Prediction Open AI assessment confidence: 95% certainty 4/5 debate potential 1/5

The assisted fertility sector will continue growing over the next 10 years

Kevin Ryan · How This Billionaire Founder Finds +$20B Business Ideas | Kevin Ryan Interview (#495) · Sep 14, 2023 · at 32:29

Kevin Ryan discusses macro demographic shifts driving AlleyCorp to launch a new assisted fertility company.

0:00 / 0:05exact quote · 5.5s

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“That's going to grow for the next 10 years for all the reasons we know about people having children later, sperm counts are down, a bunch of things.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

The claim, plainly

Assisted fertility services, including IVF, egg freezing, and surrogacy, will continue to grow over the next 10 years.

a quote alone can be ambiguous, so this restates it with the references and context of the conversation around it resolved. AI-written; the tape below the player is the source.

Assessment

On September 14, 2023, Kevin Ryan stated that assisted fertility services would continue to grow over the next 10 years. As of September 2, 2026, only three years of this stated 10-year horizon have elapsed. While interim data through 2024–2026 shows consistent upward trajectory in both clinical procedure volumes and global market size, the claim spans through September 2033 and cannot be definitively settled until full 2033 surveillance data is available.

SART data shows U.S. IVF treatment cycles increased from 425,869 in 2023 to 449,772 in 2024, with live births exceeding 100,000 for the first time.
Elective egg freezing cycles in the U.S. expanded past 38,000 annual cycles by 2023.
Grand View Research reported the global assisted reproductive technology market grew from $27.6 billion in 2023 to $33.4 billion in 2026.
The stated 10-year evaluation horizon extends through September 14, 2033.

Checked against

[1] cdc.gov [2] nih.gov [3] contemporaryobgyn.net [4] sartcorsonline.com [5] asrm.org [6] uclahealth.org [7] grandviewresearch.com [8] bccresearch.com

egg freezing cycles increase CDC SART trends 2023 2024 CDC Assisted Reproductive Technology National Summary Report 2022 2023 ART cycles SART national summary report IVF egg freezing cycles 2022 2023 2024 assisted reproductive technology market size growth global 2023 2024 2030

assessed as of 2026-09-02

This assessment is an AI reading of a public statement, made against the cited references with the confidence shown. It can be wrong. The quote, the tape and the references are all on this page; if something is off, use report an error below. full disclaimer →

⏳ prediction date: 2033-09-14; checked again automatically on the next resolution wave

Mentioned

assisted fertility

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