The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

4open predictions
0due for another look
0closed calls →
108days to next prediction date
Everyone Carlos Araque (6)Gene Berdachevsky (4)Blake Scholl (4)Steve Fambro (3)Paul Eremenko (3)Kim Vaccarella (3)Troy Carter (2)Tai Sade (2)Shara Ticku (2)Ramses Alcaide (2)Kyle Clark (2)John Zimmer (2)
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Next up (4)

108 days left 2026-12-31
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Berdichevsky: Automotive battery integration takes roughly five years post-consumer electronics
“We, 10 years in, we got into our first consumer electronics device, and, you know, it'll be Sort of around five years more from then to get into, you know, first car that folks can buy.”
Gene Berdachevsky Mar 7, 2024 ▶ 19:14 Supercharging Lithium-Ion Batteries with Gene Berdichevsky of Sila Nanotechnologies
108 days left 2026-12-31
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Berdichevsky: First consumer cars with Sila technology expected in 2026
“And right now we're planning to be complete with the Current phase of the factory, what we call phase one at the end of this year, and we'll spend the first half of next year bringing that online very carefully to make very high quality product, and we'll begi…”
Gene Berdachevsky Mar 7, 2024 ▶ 38:24 Supercharging Lithium-Ion Batteries with Gene Berdichevsky of Sila Nanotechnologies
174 days left 2027-03-07
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2027
Berdichevsky: Sila will achieve a 40 percent energy density improvement over graphite
“And so that's where the technology is today, and then over the next few years, we'll get that to a 30% improvement. Eventually, we think we can get that to a 40% improvement over state-of-the-art graphite chemistries.”
Gene Berdachevsky Mar 7, 2024 ▶ 28:52 Supercharging Lithium-Ion Batteries with Gene Berdichevsky of Sila Nanotechnologies
6384 days left 2044-03-07
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2044
Berdichevsky: Silicon should replace graphite across all batteries in 20 years
“So I think there'll, there'll be a place for graphite, but I would say in 20 years, silicon should be able to replace it in every nook and cranny.”
Gene Berdachevsky Mar 7, 2024 ▶ 36:26 Supercharging Lithium-Ion Batteries with Gene Berdichevsky of Sila Nanotechnologies
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