ServiceNow hosts over 85B workflows and 7T transactions | Bill McDermott | Apr 17, 2026 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | McDermott: AI agents manage 90% of ServiceNow's customer service cases | Bill McDermott | Apr 17, 2026 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | McDermott: AI agents manage 90% of ServiceNow's customer service cases | Bill McDermott | Apr 17, 2026 | — |
| 2.2B | “2.2 billion” | McDermott: 2.2 billion AI agents will enter the workforce within years | Bill McDermott | Apr 17, 2026 | — |
| 11% | “11%” | McDermott: Only 11% of Brazilian companies have moved past AI experimentation | Bill McDermott | Apr 17, 2026 | Supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Karpathy: Digital AI automation will outpace physical automation at speed of light | Andrej Karpathy | Mar 20, 2026 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Karpathy: Frontier AI researchers are actively automating themselves out of jobs | Andrej Karpathy | Mar 20, 2026 | — |
| 30× | “30 times” | Tiwari: Blackwell GPUs achieve 90 to 100x inference efficiency over Hopper | Neil Tiwari | Feb 26, 2026 | Supported |
| 100× | “hundred times” | Tiwari: Blackwell GPUs achieve 90 to 100x inference efficiency over Hopper | Neil Tiwari | Feb 26, 2026 | Supported |
| 37B | “thirty seven billion” | Tiwari: Enterprise AI reached about $37B total TAM last year | Neil Tiwari | Feb 26, 2026 | Supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Gil: AI labs scaled from $1B to $10B revenue in one year | Elad Gil | Feb 19, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Gil: AI labs scaled from $1B to $10B revenue in one year | Elad Gil | Feb 19, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Gil: GPT-4-level token pricing dropped 150x in 21 months | Elad Gil | Feb 19, 2026 | Supported |
| 150× | “150 X” | Gil: GPT-4-level token pricing dropped 150x in 21 months | Elad Gil | Feb 19, 2026 | Supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Gil: o1-equivalent model inference costs dropped 88x in 11 months | Elad Gil | Feb 19, 2026 | Supported |
| 88% | “88%” | Gil: o1-equivalent model inference costs dropped 88x in 11 months | Elad Gil | Feb 19, 2026 | Supported |
| 88× | “88 X” | Gil: o1-equivalent model inference costs dropped 88x in 11 months | Elad Gil | Feb 19, 2026 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Guo: AI inference clouds are growing 1,000x in compute consumption | Sarah Guo | Feb 19, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Gil: Top eight tech firms total $23T and over 50% of S&P | Elad Gil | Feb 19, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 4% | “four percent” | Gil: Top eight tech firms total $23T and over 50% of S&P | Elad Gil | Feb 19, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 12% | “12%” | Gil: Top eight tech firms total $23T and over 50% of S&P | Elad Gil | Feb 19, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Gil: Tech could reach 15% to 30% of US GDP by 2035 | Elad Gil | Feb 19, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Gil: Tech could reach 15% to 30% of US GDP by 2035 | Elad Gil | Feb 19, 2026 | — |
| 300M | “three hundred million” | Roblox targets capturing 10% of global gaming content and 300M DAUs | David Baszucki | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Roblox targets capturing 10% of global gaming content and 300M DAUs | David Baszucki | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Roblox targets capturing 10% of global gaming content and 300M DAUs | David Baszucki | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 3× | “three X” | Roblox targets capturing 10% of global gaming content and 300M DAUs | David Baszucki | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 3× | “three X” | Baszucki: Software CEOs must maintain both 3X and 10X targets | David Baszucki | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Baszucki: Software CEOs must maintain both 3X and 10X targets | David Baszucki | Feb 5, 2026 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Deming: Immunotherapy raised metastatic melanoma ten-year survival to over 50 percent | Laura Deming | Jan 29, 2026 | Supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Deming: Cryobiology uniquely allows swapping biological complexity for engineering difficulty | Laura Deming | Jan 29, 2026 | — |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Desai: Only single-digit pure-play software companies exceed $10B in revenue | CJ Desai | Jan 22, 2026 | Supported |
| 2B | “two billion” | Desai: MongoDB is the only new database to cross $2B revenue | CJ Desai | Jan 22, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Desai: Only about 10 AI-native companies have reached $100M ARR | CJ Desai | Jan 22, 2026 | — |
| $150B | “a hundred fifty billion dollars” | Michael: Department of War spends $150B per year on technology | Emil Michael | Jan 15, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 6M | “A five million” | Michael: Directed energy intercepts are far cheaper than missile defense against drones | Emil Michael | Jan 15, 2026 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Michael: Autonomous systems could consume 30% of defense budget within 10 years | Emil Michael | Jan 15, 2026 | Open |
| 3M | “three million” | Michael: Tiger team launched GenAI.mil to 3 million personnel in 60 days | Emil Michael | Jan 15, 2026 | Supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Michael: GenAI.mil reached over one million unique users in 30 days | Emil Michael | Jan 15, 2026 | Supported |
| $200B | “two hundred billion dollars” | Michael: Office of Strategic Capital has $200B at Treasuries plus 100bps | Emil Michael | Jan 15, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Huang: OpenEvidence operates at 90% gross margins | Jensen Huang | Jan 8, 2026 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Huang: Radiology software is 100% AI-powered, but radiologist headcount grew | Jensen Huang | Jan 8, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Huang: Servicing a billion robots will be the planet's largest repair industry | Jensen Huang | Jan 8, 2026 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Gil: GPT-4 equivalent token costs dropped over 100x in 2024 | Elad Gil | Jan 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 100× | “hundred X” | Gil: GPT-4 equivalent token costs dropped over 100x in 2024 | Elad Gil | Jan 8, 2026 | Supported |
| 100B | “hundred billion” | Huang: NVIDIA would be worth hundreds of billions even without chatbots | Jensen Huang | Jan 8, 2026 | — |
| 10× | “10 times” | Huang: OpenAI's revenue would scale 10x with 10x compute capacity | Jensen Huang | Jan 8, 2026 | — |
| $10B | “ten billion dollars” | Huang: NVIDIA's autonomous vehicle business is approaching $10 billion | Jensen Huang | Jan 8, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 100% | “100%” | Gil: Waymo and Tesla Autonomous Driving Will Dominate 2026 | Elad Gil | Dec 19, 2025 | — |
| 300M | “three hundred million” | ElevenLabs reached $300M ARR, split evenly between self-serve and enterprise | Mati Staniszewski | Dec 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | ElevenLabs reached $300M ARR, split evenly between self-serve and enterprise | Mati Staniszewski | Dec 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 5M | “five million” | Staniszewski: ElevenLabs has over 5 million monthly active creative users | Mati Staniszewski | Dec 11, 2025 | — |
| 93.5% | “93.5%” | Staniszewski: ElevenLabs' Scribe v2 hits 93.5% accuracy under 150ms latency | Mati Staniszewski | Dec 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Pereyra: Harvey reaches nearly 1,000 customers and 500 employees | Gabe Pereyra | Dec 5, 2025 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Pereyra: Real software engineering lacks objective unit-test verifiability at scale | Gabe Pereyra | Dec 5, 2025 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Pereyra: Legal is a $1T market while professional services is $3T-$5T | Gabe Pereyra | Dec 5, 2025 | Supported |
| 5T | “five trillion” | Pereyra: Legal is a $1T market while professional services is $3T-$5T | Gabe Pereyra | Dec 5, 2025 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Pereyra: Law firms will 10x in size again due to AI | Gabe Pereyra | Dec 5, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Pereyra: 20% faster coding does not produce products 20% faster | Gabe Pereyra | Dec 5, 2025 | — |
| 9% | “nine percent” | Wickramasekara: Prescription drugs account for 9% of US healthcare spending | Sajith Wickramasekara | Nov 13, 2025 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Wickramasekara: 90% of vertical AI is workflow translation and building trust | Sajith Wickramasekara | Nov 13, 2025 | — |
| $100M | “a hundred million dollars” | Wickramasekara: Pure AI biology model companies must morph into biopharma | Sajith Wickramasekara | Nov 13, 2025 | — |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Ramaswamy: Snowflake is not trying to replace SAP or Salesforce | Sridhar Ramaswamy | Nov 6, 2025 | — |
| 1B | “one billion” | Jain: Glean's largest customer holds over 1 billion internal documents | Arvind Jain | Oct 31, 2025 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Gil: Warp reaches near 1M MAUs, adds $1M revenue every 7–10 days | Elad Gil | Oct 23, 2025 | — |
| 1.3B | “1.3 billion” | Zach Dell: Base Power raised $1.3B in past 18 months | Zach Dell | Oct 15, 2025 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Dell: Solar makes up about 20% of Texas fuel mix | Zach Dell | Oct 15, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Dell: A $1B fundraise is table stakes in energy technology | Zach Dell | Oct 15, 2025 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Dell: 90% of power cost reduction comes from tech, 10% from capital | Zach Dell | Oct 15, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Dell: 90% of power cost reduction comes from tech, 10% from capital | Zach Dell | Oct 15, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Arora: Every firewall does the same thing within plus or minus 10% | Nikesh Arora | Oct 2, 2025 | — |
| 89% | “89%” | Arora: 89% of cyberattacks happen because of credential theft | Nikesh Arora | Oct 2, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Nikesh Arora: Sub-$1B Enterprise Companies Spend 50-65% on Sales and Marketing | Nikesh Arora | Oct 2, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 65% | “65%” | Nikesh Arora: Sub-$1B Enterprise Companies Spend 50-65% on Sales and Marketing | Nikesh Arora | Oct 2, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Nikesh Arora: Sub-$1B Enterprise Companies Spend 50-65% on Sales and Marketing | Nikesh Arora | Oct 2, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Arora predicts 80% to 90% of customer support eliminated in 2-5 years | Nikesh Arora | Oct 2, 2025 | — |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Liemandt: Trilogy was first 1990s product to sell $1B in AI | Joe Liemandt | Sep 25, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 10× | “10 times” | Liemandt: Learning science enables 2x–10x speedups, but fails in traditional classrooms | Joe Liemandt | Sep 25, 2025 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Liemandt: Alpha School yields top 1% academic performance in two hours daily | Joe Liemandt | Sep 25, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 10× | “10 times” | Liemandt: Alpha School yields top 1% academic performance in two hours daily | Joe Liemandt | Sep 25, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 85% | “85%” | Liemandt: Optimal learning occurs at 80% to 85% student accuracy | Joe Liemandt | Sep 25, 2025 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | Liemandt: Optimal learning occurs at 80% to 85% student accuracy | Joe Liemandt | Sep 25, 2025 | — |
| 66% | “66%” | Liemandt: Optimal learning occurs at 80% to 85% student accuracy | Joe Liemandt | Sep 25, 2025 | — |
| $1K | “a thousand dollars” | Alpha School Pays Middle Schoolers $1,000 for Reaching Top 1% | Joe Liemandt | Sep 25, 2025 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Alpha School Pays Middle Schoolers $1,000 for Reaching Top 1% | Joe Liemandt | Sep 25, 2025 | — |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Liemandt expects hundreds of Texas sports academy schools next year | Joe Liemandt | Sep 25, 2025 | Open |
| 7× | “seven times” | Liemandt: Skipping Multiplication Table Memorization Dooms Students in Advanced Math | Joe Liemandt | Sep 25, 2025 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Liemandt: 90% of Students Given ChatGPT in School Will Use It to Cheat | Joe Liemandt | Sep 25, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Liemandt: Parents will spend 10% of their income on kids' education | Joe Liemandt | Sep 25, 2025 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Zhang: Decagon cuts enterprise contact center costs by 60% to 70% | Jesse Zhang | Sep 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Gil: Golden growth period for companies is between 50 and 2,000 employees | Elad Gil | Sep 18, 2025 | — |
| 9× | “nine times” | Kushner: Affinity saw nearly 9x return on Phoenix Holdings in a year | Jared Kushner | Sep 11, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Kushner: Antonio Gracias saved over $10B annually on Social Security | Jared Kushner | Sep 11, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 40% | “40%” | Nadler: OpenEvidence is used daily by 40% of US doctors | Daniel Nadler | Sep 5, 2025 | — |
| 20× | “20 times” | Nadler: OpenEvidence is used daily by 40% of US doctors | Daniel Nadler | Sep 5, 2025 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Helberg: US relies 90% on Chinese minerals and Taiwanese semiconductors | Jacob Helberg | Aug 28, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2% | “two percent” | Helberg: US CapEx is over 2% of GDP and will probably double next year | Jacob Helberg | Aug 28, 2025 | Open |
| 3% | “three percent” | Helberg: AI infrastructure accounted for one point of US GDP growth | Jacob Helberg | Aug 28, 2025 | Supported |
| $50M | “fifty million dollars” | Helberg: DoD forged $750M deal with MP Materials for magnet production | Jacob Helberg | Aug 28, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2.7T | “2.7 trillion” | Helberg: Global defense spending reached a record $2.7 trillion this year | Jacob Helberg | Aug 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Helberg: Global defense spending reached a record $2.7 trillion this year | Jacob Helberg | Aug 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 65% | “65%” | Helberg: Europe's share of global GDP collapsed from 65% to 15% | Jacob Helberg | Aug 28, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 15% | “15%” | Helberg: Europe's share of global GDP collapsed from 65% to 15% | Jacob Helberg | Aug 28, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Helberg: DeepSeek lied about compute capacity and distilled ChatGPT weights | Jacob Helberg | Aug 28, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 4% | “four percent” | Helberg: US CapEx Surge Could Lift GDP Growth to 3% to 5% | Jacob Helberg | Aug 28, 2025 | — |
| 3% | “three percent” | Helberg: US CapEx Surge Could Lift GDP Growth to 3% to 5% | Jacob Helberg | Aug 28, 2025 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Helberg: US CapEx Surge Could Lift GDP Growth to 3% to 5% | Jacob Helberg | Aug 28, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Guo: Open Evidence reaches 50% of US doctors while keeping headcount minimal | Sarah Guo | Aug 21, 2025 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Gil: Many big tech companies could shrink by 70% and improve | Elad Gil | Aug 21, 2025 | — |
| $10M | “ten million dollars” | Patel: DeepSeek inference requires 160 GPUs and $10 million per replica | Dylan Patel | Aug 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 times” | Prince: Google Clicks Are 10x Harder to Get Than 10 Years Ago | Matthew Prince | Aug 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 750× | “750 times” | Prince: OpenAI and Anthropic Refer Traffic 750x and 30,000x Less Than Google | Matthew Prince | Aug 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Prince: 80% of major AI companies are Cloudflare customers | Matthew Prince | Aug 7, 2025 | — |
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