grid

also referred to as: grids · the grid

34 statements across 30 episodes · 12 bullish · 11 bearish · 27 people on the record · first statement Mar 11, 2022 by Astrid Atkinson · across every show →

Everything said about grid, oldest first

Mar 11, 2022 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Atkinson: Few smart thermostat owners participate in utility grid-pay programs
“You know, many people have Nest thermostats. Very few participate in programs where they're actually getting paid to do anything on the grid.”
Astrid Atkinson Mar 11, 2022 ▶ 12:33 What the grid can learn from the internet
Mar 17, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schroeder: Grid-connected EVs will offset some dedicated grid storage demand
“We are inherently going to be putting huge amounts of lithium ion on the grid in the form of, you know, EVs. And so I think at least for demand response, there's something there, right? There's some offset that, you know, to other storage that would be needed,…”
Dave Schroeder Mar 17, 2022 ▶ 52:32 When will batteries take over the world?
Jun 23, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kann: Electric vehicles will never discharge to the grid at scale
“I do not think we'll ever see vehicles discharging into the grid at scale.”
Shayle Kann Jun 23, 2022 ▶ 34:45 Which tech is overhyped, underhyped and just right?
Oct 27, 2022 neutral
Insight
Steele: Microgrids combine the challenges of off-grid and centralized grids
“I think they have worked in a number of cases, but in some ways they're this hybrid where they have All of the challenges of an off-grid system and all of the challenges of a grid. And so figuring out the financing model, the operational model, like how you ac…”
Kate Steele Oct 27, 2022 ▶ 21:21 Climatetech for developing economies
Jun 1, 2023
Assertion Supported
45% of global copper is used in electricity and grid infrastructure
“45% of the copper in the world is used in the grid or in electricity or any application that it's either in the production or the transmission of electrons, or the use of those electrons.”
Cristobal Undurraga Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 7:25 Keeping copper from limiting the energy transition
Jun 22, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zindler: Grid interconnection, not price, will be solar's primary constraint
“It's whether you can get interconnection and get onto the grid. That is the, that is going to be really the limiting factor going forward. So all these other things are really cool, but like, you can add them, you can stack them, you can get a lot of benefit, …”
Ethan Zindler Jun 22, 2023 ▶ 11:18 Building out a U.S. solar supply chain
Aug 31, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Yeagerson: Aggregated EV fleets will become highly dispatchable grid capacity resources
“If you have a million thermostats and you've done it 20 times, then actually it's more dispatchable than a discrete peaking resource. And I think you're gonna find that with vehicles as well. It's gonna be very fungible, it's gonna be very predictable, we're g…”
Ty Yeagerson Aug 31, 2023 ▶ 20:13 Can the V2X dream become reality?
Oct 26, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hade: A catastrophic power grid failure will occur in the United States
“A catastrophic grid failure is going to happen, and when that catastrophic grid failure happens, the question's going to be, why didn't we think about resilience more?”
Tim Hade Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 16:49 The market for microgrids
Nov 30, 2023 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Woolley: Unmanaged EV charging could increase peak grid load by 50%
“A first level, which is unmanaged, which is really bad for the grid. We just get load happening at peak times, and that, that is going to be really, really bad for the grid. Some estimates say that that's going to be, like, an increase of peak load by, like, 5…”
Nick Woolley Nov 30, 2023 ▶ 22:35 EV charging on both sides of the pond
Dec 14, 2023 bearish
Insight
Jaramillo: 100-hour lithium-ion storage cannot clear grid energy markets economically
“In the case of lithium ion, Let's say that's roughly a hundred dollars a kilowatt hour. You're adding a hundred dollars for every hour you want to discharge. And the industry normalizes around dollar per kilowatt in terms of comparative resources. So everythin…”
Mateo Jaramillo Dec 14, 2023 ▶ 9:37 What do you do with a 100-hour battery?
May 23, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Shah: Electricity distribution circuits are down to 20% asset utilization
“For many of us, because our distribution circuits have been upgraded so substantially, you're down to 20% asset utilization, right? So, like, so 20% of the total capacity of that circuit is being utilized, right?”
Jigar Shah May 23, 2024 ▶ 19:39 Could VPPs save rooftop solar?
Jun 13, 2024 neutral
Insight
Janus: Cloud Apps Cannot Seamlessly Move Regions During Data Center Outages
“I think people have this sense of the cloud as really being this sort of ethereal thing, and applications can just move around, and if one data center goes down, then, well, you can just move everything to another data center. That's not really how it works. W…”
Brian Janous Jun 13, 2024 ▶ 17:26 Under the hood of data center power demand
Jul 25, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Berdichevsky: Sodium-ion makes sense for grid storage, not electric vehicles
“I think sodium ion makes a ton of sense for the grid. I don't think it makes any sense for EVs.”
Gene Berdichevsky Jul 25, 2024 ▶ 17:22 The EV market’s awkward teenage years
Jan 9, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Lafarge: Doubling grid capacity is the baseline, not a high-end scenario
“Even if you haircut the forecast growth in data centers and manufacturing by 80 or 90%, you still double the grid. And something I think we need to say more as an industry is doubling the grid is not the high-end reference case here. It's not the sort of what …”
Pierre Lafarge Jan 9, 2025 ▶ 8:53 Making DERs work for load growth
Jan 9, 2025 neutral
Insight
Lafarge: Distributed capacity procurement extends century-old utility planning practices
“The first layer of a distributed capacity procurement is just asking a utility to be a utility, which is plan how much it needs to generate and move electricity where it needs it and what type of assets would do that and then go Buy them and put them into the …”
Pierre Lafarge Jan 9, 2025 ▶ 10:27 Making DERs work for load growth
May 6, 2025
Insight
Brown: Individual AI adoption equals hundreds of millions of new HVACs
“Like if you think about the idea that maybe as each individual having kind of an AI co-pilot, that's the equivalent of like having hundreds of millions of new HVAC systems all of a sudden being put onto the grid.”
Ben Brown May 6, 2025 ▶ 2:22 Frontier Forum: Unlocking next-generation VPPs
May 20, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Data centers will drive widespread battery deployment across the grid
“Yes, I think we'll see a lot of batteries at data centers. I think we'll see a lot of batteries on the grid next to data centers. I think we'll see a lot of batteries That are on the grid far away from data centers. I think we're just going to see a lot of bat…”
Tristan Doherty May 20, 2025 ▶ 24:07 A former race car engineer on battery safety and supply chains [partner content]
Sep 18, 2025 neutral
Insight
Lubershain: Utility planners stick to 100% solutions because nobody gets fired
“Because utility planners, they are inherently always going to prefer a 100% solution. That's how we've built the grid in the past, and Nobody gets fired for putting in place a 100% solution that is going to work every day for all of the hours of the day, all t…”
Andy Lubershane Sep 18, 2025 ▶ 39:45 Is now the time for DERs to scale?
Sep 18, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Kann: The decade's predicted utility death spiral completely failed to materialize
“Surprise, surprise, it didn't happen, and I don't actually even think that is really worth talking about now, because it's definitely not happening these days, but the backdrop to that line of thinking was the concept that we were going to see this wave of dis…”
Shayle Kann Sep 18, 2025 ▶ 2:42 Is now the time for DERs to scale?
Oct 2, 2025 positive
Insight
Guernsey: VPP strength relies on pairing assets with complementary operating constraints
“In many ways, that's the strength of the portfolio. You can take things that maybe have operating parameters and constraints and pair them with other things, or other customers that have similar but different constraints, and now you can respond to what the gr…”
Dana Guernsey Oct 2, 2025 ▶ 13:44 The new wave of DERs
Oct 21, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sridhar: Politics will block taxpayer-funded grid expansions for hyperscalers
“Now, if the grid were to build excess capacity purely to meet this huge demand and expects the taxpayer to pay for it so the hyperscaler can benefit, That politics is never going to fly.”
K.R. Sridhar Oct 21, 2025 ▶ 5:55 Frontier Forum: The new power map for AI infrastructure
Oct 21, 2025 positive
Insight
Sridhar: Data centers should always connect to the grid for cheap insurance
“Anytime a customer can connect to a grid, they would want to, and we would recommend that they connect to the grid, because that's insurance for almost nothing.”
K.R. Sridhar Oct 21, 2025 ▶ 28:37 Frontier Forum: The new power map for AI infrastructure
Jan 20, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Burton: AI power demand will drive growth in grid optimization software
“That, you know, with this increasing demand, it's gonna create a ton of opportunity for businesses that solve the grid optimization problem that create software, and again, AI. So this data center and AI growth can actually contribute to improving delivery on …”
Tom Burton Jan 20, 2026 ▶ 17:38 A ‘rain delay’ for the energy transition [partner content]
Jan 29, 2026 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
McGinnis: Standard 120V and 240V outlets are pre-existing bi-directional grid interconnections
“The 120 volts or the 240 volt outlet is a pre-existing bi-directional interconnection point on the grid that you can actually push power into, and it's safe to do so at the circuit level.”
James McGinnis Jan 29, 2026 ▶ 6:43 The rise of permissionless DERs
Feb 5, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2032
First advanced nuclear reactor will supply US grid power by 2032
“I'm pretty bad at making predictions, but I would be surprised if by 20 32 we haven't seen Real new advanced reactor electrons on the grid. There may not be many, and it'll probably be just one reactor but it'll shortly thereafter be followed by, you know, a s…”
Katie Huff Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 34:13 The path to market for new nuclear reactors
Feb 12, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Siegel: The electrical grid operates at roughly a 50% capacity factor
“When we look at the grid that we have, we utilize it at, on the order of a 50% capacity factor.”
Paul Siegel Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 33:37 PJM and ERCOT navigate a capacity rollercoaster
Feb 25, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roberts predicts the concept of distinct distributed energy resources will fade away
“You and I know that the way the long-term evolution is that basically everything that is plugged in is gonna become a resource eventually. Like, the notion of DERs as a kind of distinct category, I think, is just gonna kind of fade away, because eventually, li…”
David Roberts Feb 25, 2026 ▶ 26:19 Volts crossover: Six big energy questions
Mar 30, 2026 positive
Insight
McAvoy: Grid response requires site-level inferencing for sub-50ms latency
“The goal right now, I think for a lot of people, it's like sub-fifty millisecond response, and so you want to reduce latency everywhere, so you start doing your inferencing and decision making, like, locally, very locally, on the ground, like, at the site leve…”
Sean McAvoy Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 4:45 Battery booms and the rise of flexibility [partner content]
Apr 9, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Sivaram: Over 100GW of stranded grid capacity could power flexible data centers
“The grid is utilized at roughly 50% or less during most of the year, and therefore, we have all of this hundred plus gigawatts of stranded power capacity that could power AI factories connecting to the grid today if during those rare peak moments AI factories …”
Varun Sivaram Apr 9, 2026 ▶ 9:48 The rise of flexible data centers
Jun 18, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kann: Off-grid data centers are usually temporary bridge power
“Because usually what's happening is that if the data center is operating off grid, it's temporary. It's a bridge power situation. Eventually they're going to get connected to the grid.”
Shayle Kann Jun 18, 2026 ▶ 21:41 Enter the electric supercycle
Aug 20, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Wong: Grid congestion is preventing utilities from scheduling planned maintenance outages
“The grid is getting so congested that if we do worst case scenario all the time we are, the utilities are beginning to struggle to find time to take the grid into contingency for planned work.”
Josh Wong Aug 20, 2026 ▶ 26:15 Can AI revolutionize grid operations?
Sep 3, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Janous: Electricity prices did not rise for 100 years during grid expansion
“Electricity prices did not go up for a hundred years as we massively expanded the grid.”
Brian Janous Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 21:01 What comes after the data center backlash?
Sep 3, 2026 negative
Opinion
Janous: On-site power plants make data center community backlash worse
“Do they really want a data center plus a power plant next door? That also seems like not the right solution. Like, I think that's, Worse than a data center connected to the grid.”
Brian Janous Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 26:18 What comes after the data center backlash?
Sep 10, 2026 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lubershain: Most utility service territories have no spare grid capacity left
“In most utility service territories, it's not the case that there's a lot of headroom left on the grid. There's no more headroom left in the grid. There's no more spare capacity in most places, which means that oftentimes you will have to build new power gener…”
Andy Lubershane Sep 10, 2026 ▶ 7:22 Do data centers actually increase electricity prices? No...and yes
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