The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

2open predictions
0due for another look
1closed calls →
1076days to next prediction date
Everyone Carlos Araque (6)Gene Berdachevsky (4)Blake Scholl (4)Steve Fambro (3)Paul Eremenko (3)Kim Vaccarella (3)Troy Carter (2)Tai Sade (2)Shara Ticku (2)Ramses Alcaide (2)Kyle Clark (2)John Zimmer (2)
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today 2026202720282029 FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep 1 call beyond 2029 →

Next up (2)

1076 days left 2029-08-24
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2029
Electric cargo planes will bypass standard airports within four to six years
“In the near future, the next few years, they'll go to the airport only because of regulatory challenges of putting off airport landing sites. But in the next four to six years, what'll happen is these aircraft will actually go to the distribution center, which…”
Kyle Clark Aug 24, 2023 ▶ 29:58 Electrifying aviation with Kyle Clark of BETA Technologies
1570 days left 2030-12-31
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Electric planes will outnumber gas-powered planes in the air by 2030
“By 2030, you'll see more electric airplanes in the air than gas powered airplanes.”
Kyle Clark Aug 24, 2023 ▶ 34:11 Electrifying aviation with Kyle Clark of BETA Technologies

Closed calls (1) the full record →

Prediction Didn’t hold up
BETA plans to operate commercially in the United States by 2025
“And yes, by 20, 25, they're doing commercial operations here in the U S and then we just basically build them as fast as we can.”
Kyle Clark Aug 24, 2023 ▶ 34:51 Electrifying aviation with Kyle Clark of BETA Technologies
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