secondary market

also referred to as: secondary markets

28 statements across 16 episodes · 9 bullish · 3 bearish · 15 people on the record · first statement Apr 30, 2018 by Jim Williams · across every show →

Everything said about secondary market, oldest first

Apr 30, 2018 negative
Insight
Secondary market bids for legacy fund stubs carry excessively steep discounts
“Anytime you look at the secondary markets to do a sale, what you're offered for these old stubs is such a large discount that it's not worth doing that. So we'll let this pretty meaningfully big number of small stubs stay in the portfolio and let it run off.”
Jim Williams Apr 30, 2018 ▶ 48:36 James Williams – Curating The Getty's Assets (Capital Allocators, EP.50)
May 20, 2019 positive
Opinion
Recker: Private equity secondaries remain one of few inefficient markets
“One of the few markets that's still inefficient is the secondary market and privates, relative to how capital flows, et cetera.”
Tim Recker May 20, 2019 ▶ 59:31 Tim Recker - Concentration at the James Irvine Foundation (Capital Allocators, EP.100)
May 3, 2021 neutral
Disclosure
Moseley: APFC sold secondary assets three times over eight years
“We've sold assets in the secondary market three times in the last eight years because we thought there was a, at least a temporary premium attached to certain assets, and in particular to a collection, to a portfolio of assets that could be aggressively levere…”
Steve Moseley May 3, 2021 ▶ 1:02:28 Innovation in Private Markets 1: Steve Moseley – The Space in Between GPs and LPs at Alaska Permanent Fund (Capital Allocators, EP.192)
Jun 21, 2021 neutral
Insight
Secondaries limit precise portfolio construction because buyers only get what LPs sell
“The downside of secondaries is you can't always be so precise the way you can on primaries or co-investments around picking your portfolio construction, X percent Europe, Y percent venture. The founder of the secondary business used to say, you can only buy wh…”
John Toomey Jun 21, 2021 ▶ 37:32 Private Equity Masters 1: John Toomey – HarbourVest Partners (Capital Allocators, EP.200)
Jun 21, 2021 positive
Assertion Supported
Secondaries shifted from distressed LP sales to GP-led liquidity solutions over 20 years
“And for 20 years, it was largely a distressed seller market. For the most part, the secondary market existed only because An owner of a limited partnership interest decided it didn't want to own that asset anymore. And what has changed in the last, say, five t…”
John Toomey Jun 21, 2021 ▶ 38:42 Private Equity Masters 1: John Toomey – HarbourVest Partners (Capital Allocators, EP.200)
Dec 23, 2021 neutral
Insight
Frazier: Outright secondary share sales create severe tax, control, and signaling drawbacks
“The secondary market has picked up, and there are several groups, some of them with decent, good reputations, who will buy shares outright, and that's a simple transaction to get your head around. However, the tax implications can be pretty significant. The co…”
Nat Frazier Dec 23, 2021 ▶ 9:04 Justin Fishner- Wolfson - 137 Ventures (Manager Meetings, EP.25)
Dec 19, 2022
Insight
Marshall: Offloading only underperforming fund managers never works in secondaries
“You can't just sell your duds. That never works in a secondary.”
Ana Marshall Dec 19, 2022 ▶ 12:37 Ana Marshall – Preparing for the New Environment at Hewlett (Capital Allocators, EP. 288)
Apr 17, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Toomey: Secondaries and Co-Investments Will Drive Early PE Price Discovery
“The secondary market, the continuation fund market, the recap market, the co-investment market, those are all areas of the market with pretty sophisticated investors. That are in the business of creating returns for their investors, of which, you know, how the…”
John Toomey Apr 17, 2023 ▶ 20:49 Mario Giannini & John Toomey – Private Equity Panel (Capital Allocators EP.309)
Apr 8, 2024 bullish
Prediction Held up
Dawn: PE secondary market volume in 2024 will top $130 billion record
“2021, which is a high watermark up to this point is about one 30. And I suspect we will beat that number this year.”
Nigel Dawn Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 12:54 Nigel Dawn - Secondaries in Private Markets (EP.378)
Apr 8, 2024 positive
Insight
Dawn: GP-led continuation funds now retain trophy assets, not liquidate zombies
“These are the best GPs with their best assets, leveraging the secondary market for a number of reasons. Often it's a single company continuation. This is often their crown jewel, trophy asset, where in the past, a managing partner may have to sell their best a…”
Nigel Dawn Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 17:41 Nigel Dawn - Secondaries in Private Markets (EP.378)
Apr 8, 2024 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2029
Dawn predicts secondary market volume will hit $400B-$500B within five years
“So it would not surprise me if the GP side of this market is 200 to two hundred and fifty billion dollars in five years time. So if you add that onto what we think is a natural growth also, In the LP market, getting to four to five hundred billion is reasonabl…”
Nigel Dawn Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 40:24 Nigel Dawn - Secondaries in Private Markets (EP.378)
Apr 8, 2024
Assertion Supported
Dawn: Secondary market accounts for roughly 2% of outstanding AUM
“The secondary market is around two percent of outstanding AUM.”
Nigel Dawn Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 27:23 Nigel Dawn - Secondaries in Private Markets (EP.378)
Apr 8, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dawn: Secondary private equity market sees virtually zero litigation over 20 years
“There's very, very little litigation, if any, that I've seen in the secondary market in 20 years.”
Nigel Dawn Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 37:13 Nigel Dawn - Secondaries in Private Markets (EP.378)
Apr 8, 2024 negative
Insight
Secondary markets quickly reject continuation funds attempted after failed sell-side processes
“The transactions that are less favorable to the market is where there's been a failed sell side on that company. And then, oh, that sell side failed. Why don't we do a continuation fund? Now, the market figures that out pretty quickly.”
Nigel Dawn Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 29:58 Nigel Dawn - Secondaries in Private Markets (EP.378)
May 2, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Alex Abell: GP-led secondaries now account for about 50% of secondary market
“Traditionally, when we talked about secondaries, we would talk about limited partner secondaries. That used to be 95% of the market, and now it's probably more like 50% of the market. The other 50% has been GP-led secondaries.”
Alex Abell May 2, 2024 ▶ 39:17 Alex Abell - Lower Middle Market Buyout Investing at RCP (EP.383)
Jun 17, 2024
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Few secondary market players can quickly write billion-dollar liquidity checks
“It's interesting in the secondary market, because as big as it's gotten, there's actually not that many players that can show up with a billion dollar check to provide liquidity to a counterparty, certainly in speed and scale.”
Yann Robard Jun 17, 2024 ▶ 37:12 Yann Robard - Liquidity Solutions for Private Capital at Dawson (EP.392)
Jun 17, 2024 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2031
The private capital secondary market will reach $1 trillion by 2031
“I'm on the record for saying that the secondary market is going to get to a trillion dollars by 2031. Whenever I say that, the first reaction is, you're crazy. And I've heard that a few times, I guess, in my career. But I have a deep conviction around this pre…”
Yann Robard Jun 17, 2024 ▶ 51:50 Yann Robard - Liquidity Solutions for Private Capital at Dawson (EP.392)
Jun 17, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
The private capital secondary market represents just 1% of total private capital
“The secondary market has gone to one hundred and thirty five billion at its biggest year in 2021, and that represents one percent of private capital.”
Yann Robard Jun 17, 2024 ▶ 31:36 Yann Robard - Liquidity Solutions for Private Capital at Dawson (EP.392)
Oct 21, 2024 positive
Insight
Briner: Secondaries work best when sellers liquidate under non-fundamental pressure
“It's always good setup when you know more than the seller about the assets and when the seller has to do so for the wrong reasons.”
Brad Briner Oct 21, 2024 ▶ 22:23 Brad Briner - Family Office to Public Service (EP.413)
May 29, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Madorsky: Yale and Harvard secondary sales are a return to market
“Although we see in the market that Yale and Harvard are selling, this is not their first sale. It's just actually a return to them selling.”
Jon Madorsky May 29, 2025 ▶ 14:25 Jon Madorsky – Navigating the Evolution of Private Equity Secondaries (EP.448)
May 29, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Madorsky: GP-led deals reached half of secondary volume by 2020
“By 2020, about half the volume was GP-led transactions and half the volume was LP transactions. Juxtapose that versus 2010, it was all LP transactions.”
Jon Madorsky May 29, 2025 ▶ 12:40 Jon Madorsky – Navigating the Evolution of Private Equity Secondaries (EP.448)
May 29, 2025 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Madorsky: Expected 2025 secondary volume is around $190 billion
“Let's say in 2025 expected secondary volume is a hundred and ninety billion dollars, plus or minus.”
Jon Madorsky May 29, 2025 ▶ 36:28 Jon Madorsky – Navigating the Evolution of Private Equity Secondaries (EP.448)
May 29, 2025
Assertion Supported
Madorsky: Most secondary market volume is strategic, not distressed
“In today's world, the majority of the volume that we see is probably executed around portfolio construction. And there's a lot of reasons to sell. Sometimes managers are over allocated to private equity. Limited partners are over allocated to private equity. L…”
Jon Madorsky May 29, 2025 ▶ 17:17 Jon Madorsky – Navigating the Evolution of Private Equity Secondaries (EP.448)
May 29, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Madorsky: Post-2022, LPs shifted focus from top valuations to liquidity
“But beginning in 2022, where liquidity really dried up in the market, limited partners recognized the value of the secondary market to drive liquidity in their portfolios. So, rather than saying, we don't feel like we're getting top dollar, I think a lot of li…”
Jon Madorsky May 29, 2025 ▶ 30:24 Jon Madorsky – Navigating the Evolution of Private Equity Secondaries (EP.448)
Jun 30, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Harris: Institutional allocators exploring secondary market sales are not forced sellers
“People aren't being forced. They're choosing to be tactical. There's no downside to exploring the market right now. I think a lot of people are looking, but I'm not hearing anybody who's in a forced situation.”
Jon Harris Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 11:49 Friends Reunion 3 – Five Allocators Riff on Investing (EP.454)
Jul 14, 2025
Insight
Sullivan: Bad private fund commitments lock up capital for 15 to 20 years
“On the private side, if you make a mistake, you're stuck with it for 15 or 20 years, or you have to take a huge haircut in the secondary market. Sometimes you just will not find people that want to buy your crummy fund.”
Tim Sullivan Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 35:14 Tim Sullivan – Yale's Private Portfolio (EP.456)
Nov 6, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Private secondary markets remain anemic because institutional buyers lack broad startup data
“The secondary markets for private shares right now are totally anemic. Maybe a hundred late stage companies Stock trades. The primary reason that's the case is because the buy side on these markets just don't know anything about the other 30,000 venture backed…”
Dave Thornton Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 43:14 Dave Thornton – Unlocking Venture Access Through Stock Options at Vested (EP.469)
Jun 22, 2026 neutral
Disclosure
Williams College endowment historically avoids secondary market transactions
“Another thing we talk a lot about, but we haven't done much of, is participate in the secondary market, whether it's selling pieces of our existing portfolio or buying pieces of other portfolios.”
Abigail Wattley Jun 22, 2026 ▶ 25:30 Homegrown CIO at Williams College - Abigail Wattley (EP.507)
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 700 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.