Anthony Pompliano

Founder & CEO, Professional Capital Management · 2 appearances on the record.

computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →

investorfounderhostauthoroperator@APompliano ↗LinkedIn ↗pompletter.com ↗

Anthony Pompliano is the founder and CEO of Professional Capital Management and the host of The Pomp Podcast. He previously led product and growth teams at Facebook and Snapchat, and co-founded Full Tilt Capital and Morgan Creek Digital.

32statements → 19claims → 12claims resolved → 58%fully supported → 3.59/5average certainty → 2.34/5average debate potential → 4.3/5argument clarity · the sources → 78said about them ↓

7 supported 3 partly supported 2 contradicted 2 not yet assessed 5 not checkable as stated how the 19 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

8 predictions · 11 assertions · 3 opinions · 7 insights · 3 disclosures · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 19 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 12 are resolved, 2 are not yet assessed, and 5 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Anthony argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Prediction Held up
Pompliano: Bitcoin price will probably rise as halving cuts supply amid ETF demand
“The Bitcoin halving is coming, and that's just when the daily incoming supply, the number of Bitcoin that get created each day, is gonna get cut in half, from 900 Bitcoin to 450. So like, I always joke, if you went to Economics one-on-one class, supply and de…”
Anthony Pompliano Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 3:02 The Man Who Owns 1% Of ALL Bitcoin

Their most notable contradicted claim

Assertion Contradicted
Pompliano: David Tepper's personal taxes funded 3% of New Jersey's budget
“He was in New Jersey and he was responsible for three percent of the state's budget and the taxes he personally paid. And he moved to Florida.”
Anthony Pompliano Nov 29, 2023 ▶ 48:15 3 Business Ideas You Should Start in 2024 (ft. Pomp) (#524)

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
none yet certainty 2
63% certainty 3
75% certainty 4
none yet certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

Argument clarity: do they answer the question? how? →

4.3 / 5 directness 4.6 · coherence 4.5 · precision 4.2 · compression 3.6

redirected or did not address 1 of 8 assessed questions (13%). Watch them ▸

This is a score against a rubric. It is not a rank. Every host question → answer exchange is scored with names hidden on directness, coherence, precision and compression, 1–5 each, on meaning alone: disfluencies are ignored, and only raw unedited episodes count. This is the score that measures thought. Every scored exchange, scores shown → · The rubric and its checks →

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Anthony Pompliano on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Anthony Pompliano said on My First Million that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2034
Pompliano: Bitcoin will protect corporate purchasing power better than cash over 10-20 years
“I think it is riskier for a company to sit with five hundred million dollars in US dollar cash on their balance sheet than five hundred million dollars worth of Bitcoin. And the reason being that or maybe the one clarifier is if you have a long-term oriented p…”
Anthony Pompliano Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 16:10 The Man Who Owns 1% Of ALL Bitcoin
Prediction Held up
Pompliano: Bitcoin price will probably rise as halving cuts supply amid ETF demand
“The Bitcoin halving is coming, and that's just when the daily incoming supply, the number of Bitcoin that get created each day, is gonna get cut in half, from 900 Bitcoin to 450. So like, I always joke, if you went to Economics one-on-one class, supply and de…”
Anthony Pompliano Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 3:02 The Man Who Owns 1% Of ALL Bitcoin
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pompliano: Autonomous driving will make road line-striping businesses exponentially more valuable
“These like line striping or line painting businesses are going to be exponentially more valuable in the future because as self-driving becomes prevalent on the road, governments are going to mandate that the roads are painted more often so that the cars from a…”
Anthony Pompliano Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 23:44 The Man Who Owns 1% Of ALL Bitcoin
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pompliano: Manufacturing certain drugs in space may be cheaper than on Earth
“And then the second thing is if they're able to do this correctly, it actually may be cheaper to do some of this in space than it is on earth.”
Anthony Pompliano Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 53:49 The Man Who Owns 1% Of ALL Bitcoin
Prediction Partly held up
Pompliano: Solana will outperform Bitcoin and Ethereum this bull market
“I think Solana is going to go up a lot. It's going to go up a lot more than Bitcoin. I think it's going to go up a lot more than Ethereum in this specific bull market. Cause it's a smaller market cap. There's a lot of energy and excitement around it and all th…”
Anthony Pompliano Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 1:07:01 The Man Who Owns 1% Of ALL Bitcoin
Disclosure
Pompliano: Sold 100% of his Ethereum to buy Solana around $65
“Instead, what I did is I bought a little bit of Solana at 48 dollars. It started to go up a little bit more. And usually when that happens, people are like, oh, cool. I was right. Instead, I doubled the bet at 55. Like the position is going in your favor. And …”
Anthony Pompliano Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 1:07:27 The Man Who Owns 1% Of ALL Bitcoin
Opinion
Pompliano: Andrew Tate's viral content tactics became standard marketing playbooks
“If you look at his tactics, they have pretty much become standard in a lot of people's like marketing today. And so people kind of like saw this guy be successful on the internet, get a message out. And now you have a bunch of companies and individuals that ar…”
Anthony Pompliano Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 1:16:16 The Man Who Owns 1% Of ALL Bitcoin
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2028
Pompliano: Kim Kardashian will become US President one day
“I think she's going to be president of the United States one day.”
Anthony Pompliano Nov 29, 2023 ▶ 2:54 3 Business Ideas You Should Start in 2024 (ft. Pomp) (#524)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pompliano: Startups will use computer vision to automate municipal fine enforcement
“So I think there's going to be an entire rise of businesses that just use computer vision to do the same thing. Like anything that can be automated will be automated rather than have humans with their lazy eyes walking around, just have computers that constant…”
Anthony Pompliano Nov 29, 2023 ▶ 49:09 3 Business Ideas You Should Start in 2024 (ft. Pomp) (#524)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pompliano: Shareholders will revolt against public companies holding massive cash reserves
“My expectation is actually that shareholders at some point will start turning on some of these public companies that have tons of cash and saying like, Hey, if we're sitting there with, you know, Warren Buffett sitting with a hundred billion dollars of cash, l…”
Anthony Pompliano Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 16:46 The Man Who Owns 1% Of ALL Bitcoin
Opinion
Pompliano: Joining OpenAI or Anduril offers 2x to 5x upside, not 10x
“OpenAI and Anduril, I think, are both at this point where if you go and you join, like, you may be able to make a couple 100,000 dollars a year, and, like, there's probably some upside, but OpenAI at, like, eighty-five billion dollars, basically, you have to b…”
Anthony Pompliano Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 40:47 The Man Who Owns 1% Of ALL Bitcoin
Disclosure
Pompliano sold all of his Facebook equity compensation to buy Bitcoin
“Well, I sold it. And bought Bitcoin.”
Anthony Pompliano Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 44:05 The Man Who Owns 1% Of ALL Bitcoin
Insight
Pompliano: Big tech resume cachet fades after the first 500 employees
“Working at a place like Facebook, unless you're one of the first maybe, like, two to 500 employees it kind of just is like, all right, you're, like, kind of legit. You know, you worked at a place that has some sort of high bar. But now there's 80,000 people th…”
Anthony Pompliano Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 44:45 The Man Who Owns 1% Of ALL Bitcoin
Assertion Supported
Pompliano: Varda manufactures drugs in zero gravity and returns them to Earth
“And so what Varda does is they've created a space manufacturing facilities. They launched them up into space. They're right now manufacturing drugs in zero gravity. And then they're bringing it back to earth.”
Anthony Pompliano Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 53:17 The Man Who Owns 1% Of ALL Bitcoin
Insight
Pompliano: Crypto exits should be timed by market cycle, not valuation
“My theory in crypto now is selling is less to do with price levels. Like in the public markets, people will hold a stock and they're like, okay, if this ever gets overvalued, I'm selling, I'm trimming the position. In crypto, it's much more cyclical. And so I …”
Anthony Pompliano Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 1:12:02 The Man Who Owns 1% Of ALL Bitcoin
Insight
Pomp: The viral skills for a sex tape win modern presidencies
“Actually the same thing that makes the sex tape go viral gets you elected to be president today. So like in some ways it's actually the exact same skillset, just, you know, packaged up in a different way and with different ambitions or aspirations.”
Anthony Pompliano Nov 29, 2023 ▶ 3:04 3 Business Ideas You Should Start in 2024 (ft. Pomp) (#524)
Insight
Pompliano: Top content creators post spontaneously rather than using structured marketing calendars
“Whether it's Twitter, whether it's podcasts, whatever, the people who tend to be good at it, don't think of it and like sit down and like create a marketing calendar. Like, I dunno, they're like taking a poop and they pull out their phone and they start tweeti…”
Anthony Pompliano Nov 29, 2023 ▶ 24:44 3 Business Ideas You Should Start in 2024 (ft. Pomp) (#524)
Assertion Contradicted
Pompliano: David Tepper's personal taxes funded 3% of New Jersey's budget
“He was in New Jersey and he was responsible for three percent of the state's budget and the taxes he personally paid. And he moved to Florida.”
Anthony Pompliano Nov 29, 2023 ▶ 48:15 3 Business Ideas You Should Start in 2024 (ft. Pomp) (#524)
Assertion Supported
Pompliano: MicroStrategy owns over 210,000 Bitcoin, exceeding 1% of total supply
“And he went from owning zero Bitcoin in July of 2020 to today he has more than 210,000 Bitcoin, which is more than one percent of the Bitcoin network.”
Anthony Pompliano Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 8:49 The Man Who Owns 1% Of ALL Bitcoin
Insight
Pompliano: Startup resume cachet follows financial success, never the reverse
“They should be like, 10 x economic opportunities, and then 10 x reputation. It never works the other way. Like, there's no company that there's a 10 x reputation opportunity first, and then there's a 10 x economic opportunity. Like, the economics have to be ca…”
Anthony Pompliano Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 41:39 The Man Who Owns 1% Of ALL Bitcoin
Assertion Contradicted
Pompliano: Eight Sleep operates with 85 employees and is profitable
“They have only like a 80 or 85 employees. I believe that they've publicly said that the company's been profitable and they're selling a hardware product plus all of the software.”
Anthony Pompliano Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 52:34 The Man Who Owns 1% Of ALL Bitcoin
Assertion Supported
Pompliano: Bill Miller was Amazon's largest outside shareholder at around 15%
“And I think at one point he was the single largest outside shareholder of Amazon and owned like 15%.”
Anthony Pompliano Nov 29, 2023 ▶ 12:13 3 Business Ideas You Should Start in 2024 (ft. Pomp) (#524)
Assertion Partly supported
Pompliano: Wall Street refused a $1M bet against Bitcoin over 10 years
“We issued a million dollar bet to anyone on Wall Street. And we were like, we'll take Bitcoin. You take any other asset, like just pick anything over the next 10 years. If you beat us, like you get a million bucks. If Bitcoin outperforms, we get a million buck…”
Anthony Pompliano Nov 29, 2023 ▶ 17:36 3 Business Ideas You Should Start in 2024 (ft. Pomp) (#524)
Opinion
Pompliano: Warren Buffett was the original finance influencer and master marketer
“Warren Buffett was the original finance influencer, right? And I, I've joked a million times that if he was today, Buffett in his thirties, he'd have a sub stack, a Twitter account, a podcast. He'd be streaming on TikTok, like doing all this stuff.”
Anthony Pompliano Nov 29, 2023 ▶ 20:38 3 Business Ideas You Should Start in 2024 (ft. Pomp) (#524)

Show 8statements(8 left)

The other half of the tape: Anthony Pompliano's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 74 times in 20 episodes on My First Million. 4 statements on the record name them. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Shaan Puri 33Sam Parr 29Dan Held 8Jason Yanowitz 4

Statements about Anthony Pompliano, by other people (4)

Assertion Supported
Sam Parr: Snapchat fired Anthony Pompliano over refusing Facebook intel request
“It was Anthony Pompliano. He worked at Facebook. This is all public. This is, you can read the deposition, or I believe it's deposition... And basically, according to the records that we read, he worked at Facebook. He decided to work at Snapchat, and they sai…”
Sam Parr Apr 7, 2021 ▶ 27:11 MFM #168 - How to Reverse Engineer Businesses, The Indonesian King of Coal & the Story of Adidas
Assertion Supported
Puri: Anthony Pompliano raised $750M via SPAC for a Bitcoin strategy
“So our friend Pomp, Anthony, they SPAC'd a company, and the company's goal was to do the kind of Michael Saylor playbook, which is, it's a Bitcoin acquisition and finance company, and so what they're doing is they raise, I think, seven hundred fifty million do…”
Shaan Puri Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 54:52 How this dumb doll makes $2M per day
Assertion Supported
Parr: Anthony Pompliano shut down his investment fund and returned LP capital
“He wrote a letter to his investors saying, I'm shutting this down because I want more free time and I want to spend more time doing what I want. So here's your money back.”
Sam Parr Nov 19, 2021 ▶ 1:08:05 Dave Portnoy vs The World, Extreme Body Monitoring, "How Much is Pomp Worth?", and More
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Puri: Anthony Pompliano Will Make ~$1M From Job Board in 2021
“Pomp, I think, is going to make about a million dollars off his job board this year.”
Shaan Puri May 21, 2021 ▶ 49:02 Making Millions Improving Mobility & How to Beat LinkedIn | My First Million #184

Every mention by year

tap a year for its mentions
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051020212022202320242025episodes it came up in
002.5551020212022202320242025episodesmentions per episode
2025 10 mentions in 2 episodes 5 per episode
2024 3 mentions in 2 episodes 2 per episode
2023 9 mentions in 4 episodes 2 per episode
2022 2 mentions in 2 episodes 1 per episode
2021 50 mentions in 10 episodes 5 per episode

Appearances (2)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
The Man Who Owns 1% Of ALL Bitcoin Mar 27, 2024 39m
3 Business Ideas You Should Start in 2024 (ft. Pomp) (#524) Nov 29, 2023 36m
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