The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

1open predictions
0due for another look
1closed calls →
8874days to next prediction date
Everyone Carlos Araque (6)Gene Berdachevsky (4)Blake Scholl (4)Steve Fambro (3)Paul Eremenko (3)Kim Vaccarella (3)Troy Carter (2)Tai Sade (2)Shara Ticku (2)Ramses Alcaide (2)Kyle Clark (2)John Zimmer (2)
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Next up (1)

8874 days left 2050-12-31
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2050
Araque: Geothermal could supply 20% of global energy by 2050
“So let's say by 20 50 we have on the order of one to five terawatts, that's probably a healthy 20% of global energy needs, but certainly after that, you know, you start talking about the majority of energy coming from here.”
Carlos Araque Aug 4, 2022 ▶ 37:36 HIBT Lab! Quaise Energy: Carlos Araque

Closed calls (1) the full record →

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Quaise will start field drilling in 2024, repower plant by 2028
“So, twenty-twenty-four is what we say we're going to do, and after that, you start the journey towards repairing a power plant, and that takes us the better part of the rest of the decade. So, twenty-twenty-seven, 28 is when we intend to repair the first power…”
Carlos Araque Aug 4, 2022 ▶ 28:51 HIBT Lab! Quaise Energy: Carlos Araque
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