The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 185 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Patrick: Lutein and zeaxanthin improve crystallized intelligence in older adults
“There's been other studies in older adults where giving them lutein and zeaxanthin will improve crystallized intelligence.”
Davis: Athletic Brewing is probably worth $1B to $2B
“I would say there is good no alcohol beer the athletic club. I mean, that, by the way, that's a company that probably has got a, probably worth over a billion dollars today or two billion dollars, a couple of guys in Connecticut.”
Eastman: A UPenn study shows faster speakers gain more attention despite nonsense
“There was one cool study, I think, out of, like, UPenn that found that, like, people that talk faster are listened to at a greater level, even though what they're saying is nonsense.”
Approximately 20% of society cannot form visual pictures in their mind
“Reality is there's about 20% of society that can't form visual pictures in their mind.”
Dr. Lagos: Resonant Breathing Rate Matches Felt Comfort 90% of the Time
“If you can't get a hold of feedback, physiological feedback, 90% of the time, the rate that is someone's resonant frequency is the rate that just feels good.”
Kelly: The Amish evaluate technology by whether it enables daily family meals
“For the Amish, what they're trying to use, one of the reasons how, how, one of the ways that they decide which technology they're going to use or not use is they have a very clear idea of success. And so their goal is to have a lot of kids and to have every me…”
Dignan: Stock market holding periods have dropped to days or hours
“The actual time to hold has gone down to the point where now it's like in, it can be measured in days or hours on average.”
Dignan: Private equity holding periods have shortened to two to four years
“But even then, PE swings in two, three, four years now.”
Walker: Counting sheep actually causes people to take longer to fall asleep
“What she found was that not only did counting sheep not make you fall asleep any faster, it actually made people take longer to fall asleep.”
Pasricha: NIMH reports 43% of people report having depression
“National Institute of Mental Health says that 43% of us are now saying that we have a form of depression.”
Pasricha: Studies show workers spend 31% of their time task-switching
“There's some studies that have come out and said, you know, we're spending 31% of our time today bookmarking, prioritizing, and switching between tasks as opposed to actually doing things.”
Shah: 80% to 85% of Bollywood revenue comes from 10 to 15 people
“I would say 80, 85% of Bollywood revenue comes from like 10, 15 people.”
Shah: 80% to 83% of Indian suitcases are bought for weddings
“80 to 83% of all suitcases in India are bought for weddings.”
Huberman: Sunlight through windows fails to set your circadian clock
“Bright light exposure through windows or windshields will not suffice. Those unlike corrective lenses on your eyes, glasses and contacts don't focus the light to your eyes. In fact, they're designed to filter The very light that triggers activation of these ne…”
Huberman: Late-shifted cortisol peak is a physiological signature of depression
“And actually it's a hallmark physiological signature of depression to have a late shifted cortisol peak.”
Huberman: Elevating feet 10 to 15 degrees increases brain glymphatic clearance
“One way to enhance it is to have the feet slightly elevated, 10 to 15 degrees. I put a pillow under my ankles when I sleep at night. Usually in the middle of the night, I realize I kicked it away or something like that, but feet elevated naps of about 10 to 15…”
Chapman: Couples fight more on Friday nights than any other night
“More couples will fight on Friday night than any night of the week. And I think that's an upper limits pattern because it's like, oh, honey, We have the whole weekend now to, you know, have more connection. And so that'll be a threat somehow to well, you know,…”
Rabil: Patriots Base Contract Incentives on Playing Time, Not Individual Stats
“I think the Patriots do a really good job of building incentive incentives around starting. And playing in games and they don't incentivize based off of number of catches or touchdowns or yards passed.”
Rushkoff: Gulf of Mexico shrimp get shipped to Asia just for deshelling
“We fish for shrimp in the Gulf of Mexico. We transport those shrimp all the way to China and Vietnam, where they get deshelled, and then put them on other boats and ship them all the way back to us.”
Isaacson: Steve Jobs delayed original Mac launch over circuit board aesthetics
“Something that he shared with Steve jobs who would hold up shipping the original Macintosh because the circuit board inside was not beautiful enough.”
Cole: US franchise law prohibits franchisors from mandating retail prices in most cases
“And oh, by the way, and franchising in the United States, in most cases, it is illegal to mandate pricing.”
Godin: Lexus's launch spec required beating Mercedes by a standard deviation
“That what it meant for a Lexus to be good enough when they first came out was it had to be a standard deviation better than a Mercedes.”
Kelly: Opening awareness to spacious view relaxes the brain's anterior cingulate cortex
“However, these, you know, direct practice, wisdom traditions, when you open your awareness to what feels like a spacious view that's embodied, everyone reports that's true, and then your brain shows results. The ACC, the interior, interior singular course cort…”
Barrett: Breathing is the only deliberate biological control for the nervous system
“Breathing is really the only way that we know of Biologically speaking, that it's the only way that you can kind of deliberately get a handle on your nervous system.”
Fry: IBM Deep Blue introduced deliberate delays to simulate human thinking
“The IBM team deliberately coded their machine so that the way that it worked for you would sort of search for solutions. And depending on how long that search would take, it would be how quickly the answer came back, but they deliberately coded it so that some…”
Maples: PayPal mafia members were not established in tech before PayPal
“So, for example, if you look at the PayPal mafia, none of them were established in tech before they joined PayPal.”
Nagoski: Overall well-being is the best predictor of a woman's sexual satisfaction
“The best predictor, in particular, of a woman's sexual well-being is her overall well-being.”
Gilchrist: Scotty Bowman Benched Superstar Sergei Fedorov to Motivate the Red Wings
“I remember him sitting out Sergei Fedorov, like, one of the best players in the world, and Sergei had probably had a couple bad games which is not uncommon for anybody in the league, and I think Scotty decided to sit him out, and that was like, well, that's a …”
Robinson: Doctors cannot follow IBM Watson's diagnostic reasoning
“So even now, the computer Watson, IBM's Watson, can come up with a medical diagnosis, the challenge of which is to explain the diagnosis to the doctor, because the doctor can't follow the reasoning of the neural net, and all the thing.”
Robinson: US Tech Giants Own User Data Unlike European Frameworks
“In the United States, You don't own your data. Google does, or Facebook. It's their corporate data. But in Europe, the individual owns his or her data.”
Robinson: Medieval court jesters were institutionalized truth-tellers, not entertainers
“In in the Middle Ages, there was an institution designed by kings to provide feedback, and it was called the court jester, and the function of the court jester was not to amuse the king. The function of the court jester was far more serious than that. The cour…”
Robinson: Stuyvesant High School Average SAT Is Higher Than Harvard's
“To put this in perspective, Stuyvesant's average SAT is higher than Harvard's.”
Garvey Berger: Brain scans cannot distinguish holding an opinion from recalling facts
“Like, you can't tell the difference in a brain scan between somebody having an opinion and somebody remembering a fact. Our brains think they're the same, and so we have to get really careful with what we think is an opinion and what we think is a fact.”
Ben Thompson predicts music streaming will soon surpass CD-era peak revenues
“It turns out the music industry is actually in fantastic shape, and their revenue has been increasing a lot, and they're actually going to have, they're on pace to have like their best year ever in like the next couple of years, like even more than like the CD…”
Greene: "48 Laws of Power" sales spiked after Donald Trump's election.
“Every now and then there'll be an article and suddenly the sales spike, or when Trump got elected, suddenly the sales spiked.”
Most people experience peak productivity during a two-hour morning window
“One of the things we know, again, is that people are productive in about the first two hours of the day. Almost everybody is productive for the 1:02 hours of the day. Not when you wake up, but kind of eight to 10, nine to 11. And then we, ah, ah, have a lull, …”
Historical Average for Human Maternal Breastfeeding Is Four Years
“Through breastfeeding, which, you know, the human average across history is four years of skin to skin contact and the provision of nourishment and the oxytocin that's released and the prolactin that is this oceanic feeling of connection that's foundational.”
Garneau: Transport Canada Sets Airline Legroom Rules Strictly for Evacuation Safety
“Airplanes have to provide a certain leg room, elbow room spacing for safety reasons, in case you have to evacuate the airplane quickly. And that is a Transport Canada requirement. Now, we establish minimums.”
Sutherland: Wine tastes better when poured from a heavier bottle
“Wine will taste better if you pour it from a heavier bottle.”
Dixon: VC invests only $10B–$20B yearly, smaller than big tech R&D budgets
“This industry is actually, you know, it gets a lot of attention in the press venture capital, but it's actually a very small industry. So, you know, they're probably, there are a few dozen kind of firms that most people, you know, that, that, that constitute t…”
Parrish: Rockefeller collected $5M insurance payout upon reaching age 96
“When he turned 96, his insurance company, honoring an old policy, had to pay him five million dollars.”
Enders: The Gut Naturally Replenishes All Its Cells Every Two Weeks
“Because usually after two weeks, a gut really replenishes all its cells.”
Hyundai Required English Entrance Exams Years Before Other Korean Firms
“English tests were required at Hyundai years before the rest of Korea caught on.”
South Korea Spent Close to $6 Billion on the 1988 Summer Olympics
“Korea then spent close to six billion dollars on the games themselves, and you could see the country's ambition in every line item.”
Bernie Marcus Managed $1B in Merchandise at Two Guys by Age 28
“By 28, Bernie was overseeing almost a billion dollars in merchandise and nearly 70% of all appliances sold on the East Coast because that's what Two Guys was doing.”
The fast casual restaurant sector is a $350 billion industry today.
“That became the ideology that fuels what's called fast casual today, which is a three hundred and fifty billion dollar business.”