The Calls
Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.
Everyone Carlos Araque (6)Gene Berdachevsky (4)Blake Scholl (4)Steve Fambro (3)Paul Eremenko (3)Kim Vaccarella (3)Troy Carter (2)Tai Sade (2)Shara Ticku (2)Ramses Alcaide (2)Kyle Clark (2)John Zimmer (2)
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Closed calls (4) the full record →
Zimmer: Lyft will likely offer monthly subscription miles plans for all transportation
“In fact, what you'll be able to do is buy, you know, likely a miles plan from us, a monthly subscription to handle all your transportation needs.”
Zimmer predicted in 2017 that AVs would soon handle half of rides
“What's real is that over the next couple years, it'll be able to do A few percent of our trips, 10% of our trips, 50% of our trips.”
Zimmer predicted Lyft would sell monthly subscriptions mixing human and autonomous rides
“In fact, what you'll be able to do is buy, you know, likely a miles plan from us, a monthly subscription to handle all your transportation needs. And over the next few years, some of those trips will be done by human drivers, and others will be done by autonom…”
Zimmer predicted autonomous cars would gradually handle a growing percentage of rides
“An autonomous car is not going to drop out of the sky and be able to do a hundred percent of our trips. That's not real. What's real is that over the next couple years, it'll be able to do A few percent of our trips, 10% of our trips, 50% of our trips.”