Sam Lessin

315 statements across 112 episodes · 89 bullish · 139 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Jun 23, 2023 by Sam Lessin · across every show →

On the record as a speaker too: Sam Lessin's record, appearances and statements → this page counts the times other people say the name.

Everything said about Sam Lessin, oldest first

Jun 23, 2023
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: Slow Ventures backs creators using personal equity contracts
“I mean, we've financed several, we've been set, financed several at SLO, several creators this way and we can get into that and things like that.”
Sam Lessin Jun 23, 2023 ▶ 25:27 #3: Mr. Beast's burger bust and will M&A ever return? · More or Less Podcast
Jun 30, 2023 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Software Startup Passion Pitches Are a Little Crazy
“Anyone who gives you a passion pitch about why they have to found a software company is a little bit crazy, right?”
Sam Lessin Jun 30, 2023 ▶ 33:31 #4: MMA, M&A and Misfits; Silicon Valley's weird cultural moment · More or Less Podcast
Jul 31, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: The decade-long venture capital seed factory model is dead
“The version of Sea we had in the last decade is over. The capital factory is over. It's, someone will claim it back in some way, shape, or form, but it is dead.”
Sam Lessin Jul 31, 2023 ▶ 48:00 #7: Elon's X game and RIP seed investing · More or Less Podcast
Aug 4, 2023
Insight
Sam Lessin: Rich and poor choose identity over money, only middle class hesitates
“Pretend a devil came to you and said, you can either give up all of your cash, like all the money you have or your identity, which do you give up? Right. And what's interesting is very poor people, right and very rich people generally say they'd give up all th…”
Sam Lessin Aug 4, 2023 ▶ 7:09 #8: Where's the Barbie business pop? Why brands beat marketplaces · More or Less Podcast
Aug 4, 2023 positive
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sam Lessin: LK-99 superconductor will successfully replicate before 2025
“I'll say yes on one-time replication, and I'll go further to say, like, this is my AI killer scenario, where, like, it's so disruptive if it happens, right, that, like, it's worth putting a lot of effort in trying to figure it out.”
Sam Lessin Aug 4, 2023 ▶ 50:52 #8: Where's the Barbie business pop? Why brands beat marketplaces · More or Less Podcast
Aug 25, 2023 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Facebook built 15 unreleased takes on presence features
“Facebook did 15 takes that we didn't roll out.”
Sam Lessin Aug 25, 2023 ▶ 40:46 #11: Why hybrid work doesn’t work, long live the phone call · More or Less Podcast
Aug 25, 2023 bullish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: A fund backing only five-day in-person startups would outperform
“I bet that there'd be an appetite right now for a venture fund called six day a week or five day a week in person. And it only funds companies that are in person with an in-person pledge five days a week. Like I actually think they would outperform.”
Sam Lessin Aug 25, 2023 ▶ 16:01 #11: Why hybrid work doesn’t work, long live the phone call · More or Less Podcast
Sep 1, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Buying VCs' written-off startup stakes at 10 cents could succeed
“Someone could do really well picking those up, right, before they're dead.”
Sam Lessin Sep 1, 2023 ▶ 25:52 #12: Inside the VC brain · More or Less Podcast
Sep 1, 2023
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Big VC firms believe 30 is the ideal partner hiring age
“The big firms have a problem, really want to hire people in their early thirties, right? Like, their view is that if you've had a successful career in your twenties, you're super networked then, you have all the energy, You're not a fucking burned out, ten-yea…”
Sam Lessin Sep 1, 2023 ▶ 17:31 #12: Inside the VC brain · More or Less Podcast
Sep 1, 2023
Insight
Lessin: The most successful early-stage investments appear dead for years
“Most of the things I out of the gate thought were working ultimately didn't. They're the things that I had fundamental beliefs on and every single thing that I feel really proud of investing went through a several year period because we go so early of like, oh…”
Sam Lessin Sep 1, 2023 ▶ 22:59 #12: Inside the VC brain · More or Less Podcast
Sep 22, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Lyft has financially been a huge disappointment for dollars invested
“Lyft has obviously been financially a huge disappointment, right? Like for dollars invested, like some people might've gotten rich on it by timing it right and being in and out and lucky. But the reality is, is Enormous amount of money went in, far more than t…”
Sam Lessin Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 34:57 #15: Instacart’s Fake IPO and Why Hiring in Tech Is So Broken · More or Less Podcast
Sep 22, 2023 bearish
Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: BuzzFeed trades at 33 cents with a $50M market cap
“You know, you can look at all these IPOs, my favorite being Buzzfeed trading at 33 cents right now down from 10 dollars. It's like, you know, Buzzfeed's entire market cap is fifty million dollars, right?”
Sam Lessin Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 39:55 #15: Instacart’s Fake IPO and Why Hiring in Tech Is So Broken · More or Less Podcast
Sep 22, 2023 neutral
Insight
Lessin: Venture Capital Firms Merely Sell Commodity Money
“We just sell commodity money.”
Sam Lessin Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 18:03 #15: Instacart’s Fake IPO and Why Hiring in Tech Is So Broken · More or Less Podcast
Sep 22, 2023
Insight
Falling Tech Stock Prices Create Downward Spirals That Ruin Hiring
“In practice. What actually happens a lot of time is price equals quality. So like the price goes down and then you can't hire anyone, right? Ironically, people want to work at like the thing where like you get all the job applications and the stock price is to…”
Sam Lessin Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 45:05 #15: Instacart’s Fake IPO and Why Hiring in Tech Is So Broken · More or Less Podcast
Oct 6, 2023
Insight
Sam Lessin: Founders Must Assume Existing Cash Is the Last They Get
“You need to start thinking about your seed round or what you have is what you're going to get and be an entrepreneur and build a sweet business.”
Sam Lessin Oct 6, 2023 ▶ 17:37 #17: How to Save Your Startup, Twitter/X, Threads (and Swift’s Stunt Romance) · More or Less Podcast
Oct 13, 2023 positive
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Politicians Responded Better to Hamas Attacks Than Tech Leaders
“The politicians who are usually the worst, I think have actually been the best. Right. I guess this is their arena. And they are the ones that actually can pick sides.”
Sam Lessin Oct 13, 2023 ▶ 10:36 #18: Why This Week Changed Social Media Forever · More or Less Podcast
Oct 13, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Subscription News Orgs Won't Be Trusted Mass-Distribution Sources
“I don't, so I don't think it's going to be news orgs as much as I adore my wife. And I'll tell you why. I think it's a business model problem. So the news orgs have moved into a subscription model, which is correct for them. Right. And if you look at kind of a…”
Sam Lessin Oct 13, 2023 ▶ 29:37 #18: Why This Week Changed Social Media Forever · More or Less Podcast
Oct 13, 2023 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Well-Known VCs Blocked Universities From Investing Over Politics
“I know of some instances where some well-known VCs have stopped some well-known schools from investing because they said, we don't want to work for you anymore based on your politics.”
Sam Lessin Oct 13, 2023 ▶ 33:35 #18: Why This Week Changed Social Media Forever · More or Less Podcast
Oct 13, 2023 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Harvard and Stanford Responses to Hamas Attacks Are Unacceptable
“Where I think the universities, the elite universities have been the worst. Right. Like, you know, their responses have been awful. And there are exceptions, et cetera. I'm thinking specifically of Harvard and Stanford, you know, like truly unacceptable in ter…”
Sam Lessin Oct 13, 2023 ▶ 9:59 #18: Why This Week Changed Social Media Forever · More or Less Podcast
Oct 20, 2023 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Someone At The New York Times Must Resign Over Misinformation
“Someone needs to resign from the New York Times, right? Like the disinformation story, which we've all talked about for a generation in terms of where the world is at and where technology is obviously going is finally very practically and publicly coming home …”
Sam Lessin Oct 20, 2023 ▶ 6:43 #19: Answering for Misinformation: The New York Times Needs to be Held To Account · More or Less Podcast
Oct 27, 2023 negative
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: He will never fund a pure product CEO again
“I'm not financing product people who don't know how to build a business anymore, right? No way, right? Like, I'm financing people who know how to take my three million dollar seed check, And build a good business, which then someday becomes a great business. A…”
Sam Lessin Oct 27, 2023 ▶ 28:43 #20: The New Founder Mindset: The End of the Product-Focused CEO · More or Less Podcast
Oct 27, 2023
Insight
Sam Lessin: Founders should build on technology infrastructure once it gets boring
“And so when infrastructure gets sufficiently boring, that's when you should be building on it.”
Sam Lessin Oct 27, 2023 ▶ 42:46 #20: The New Founder Mindset: The End of the Product-Focused CEO · More or Less Podcast
Oct 27, 2023 negative
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: No amount of money could convince him to be CEO
“There's no amount, there is no amount of money in the world.”
Sam Lessin Oct 27, 2023 ▶ 10:18 #20: The New Founder Mindset: The End of the Product-Focused CEO · More or Less Podcast
Oct 27, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Snap is an unsuccessful one-trick pony that got eclipsed
“Now, I don't think it's been successful. You know, I think it was a one trick pony and it has been eclipsed in a thousand ways.”
Sam Lessin Oct 27, 2023 ▶ 7:42 #20: The New Founder Mindset: The End of the Product-Focused CEO · More or Less Podcast
Oct 27, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Wall Street is funding big tech over startups
“I'm in a hedge fund across from Google, you can see in the background, and the story is, unsurprisingly, they're shipping it to Microsoft and Meta and all the big companies. They are not shipping it to little companies anytime soon.”
Sam Lessin Oct 27, 2023 ▶ 3:14 #20: The New Founder Mindset: The End of the Product-Focused CEO · More or Less Podcast
Nov 3, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Sam Lessin is very skeptical of artificial intelligence investing
“As you all know, I'm very skeptical on AI investing. I don't really believe in it.”
Sam Lessin Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 5:58 #21: AI Regulation, War and the Future of the American Tech Stack · More or Less Podcast
Nov 10, 2023 neutral
Insight
Sam Lessin: Ease of building software does not make it compelling
“The fact that this thing is easy to make is not, in and of itself, make it a compelling product.”
Sam Lessin Nov 10, 2023 ▶ 18:59 #22: Your GPT Will Make More Money Than Your Substack? Please Tell Us More… · More or Less Podcast
Nov 17, 2023 bullish
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: Seed Investment Teamshares Has Acquired ~100 Small Businesses
“One great example is a company I'm very proud of having seeded is, you know, as the first investment called team shares, which has bought like on the order of a hundred small businesses and is growing super quickly.”
Sam Lessin Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 33:04 #23: Why (and How) SMBs and Creators Will Win With AI, the New Financing Contracts, and More · More or Less Podcast
Nov 17, 2023 bearish
Insight
Lessin: When everyone's productivity rises in competitive markets, income declines
“And so the reality is, yeah, sure, your output is up, but, like, everyone's output is up, and it's competitive market, so actually, Your income is down.”
Sam Lessin Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 48:28 #23: Why (and How) SMBs and Creators Will Win With AI, the New Financing Contracts, and More · More or Less Podcast
Nov 22, 2023 positive
Opinion
Lessin: Safest business outcome is Microsoft absorbing OpenAI's staff
“For the sake of business, it would be great if Microsoft just inherited the people that want to work on this stuff and they go into a normal business structure where they're a hundred billion dollar piece of a three trillion dollar company. That's the safest o…”
Sam Lessin Nov 22, 2023 ▶ 32:50 #24: Sam Altman - Religious Cult Leader or CEO? · More or Less Podcast
Nov 22, 2023 positive
Opinion
Lessin: A government-run Manhattan Project for AI would be reasonable
“I actually would have no problem with the Manhattan Project of AI run by the government. I think it's a pretty reasonable thing to be doing.”
Sam Lessin Nov 22, 2023 ▶ 28:10 #24: Sam Altman - Religious Cult Leader or CEO? · More or Less Podcast
Nov 22, 2023 negative
Opinion
Lessin: OpenAI's nonprofit governing a for-profit was an intellectual disaster
“This idea of wrapping A for-profit and a non-profit where the non-profit is, like, beholden to no one and somewhat religious, and the for-profit sits inside that was, like, hilarious, and was clearly intellectually a disaster, but everyone kind of looked the o…”
Sam Lessin Nov 22, 2023 ▶ 30:33 #24: Sam Altman - Religious Cult Leader or CEO? · More or Less Podcast
Dec 1, 2023 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: AI tools for rehearsing difficult conversations will be a massive space
“Like, if you told me that, like, the future is, like, there's, you know, you do use this stuff to be, like, I'm gonna fire someone. It's, like, here's what I'm gonna say. And you're like, all right, game, what are they gonna say back? And you, like, game theor…”
Sam Lessin Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 29:39 #25: TikTok, Porn and The Immediate Risks of AI · More or Less Podcast
Dec 8, 2023 bullish
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: Personally very long Ethereum, Solana is now technically viable
“I'll talk my own book on this for a second as a seed investor is like, it actually works, right? Like Solana as an ecosystem can actually do this now, which even two years ago, it couldn't like no one really could, you know, I'm very sure the Ethereum world. I…”
Sam Lessin Dec 8, 2023 ▶ 41:08 #26: Google Gemini, Meet Crypto-Cyber-Crystals · More or Less Podcast
Dec 15, 2023 neutral
Disclosure
Sam Lessin launches write-in campaign for Harvard Board of Overseers
“Can I jump in here as someone who's now running as a write-in candidate for the Harvard Board of Overseers to try to fix some of this stuff?”
Sam Lessin Dec 15, 2023 ▶ 21:31 #27: Make Number Go Up, and The Problem with Nonprofits · More or Less Podcast
Jan 12, 2024 neutral
Insight
Sam Lessin: Market downturns free VC partners by devaluing unvested carry
“One thing I would mention is that if you think about how venture capital compensation works, now's a good time for folks to move around because their carry in the last few funds ain't worth very much. And so if you think about it this way, it's like, there's l…”
Sam Lessin Jan 12, 2024 ▶ 21:40 #29: Is the Year of Startup Austerity Over? What Can Save the News Business? · More or Less Podcast
Jan 12, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Calendly had its best month ever due to his feud
“I got reports from the CEO and board members of Calendly that when I started going to war with them on this, they had their best month ever, and it was largely because I had done so much free marketing for them by saying how much I hate Calendly.”
Sam Lessin Jan 12, 2024 ▶ 3:21 #29: Is the Year of Startup Austerity Over? What Can Save the News Business? · More or Less Podcast
Jan 19, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin Calls Forbes Midas Seed List the 'JV Capitalism Team'
“I called it Midas Seed List is the JV Capitalism team, and I'm a proud multi-time member of it.”
Sam Lessin Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 2:22 #30: The Great App Store Debate, Layoffs, and Playoffs... Oh My! · More or Less Podcast
Jan 19, 2024
Disclosure
Sam Lessin Kept an Apple Executive's Business Card in an Emergency Glass Box
“I had a business card of one in an Apple executive that worked in the app store, and I put it in a glass box that you would break in an emergency and left it in the office. So then I'd say like, look, when you're pushing bills and things come up, if you need t…”
Sam Lessin Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 43:26 #30: The Great App Store Debate, Layoffs, and Playoffs... Oh My! · More or Less Podcast
Jan 26, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: Metropolis used private equity to acquire incumbent parking operators
“And, you know, that's what we did with this Metropolis deal, which is pretty interesting. We're like, we had better, you know, the Metropolis team had better software for operating parking garages, but it just turned out that for a bunch of structural reasons,…”
Sam Lessin Jan 26, 2024 ▶ 14:08 #31: Fintech Struggles, Netflix Rises and 'Big' is Winning · More or Less Podcast
Jan 26, 2024 bearish
Insight
Sam Lessin: Never compete against businesses whose workers avoid paying taxes
“The thing my dad taught me when I was a kid, he said, Sam, never, ever, ever compete in a business against people who don't pay their taxes. And my sense is that the lash people and the nail people do not pay their taxes. So it's going to be an uphill battle, …”
Sam Lessin Jan 26, 2024 ▶ 57:00 #31: Fintech Struggles, Netflix Rises and 'Big' is Winning · More or Less Podcast
Jan 26, 2024 neutral
Insight
Sam Lessin: Startups cannot sustain long-term value on single growth hacks
“And like you ride that hack for a while, but it's not going to last. And so at some point you have to say like, okay, my hack that I used to initially acquire customers or grow the, you know, the way AWS is valuable is not any one service. It's basically low l…”
Sam Lessin Jan 26, 2024 ▶ 10:59 #31: Fintech Struggles, Netflix Rises and 'Big' is Winning · More or Less Podcast
Jan 26, 2024 negative
Disclosure
Sam Lessin lost millions of dollars backing a new football league
“Listen, I burn, I lit millions of dollars on fire investing in a new football league, so I get it.”
Sam Lessin Jan 26, 2024 ▶ 6:14 #31: Fintech Struggles, Netflix Rises and 'Big' is Winning · More or Less Podcast
Feb 16, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Apple Vision Pro beats flat-screen TVs for live sports
“Honestly, it was a fabulous, I literally was sitting in front of our large flat screen in our living room with the Vision Pro on, not using the flat screen because the Vision Pro was better.”
Sam Lessin Feb 16, 2024 ▶ 7:14 #34: 7 Trillion Reasons Why · More or Less Podcast
Mar 8, 2024
Insight
Lessin: Algorithmic distribution control is a superweapon for shifting public opinion
“What you do is you, like, look, you just subtly, you think about bot farms and control, it's like, you're like, ah, I'm gonna let these people that are, like, pro this issue, I'm not gonna, like, limit them quite as much, or these other people, you can be so s…”
Sam Lessin Mar 8, 2024 ▶ 24:22 #37: TikTok's Latest Crisis, Elon's Emails, AI Monopolies · More or Less Podcast
Mar 8, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: The AI revolution is fake outside of narrow applications
“I don't think the AI, I think the AI revolution is fake. We all know this.”
Sam Lessin Mar 8, 2024 ▶ 2:36 #37: TikTok's Latest Crisis, Elon's Emails, AI Monopolies · More or Less Podcast
Mar 22, 2024 positive
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Reddit is a much easier business to own than Instacart
“I actually, I'd much rather own, as I guess I do, a little bit of Reddit than Instacart for a thousand reasons. It's a much easier business.”
Sam Lessin Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 37:08 #39: How (Not?) to Exit Your AI Company, Analyzing the New Google-Apple Tie Up · More or Less Podcast
Mar 22, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Reddit cannot generate billions just by selling data streams
“When you say, how are you going to make billions of dollars, which is all that matters to a company that's a six billion dollar company trying to grow, it is not going to be selling small data streams.”
Sam Lessin Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 39:46 #39: How (Not?) to Exit Your AI Company, Analyzing the New Google-Apple Tie Up · More or Less Podcast
Apr 12, 2024
Insight
Sam Lessin: Widely Known Information Has an Economic Clearing Price of Zero
“There's information that lots and lots of people know. The clearing price for that information is precisely zero. Right? Like if lots of people know something, it doesn't matter how it gets on the internet or if open AI bids one cent for someone to tell them a…”
Sam Lessin Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 27:28 #42: OpenAI, IP Theft and a New Incentive Structure for the Internet · More or Less Podcast
Apr 12, 2024 negative
Opinion
Lessin: ByteDance investors ignore national security risks for massive financial incentives
“Oh, they're pretty smart guys. They know exactly what's up. They, they're trading between what is obviously true to any American versus their enormous financial incentive, and empathy is a great word for that.”
Sam Lessin Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 39:16 #42: OpenAI, IP Theft and a New Incentive Structure for the Internet · More or Less Podcast
Apr 12, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Media will bifurcate into AI slop and expensive elite newsletters
“The future is going to be almost like, this is what happened after the printing press is the news got super scummy and shitty, and all the elites retreated to super high price Italian private newsletters to know what was actually going on in the world. That's …”
Sam Lessin Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 28:02 #42: OpenAI, IP Theft and a New Incentive Structure for the Internet · More or Less Podcast
Apr 19, 2024 negative
Opinion
Lessin: New York lacks tech giants because founders aren't empire-building
“I mean, there have been good New York startups, but I do think, like, the problem is, is like, look, there's just, There are too many places for talent to go. There's too much fun to be had, right? Like, if you want to live in New York and have a billion, a si…”
Sam Lessin Apr 19, 2024 ▶ 11:21 #43: TikTok’s New App, Tesla’s Sunken Stock, Are Tech Workers Leaving Silicon Valley For Good? · More or Less Podcast
Apr 19, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Lessin: Truth Social heavily shorted with shares to borrow running out
“It was shorted so much that there was a danger of it going through the roof because there were out of shares.”
Sam Lessin Apr 19, 2024 ▶ 59:24 #43: TikTok’s New App, Tesla’s Sunken Stock, Are Tech Workers Leaving Silicon Valley For Good? · More or Less Podcast
Apr 19, 2024 positive
Insight
Sam Lessin: Speaking and reading is the optimal digital interaction format
“In an ideal world, the way to interact with people is you speak and read Right? Like that's the way to, it's better for me to speak and I don't, and listening is too slow. Reading is much faster. So the best thing is speak and read.”
Sam Lessin Apr 19, 2024 ▶ 30:44 #43: TikTok’s New App, Tesla’s Sunken Stock, Are Tech Workers Leaving Silicon Valley For Good? · More or Less Podcast
Apr 19, 2024 positive
Insight
Lessin: Social strategy should be deep authenticity over algorithmic optimization
“My strategy on this stuff is very simple, which is just utter deep authenticity and fuck the network because you'll find the right people. If you like play to what it wants, it's not shocking.”
Sam Lessin Apr 19, 2024 ▶ 26:59 #43: TikTok’s New App, Tesla’s Sunken Stock, Are Tech Workers Leaving Silicon Valley For Good? · More or Less Podcast
Apr 19, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lessin says Calendly board thanked him after viral attack drove record month
“When I, like, got all, I, like, hate, I hate Calendly, and I made this viral post with, like, the millions of people engaged with about how Calendly sucks. And like, I got thank yous from multiple board members of the company because they said that it drove th…”
Sam Lessin Apr 19, 2024 ▶ 34:35 #43: TikTok’s New App, Tesla’s Sunken Stock, Are Tech Workers Leaving Silicon Valley For Good? · More or Less Podcast
Apr 26, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: AI Capabilities Are Asymptoting Faster Than Admitted
“I'm an asymptote guy, and I think we're asymptoting faster than people want to admit in this generation of technology.”
Sam Lessin Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 37:19 #44: The $1B AI Girlfriend Market, the Tech Hedge Fund Fallout and Why VCs Can’t Quit AI · More or Less Podcast
Apr 26, 2024
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: Facebook Forced Me to Sign Non-Compete Over Venmo
“When I went and worked at Facebook on the way in, one senior executive reviewed all my investments and told me which ones I had to divest from. Interestingly, path was fine at the time, but Venmo was a big problem. And then, yeah, believe it or not, I had to s…”
Sam Lessin Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 6:33 #44: The $1B AI Girlfriend Market, the Tech Hedge Fund Fallout and Why VCs Can’t Quit AI · More or Less Podcast
Apr 26, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: AI Startups Will Yield Zero Value and Go Bankrupt
“And so if you're someone like me, who's in the camp of this is a great disruptive Business technology, and zero dollars will accrue to startups, and they're all going bankrupt. I am now a zealot for no fucking way, right?”
Sam Lessin Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 32:41 #44: The $1B AI Girlfriend Market, the Tech Hedge Fund Fallout and Why VCs Can’t Quit AI · More or Less Podcast
Apr 26, 2024
Disclosure
Sam Lessin Plans a $100K Harvard Presidential Search Documentary
“So my first documentary, I'm thinking about like all of my strategies and things I want to do in life is I'm going to make one. I can't decide if it's called fixing Harvard or saving Harvard. It's going to be a Harvard presidential search and saving Harvard fo…”
Sam Lessin Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 13:17 #44: The $1B AI Girlfriend Market, the Tech Hedge Fund Fallout and Why VCs Can’t Quit AI · More or Less Podcast
May 3, 2024 positive
Opinion
Sam Lessin says Google was right to fire employees for office sit-ins
“And like, I think Google does the right thing. You fire the right few people for inching around it. The problem is when you don't, if you have rules and you let people trample them, you're screwed, right? You have to enforce your own rules, right?”
Sam Lessin May 3, 2024 ▶ 31:51 #45: How Tech Cos. Quit the Culture Wars · More or Less Podcast
May 3, 2024 negative
Insight
Lessin argues objective cultural quality is an illusion driven by repetition
“There's no quality. It's just enough people tell you it's good, and you eventually think it's good.”
Sam Lessin May 3, 2024 ▶ 55:04 #45: How Tech Cos. Quit the Culture Wars · More or Less Podcast
May 3, 2024 negative
Disclosure
Sam Lessin vows he will never hire student campus protesters
“Although I'll never hire any of them.”
Sam Lessin May 3, 2024 ▶ 18:28 #45: How Tech Cos. Quit the Culture Wars · More or Less Podcast
May 3, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin calls Silicon Valley AI juror hype asinine
“If you put the wrong Silicon Valley person on this podcast, they'd give you some asinine thing about how AI will be the jury in the future, and then they'll do it gleefully. They'll be like, and good news, we'll have better jurors because they'll be AI based, …”
Sam Lessin May 3, 2024 ▶ 4:47 #45: How Tech Cos. Quit the Culture Wars · More or Less Podcast
May 3, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Sam Lessin claims AI talent is the only scarce talent globally
“I do think that AI talent is the exception because it's the only scarce talent in the world right now.”
Sam Lessin May 3, 2024 ▶ 27:05 #45: How Tech Cos. Quit the Culture Wars · More or Less Podcast
May 3, 2024 negative
Insight
Sam Lessin says elite degrees no longer guarantee suitable business values
“You can no longer say, well, you went to Harvard, you went to Brown, you went to Stanford, you know, you've got the right values to do a lot of business. It's going to be a thing where employers really need to dive into the culture of whether they want to hire…”
Sam Lessin May 3, 2024 ▶ 30:57 #45: How Tech Cos. Quit the Culture Wars · More or Less Podcast
May 17, 2024 bullish
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: Slow Ventures Targets Niche Creators With Zero CAC Advantage
“The way we've been playing this is our creator investing strategy, right? Which is you find creators, right, who have built cults around them in super specific verticals where they are the trusted brand, right? Whether it's in lawn care or terrariums or someth…”
Sam Lessin May 17, 2024 ▶ 43:47 #47: Algorithm-Proof Media and New Twists in the AI War · More or Less Podcast
May 17, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Sam Lessin would deploy an avatar AI agent to attend large Zooms
“If you told me I would use an AI that I could dispatch onto large zooms as me, Can log in, review them and just send me notes. That is an actual use case. It has to look like me because otherwise it wouldn't be allowed in. But if there was a thing, which is li…”
Sam Lessin May 17, 2024 ▶ 4:48 #47: Algorithm-Proof Media and New Twists in the AI War · More or Less Podcast
May 17, 2024
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: GLG Paid Me $5,000 an Hour to Advise Hedge Funds
“When I left GLG, they used to pay me like five grand an hour to like talk to hedge funds. And I did it a few times.”
Sam Lessin May 17, 2024 ▶ 6:11 #47: Algorithm-Proof Media and New Twists in the AI War · More or Less Podcast
May 31, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin argues that men-only tech events should be allowed
“We now live in a world of LadyFests and things that are a lot of men, but there are also ladies. There are no ManFests because we somehow convinced ourselves that ManFest is canceled. And I don't think this is fair. I think if there's LadyFest, there should be…”
Sam Lessin May 31, 2024 ▶ 48:11 #49: The Big Ass Calendar… and Other Things NOT to Google · More or Less Podcast
May 31, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Sam Lessin says coding is his only real generative AI use case
“Actually, to be honest, like, the coding use case is the only thing I really get value from these systems because it is exactly what I need. It doesn't actually give me the right answers, but it points me in the right direction on stuff I don't know, and then …”
Sam Lessin May 31, 2024 ▶ 23:51 #49: The Big Ass Calendar… and Other Things NOT to Google · More or Less Podcast
Jun 7, 2024 neutral
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: I No Longer Follow Accounts on Social Media
“Listen, I don't follow shit anymore. I just get things fed to me, like a pig. It's just whatever comes up next.”
Sam Lessin Jun 7, 2024 ▶ 1:44 #50: Startups to Start: Media Edition · More or Less Podcast
Jun 7, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: OpenAI Steals Ideas and Handles the Consequences Later
“You know what OpenAI would do is they would just steal it and then deal with the problems later.”
Sam Lessin Jun 7, 2024 ▶ 11:06 #50: Startups to Start: Media Edition · More or Less Podcast
Jun 14, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Lessin: Frontier foundation AI models are great research projects, not great businesses
“Like what, it's a great research project. I don't see it being a great business personally.”
Sam Lessin Jun 14, 2024 ▶ 54:30 #51: Vinod Khosla on What to Build in AI · More or Less Podcast
Jun 21, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Personalized Fantasy AI Companions for Children Will 1,000% Happen
“Wait until you have a fantiful character that knows you incredibly well, and everything about you, and is like your kid's best friend, but is like a fantasy made up character, which by the way will 1000% happen.”
Sam Lessin Jun 21, 2024 ▶ 41:30 #52: Elad Gil on What to Build in AI (Part II) · More or Less Podcast
Jul 5, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Billionaires bought pickleball teams as tax shelters, not real franchises
“Well, they ran out, all of the billionaires and rich people bought Pickleball teams last, in the last two years, because they like the idea of owning professional sports teams because they're incredible tax hacks to them, but they can't afford real sports team…”
Sam Lessin Jul 5, 2024 ▶ 4:33 #54: Sun Valley, Tennis and Robots: Summer Adventure Preview · More or Less Podcast
Jul 5, 2024 positive
Insight
Sam Lessin: Pickleball forced tennis to reinvest, like snowboarding did for skiing
“I think this is one of the unintended consequences of the rise of pickleball, which is the most ridiculous sport, which is, it just, this is kind of what happens. It's like, you get like a snowboarding, and then skiing gets really good, because you're like, fu…”
Sam Lessin Jul 5, 2024 ▶ 2:45 #54: Sun Valley, Tennis and Robots: Summer Adventure Preview · More or Less Podcast
Jul 5, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Padel is tennis for billionaires, pickleball is for old people
“Padel is like tennis for billionaires. Tennis is like for millionaires and pickleball is for old people.”
Sam Lessin Jul 5, 2024 ▶ 5:09 #54: Sun Valley, Tennis and Robots: Summer Adventure Preview · More or Less Podcast
Jul 19, 2024
Disclosure
Sam Lessin says he was the first financier of Venmo
“As, you know, as the first financier of Venmo, let's just talk about this story.”
Sam Lessin Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 12:17 #56: Trump and the PayPal Mafia · More or Less Podcast
Aug 2, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Cover Letters Are Worthless Due to Cheap AI Generation
“Cover letters are fucking worthless now, right, because, like, they're too cheap To send.”
Sam Lessin Aug 2, 2024 ▶ 40:39 #58: The Death of Friends · More or Less Podcast
Aug 2, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: AI Will Limit Interactions to Vetted People and Known Networks
“I do think, unfortunately, what it really is gonna do is limit our willingness to interact with people we don't know or aren't vetted.”
Sam Lessin Aug 2, 2024 ▶ 43:01 #58: The Death of Friends · More or Less Podcast
Aug 2, 2024 neutral
Disclosure
Lessin: Shorting Nvidia is crazy, and I would never do it
“I would never short NVIDIA because that is a crazy fucking idea, right? Like I think part of the reason that some of these things rip is because people should be rightly terrified to short them”
Sam Lessin Aug 2, 2024 ▶ 19:49 #58: The Death of Friends · More or Less Podcast
Aug 2, 2024 negative
Opinion
Lessin: Uninformed East Coast people believe AI will take over everything
“Wandering on the East Coast and talking to people on the East Coast about AI that know nothing about AI is, boy, do they have opinions and believe it's going to take over everything.”
Sam Lessin Aug 2, 2024 ▶ 8:53 #58: The Death of Friends · More or Less Podcast
Aug 9, 2024 negative
Insight
Sam Lessin: Creator success requires edge and differentiation, not generic AI tools
“Is, it's exactly the type of shit that just everyone comes blind to is everyone does the same thing, and then no one gives a shit. The whole creative thing is finding edge. It's edge. You gotta do something different.”
Sam Lessin Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 34:57 #59: Google: Can it Outrun Regulation? · More or Less Podcast
Aug 9, 2024 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2029
Lessin predicts OpenAI equity value is headed to zero
“Guys, I've been saying OpenAI zero the entire time. And I'm gonna keep saying it.”
Sam Lessin Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 24:30 #59: Google: Can it Outrun Regulation? · More or Less Podcast
Aug 16, 2024 positive
Opinion
Morin: Body optimization protocols represent a new moral framework, not a fad
“This is not just a fad. This is, like, actually a new moral framework. Like, I think this is actually, like, a new moral framework.”
Dave Morin Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 35:31 #60: Body Futurism and Why Gen Z is Ditching Tech · More or Less Podcast
Aug 23, 2024
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin Gathered 15,000 VC Emails by Gating His Pitch Deck
“Well, that's basically what I did for my future VC. And I have 15,000 VCs email addresses, which, you know, I now send them my weekly thoughts.”
Sam Lessin Aug 23, 2024 ▶ 3:05 #61: The Venture Capital Reset Era · More or Less Podcast
Aug 30, 2024 positive
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Burning Man's gift economy makes me appreciate capitalism
“It makes me appreciate capitalism, right? Where like we use this thing called money and trade for things and services with each other.”
Sam Lessin Aug 30, 2024 ▶ 2:52 #62: Telegram, Free Speech and Its Limits · More or Less Podcast
Aug 30, 2024 neutral
Disclosure
Dave Morin: We almost invested in the original Telegram TON token deal
“We were doing that original ton deal, Sam, and then it fell apart.”
Dave Morin Aug 30, 2024 ▶ 14:20 #62: Telegram, Free Speech and Its Limits · More or Less Podcast
Sep 6, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Massive AI compute clusters are just billionaire dick-measuring contests
“It's the ultimate pissing context. This is like, instead of having sports cars, you now have large compute clusters as a dick measuring competition.”
Sam Lessin Sep 6, 2024 ▶ 44:13 #63: 'Nasty' Founder Mode · More or Less Podcast
Sep 6, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Instacart would fail if executives adopted founder mode
“Instacart would be a complete disaster if all the people running around as executives being founder mode. Like, you need them to, like, sign up for goals and hit them and turn cranks and take incredible joy out of hitting their metrics, right, so that you can …”
Sam Lessin Sep 6, 2024 ▶ 23:32 #63: 'Nasty' Founder Mode · More or Less Podcast
Sep 6, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: An OnlyFans expansion into in-person experiences would crush it
“Like seriously, the OnlyFans extension into experiences would crush it, because porn always leads.”
Sam Lessin Sep 6, 2024 ▶ 42:48 #63: 'Nasty' Founder Mode · More or Less Podcast
Sep 6, 2024 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Facebook alternated organizational structures every few years
“At Facebook when I was there, You know, we kept switching between a functional design, right, where like PMs report to PMs all the way through up, and like product groups. We say, okay, this product cluster all reports through this person. And the basic conclu…”
Sam Lessin Sep 6, 2024 ▶ 17:13 #63: 'Nasty' Founder Mode · More or Less Podcast
Sep 13, 2024 neutral
Insight
Sam Lessin: IRL event audiences are irrelevantly small compared to the internet
“The internet is so big that like anything you do IRL is just going to be like an irrelevantly small number of people.”
Sam Lessin Sep 13, 2024 ▶ 16:32 #64: Meta vs. Apple: the Future of Open vs. Closed Tech · More or Less Podcast
Sep 20, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Solana is the most important crypto alternative; short Ethereum
“And I think is probably the most important cryptocurrency outside of Bitcoin. I'm a short on ETH long on Solana”
Sam Lessin Sep 20, 2024 ▶ 42:10 #65: Instagram, YouTube and the Kids · More or Less Podcast
Oct 4, 2024
Disclosure
Sam Lessin provides content to anonymous creator of @VCBrags
“I have no idea who it is, but the person behind it and I are in close contact because I provide fodder for him, and we like to share notes.”
Sam Lessin Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 1:23 #67: OpenAI Sets a Record and Will Apple Make Its Next Move? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 4, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Big tech incumbents will capture all generative AI profits
“I mean, I obviously deeply agree with the fact that the incumbents are going to crush all of this. Right. And I think that's where all the money's going to be made.”
Sam Lessin Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 21:39 #67: OpenAI Sets a Record and Will Apple Make Its Next Move? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 18, 2024 negative
Disclosure
Lessin: Apple's in-app purchase rules drove him back to paperback books
“I've started buying paperbacks again, though, because I'm so sick that I can't buy Kindle stuff in the app on my iPhone. So I literally just gone back to paperbacks.”
Sam Lessin Oct 18, 2024 ▶ 43:08 #69: Robots, Rockets, and Elon Hype · More or Less Podcast
Nov 8, 2024 positive
Opinion
Lessin: Trump used targeted internet influencers while Harris relied on mass media
“Like if you just get down to how do you run a modern campaign with targeted influencers in the places that matter with an open pipe versus mass media, you know, biggest voices like Trump, just like either intentionally or by happenstance has exactly the right …”
Sam Lessin Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 10:26 #72: Trump's Influencer Strategy Pays Off and the Future of App Building (with Guillermo Rauch!) · More or Less Podcast
Nov 8, 2024
Disclosure
Lessin bought ten million Dogecoin for approximately $5,000
“I bought ten million doge for like five grand.”
Sam Lessin Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 1:07:23 #72: Trump's Influencer Strategy Pays Off and the Future of App Building (with Guillermo Rauch!) · More or Less Podcast
Nov 8, 2024
Insight
Lessin: Internet communication resembles seed investing, broadcast is like growth investing
“Internet communication with an open fat pipe where you can speak to everyone all the time lends itself towards going for home runs, thousand X winner statements, thousand X winner moments, and then just like burying very easily everything else, right? It's kin…”
Sam Lessin Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 9:28 #72: Trump's Influencer Strategy Pays Off and the Future of App Building (with Guillermo Rauch!) · More or Less Podcast
Nov 8, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: AI search summaries will break the internet's economic machine for truth
“You're just going to break the entire machine for truth, right? Because you just get a reflection of whatever the economics are of the system. And if the economics are, oh, we're just going to like, there's no way to monetize it, you know, or even now it's lik…”
Sam Lessin Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 45:07 #72: Trump's Influencer Strategy Pays Off and the Future of App Building (with Guillermo Rauch!) · More or Less Podcast
Nov 15, 2024 bearish
Insight
Sam Lessin: Public companies valued under $10 billion no longer make sense
“Small companies don't make sense, right? Sub ten billion dollar public companies.”
Sam Lessin Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 37:57 #73: Elon to Lead DOGE, Bitcoin Surges & the Trump Alliance · More or Less Podcast
Nov 15, 2024 negative
Insight
Sam Lessin: Tech acqui-hires and tuck-in acquisitions are rarely worth doing
“I think companies have learned that most of these tack on type things and certainly acquires just aren't worth it. Right. It's like better to double down on your core business. You can build whatever you want yourself.”
Sam Lessin Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 35:46 #73: Elon to Lead DOGE, Bitcoin Surges & the Trump Alliance · More or Less Podcast
Nov 15, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: IPO Window Will Reopen for the Biggest Private Companies
“The reason the IPO would know it reopen, and I think it will reopen for the biggest of the private companies would be that diversification wealth effect strategy. Whereas if the market runs enough and people are feeling rich, they're going to want to diversify…”
Sam Lessin Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 39:49 #73: Elon to Lead DOGE, Bitcoin Surges & the Trump Alliance · More or Less Podcast
Nov 15, 2024 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Monetizing LLMs through advertising requires inventing a new ad format
“The way I think it's similar to social media is that you need a new ad format that doesn't exist yet.”
Sam Lessin Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 45:52 #73: Elon to Lead DOGE, Bitcoin Surges & the Trump Alliance · More or Less Podcast
Nov 15, 2024 positive
Insight
Sam Lessin: Meta's true power comes from controlling the ad buying experience
“Why is Meta so powerful? It's as much because they own the buying experience for ads as it is because they own the engagement, right? It's very hard to break once you have it.”
Sam Lessin Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 51:55 #73: Elon to Lead DOGE, Bitcoin Surges & the Trump Alliance · More or Less Podcast
Nov 15, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: Dogecoin is doing $28 billion in daily trading volume
“Well, it's doing twenty eight billion in trading.”
Sam Lessin Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 13:19 #73: Elon to Lead DOGE, Bitcoin Surges & the Trump Alliance · More or Less Podcast
Dec 6, 2024 bullish
Prediction Held up
Morin: Voice AI will reliably book restaurant reservations within five years
“Five years from now, you will, Sam.”
Dave Morin Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 46:10 #76: In a World with 99.99% Accurate AI… (feat. Aaron Levie) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 13, 2024 positive
Insight
Lessin: Sustainable creator economics depend on trust and identity, not attention
“And there's a very big difference between economics based on attention, right. Versus economics that are based on like trust and identity. And I actually think real creators build their businesses around trust and identity, not around attention.”
Sam Lessin Dec 13, 2024 ▶ 15:41 #77: Sora Reveal, Google's AI Agents and Digital Trade Under Trump · More or Less Podcast
Dec 13, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Lessin: Why he would never invest in MrBeast or attention-based creators
“So I actually, I mean, this is why I would never invest in like Mr. Beast or anyone who's in the attention game, right? I actually think that that is a total war of attrition and not winnable long term.”
Sam Lessin Dec 13, 2024 ▶ 13:15 #77: Sora Reveal, Google's AI Agents and Digital Trade Under Trump · More or Less Podcast
Dec 20, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brit Morin: US will ban Chinese e-commerce companies
“Especially when Chinese companies get banned, then what are you gonna do, Sam?”
Brit Morin Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 3:01 #78: 2024 Tech Company of the Year + 2025 Predictions · More or Less Podcast
Dec 27, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: I would not vote to reinstate Sam Altman as OpenAI CEO
“If I'm in the seat, I don't bring him back, right? I say it's the ring of power. I threw it away.”
Sam Lessin Dec 27, 2024 ▶ 31:44 #79: The More or Less Holiday Special Pt. 1 (AI Highlights) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 27, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Vercel will struggle to monetize commoditized AI software creation
“If the marginal cost of building, it goes towards zero. And like, that's the general trend of history. My big concern for your company will be, you're not going to get paid enough for it. Right. Cause like it'll be commodity.”
Sam Lessin Dec 27, 2024 ▶ 1:36:02 #79: The More or Less Holiday Special Pt. 1 (AI Highlights) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 27, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Lessin: AI seed investing is a fool's errand
“I think most seed investors getting into AI are playing a fool's errand because it's not a place where one to three million dollars really can move the needle in terms of value, in terms of what the game is.”
Sam Lessin Dec 27, 2024 ▶ 49:23 #79: The More or Less Holiday Special Pt. 1 (AI Highlights) · More or Less Podcast
Jan 4, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Bitcoin will face strong sell pressure around $100K
“Look, I think there will be a lot of cell pressure into like just around a hundred K just because a lot of people have been up and down and say that's a good number and I'm out.”
Sam Lessin Jan 4, 2025 ▶ 56:07 #80: More or Less Holiday Special Pt. 2 (Crypto and Antitrust) · More or Less Podcast
Jan 4, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: Missed out on massive Ripple token gains despite seed investment
“As a seed investor in Ripple, as a seed investor, a lot of things I can tell you a lot. I have a lot of missing zeros on my net worth for missing out on some of that.”
Sam Lessin Jan 4, 2025 ▶ 45:29 #80: More or Less Holiday Special Pt. 2 (Crypto and Antitrust) · More or Less Podcast
Jan 4, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: I am personally short Ethereum and long Solana
“You know, I'm very sure the Ethereum world. I'm very long. Dave Morin: Solana. Sam Lessin: It's a personal book.”
Sam Lessin Jan 4, 2025 ▶ 43:57 #80: More or Less Holiday Special Pt. 2 (Crypto and Antitrust) · More or Less Podcast
Jan 17, 2025 positive
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Cultural shift has freed people to speak their true beliefs
“In this last few months, even, we've kind of switched where there was a lot of things that were unsayable, or you could say, but it was, like, dangerous. Not dangerous from a practical perspective, but, like, it's just, like, You were supposed to say, then now…”
Sam Lessin Jan 17, 2025 ▶ 9:31 #82: TikTok, Trade Wars & Tech 2.0 · More or Less Podcast
Jan 24, 2025 bearish
Insight
Sam Lessin: Seed investors must sell the second SoftBank buys in
“One of my number one rules of seed investing is that the second SoftBank buys, you must sell. I've learned this the hard way several times.”
Sam Lessin Jan 24, 2025 ▶ 14:27 #83: Trump Inauguration, Stargate, and the Meme Economy · More or Less Podcast
Jan 24, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Financial Reality Will Ultimately Break OpenAI's Cult Narrative
“OpenAI has built a great cult around itself. It has, it's awesome from that perspective. I do think that the gravity of the financial meme, right, and effectively financial thinking will ultimately break that, right? I don't think that it can survive as a narr…”
Sam Lessin Jan 24, 2025 ▶ 29:40 #83: Trump Inauguration, Stargate, and the Meme Economy · More or Less Podcast
Jan 24, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Slow Ventures' $400,000 seed check into Solana is now worth $2.2 billion
“The 400,000 bucks we put into Solana, I think is right now worth 2.2 billion, right? Like, you know, and like, we distributed well, but not that well, right?”
Sam Lessin Jan 24, 2025 ▶ 37:46 #83: Trump Inauguration, Stargate, and the Meme Economy · More or Less Podcast
Feb 7, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: I bought 2% of Jelly Jelly to establish it
“We launched this thing as a fair launch. I bought, I put it out. I bought two percent of it for almost nothing to just establish it.”
Sam Lessin Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 43:51 #85: The $250M Meme Coin Experiment · More or Less Podcast
Feb 7, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Lessin: Met weekly for 18 months with Venmo co-founder on Jelly Jelly
“And we've been meeting weekly for 18 months to go over this company that he's been working on, Jelly Jelly, where I've been an investor. I was an investor of the previous company. I have, like, I'll always back Ikram. I believe in Ikram.”
Sam Lessin Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 4:29 #85: The $250M Meme Coin Experiment · More or Less Podcast
Feb 7, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Meme coin launch drove tens of thousands of app downloads
“There's also like this drove like tens of thousands of downloads of the app and trying the app.”
Sam Lessin Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 12:37 #85: The $250M Meme Coin Experiment · More or Less Podcast
Feb 7, 2025
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Lessin: Meme coin Jelly Jelly hit $200M market cap on $500M volume
“Jelly Jelly, again, the crazy, crazy wild initial ride, it went up to two hundred million dollars in, in, on a five, something like half a billion dollars of volume, which is insanity. There's actually real liquidity on it.”
Sam Lessin Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 46:24 #85: The $250M Meme Coin Experiment · More or Less Podcast
Feb 7, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Meme Coins Typically Drop to 10% to 25% of Peak
“If you look at all of these, right, the general trend, and you can talk about like mini pumps in between or whatever, is that they've all like traded like a 10th or a quarter of where they peaked out briefly, right?”
Sam Lessin Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 28:25 #85: The $250M Meme Coin Experiment · More or Less Podcast
Feb 7, 2025
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Feb 2025
Lessin: Doubled Twitter follower count following meme coin launch
“It's just like the interesting experience I had is, you know, you end up, I like double the number of Twitter followers I have of these people who are interested in this economy.”
Sam Lessin Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 47:57 #85: The $250M Meme Coin Experiment · More or Less Podcast
Feb 7, 2025 neutral
Insight
Sam Lessin: Crypto creators cannot formally prove they didn't secretly sell
“Interestingly, I actually have no formal way to prove that, right? Because it's reasonable. And I was like, because he's like, could I have in theory created other wallets and been the one that made it moon and then sold it? In theory, I guess I could have, an…”
Sam Lessin Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 44:31 #85: The $250M Meme Coin Experiment · More or Less Podcast
Feb 7, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Lessin: Team Plans to Build Real App Utility for Jelly Meme Coin
“We have ideas about how the coin works as a utility in the app. We're going to build those. That's why it's an interesting thing to us.”
Sam Lessin Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 26:02 #85: The $250M Meme Coin Experiment · More or Less Podcast
Feb 7, 2025
Disclosure
Lessin: I have never sold and will not sell Jelly-My-Jelly
“I have not ever sold a jelly my jelly and I won't.”
Sam Lessin Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 8:49 #85: The $250M Meme Coin Experiment · More or Less Podcast
Feb 7, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: I didn't rug anything on Jelly Jelly
“I didn't rug anything.”
Sam Lessin Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 44:25 #85: The $250M Meme Coin Experiment · More or Less Podcast
Feb 7, 2025
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: I launched the JellyMyJelly meme coin on pump.fun
“So I launched a meme content on pump.fun called JellyMyJelly. I posted it on Twitter being like, we just launched this meme coin. And then it went bananas.”
Sam Lessin Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 7:32 #85: The $250M Meme Coin Experiment · More or Less Podcast
Feb 7, 2025
Disclosure
Lessin plans to buy a $25k satirical AI billboard on Highway 101
“Instead of eight million dollars, I'm gonna spend 25,000 dollars and have a hilarious billboard. I'm very excited. It's one of those things, like, I'm gonna submit it as an expense to the venture firm, and if they reject it, it's okay.”
Sam Lessin Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 1:08:28 #85: The $250M Meme Coin Experiment · More or Less Podcast
Feb 14, 2025 positive
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Having a Sand Hill Road office is counterculture
“I really want to get a Sand Hill Road office. I think it'd be so great. It's so counterculture.”
Sam Lessin Feb 14, 2025 ▶ 3:42 #86: Elon’s $97B Curveball For OpenAI · More or Less Podcast
Feb 21, 2025
Disclosure
Lessin: Morin and I spent a year looking to invest in digital drugs
“You and I have, we spent a whole year looking for digital drugs to invest in when the biggest one was staring us in our face the whole time.”
Sam Lessin Feb 21, 2025 ▶ 31:07 #87: SKIMS To Revive Nike? AI Drama & The Satoshi Mystery · More or Less Podcast
Feb 28, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Jelly Jelly Token Hit $200M Market Cap in Six Hours, Says Lessin
“We launched Jelly Jelly, right? Which as pod listeners remember, went in six hours from zero to like over a two hundred million dollar market cap on half a billion in volume, which was all these crazy people playing this game.”
Sam Lessin Feb 28, 2025 ▶ 21:23 #88: Meta’s $200B AI Bet, Instagram Reels & The Future of Content · More or Less Podcast
Mar 7, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Sam Lessin: AI replacing customer service won't impact US jobs
“And for what it's worth, I do believe you, the thing I think you can fire all the customer service people. The only miscalculation is those people do not work in the US. You're going to fire all the people in Indonesia.”
Sam Lessin Mar 7, 2025 ▶ 36:38 #89: America’s Crypto Reserve, Nvidia’s $600M Hit & Digg’s Comeback · More or Less Podcast
Mar 7, 2025
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: Highway 101 billboard cost low tens of thousands
“Oh, it's like barely in the low tens of thousands for a month.”
Sam Lessin Mar 7, 2025 ▶ 18:16 #89: America’s Crypto Reserve, Nvidia’s $600M Hit & Digg’s Comeback · More or Less Podcast
Mar 7, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: I built tasty.us as an AI-powered Delicious competitor
“I decided it was time to bring back delicious and we've created tasty.us or tastiest. And it's great. It's basically AI. It's AI delicious for saving bookmarks and groups and sharing them with.”
Sam Lessin Mar 7, 2025 ▶ 11:20 #89: America’s Crypto Reserve, Nvidia’s $600M Hit & Digg’s Comeback · More or Less Podcast
Mar 14, 2025
Disclosure
Sam Lessin confirms he was a seed investor in Astra
“Yeah, I seeded Astra.”
Sam Lessin Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 13:48 #90: Silicon Valley Unscripted: Billionaires, AI, and Interplanetary Exploration · More or Less Podcast
Mar 14, 2025 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: SoftBank is the worst investor ever and Masa Son is crazy
“The funny thing is I got a lot of notes from, I made some like snarky comments about how soft bank is like the worst investor ever. And Moss is crazy.”
Sam Lessin Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 2:15 #90: Silicon Valley Unscripted: Billionaires, AI, and Interplanetary Exploration · More or Less Podcast
Mar 14, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Sam Lessin discloses he has millions personally invested in SpaceX
“I'm a SpaceX shareholder. I love SpaceX. I have millions of dollars personally in SpaceX because I love, I think it's an amazing fucking company.”
Sam Lessin Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 21:01 #90: Silicon Valley Unscripted: Billionaires, AI, and Interplanetary Exploration · More or Less Podcast
Mar 14, 2025 bearish
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: Invested in Varda, but space manufacturing is not production-ready
“I put a personal small check in a Varda SPV cause like space is sweet and like space manufacturing sounds cool, but like, that's not production level. Right. Stuff. Right. Not even close yet.”
Sam Lessin Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 15:42 #90: Silicon Valley Unscripted: Billionaires, AI, and Interplanetary Exploration · More or Less Podcast
Mar 14, 2025 bearish
Disclosure
Sam Lessin says he unsuccessfully urged portfolio companies to sell
“So I was in the camp of saying sell, sell, sell, sell, sell as much as, and didn't get my way in most places in terms of sell, sell, sell.”
Sam Lessin Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 38:20 #90: Silicon Valley Unscripted: Billionaires, AI, and Interplanetary Exploration · More or Less Podcast
Mar 21, 2025
Insight
Sam Lessin: Early public cancellation removes reputational constraints entirely
“Yeah, it's like if you're canceled first, there's just like, you're completely unhinged. There's nowhere to go.”
Sam Lessin Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 2:52 #91: Google’s $32B Deal and a Silicon Valley Spy Scandal! · More or Less Podcast
Mar 21, 2025 bearish
Disclosure
Sam Lessin would sell his Wiz proxy shares at a 34% discount
“I'd be happy to hedge my tiny, tiny proxy whiz possession to someone at 66 cents on the dollar and have the cash now.”
Sam Lessin Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 34:47 #91: Google’s $32B Deal and a Silicon Valley Spy Scandal! · More or Less Podcast
Mar 21, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Startups built using automated AI generator tools lack enterprise value
“What's certainly not valuable is the company you can make with a company making company making machine.”
Sam Lessin Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 32:48 #91: Google’s $32B Deal and a Silicon Valley Spy Scandal! · More or Less Podcast
Apr 4, 2025
Disclosure
Dave Morin: Sam Lessin and I launched a cryptocurrency meme coin
“We didn't buy any domain names, but we did launch a meme coin.”
Dave Morin Apr 4, 2025 ▶ 20:03 Can Tesla Survive? | More or Less #93 · More or Less Podcast
Apr 4, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Smart investors are desperately trying to sell OpenAI at $300 billion
“I know a lot of smart investors are desperately trying to sell at 300, right?”
Sam Lessin Apr 4, 2025 ▶ 46:19 Can Tesla Survive? | More or Less #93 · More or Less Podcast
Apr 4, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Lessin: The generative AI infrastructure boom is ZIRP's final gasp
“This is like the last death knell of Zerp where people are like, fuck, we need to stuff a bunch of cash somewhere. Right. Ideally with downside protection, which is nice because we're buying like fucking real estate and servers and power.”
Sam Lessin Apr 4, 2025 ▶ 45:20 Can Tesla Survive? | More or Less #93 · More or Less Podcast
Apr 25, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Lessin: Tech unicorns didn't die, they became no-growth zombiecorns
“Unicorns, people thought were gonna die, but they didn't die. They just became what I'm calling zombie corns. They still exist. They cut spend. They can't grow. They just exist. They're zombies.”
Sam Lessin Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 50:18 Google & Meta Trials, AI’s Media Collapse & Elon’s Tesla Comeback · More or Less Podcast
Apr 25, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Digital entertainment economy will collapse to zero value under AI
“The entertainment economy has got to go to zero, right? It's just an AI jerk off feed. It's going to be highly personalized, like whatever, like there's going to be no, there's no, there's, it's not like, I can't, I just don't imagine a world where there's any…”
Sam Lessin Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 34:00 Google & Meta Trials, AI’s Media Collapse & Elon’s Tesla Comeback · More or Less Podcast
Apr 25, 2025 bearish
Insight
Sam Lessin: OnlyFans creators face AI displacement like Uber drivers to AVs
“OnlyFans to AI corny stuff is very similar to like Uber drivers to self-driving cars.”
Sam Lessin Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 38:43 Google & Meta Trials, AI’s Media Collapse & Elon’s Tesla Comeback · More or Less Podcast
Apr 25, 2025 positive
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Exempting mothers from income tax solves childcare economics
“If you're a woman and you were working before and doing the homework, but you weren't monetized and now you're monetized and you're making a hundred K a year. But you're paying 50 in taxes. You can't even afford childcare because the net, the tax burden fucks …”
Sam Lessin Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 54:50 Google & Meta Trials, AI’s Media Collapse & Elon’s Tesla Comeback · More or Less Podcast
May 2, 2025 bearish
Prediction Held up
Sam Lessin: People Will Kill Themselves and Others Because of AIs
“And like, at some point people are going to start killing themselves and each other because of AIs.”
Sam Lessin May 2, 2025 ▶ 43:58 How OpenAI Is Beating Google and Meta at Their Own Game · More or Less Podcast
May 2, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Ubiquitous AI agents are science fiction marketing, not reality
“It's like self-driving. It's like, no, we're not fucking moments away from agents being all over our lives. It's all marketing. It's all marketing. They all just are reading old science fiction and writing marketing.”
Sam Lessin May 2, 2025 ▶ 30:51 How OpenAI Is Beating Google and Meta at Their Own Game · More or Less Podcast
May 23, 2025 neutral
Insight
Lessin: Vibe coding is not magic; web development fundamentals remain essential
“Everyone makes this out to be, like, some magic thing where you can just boot an app. The reality is, like, a lot of the stuff you learn, like, developing websites, right, is still 1000%”
Sam Lessin May 23, 2025 ▶ 16:54 OpenAI Teams Up with Jony Ive, Vibe Coding, Gemini, and More | More or Less #100 · More or Less Podcast
May 23, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Lessin: Traditional SaaS business models are dead because of AI
“They're like, I totally buy the like SaaS is dead story.”
Sam Lessin May 23, 2025 ▶ 51:28 OpenAI Teams Up with Jony Ive, Vibe Coding, Gemini, and More | More or Less #100 · More or Less Podcast
May 23, 2025 positive
Opinion
Lessin: Cloudflare is well positioned because it is scriptable
“I think Cloudflare is, like, so well set up, right? Because it's all scriptable. Like, it's great.”
Sam Lessin May 23, 2025 ▶ 52:11 OpenAI Teams Up with Jony Ive, Vibe Coding, Gemini, and More | More or Less #100 · More or Less Podcast
May 23, 2025 negative
Opinion
Lessin: Cursor is difficult to manage due to messy multi-file AI edits
“I think it's really difficult to use. I actually really don't like the sidebar and how it chats back with you and how it updates your files. I find it extremely hard to follow and then hard to track, even if you're using Git and trying to maintain state on eve…”
Sam Lessin May 23, 2025 ▶ 11:11 OpenAI Teams Up with Jony Ive, Vibe Coding, Gemini, and More | More or Less #100 · More or Less Podcast
May 30, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Sam Lessin Has Held Conversations About Acquiring OnlyFans
“I mean, I've had several conversations. I'd love to get in the direction. I think there's several steps to anything actually happening, at least in my corner, unfortunately, but my God, is it tantalizing?”
Sam Lessin May 30, 2025 ▶ 1:38 #101: The Business of OnlyFans, Future of Identity, and Navigating Privacy in the AI Age · More or Less Podcast
Jun 13, 2025
Insight
Lessin: Early-stage startup business models only matter as a founder competence signal
“The business model nerd out shit for me does matter, but it matters more as a signal to, like, do you know what you're doing and how to think about business? Not do I actually care what the model is.”
Sam Lessin Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 1:01:54 #103: Are Silicon Valley’s Mega-Deals Just Talent Grabs? · More or Less Podcast
Jun 13, 2025
Disclosure
Lessin is building an AI clone of himself to screen founder pitches
“Before you call me, here's all my tweets and everything I've ever written, and it's all, I've only, so far, I've only pulled the tweets in, and I'll pull everything in, and just be like, try it out. Like, if I'm just gonna shit all over it, don't pitch me. But…”
Sam Lessin Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 31:39 #103: Are Silicon Valley’s Mega-Deals Just Talent Grabs? · More or Less Podcast
Jun 13, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Lessin passed on Scale AI because he feared business development challenges
“Now, interestingly, the reason I didn't invest then, which was clearly a mistake, I clearly shouldn't, It's like, you're like, there's a lot of people doing this, and I was really worried that the number one problem was business development.”
Sam Lessin Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 37:12 #103: Are Silicon Valley’s Mega-Deals Just Talent Grabs? · More or Less Podcast
Jun 20, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Dopamine-driven entertainment businesses face a losing war for attention
“One, I'm very short entertainment, because that's just a complete war of entertainment, right? Like dopamine hits is a war of entertainment. You're gonna lose. There's always gonna be someone else competing for the attention and be bigger, faster, and better.”
Sam Lessin Jun 20, 2025 ▶ 46:31 #104: AI Clones, Commoditized Ads, and the Cult of Trust · More or Less Podcast
Jun 27, 2025 negative
Insight
Lessin: Knowledge workers unable to build AI applications are bad at jobs
“If you can't, like, build applications with AI to do your own job better, you just are not good at your job anymore.”
Sam Lessin Jun 27, 2025 ▶ 11:53 #105: Tesla, Bumble, And Bezos' Wedding - Everything Is A Mess · More or Less Podcast
Jun 27, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Lessin: Slow Ventures will not hire new associates who cannot code
“And I gotta be honest, like, I don't want to hire anyone who can't code anymore. Like, and like coding, what coding means is a little different, right? But like, you need to be as good as doing this stuff as me or better.”
Sam Lessin Jun 27, 2025 ▶ 11:19 #105: Tesla, Bumble, And Bezos' Wedding - Everything Is A Mess · More or Less Podcast
Jun 27, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin predicts that 99% of resumes will be fake by 2028
“I bet it's going to be like 99%. That's how STEM works.”
Sam Lessin Jun 27, 2025 ▶ 17:26 #105: Tesla, Bumble, And Bezos' Wedding - Everything Is A Mess · More or Less Podcast
Jun 27, 2025 negative
What-if
Sam Lessin: OpenAI's non-profit origins deflected strict copyright scrutiny
“I think everyone, Would have been way more on top of the copyright thing if they didn't, like, have this kind of, like, altruistic background. They're just doing research thing.”
Sam Lessin Jun 27, 2025 ▶ 22:12 #105: Tesla, Bumble, And Bezos' Wedding - Everything Is A Mess · More or Less Podcast
Jul 4, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Sam Lessin wants a "Moneyball" recruiting strategy for AI startup teams
“If someone, I hate AI companies from an investing standpoint, but if someone wants to pitch me on the Billy Bean, Of AI recruiting to build the team of misfit toys. I'm like really into that.”
Sam Lessin Jul 4, 2025 ▶ 32:01 #106: AI Researchers Earning More Than Cristiano Ronaldo · More or Less Podcast
Jul 4, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Sam Lessin is highly pessimistic about AI business models
“I'm not at all an optimist from a business model perspective”
Sam Lessin Jul 4, 2025 ▶ 18:33 #106: AI Researchers Earning More Than Cristiano Ronaldo · More or Less Podcast
Jul 4, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Sam Lessin: AI coding tool Cursor loses money on premium users
“Even though they lose money, I believe, on everyone, certainly me, you have to pay them for, like, the premium, premium.”
Sam Lessin Jul 4, 2025 ▶ 19:43 #106: AI Researchers Earning More Than Cristiano Ronaldo · More or Less Podcast
Jul 11, 2025 positive
Insight
Lessin: Posting bad takes online is the best way to learn
“One of the best ways to get information or like learn things is to post random shit on the web and let people correct you. Because people will spend an infinite amount of effort correcting.”
Sam Lessin Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 49:43 #107 Crypto Isn’t for Everyone (And That’s a Good Thing) with Anatoly Yakovenko · More or Less Podcast
Jul 11, 2025 positive
Opinion
Lessin: Shaun Maguire is abrasive but a good guy with good takes
“I think he's abrasive at times to say the least, but he's a good guy. I think, you know, he's got good takes in a lot of places. And I think most importantly, like, you know, it's the internet. I believe in free speech. I don't like, I think it's like people c…”
Sam Lessin Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 46:41 #107 Crypto Isn’t for Everyone (And That’s a Good Thing) with Anatoly Yakovenko · More or Less Podcast
Jul 11, 2025 neutral
Insight
Lessin: The internet economically rewards adopting ever more extreme viewpoints
“The problem with the internet and the economics of internet is that the best strategy is to always be more extreme, right? And the way, like, because what happens is any extreme you pick, Eventually that with so many people online, there are too many people in…”
Sam Lessin Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 49:16 #107 Crypto Isn’t for Everyone (And That’s a Good Thing) with Anatoly Yakovenko · More or Less Podcast
Jul 11, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Newsletter Platforms Like Substack Have No Long-Term Margins
“And the problem is, is, like, those are, that's shared infrastructure, but just shared infrastructure, and it's too easy to copy, right? And so, like, there's just, like, no margin long-term in it.”
Sam Lessin Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 28:49 #107 Crypto Isn’t for Everyone (And That’s a Good Thing) with Anatoly Yakovenko · More or Less Podcast
Jul 11, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Lessin: Billions of dollars have traded on his Jelly Jelly meme coin
“The biggest one I launched, right, was this Jelly Jelly thing, which went just ballistic... It's like billions and billions of dollars have been traded of this.”
Sam Lessin Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 14:35 #107 Crypto Isn’t for Everyone (And That’s a Good Thing) with Anatoly Yakovenko · More or Less Podcast
Jul 18, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: No one will make money from vibe coding apps
“I don't think anyone's gonna make any money on it, but it's a great experience.”
Sam Lessin Jul 18, 2025 ▶ 48:32 #108 Meta vs. OpenAI: Who Wins the Next Attention War? · More or Less Podcast
Jul 25, 2025 neutral
Insight
Sam Lessin: Pivoting consumer agents into assistant trainers is a classic failure
“What you're describing is the classic failure mode of new technologies. Which is, you start out, you're a B to C company, which is, I am your agent. And the agent's like, fuck, you're just making more work for me. And then you're like, no, no, no, we're a B to…”
Sam Lessin Jul 25, 2025 ▶ 43:19 #109 OpenAI vs Google: The Real Business Model War Begins · More or Less Podcast
Jul 25, 2025 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: YC's advice to customer-chat your way to startup ideas fails
“And this is also why, like, I mean, I, you know, I haven't shat on YC in a while. So like, it's probably time for that again. But like, it's like the idea that you go to like some thing and like you customer chat your way by talking to like business people int…”
Sam Lessin Jul 25, 2025 ▶ 47:18 #109 OpenAI vs Google: The Real Business Model War Begins · More or Less Podcast
Jul 25, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Sam Lessin spends heavily on AI tools, mostly using Google Gemini
“I actually spend a lot of money on AI at this point, using mostly Gemini, but some ChatGPT.”
Sam Lessin Jul 25, 2025 ▶ 36:36 #109 OpenAI vs Google: The Real Business Model War Begins · More or Less Podcast
Jul 25, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Sam Lessin built a custom AI CRM for 50,000 personal contacts
“I have SamGPT that I've built out, which is, like, on all my writing, and I actually now have built out and did, like, a bunch of passes and built, like, a pretty awesome next generation, like, CRM with, like, Bios and structured data and, like, all the things…”
Sam Lessin Jul 25, 2025 ▶ 8:53 #109 OpenAI vs Google: The Real Business Model War Begins · More or Less Podcast
Aug 1, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Sam Lessin says he recently achieved a 1,000x investment return
“Yeah, I did one of those recently.”
Sam Lessin Aug 1, 2025 ▶ 20:48 #110 Meta's Billion-Dollar Hires: Bubble or Genius? · More or Less Podcast
Aug 8, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Dude Perfect Pitch Deck Includes Plans for Theme Park
“Yeah, I saw that in their deck.”
Sam Lessin Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 2:22 #111 Figma, OpenAI, Canva: Meme Stock IPOs in Silicon Valley · More or Less Podcast
Aug 8, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Young, unattractive men succeed in tech because they lack other options
“This is my whole thesis on, like, why twenty-year-old, not usually very attractive men do so well, right? It's because, like, they have access to nothing else, right? And so they just do computer stuff.”
Sam Lessin Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 47:02 #111 Figma, OpenAI, Canva: Meme Stock IPOs in Silicon Valley · More or Less Podcast
Aug 8, 2025 negative
Insight
Sam Lessin: AI Has Destroyed Seed-Stage Startup Diligence
“That's blown out of the water by AI because all of a sudden, like everything looks the same. Like not to mention the fact that pitches are customized at scale and the decks are all crap. The apps themselves, the V ones are like too similar. So we don't know ho…”
Sam Lessin Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 30:27 #111 Figma, OpenAI, Canva: Meme Stock IPOs in Silicon Valley · More or Less Podcast
Aug 8, 2025 neutral
Insight
Sam Lessin: The internet forces people to niche extremes for community
“And like, you know, I think with the follow on of the internet, what happens with that is it forces everyone towards the fringe of weirder and weirder stuff to right size communities. They can be the best of blank and whatever. And so you end up with like thes…”
Sam Lessin Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 4:59 #111 Figma, OpenAI, Canva: Meme Stock IPOs in Silicon Valley · More or Less Podcast
Aug 8, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: AI will force a massive retreat into closed private networks
“What you do is retreat to private networks in every form. It happens in news. It happens in app building. It happens in who you date or whatever. It's like, there's just going to be this massive retreat away from the commons, which is, I think actually really …”
Sam Lessin Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 36:20 #111 Figma, OpenAI, Canva: Meme Stock IPOs in Silicon Valley · More or Less Podcast
Aug 15, 2025 bearish
Opinion
The Olympic Games have jumped the shark
“Like, the Olympics are not what they were, right? They've gotten, they've kind of jumped the shark, unfortunately. Like, I love the Olympics, but I, it just, it's, what was that? I mean, when the big story is the breakdancing lady, like, the Olympics has also …”
Sam Lessin Aug 15, 2025 ▶ 38:28 #112 Swift Should Buy Chrome, Not Perplexity · More or Less Podcast
Aug 15, 2025 negative
Insight
A cultural trend is cresting downwards once Hershey's jumps on it
“When Hershey's is on board, you are cresting on the way down. Like, there's no, that is not a, that is a brand, that is a sellout brand when you, when you're done. Not, that's not an up-and-coming brand.”
Sam Lessin Aug 15, 2025 ▶ 37:41 #112 Swift Should Buy Chrome, Not Perplexity · More or Less Podcast
Aug 15, 2025 positive
Insight
A good conference needs at least some people protesting it
“I think a sign of a good conference is you need at least some people protesting it. Like, if no one's gonna protest your conference, then you probably didn't do a good enough job marketing it.”
Sam Lessin Aug 15, 2025 ▶ 9:45 #112 Swift Should Buy Chrome, Not Perplexity · More or Less Podcast
Aug 15, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Culture has passed peak Taylor Swift
“Everyone got their art, but I'm calling it, we're past Pete Taylor at this point if she's doing deals with Hershey's.”
Sam Lessin Aug 15, 2025 ▶ 37:57 #112 Swift Should Buy Chrome, Not Perplexity · More or Less Podcast
Aug 15, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Yahoo buyout investors recouped costs via real estate; equity is pure upside
“I invested in the buyout because it seemed like a screaming good deal, and those guys have already made all the money on the real estate. And like now it's just like all free upside.”
Sam Lessin Aug 15, 2025 ▶ 27:36 #112 Swift Should Buy Chrome, Not Perplexity · More or Less Podcast
Aug 15, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Sam Lessin discloses holding Yahoo equity and profiting from it
“I'm a shareholder. I've made money on Yahoo.”
Sam Lessin Aug 15, 2025 ▶ 27:23 #112 Swift Should Buy Chrome, Not Perplexity · More or Less Podcast
Aug 22, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Much of generative AI revenue is empty machine-to-machine noise
“I actually bet that like a lot of the use of, and this is why this is so scary from a revenue perspective, is like, with the machines talking to machines doing random things, there's just a lot of like, A lot of movement and no output right from a lot of what'…”
Sam Lessin Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 33:14 #113 GPT-5 Disappoints: The End of the AI Gold Rush? · More or Less Podcast
Aug 22, 2025 bearish
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: None of my personal creator currency investments have worked
“I have invested in a ton of them. They have, none of them have worked.”
Sam Lessin Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 48:24 #113 GPT-5 Disappoints: The End of the AI Gold Rush? · More or Less Podcast
Aug 22, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: I spend roughly $1,000 a month on OpenAI APIs
“I actually probably spend On the order of a thousand dollars a month on OpenAI APIs right now. I don't really calculate it, but something like that, right?”
Sam Lessin Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 32:54 #113 GPT-5 Disappoints: The End of the AI Gold Rush? · More or Less Podcast
Aug 22, 2025 bearish
Insight
Sam Lessin: Top influencers avoid creator tokens fearing they will lose fans' money
“No actual influencers or people who have brands want that because it's such an asymmetric risk. If they don't want to lose their fans money, they're terrified of losing their fans money because they like want to be loved”
Sam Lessin Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 48:42 #113 GPT-5 Disappoints: The End of the AI Gold Rush? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 6, 2025 bearish
Insight
Lessin: AI is an adversarial war consuming resources with no net value
“The entire thing with AI is it's a great way to sink money and power and compute into a war with itself that produces no value.”
Sam Lessin Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 55:35 #115 Anthropic at $170B: Should Unicorns Be Forced to IPO? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 6, 2025 negative
Insight
Sam Lessin: Moderate-scale internet businesses cannot maintain a successful long-term strategy
“You're either, like, targeting the one percent, and you can make a ton of money by charging a lot to people who really care, but it's small, right? Relatively speaking. Or you're, like, a completely fucking global mass platform. Like, I think the unsuccessful …”
Sam Lessin Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 49:33 #115 Anthropic at $170B: Should Unicorns Be Forced to IPO? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 6, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Ozempic is going to run out of user growth
“I think what it's worth is very bearish on Ozempic, because they're gonna run out of people. They're just gonna run out of growth.”
Sam Lessin Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 30:21 #115 Anthropic at $170B: Should Unicorns Be Forced to IPO? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 6, 2025 neutral
Insight
Sam Lessin: Successful creators must be sought out independently, not rely on algorithms
“Well, for me, I think the reality is, like, on the creator thing, my whole theory is that actually the algorithms can't be important. Like, you have to be an important enough creator, like, slash community leader that people will seek you out independently.”
Sam Lessin Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 38:57 #115 Anthropic at $170B: Should Unicorns Be Forced to IPO? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 6, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: The legal market for petty lawsuits is poised to explode
“I think that there's a whole other legal market for petty lawsuits that's just Poised to explode.”
Sam Lessin Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 54:16 #115 Anthropic at $170B: Should Unicorns Be Forced to IPO? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 6, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Lessin says he would venture invest in an AI class action lawsuit bot
“If someone wants to pitch me a, I would venture invest in class action lawsuit bot, right?”
Sam Lessin Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 54:51 #115 Anthropic at $170B: Should Unicorns Be Forced to IPO? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 6, 2025 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Sarbanes-Oxley made public markets too annoying when private money exists
“Everything going back to Sarbanes-Oxley and like the public markets have just become too fucking annoying for anyone to want to deal with. And so everyone's like, why would I deal with the public markets, right? And like, there's plenty of private money. So li…”
Sam Lessin Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 24:41 #115 Anthropic at $170B: Should Unicorns Be Forced to IPO? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 12, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Lessin invested a core check into a memetic warfare startup
“I put a core check into a mimetic warfare company, and I'm sure there are more coming.”
Sam Lessin Sep 12, 2025 ▶ 48:24 #116 iPhone Air or Pro: Apple Ignores AI and Wins? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 12, 2025 positive
Opinion
Lessin: Apple's refusal to engage with AI hype is a great vibe
“But the basic point is like, I just kind of like the vibe of Apple just being like, fuck all of you. Like, this is all stupid. And we're just gonna make more iPhones and lots of money. Like, I love that as a vibe.”
Sam Lessin Sep 12, 2025 ▶ 9:56 #116 iPhone Air or Pro: Apple Ignores AI and Wins? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 12, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Lessin: The pro-Palestinian movement is winning the memetic information war
“Well, I think the most successful information warfare mimetic war right now is actually being won by, like, the pro-Palestinian crowd.”
Sam Lessin Sep 12, 2025 ▶ 49:14 #116 iPhone Air or Pro: Apple Ignores AI and Wins? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 12, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Jony Ive and Sam Altman's secret hardware device will fail
“That's definitely what's gonna happen.”
Sam Lessin Sep 12, 2025 ▶ 10:26 #116 iPhone Air or Pro: Apple Ignores AI and Wins? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 12, 2025
Insight
Lessin: Memetic warfare succeeds via customizable templates for user validation
“Mimetic Warfare is about having an idea that you want promoted broadly, and you don't actually tell people the idea. But you give them a template and then show examples why if they copy and extend the idea easily and give them the tools to do that, they can ga…”
Sam Lessin Sep 12, 2025 ▶ 47:19 #116 iPhone Air or Pro: Apple Ignores AI and Wins? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 12, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Lessin: Spent $100,000 on Apple products despite disliking the company
“Despite spending easily a 100,000 dollars on Apple products in my life, I don't like Apple, if you didn't know, if you're not, if you're a new listener to the pod.”
Sam Lessin Sep 12, 2025 ▶ 8:42 #116 iPhone Air or Pro: Apple Ignores AI and Wins? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 12, 2025
Disclosure
Lessin built an ultra-heavy phone case to reduce screen time
“I literally made a case that is as heavy as possible for this exact thing.”
Sam Lessin Sep 12, 2025 ▶ 13:09 #116 iPhone Air or Pro: Apple Ignores AI and Wins? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 19, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: ChatGPT Is Useful But Not Worth Half a Trillion Dollars
“Not worth half a trillion dollars, but useful.”
Sam Lessin Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 46:12 #117 TikTok’s New Owner and Hiring a US CEO? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 26, 2025
Insight
Lessin: Society can only sustain one tech moral panic at a time
“I really think that you know, people can only have one save the children conversation at a time. Like, you can't have multiple conversations About save the children.”
Sam Lessin Sep 26, 2025 ▶ 41:29 #118 Elon vs Altman: The $10B Capital War Reshaping Tech · More or Less Podcast
Sep 26, 2025 neutral
Insight
Lessin: AI startups cannot compete directly against incumbent tech giants
“Like, I just think, like, the chessboard has matured enough that, like, the children don't think they're gonna get a seat at it. So, like, there was this moment where, like, a bunch of small warlords with, like, two followers were like, I'm gonna be the next k…”
Sam Lessin Sep 26, 2025 ▶ 40:08 #118 Elon vs Altman: The $10B Capital War Reshaping Tech · More or Less Podcast
Sep 26, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Lessin: Early-stage VC is largely past AI hype and ridiculous valuations
“I'm seeing all these tweets on the Twitter of, like, venture capitalists complaining about ridiculous valuations, and we've lost our minds, and all this type of stuff. Honestly, I'm, like, really not seeing that. I guess I just hunt in different waters on this…”
Sam Lessin Sep 26, 2025 ▶ 39:24 #118 Elon vs Altman: The $10B Capital War Reshaping Tech · More or Less Podcast
Oct 3, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Multiple successful tech figures are building solo artificial superintelligence
“I have talked to three people in the last month that are all very, very smart, successful people. Who, when you're like, what are you doing? They're like, oh, I'm working on super intelligence. I'm like, with what team? I'm like, just by myself.”
Sam Lessin Oct 3, 2025 ▶ 46:34 #119 OpenAI Sora vs. TikTok: Can “AI Entertainment” Fund the Compute Bill? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 10, 2025 negative
Insight
Lessin: VC Accelerators Exist to Hedge High Valuations With Cheap Seed Deals
“I think there's a real reason, which is what happens if you, every, these take like a year or two years to gestate as ideas. So two years ago, all these venture firms sitting around watching valuations go bananas, and like, this sucks, I don't want to pay thes…”
Sam Lessin Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 6:51 Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame · More or Less Podcast
Oct 10, 2025 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Sam Lessin: Jelly reached a $110 million valuation
“Jelly, jelly, jelly, jelly. We're back at a one ten million dollar valuation last week.”
Sam Lessin Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 2:50 Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame · More or Less Podcast
Oct 10, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: Facebook Sold Logged-Out Homepage Ads Pre-IPO to Boost Revenue
“I remember the era right, right before going public when Facebook was selling a logged out page to try to make money, so I don't want to be too high and mighty about that, but yes.”
Sam Lessin Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 50:31 Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame · More or Less Podcast
Oct 10, 2025 positive
Insight
Sam Lessin: The most investable founders are the most improved, not polished
“I actually don't think you want to go with the person who has the best etiquette. I think the most interesting people are the most improved, right? Like you want the person who comes in with terrible etiquette, but takes it seriously and comes out with great e…”
Sam Lessin Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 9:26 Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame · More or Less Podcast
Oct 10, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: LLMs produce better work when threatened
“I only, like, honestly, I threaten them because they do better work with threats.”
Sam Lessin Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 13:02 Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame · More or Less Podcast
Oct 10, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Lessin Wants to Open Etiquette Schools at Every Legitimate Incubator
“My goal is to have an etiquette school for every legitimate incubator sooner than later.”
Sam Lessin Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 8:12 Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame · More or Less Podcast
Oct 24, 2025 negative
Insight
Sam Lessin: Lowbrow Culture Imitates Machines While Highbrow Rejects Them
“What lowbrow people do is they start talking like the machines. Like, they start trying, like, so there's a whole genre of people who are speaking like LLMs. They're imitating the fucking technology, and like, that is what lowbrow people do. What highbrow peop…”
Sam Lessin Oct 24, 2025 ▶ 3:20 TPUs Are Winning? Gemini + Anthropic vs NVIDIA, and OpenAI’s Atlas Explained · More or Less Podcast
Oct 24, 2025 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: No Thinking Person in 2025 Uses AI to Write Speeches
“Which is why, for instance, remember, there was a brief moment where everyone thought the AI's written speeches for dinners was like the cutest thing ever, and no, no thinking person would use AI to write a speech in twenty-twenty-five because it's just a lowb…”
Sam Lessin Oct 24, 2025 ▶ 3:48 TPUs Are Winning? Gemini + Anthropic vs NVIDIA, and OpenAI’s Atlas Explained · More or Less Podcast
Oct 24, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Sam Lessin says he frequently walks out of meetings
“I'm a big fan of just leaving meetings. I do that frequently.”
Sam Lessin Oct 24, 2025 ▶ 12:12 TPUs Are Winning? Gemini + Anthropic vs NVIDIA, and OpenAI’s Atlas Explained · More or Less Podcast
Nov 7, 2025 positive
Opinion
Sam Lessin says Sam Altman has great etiquette despite other criticisms
“I actually argue that for all of my gripes with Sam Altman, he actually has great etiquette.”
Sam Lessin Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 10:54 Apple Chooses Gemini, Sequoia's Leadership Shake-up, and Meme Coins · More or Less Podcast
Nov 7, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Sam Lessin says he launched the Jelly Jelly meme coin and held
“Which I launched, and the application has adopted, and it's driving, and the app is cool, it's got a lot going on, but it literally, like, is traded very heavily, and it's gone far beyond any expectation. Well, it's kind of, it's a wild thing about crypto, whi…”
Sam Lessin Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 37:29 Apple Chooses Gemini, Sequoia's Leadership Shake-up, and Meme Coins · More or Less Podcast
Nov 7, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Sam Lessin discloses he is the largest investor in social app Jelly
“There is an app called Jelly started by Ikram, who is one of the two co-founders of Venmo. I am its largest investor. I think, you know, certainly, I think I'm the only institutional investor. I'm certainly the largest investor.”
Sam Lessin Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 37:08 Apple Chooses Gemini, Sequoia's Leadership Shake-up, and Meme Coins · More or Less Podcast
Nov 14, 2025
Insight
Sam Lessin: Label hard organizational changes 'simplification' to prevent employee pushback
“I do think for those people out there watching, like, if you ever need to make a change that's hard, just call it a simplification. No one can argue with a simplification, and you can do whatever you want.”
Sam Lessin Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 30:43 Apple’s iPhone Sock, Waymo's Bay Area Expansion, and AI Wearables · More or Less Podcast
Nov 14, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: People will wear two smart rings within five years
“I think two, Sam. I think you've got, yeah, you've got health and probably AI interface. Seems like it's pretty clear gonna happen.”
Dave Morin Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 11:30 Apple’s iPhone Sock, Waymo's Bay Area Expansion, and AI Wearables · More or Less Podcast
Nov 14, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Snow Crash-style robot guard dogs are most likely suburban robots
“The Snow Crash dog seems like the most likely robot to happen in suburbia. Soon.”
Sam Lessin Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 27:34 Apple’s iPhone Sock, Waymo's Bay Area Expansion, and AI Wearables · More or Less Podcast
Nov 14, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Sam Lessin reveals he knew Canva's founders early but passed on investing
“I knew them before they founded Canva. And he's like, did you invest in it? And I was like, no, I missed that one.”
Sam Lessin Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 18:00 Apple’s iPhone Sock, Waymo's Bay Area Expansion, and AI Wearables · More or Less Podcast
Nov 14, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Sam Lessin reveals he made two recent investments in 'lawfare' tech startups
“I've actually made two investments in the last 10 days in lawfare, because it's just clearly what's happening, right, which is like weaponizing the law in various ways for different groups, etc.”
Sam Lessin Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 52:40 Apple’s iPhone Sock, Waymo's Bay Area Expansion, and AI Wearables · More or Less Podcast
Nov 14, 2025 positive
Insight
Sam Lessin: Almost nothing in life is worth one's full attention
“I just think almost nothing in life is worth your full attention.”
Sam Lessin Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 20:50 Apple’s iPhone Sock, Waymo's Bay Area Expansion, and AI Wearables · More or Less Podcast
Nov 14, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: Negotiating term sheets in a sauna gives edge over founders
“I have negotiated one term sheet in a sauna with the founder. It's a great idea, because, especially if they're not used to the sauna, because you have the edge. You can just keep cranking it up.”
Sam Lessin Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 22:55 Apple’s iPhone Sock, Waymo's Bay Area Expansion, and AI Wearables · More or Less Podcast
Nov 14, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Balaji's bottoms-up community journalism vision will fail over legal defense costs
“This is one of the really strong anti-substack theories, which is like, you can't as an individual support these lawsuits. Like you can't afford it. It's actually quite expensive to be in the news gathering. It isn't quite risky. And so if you're going to do i…”
Sam Lessin Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 55:33 Apple’s iPhone Sock, Waymo's Bay Area Expansion, and AI Wearables · More or Less Podcast
Nov 21, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lessin: AI infrastructure spending is already locked in by prior capital raises
“Like the, it's all, you already know, because they, all the companies raised the money already. Like the infrastructure spend has already been locked in.”
Sam Lessin Nov 21, 2025 ▶ 38:37 Google Just Won AI, TikTok’s “Self-Control Badges”, ChatGPT Enters Group Chats · More or Less Podcast
Nov 21, 2025 positive
Insight
Sam Lessin: Camera quality is the Trojan horse keeping users on smartphones
“Yeah, that's the Trojan horse is everyone needs a camera. And like, I've tried buying like standalone cameras as a solution, but honestly the iPhone cameras is so good. It's like, that's what keeps you going.”
Sam Lessin Nov 21, 2025 ▶ 12:46 Google Just Won AI, TikTok’s “Self-Control Badges”, ChatGPT Enters Group Chats · More or Less Podcast
Nov 28, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: The AI war will be won strictly by distribution
“The war will be won with distribution, on distribution. That's it.”
Sam Lessin Nov 28, 2025 ▶ 39:47 OpenAI vs Google vs Meta: Business Model War · More or Less Podcast
Nov 28, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Lessin: Elon Musk is our generation's greatest marketer, not a great technologist
“He, I've always said this, and I mean it derogatorily and also not, is like, he's not a great technologist. He is the greatest marketer of our generation, right?”
Sam Lessin Nov 28, 2025 ▶ 22:53 OpenAI vs Google vs Meta: Business Model War · More or Less Podcast
Nov 28, 2025 bearish
Insight
Sam Lessin: AI memory does not create real user lock-in
“I think when you get down to the practicality of how people use these things and their actual preferences or whatever, it just doesn't play out that way. It's not as much of a lock-in as you want it to be.”
Sam Lessin Nov 28, 2025 ▶ 40:36 OpenAI vs Google vs Meta: Business Model War · More or Less Podcast
Nov 28, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin predicts a winner-take-all AI lockout outcome will not happen
“Well then to the point is there's no lock-in, right? It's like, it's always, the only thing that changes it, which is, was the original pitch, was that we're so close to this, like, game over nuclear style outcome that someone will get to first, and then there…”
Sam Lessin Nov 28, 2025 ▶ 1:01:05 OpenAI vs Google vs Meta: Business Model War · More or Less Podcast
Nov 28, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Universal preference repositories won't be built because they are boring
“And that's why it will never be built. Because it's too fucking boring, even though it's obvious.”
Sam Lessin Nov 28, 2025 ▶ 7:16 OpenAI vs Google vs Meta: Business Model War · More or Less Podcast
Dec 5, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin sourced a dozen venture deals via viral screenshot essays
“So I've done, like, probably like a dozen investments where I put out something nuts, or maybe I don't think it's nuts, but some people do, and they get better stuff. Everything from Area Two Farms, which we seeded was from a screenshot essay.”
Sam Lessin Dec 5, 2025 ▶ 16:32 Code Red, Bitcoin Costs, AWS Resurgence, and Waymo Safety (Not About AI... ish) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 5, 2025 positive
Insight
Lessin: Provocative headlines paired with reasonable screenshots generate viral deal flow
“And then if you make it a punchy headline so people get mad, but then say something reasonable in the screenshot that most people don't read, it gets packaged and sent all over the place, and then smarter people will give you better ideas and send you a compan…”
Sam Lessin Dec 5, 2025 ▶ 16:19 Code Red, Bitcoin Costs, AWS Resurgence, and Waymo Safety (Not About AI... ish) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 5, 2025 negative
Opinion
Lessin mocks Aaron Levie's generic claim that AI won't take all jobs
“Like, and his line, he says, I'm emphatically in the camp that AI doesn't take all the jobs. I'm like, that is the funniest non-statement I have ever heard. He's like, okay, you're emphatically in the camp that some jobs will exist.”
Sam Lessin Dec 5, 2025 ▶ 44:59 Code Red, Bitcoin Costs, AWS Resurgence, and Waymo Safety (Not About AI... ish) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 5, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Lessin: AWS is proactively courting startups again after a long sales hiatus
“I haven't heard from Amazon as like a company reaching out from the VC startup ecosystem in a long time. And they're calling me like, they're like, let's do business.”
Sam Lessin Dec 5, 2025 ▶ 28:57 Code Red, Bitcoin Costs, AWS Resurgence, and Waymo Safety (Not About AI... ish) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 19, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin predicts 2026 will be the year of mainstream AI porn
“I will say on the spirit of AI impacts, I think this upcoming year is going to be the year of like AI porn.”
Sam Lessin Dec 19, 2025 ▶ 49:30 Hype vs Reality: Our 2026 Predictions for Tech, Media, and Culture · More or Less Podcast
Jan 9, 2026 negative
Insight
Sam Lessin: Apps for in-person hangouts always fail due to friction
“This is why everyone's always trying to make, like, apps to hang out in real life and they never work, because the friction's too high.”
Sam Lessin Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 33:47 Founders Beware: Illiquid Valuations vs. Real‑World Taxes · More or Less Podcast
Jan 9, 2026
Opinion
Sam Lessin: In 2026, narratives matter more than reality
“Since we've now embraced, since all that matters in 2026 is narratives, not reality, and the narrative is he's a trillionaire.”
Sam Lessin Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 10:03 Founders Beware: Illiquid Valuations vs. Real‑World Taxes · More or Less Podcast
Jan 9, 2026
Insight
Brit Morin: First AI to ingest personal health data wins superior moat
“However, whoever wins the like ingestion of all the data, though, first is going to have such a superior advantage unless you're Sam lesson and you think you can just export from one model to another, which I tried and it was very difficult.”
Brit Morin Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 49:40 Founders Beware: Illiquid Valuations vs. Real‑World Taxes · More or Less Podcast
Jan 9, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin predicts most will choose AI companions over real relationships
“Imagine in the near future, you can have an AI driven girlfriend, right? Boyfriend, companion, whatever. That is exactly what you want, but digital. Always available, says that it does all the things you want, like is like a perfect companion in every possible…”
Sam Lessin Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 32:43 Founders Beware: Illiquid Valuations vs. Real‑World Taxes · More or Less Podcast
Jan 16, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: Cursor's store split from VS Code creates app store lock-in issues
“Cursor split the store from VS code because they want to, like, create their own ecosystem that's independent, etc. And the way it all plays out Is VS code is like, no, like the package you need to install to do Garmin watch faces. We're going to control that.…”
Sam Lessin Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 32:10 SaaS Companies Beware: AI Is The New UI (Anthropic's Claude Code and Cowork) · More or Less Podcast
Jan 16, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Seed-stage investing is the most defensible part of the investment world
“I think that seed stage investing is the most defensible part of the entire investing world. Everything should get more efficient ETFs, algorithmic trading. Does that come down market? Of course it comes down market and it spans. But any idea That a bot can ro…”
Sam Lessin Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 40:16 SaaS Companies Beware: AI Is The New UI (Anthropic's Claude Code and Cowork) · More or Less Podcast
Jan 16, 2026
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: Slow Ventures does zero outbound sourcing or automated market mapping
“Candidly, we don't do outbound sourcing at all. There are companies, there are venture firms inside wherever they're built machines for outbound and market mapping. I don't do any of that. We say shit on the internet and then people email me.”
Sam Lessin Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 40:45 SaaS Companies Beware: AI Is The New UI (Anthropic's Claude Code and Cowork) · More or Less Podcast
Jan 16, 2026
Insight
Sam Lessin: Tech companies must stay secret or completely lead the narrative
“And so I think there's this big schism of like, you either are a secret company or you're the most obvious company in the world, but you leave the narrative. You can't be in the middle.”
Sam Lessin Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 26:38 SaaS Companies Beware: AI Is The New UI (Anthropic's Claude Code and Cowork) · More or Less Podcast
Jan 16, 2026 bearish
Insight
Sam Lessin: Ubiquitous AI will kill public APIs and turn everything into walled gardens
“The upshot is like, in some ways, all that AI is doing is rationalizing effectively the world of APIs and the world of programmatic access. Because when you drop access, where it's not just like really sophisticated, smart people who can kind of do stuff and y…”
Sam Lessin Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 36:49 SaaS Companies Beware: AI Is The New UI (Anthropic's Claude Code and Cowork) · More or Less Podcast
Jan 16, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Platforms will lock down app stores to extract value from AI
“I do think there's gonna be all sorts of weird business development games that start getting played with locked down app stores, locked down code bases, who has access to what. All of a sudden, Garmin is going to be like, Hey, guess what? We had a whole busine…”
Sam Lessin Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 33:03 SaaS Companies Beware: AI Is The New UI (Anthropic's Claude Code and Cowork) · More or Less Podcast
Feb 13, 2026 neutral
Insight
Sam Lessin: AI Has Created a 24/7 Work Cycle, Not Less Work
“And so to me, I think that's really the, you know, we talk about where the world is going and, you know, people are like, oh, AI is going to make people work less or whatever. No, I think what's happening is, especially right now, it's just created a work cycl…”
Sam Lessin Feb 13, 2026 ▶ 5:45 Why OpenAI Can't Win The Decentralized AI Future (OpenClaw, Apple's Win, X.AI Exodus) · More or Less Podcast
Feb 13, 2026
Disclosure
Sam Lessin spends up to $3,000 monthly on personal AI agents
“My bet is I'm spending, my bet is my full, like, AI tinker budget of things running around doing things for me is on the order of like, 2500 or 3000 dollars a month.”
Sam Lessin Feb 13, 2026 ▶ 10:56 Why OpenAI Can't Win The Decentralized AI Future (OpenClaw, Apple's Win, X.AI Exodus) · More or Less Podcast
Feb 20, 2026 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2029
Sam Lessin: Bay Area software jobs will drop 50% in three years
“200,000.”
Sam Lessin Feb 20, 2026 ▶ 43:52 OpenClaw vs Meta vs OpenAI: The Personal Agent Wars Heat Up · More or Less Podcast
Feb 27, 2026 positive
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Apple's restraint on AI CapEx is a great move
“I hate Apple, but Apple's lack of CapEx has made me start liking them, because it's just so great. They're like, fuck you, no CapEx.”
Sam Lessin Feb 27, 2026 ▶ 44:39 Apple, OpenAI & Why Nobody Makes Money in AI | The SaaS Apocalypse · More or Less Podcast
Mar 6, 2026
Insight
Sam Lessin: Software Engineers Fear Protesting AI Because It Signals Incompetence
“To admit that you are worried about software taking your job as a software builder is to effectively say that you are a bad software engineer, right?”
Sam Lessin Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 27:12 Fire Sam Altman, The End of Software Engineers, and Why AI Is All Narrative · More or Less Podcast
Mar 6, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: Built six AI apps in a week using podcast transcripts
“I've done, I've built like six apps this week, like literally, I'm not even exaggerating, but like I did bought, I did first build a quick version. I basically took our, all of our transcripts. I ripped through them, had to build personality, psychographic pro…”
Sam Lessin Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 10:40 Fire Sam Altman, The End of Software Engineers, and Why AI Is All Narrative · More or Less Podcast
Mar 6, 2026 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Interoperability standards no longer matter for AI agents
“But you don't need standards. It doesn't matter anymore.”
Sam Lessin Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 49:29 Fire Sam Altman, The End of Software Engineers, and Why AI Is All Narrative · More or Less Podcast
Apr 3, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Autonomous Bot Accidentally Sent 30 Invitations Instead of Drafting Them
“I asked by CRM, I was like, hey, we're doing this creator bot school. Go find the 20 to 30 most important people that creators would want to meet with in New York, I'm sorry, in San Francisco, and invite them if they want to stop by, and like, you know, it pul…”
Sam Lessin Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 23:02 OpenAI's $852 Billion Valuation Makes Zero Sense (ClawCon Tokyo, Anthropic's Leak, Goodbye Internet)
Apr 3, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: Disclosed a $100K Seed Investment Into AssemblyAI
“Assembly AI, which by the way, we received investors in. I put a hundred K into their first round, but they're crushing it.”
Sam Lessin Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 29:24 OpenAI's $852 Billion Valuation Makes Zero Sense (ClawCon Tokyo, Anthropic's Leak, Goodbye Internet)
Apr 3, 2026 neutral
Insight
Lessin: AI Compute Has Zero Vendor Lock-In for Developers
“And like the reality is the fact that I can just sit there and in three commands while I'm doing other stuff, do that is mind blowing, but it means there's no lock in on anything. I'm just going to sit there and price and quality optimize. Right. Like there's …”
Sam Lessin Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 38:59 OpenAI's $852 Billion Valuation Makes Zero Sense (ClawCon Tokyo, Anthropic's Leak, Goodbye Internet)
Apr 3, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Bullish on Software, But Negative on Software Businesses
“That's why I'm so bullish on software and so negative on software businesses, because I'm just like, I don't like, just, these are just tokens.”
Sam Lessin Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 32:05 OpenAI's $852 Billion Valuation Makes Zero Sense (ClawCon Tokyo, Anthropic's Leak, Goodbye Internet)
Apr 17, 2026 bearish
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: Fund Started Selling Allbirds at Series B
“Then it was the B. Because it was getting so, it was great product. Like we love the product. Great, great products. But the math became simple, which is the only way it made sense to hold it is if you believe that Allbirds was the next Nike. And we're like, w…”
Sam Lessin Apr 17, 2026 ▶ 9:31 Allbirds Pivoted to AI Data Centers | SpaceX $1.5T IPO, Anthropic $800B, $175M Seed Rounds
Apr 24, 2026 negative
Insight
Compensating displaced workers via UBI will just make them sadder
“As I've shot my mouth off a lot online, the problem is not basic income. The problem is meaning, right? You can't just, like, pay people and make them happy. They'll just be sadder.”
Sam Lessin Apr 24, 2026 ▶ 9:23 What Tim Cook’s “Executive Chairman” Move Really Means | Musk vs OpenAI, xAI and Cursor Rumors
Apr 24, 2026 negative
Opinion
Startups hyping AI danger to raise money caused the public backlash
“And it's like, actually, this was the entire marketing strategy. Right? Like, if you think about it, like, the irony of the whole thing is everyone's like, everyone hates that. It's like, well, your money-raising strategy has been to run around, including the …”
Sam Lessin Apr 24, 2026 ▶ 6:40 What Tim Cook’s “Executive Chairman” Move Really Means | Musk vs OpenAI, xAI and Cursor Rumors
May 1, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Sam Lessin built an AI bot generating custom kids' podcasts on demand
“So now whenever they want to listen to something in a car, I just email my bot. I say, make a podcast on how Minecraft was made, or how the history of Nintendo, or how EI Sports FC Mobile XXX was made, or Jetpack Joyride.”
Sam Lessin May 1, 2026 ▶ 50:45 Elon Musk vs OpenAI Trial, Google Cloud Surge, Meta’s Blocked Acquisition, Anthropic Winning · More or Less Podcast
May 1, 2026
Disclosure
Sam Lessin says his database costs have far outpaced AI token costs
“The answer is it's Postgres. My Postgres bill is the thing that's gone up the most. It's databases.”
Sam Lessin May 1, 2026 ▶ 42:27 Elon Musk vs OpenAI Trial, Google Cloud Surge, Meta’s Blocked Acquisition, Anthropic Winning · More or Less Podcast
May 1, 2026 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin claims YouTube subscriber counts are easily bought and clearly fake
“The subscriber number on YouTube is clearly fake, because I just like, Literally paid 300 bucks.”
Sam Lessin May 1, 2026 ▶ 58:11 Elon Musk vs OpenAI Trial, Google Cloud Surge, Meta’s Blocked Acquisition, Anthropic Winning · More or Less Podcast
May 15, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: NeuroPod Vagal Stimulation Doubled Oura HRV
“My Oura Ring, it's like my HRV went through the roof. Like, it doubled. My heart rate dropped.”
Sam Lessin May 15, 2026 ▶ 1:33 Google's AI-First Laptop, Meta's Spy Games, AI Monks in Middle America · More or Less Podcast
May 15, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Anthropic engineers in middle America will need security forces
“The anthropic engineers will go to middle America and they're going to need a large security force.”
Sam Lessin May 15, 2026 ▶ 30:24 Google's AI-First Laptop, Meta's Spy Games, AI Monks in Middle America · More or Less Podcast
Jun 5, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Lessin: Silicon Valley is film finance and tells better stories than Hollywood
“Because it's all about the attention and narrative economy anyway. We're financing. We actually are doing film finance at this point. Like Silicon Valley has just taken the job of Southern California, and we're way better at storytelling.”
Sam Lessin Jun 5, 2026 ▶ 44:07 Silicon Valley IPO Summer 2026: SpaceX, Anthropic, OpenAI Explained
Jun 5, 2026 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Lessin: AI survey shows lower approval rating than Jeffrey Epstein
“I believe that in a recent survey, AI has a lower approval rating than Jeffrey Epstein. It's, like, six percent.”
Sam Lessin Jun 5, 2026 ▶ 13:53 Silicon Valley IPO Summer 2026: SpaceX, Anthropic, OpenAI Explained
Jun 5, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Lessin: I use ElevenLabs to make voice-cloned custom podcasts for my kids
“I will say I use a lot of 11 Labs because I just only listen to podcasts I make for myself. I'd say most humans are like, I don't like listening to my voice. I apparently am fine with it because like in our car, I'm just constantly making new podcasts for the …”
Sam Lessin Jun 5, 2026 ▶ 41:03 Silicon Valley IPO Summer 2026: SpaceX, Anthropic, OpenAI Explained
Jun 5, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Lessin: Nobody watches tech shows like TBPN live, only clips travel
“The irony is no one watches any of this stuff live. Like the TPPN has a tiny, had, I don't even know now, had a tiny actual Audience for the thing. It's just the clips moved, right? Like, so there's no one who's ever watching it anyway, right?”
Sam Lessin Jun 5, 2026 ▶ 43:06 Silicon Valley IPO Summer 2026: SpaceX, Anthropic, OpenAI Explained
Jun 26, 2026 negative
Insight
Lessin: Product designers should never give users choice
“No, never give users choice. You have to tell them what to do.”
Sam Lessin Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 36:03 Chinese AI Model GLM 5.2 Beating Frontier Models | Meta Glasses, Polymarket Scandal, AI Talent War · More or Less Podcast
Jun 26, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Highly unlikely a big platform successfully launches prediction markets
“I agree that it's extremely unlikely that a enormous company platform will successfully launch something as avant-garde as a, it's not impossible, but very unlikely.”
Sam Lessin Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 17:19 Chinese AI Model GLM 5.2 Beating Frontier Models | Meta Glasses, Polymarket Scandal, AI Talent War · More or Less Podcast
Jun 26, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: The future of media is highly relevant micro-communities
“This is the future. It's all about having your community, which is very small, For which you are relevant.”
Sam Lessin Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 2:25 Chinese AI Model GLM 5.2 Beating Frontier Models | Meta Glasses, Polymarket Scandal, AI Talent War · More or Less Podcast
Jun 26, 2026 neutral
Insight
Sam Lessin: AI valuation models are binary bets on infinity or zero
“Everyone's model looks like this infinity or zero and probability of infinity.”
Sam Lessin Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 24:20 Chinese AI Model GLM 5.2 Beating Frontier Models | Meta Glasses, Polymarket Scandal, AI Talent War · More or Less Podcast
Jul 3, 2026 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: A verified national internet would be far more moderate than Twitter
“That if you truly had the American internet or, like, the French internet, this can be global in various ways, it is so much more moderate than what you get on Twitter, right? Like, it would, like, it would be so much more moderate”
Sam Lessin Jul 3, 2026 ▶ 23:15 Every CTO Is Quietly Switching Off Anthropic and OpenAI | GLM 5.2, Vox Americanus, Claude Fable 5 · More or Less Podcast
Jul 3, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lessin: ID Verification APIs Like Stripe and Persona Are Shockingly Robust
“The big delta from today versus even a few years ago is it's shockingly easy to validate IDs, right? The APIs are now really robust for it. There's Persona, there's Stripe.”
Sam Lessin Jul 3, 2026 ▶ 14:57 Every CTO Is Quietly Switching Off Anthropic and OpenAI | GLM 5.2, Vox Americanus, Claude Fable 5 · More or Less Podcast
Jul 3, 2026 positive
Insight
Lessin: Padel is a great sport for socializing with the ultra-rich
“If you wanna hang out with really rich people, this is a great sport to learn.”
Sam Lessin Jul 3, 2026 ▶ 7:35 Every CTO Is Quietly Switching Off Anthropic and OpenAI | GLM 5.2, Vox Americanus, Claude Fable 5 · More or Less Podcast
Jul 3, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Vox Americanus was built in days by emailing an AI coding bot
“It actually is pretty freaking good, and, like, the fact that I could, like, Build that in a few days, but like honestly on boats, like texting my, or emailing my bot for changes is like pretty sweet.”
Sam Lessin Jul 3, 2026 ▶ 28:35 Every CTO Is Quietly Switching Off Anthropic and OpenAI | GLM 5.2, Vox Americanus, Claude Fable 5 · More or Less Podcast
Jul 3, 2026 neutral
Insight
Lessin: Political Candidates in 2026 Must Already Have a Media Footprint
“In twenty-twenty six, you can't take someone who's like the nice guy liked in the community and build a media strategy for them. You need them to already have like a media footprint themselves.”
Sam Lessin Jul 3, 2026 ▶ 16:12 Every CTO Is Quietly Switching Off Anthropic and OpenAI | GLM 5.2, Vox Americanus, Claude Fable 5 · More or Less Podcast
Jul 10, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Lessin: OpenAI's government equity offer signals it is distressed
“But it is also, like, one of those things where, like, the only way we do this is for distressed situations. It's crazy for us to not do this, so they're distressed. They're distressed.”
Sam Lessin Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 19:41 AI Frontier Lab Is Essentially Doomed | Open AI Offered U.S. Equity, Xbox Is In Trouble, Post-AGI · More or Less Podcast
Jul 10, 2026 negative
Opinion
Lessin: Effective altruism is 'stupid' due to flawed impact calculations
“I think effective altruism is stupid because I think that they have a really false sense of how they can calculate.”
Sam Lessin Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 16:16 AI Frontier Lab Is Essentially Doomed | Open AI Offered U.S. Equity, Xbox Is In Trouble, Post-AGI · More or Less Podcast
Jul 17, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Sam Lessin questions value of passive listening AI hardware
“In practice, like most of what people say isn't that valuable. So I don't know that like passive listening is actually all it's cracked up to be in the end of the day for usefulness. It's mostly a lot of ums, but look, marginally lowering the barrier to record…”
Sam Lessin Jul 17, 2026 ▶ 36:22 Open Source AI Wins. Now Labs Are Running to Washington |Thinking Machines, Johnny Ive, Realtime API · More or Less Podcast
Jul 17, 2026 negative
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: Biological age testing methods show a 10-year variance
“My biological age is like a variance of 10 years based on whether you Dexa or Garmin or whatever the hell, like they're all different. It's all bullshit.”
Sam Lessin Jul 17, 2026 ▶ 48:05 Open Source AI Wins. Now Labs Are Running to Washington |Thinking Machines, Johnny Ive, Realtime API · More or Less Podcast
Jul 24, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Commercial biological age tests are unreliable 'bullshit'
“Listen, this stuff is all bullshit. I got Aura saying I'm seven years younger. I got Dexa saying I'm, like,”
Sam Lessin Jul 24, 2026 ▶ 6:22 Stripe Is Trying To Buy PayPal For $150b | OpenAI Cyber Incident, Frontier Model Economics, Peptides · More or Less Podcast
Jul 31, 2026 positive
Insight
Lessin: Cold Outreach Should Imply You Were Already in Conversation
“The best move in an email if you want to meet with someone, Is start in the middle of a conversation as though you have already been talking to the person. Because then you're like, oh shit, like, and then it's a lot of work. I have to like figure out if we ac…”
Sam Lessin Jul 31, 2026 ▶ 57:20 The Lilian Weng Saga, Mental Health Essay Then OpenAI | Meta's AI Ad, China Cracks DUV
Aug 7, 2026 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Ex-Apple employees almost certainly took IP to OpenAI
“I think both are almost certainly true in that I am sure that it is true that people lifted a bunch of IP out of Apple on their way to OpenAI.”
Sam Lessin Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 33:22 Jeff Dean Leaves Google, Airtable Sells, and the Bag-Securing Era · More or Less Podcast
Aug 7, 2026
Disclosure
Sam Lessin: Slow Ventures invested $3M in Airtable at $90M valuation
“So I put a three million dollar check into Airtable at a 90 post in between rounds early on, because this is now probably in 2012 ish, maybe that era.”
Sam Lessin Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 19:57 Jeff Dean Leaves Google, Airtable Sells, and the Bag-Securing Era · More or Less Podcast
Aug 7, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: AI labs share the exact same cap tables as SaaS companies
“It's the same. It's the same investors. It's exactly the same cap tables.”
Sam Lessin Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 31:35 Jeff Dean Leaves Google, Airtable Sells, and the Bag-Securing Era · More or Less Podcast
Aug 14, 2026 neutral
Disclosure
Lessin spends $3,000 monthly on infrastructure for his personal AI bot
“My bot is running about three grand a month of infrastructure, database, App servers, et cetera.”
Sam Lessin Aug 14, 2026 ▶ 6:24 Special Edition MOL with Josh Wolfe, Rachel Holt, Scott Belsky, Scott Stanford, and Peter Deng. · More or Less Podcast
Aug 14, 2026 negative
Opinion
Lessin: Handing out market-compounding cash will not solve America's opportunity crisis
“It's not clear what the next story is, but the story of, hey, here's a thousand bucks, hopefully it compounds in the market, I don't think solves the underlying problem of, like, how do you create opportunity for people and, like, the American story of capital…”
Sam Lessin Aug 14, 2026 ▶ 40:16 Special Edition MOL with Josh Wolfe, Rachel Holt, Scott Belsky, Scott Stanford, and Peter Deng. · More or Less Podcast
Aug 14, 2026
Disclosure
Lessin repeatedly pitched that Facebook should acquire the DMV
“Peter, we used to have meetings for what we should buy, and my pitch was always that the Facebook should buy the DMV.”
Sam Lessin Aug 14, 2026 ▶ 20:56 Special Edition MOL with Josh Wolfe, Rachel Holt, Scott Belsky, Scott Stanford, and Peter Deng. · More or Less Podcast
Aug 14, 2026 negative
Opinion
Lessin: AI labs giving equity to the government is cynical bullshit
“That was the most cynical bullshit I've ever heard from my perspective, even though I do actually like Trump accounts and the idea of the index.”
Sam Lessin Aug 14, 2026 ▶ 37:56 Special Edition MOL with Josh Wolfe, Rachel Holt, Scott Belsky, Scott Stanford, and Peter Deng. · More or Less Podcast
Aug 14, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Lessin: Traditional American pathways of hard work and schooling have run out
“Historically, if you were an IQ 100 person and worked hard, you'd do fine. If you had a shovel, then it was like, oh, just go to school, and you'll do fine, because there was so much demand for, like, intellectual jobs. Those stories have run out on the capita…”
Sam Lessin Aug 14, 2026 ▶ 40:02 Special Edition MOL with Josh Wolfe, Rachel Holt, Scott Belsky, Scott Stanford, and Peter Deng. · More or Less Podcast
Aug 14, 2026 bearish
Insight
Lessin: AI companies without unique proprietary data will not have long-term value
“If your data isn't unique, you're not going to be valuable long-term”
Sam Lessin Aug 14, 2026 ▶ 20:15 Special Edition MOL with Josh Wolfe, Rachel Holt, Scott Belsky, Scott Stanford, and Peter Deng. · More or Less Podcast
Aug 28, 2026 negative
Opinion
Apple easily deflects child safety and age verification blame onto Meta
“On the kids stuff, they get to blame. I mean, the stuff like the, like, age verification stuff will be It's so easy for them to do, but somehow it's Facebook's problem. Like, they're pretty good at pushing off blame to others.”
Sam Lessin Aug 28, 2026 ▶ 35:25 Meta’s $17B Reckoning & Why Parents Can’t Compete With Big Tech's Algorithm · More or Less Podcast
Aug 28, 2026 bearish
Insight
Sam Lessin: Customizable software will not lead to user restraint
“Customizable software is not going to lead to restraint. People are like, I want more powerful marijuana strains. Like, they don't want less powerful shit, right?”
Sam Lessin Aug 28, 2026 ▶ 32:28 Meta’s $17B Reckoning & Why Parents Can’t Compete With Big Tech's Algorithm · More or Less Podcast
Aug 28, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Apple risks a Nike-style decline if it relies solely on supply chain
“This is my being really cynical snarky, but the cynical snarky take is in about 15 years, you can supply chain optimize the hell out of a company and make stock go way up, but then Apple better figure out how to not be Nike, right, and come up with the innovat…”
Sam Lessin Aug 28, 2026 ▶ 40:54 Meta’s $17B Reckoning & Why Parents Can’t Compete With Big Tech's Algorithm · More or Less Podcast
Aug 28, 2026 positive
Opinion
Lessin: Email is by far the best interface for AI agents
“The email agent thing, I was on with an entrepreneur, actually two in the last week, and he's like, well, I have, like, the, I call the agent, and I text the agent, and I was like, yeah, but email's by far the best, and he's like, yeah, it is. Email's sick. Th…”
Sam Lessin Aug 28, 2026 ▶ 3:47 Meta’s $17B Reckoning & Why Parents Can’t Compete With Big Tech's Algorithm · More or Less Podcast
Aug 28, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
YouTube blocked More or Less podcast promotion for mentioning Donald Trump
“We had a great podcast episode and I can't promote it because we mentioned the DT name.”
Sam Lessin Aug 28, 2026 ▶ 20:06 Meta’s $17B Reckoning & Why Parents Can’t Compete With Big Tech's Algorithm · More or Less Podcast
Aug 28, 2026 negative
Disclosure
Sam Lessin algorithmically screenshots his son's iMessages all day to bypass Apple
“And like, by the way, you know, I have a desktop, like sitting in my computer in my room where I just like logged into my son's iMessage account. And I've sit there and fucking screenshot it all day long algorithmically. Cause there's no APIs to it. So I can p…”
Sam Lessin Aug 28, 2026 ▶ 34:19 Meta’s $17B Reckoning & Why Parents Can’t Compete With Big Tech's Algorithm · More or Less Podcast
Sep 4, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Lessin: Built AI pipeline that autonomously produces and uploads YouTube videos
“So I literally now have a pipeline where I ask a question and it fully produces and deploys YouTube videos that are three to seven minutes that are excellent on like any topic I want through to YouTube.”
Sam Lessin Sep 4, 2026 ▶ 6:04 AI Agents Are Going Rogue. Should We Be Worried? │Claude vs. Grok, Tesla vs Waymo, Google vs Canva · More or Less Podcast
Sep 4, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Lessin: Gave AI full control of a Mac mini to deploy iOS apps via TestFlight
“So I actually just gave my cloud cloud and this thing's full control of a Mac mini down to screen, like full, full, full control. So that it can deploy through test flight all its own apps from single commands.”
Sam Lessin Sep 4, 2026 ▶ 7:42 AI Agents Are Going Rogue. Should We Be Worried? │Claude vs. Grok, Tesla vs Waymo, Google vs Canva · More or Less Podcast
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