The Calls
Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.
Everyone Shaan Puri (36)Sam Parr (10)Joe Liemandt (3)Andrew Wilkinson (3)Michael Saylor (2)Mark O'Brien (2)Kevin Ryan (2)Kevin Rose (2)Brian Halligan (2)Anthony Pompliano (2)Will Ahmed (1)Tony Hawk (1)
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Next up (32)
109 days left 2026-12-31
Liemandt: Alpha will launch a free-to-learn educational game this year
“We have some of the world's best video game developers, right? Building and they're spending two years building a video game on this, these concepts. And it will be free to learn, you know, think free to play free to learn for five hundred million kids and it'…”
119 days left 2027-01-10
Puri predicts MrBeast will sell Feastables at a $6 billion valuation
“I would bet that he's going to sell that chocolate brand for Six billion dollars. That's my guess. I think that's what's gonna, I think if we fast forward the news three years from now you know, Mr. B sells the majority stake or in the chocolate business for a…”
416 days left 2027-11-03
416 days left 2027-11-03
459 days left 2027-12-16
498 days left 2028-01-24
795 days left 2028-11-16
885 days left 2029-02-14
Puri: Apple will eliminate Vision Pro battery cord within five years
“Five years from now, this thing is going to be incredible because they're going to solve all these annoying problems. It's going to become lighter weight. They're going to get rid of this cord. That's a battery that I have to put in my pocket while I'm using i…”
916 days left 2029-03-17
945 days left 2029-04-15
991 days left 2029-05-31
Espiritu: Epic Gardening surpassing $100M in revenue is a foregone conclusion
“I mean, I think it's like a foregone conclusion to get above a hundred million because we have, we've made a couple acquisitions. We made two small ones and one large one. And even just sort of growing those, I think has a shot at getting us past a hundred. I …”
1397 days left 2030-07-11
Parr: Young adults will trust AI over doctors within five years
“I bet that the 18 year old today in five years, they're going to go to the doctor. And when they go to the doctor, they're going to tell their doctor, this is the illness that I have. And I think it's this because what you and I would have said five years ago,…”
1481 days left 2030-10-03
1570 days left 2030-12-31
Mack: The first self-made teenage billionaire will emerge by 2030
“There will be, thanks to AI and the teaching collapse, I think, I've always said for a while, and I think AI's now accelerated this, is that you'll see the first teenage, first self-made teenage billionaire by the end, by 2030.
And I think that, that makes me …”
1570 days left 2030-12-31
1695 days left 2031-05-05
1732 days left 2031-06-11
1897 days left 2031-11-23
2327 days left 2033-01-26
2549 days left 2033-09-05
Puri: One-third of US Christian congregations will likely close by 2033
“Of the three, 350,000 Christian congregations in the United States, one-third are, like, vulnerable on the brink of collapse, basically. Like, one-third are, like, in the red zone, and over the next 10 years will likely close.”
2558 days left 2033-09-14
2558 days left 2033-09-14
2752 days left 2034-03-27
Pompliano: Bitcoin will protect corporate purchasing power better than cash over 10-20 years
“I think it is riskier for a company to sit with five hundred million dollars in US dollar cash on their balance sheet than five hundred million dollars worth of Bitcoin. And the reason being that or maybe the one clarifier is if you have a long-term oriented p…”
4396 days left 2038-09-26
4413 days left 2038-10-13
Meta will replace Zoom as the largest work platform in 10-15 years
“In 10 to 15 years, Facebook is gonna be, Facebook, like, Meta is gonna own the largest work platform, so I think that they're gonna be the Zoom, the whatever, because this experience where it looks like you could feel like you're in the same room as a person, …”
5299 days left 2041-03-17
5460 days left 2041-08-25
Puri: Tele-operated machinery will replace construction drivers within 10 to 20 years
“And so I think what's going to happen is, if you just fast forward 1020 years from now, I think all of this gets replaced with this technology that's, it's not self-driving, it's more like self-operating which is basically like, Remote or what they call tele-o…”
5530 days left 2041-11-03
6243 days left 2043-10-17
Puri predicts social networks will eventually be user-owned via crypto tokens
“I think I would bet that in the long horizon, let's call it 20 years These networks will be built in with, these networks will do this. They will have a currency for the users on the network. And so the users will, the users who contribute to the network will …”
6496 days left 2044-06-26
7196 days left 2046-05-27
Liemandt: In 20 years, 90% of parents will still use physical schools
“In 20 years, parents are going to drop their kids off at a building. 90% of parents, you have homeschool little stuff, but it's a niche. Nine percent of parents are going to drop their kids off at a building. And in that building are other kids and adults”
Closed calls (48) the full record →
Parr: AI video generation tools will be standard within ten years
“Like if they're not doing it now, like it's reasonable that in the near term of 10 years, like this is going to be normal and add two inches to that guy's neck beard and this is done.”
Puri: Companies will launch supplements to remove bodily microplastics
“I also think, by the way, for Plastic Free Everything, that there's gotta be a supplement that people are gonna try to sell that's going to, like, remove the plastic from your balls and your bloodstream. I think people are gonna get on the, you know, Every cat…”
Colleges will spin out athletic departments to private equity
“I think what's going to happen is again, it's uncharted territory. You don't know exactly how it's going to play out, but I think the short version is the college will spin out the program. Their athletics program is its own business entity. They'll sell equit…”
Parr: Elon Musk will become a trillionaire within 3-5 years
“A person worth one trillion dollars, which is what Elon will be in three or four or five years.”
Guo: AI video generation will produce $1B in revenue
“And so I think this is a good example of, like, I think there's a billion dollars of video generation revenue for them or for others, but, like, you know, you actually have to invest in the product pretty deeply, but it doesn't mean that your wedge can't be re…”
Shaan Puri predicts clean tampon startups will reach $100M in revenue
“There will be, trust me, there will be one, there will be two, there will be three that are in this category. Like, the current incumbents will either adapt or be replaced by alternatives that are gonna That are going to play on these health concerns.”
Jess Mah predicts artificial human egg generation from genetic material by 2028
“Let's say you wanted to be the mother of a child, not the father, and we could take your genetic material and create an egg out of that. I think that we're going to see that within the next five years.”
Puri: Legacy consulting giants will acquire billion-dollar AI-specific practices
“I believe that there's going to be billion dollar consulting companies that are specifically just about AI that the big consulting companies, Deloitte, PwC, McKinsey, et cetera, they're going to need to buy They're going to acquire practices that, that do this…”
Puri: AI agents will create self-executing to-do lists
“And what I realized was that's not going to stop at just cars, that the biggest opportunity is the self-doing to-do list, just like we have the self-driving car. And what's a self-doing to-do list? The self-doing to-do list is going to be, well, all of our pro…”
Puri: Sora will be the fastest app to reach 100M downloads
“I think this is going to be the most downloaded app in the history of the world in a short period of time. So I think it'll be like the fastest to get to a hundred million downloads.”
Shaan Puri: Meta is preparing to add screens to its smart glasses
“I think they're about to make them good, bad. And what good, bad is they, they're putting like a screen in it.”
Ahmed: Talent agencies for deceased people will emerge with AI
“I think that there there's going to be like a talent agency of sorts that's for non-living people.”
Shaan Puri: The AI email assistant market will be an absolute bloodbath
“I do feel undoubtedly that email inboxes are going to start to have AI in them and the AI is going to help you process, categorize summarize your emails in a way and respond, help you with the responses. The problem is Do I really believe that you are going to…”
Luckey: Bitcoin will reach around $100,000 and then stabilize
“My prediction in 2013 was that Bitcoin will go to about a 100,000 dollars and then stabilize. I'm sticking with it. I think it'll get there. I'm not sure that it in particular has the appropriate utility to reach a higher store of value.”
Puri: Developers will scrape Spotify to train open-source AI music models
“Somebody's about to do that for music. They're about to download all the music. They're about to go download all the music off Spotify. And then they're going to train an engine to say, Hey, create new music. This is what music is. Create new music. And that's…”
Current NFT protocols are temporary and won't exist in five years
“But I just think right now it's all half baked and all the Protocols are all made up and won't exist in five years.”
Puri believes Friend.tech is not the long-term winning crypto social network
“Frontech, I think is like another kind of like attempt. I don't think it's probably the one but I do think over the long haul, somebody will do that.”
Parr: Zapier can reach a $50B valuation within five years
“Can it be worth 50? Yeah, definitely. Keep in mind, we're talking about like five years from today.”
Sam Parr: AI voice cloning will be used in future movie production
“That Anthony Bourdain thing, that's obviously, that's gonna happen. That's gonna happen in the future, how movies are gonna come about.”
Puri: Labubu will hit $2B to $3B in revenue next year
“So, I actually expect that over the next year, this thing goes even, the star kind of goes viral now, but it burns out, and it hits a two billion or three billion in, in revenue.”
Parr: A private World's Fair will never reach 50M attendees
“It will never, ever, ever happen at that scale.”