Microsoft

includes Microsoft Excel, Microsoft PowerPoint, Microsoft 365, Microsoft Outlook, Microsoft Teams, Microsoft Windows, Microsoft Azure, Microsoft Encarta, Microsoft Word, Microsoft Bing, Microsoft Copilot, Microsoft Office and 2 more

22 statements across 16 episodes · 8 bullish · 5 bearish · 17 people on the record · first statement Aug 20, 2018 by Josh Wolfe · said 283 times in 138 episodes since 2017 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Mason Morfit (23), Chris Dixon (16), Ted Seides (14), Josh Wolfe (14), Morgan Housel (7), Jose Feliciano (6), Chris Douvos (6), Stephen McKeon (5)

tap a year for its mentions
00401380252017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions
013252017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
002.5135252017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 18 mentions in 11 episodes 2 per episode
2025 63 mentions in 15 episodes 4 per episode
2024 30 mentions in 19 episodes 2 per episode
2023 34 mentions in 21 episodes 2 per episode
2022 38 mentions in 18 episodes 2 per episode
2021 34 mentions in 18 episodes 2 per episode
2020 24 mentions in 11 episodes 2 per episode
2019 24 mentions in 14 episodes 2 per episode
2018 14 mentions in 7 episodes 2 per episode
2017 4 mentions in 4 episodes 1 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Microsoft, oldest first

Aug 20, 2018
Assertion Contradicted
Thomas Reardon single-handedly coded Internet Explorer and was Bill Gates's right-hand
“While he's at Microsoft, he single-handedly codes Internet Explorer, which we've all used, and he's also Bill's right-hand guy during the entire DOJ Monopoly trial.”
Josh Wolfe Aug 20, 2018 ▶ 31:01 Josh Wolfe – Seeing the Lux (Capital Allocators, EP.65)
Sep 17, 2018 neutral
Insight
McKeon: For-profit corporations struggle to establish widely adopted industry standards
“It's very hard for sort of a for-profit corporation to create a standard that's gonna be widely adopted, because, of course, everyone knows that a lot of value is going to accrue to that corporation, and so you get all these sort of strategic forces that preve…”
Stephen McKeon Sep 17, 2018 ▶ 56:40 Stephen McKeon – Professor of Crypto Security Tokens (Capital Allocators, EP.69)
Jan 11, 2021 positive
Assertion Supported
Dixon: Microsoft did not miss mobile phones and had good devices in the 2000s
“People say windows, Microsoft missed mobile phones. They didn't miss mobile phones at all. They had mobile phones in the late nineties. They had very good ones in the early 2000.”
Chris Dixon Jan 11, 2021 ▶ 27:14 Chris Dixon – The Future of Blockchain at a16z (Capital Allocators, EP.172)
Jul 8, 2021
Disclosure
Grantham: GMO held Microsoft in value fund until exiting by June 2000
“Our claim to fame in our first quant funds is that we owned Microsoft in our value stream in the top decile of value from the day it appeared as a stock that met our size limit until late 99, when it finally got overpriced enough that it drifted into decile tw…”
Jeremy Grantham Jul 8, 2021 ▶ 40:19 Jeremy Grantham – GMO (Manager Meetings, EP.01)
Nov 15, 2021 neutral
Assertion Supported
Tedlow: In its early years, Microsoft was famous for vaporware
“Microsoft is famous for vaporware. In the early years, I should say, certainly not now. Marketing products that had not gone through the formality of being created.”
Richard Tedlow Nov 15, 2021 ▶ 37:17 Richard Tedlow - Charismatic Business Leadership (Capital Allocators, EP.222)
Jan 10, 2022 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Mid-level engineers at Microsoft are making $1 million in total compensation
“I was just on a call where somebody was talking about mid-level, not even senior engineers at Microsoft are making a million dollars.”
Chris Douvos Jan 10, 2022 ▶ 20:07 Chris Douvos – The LP's Perspective from Ahoy Capital, Venture is Eating the Investment World 2 (Capital Allocators, EP.230)
Sep 19, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Harris: Cybersecurity investments will lose more money than they make
“There's a lot of money going into cyber. I think cyber is going to be very difficult. I think a lot more money will be lost than made because you always have to ask yourself the question, what's stopping Microsoft from coming in and walking over XYZ company.”
Jon Harris Sep 19, 2022 ▶ 34:36 Friends Reunion 2 – Five Allocators Riff on Investing with Meredith Jenkins, Casey Whalen, Brett Barth, Jon Harris, and Ted Seides (Capital Allocators, EP.271)
Jul 17, 2023
Disclosure
Klarman: Baupost told brokers to bring illiquid stakes, not mainstream stocks
“We'd say, look, you don't need to come by, but if you guys ever see on your desk a bond that you've never heard of, or a stock you've never heard of, or a shareholder in a business that wants to move it quickly, we're your call. So don't call us with IBM Insig…”
Seth Klarman Jul 17, 2023 ▶ 41:13 Seth Klarman – Timeless Value Investing (EP.328)
Oct 16, 2023 bullish
Prediction Held up
Corre: Microsoft's acquisition of Activision will get completed
“And it's still not done, but we feel pretty good that it's going to get done.”
Isaac Corre Oct 16, 2023 ▶ 41:52 Isaac Corre – Event-Driven Investing at Governors Lane (EP.344)
Jan 11, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Microsoft's five-year stock growth was driven predominantly by earnings
“But then if you take something like Microsoft, for example, it's seen some multiple expansion, but the predominant driver of the exceptional stock price in Microsoft for the last five years has been earnings.”
Brian Christensen Jan 11, 2024 ▶ 46:13 Brian Christiansen – High-Conviction Growth Investing at Sands Capital (EP.361)
Jan 25, 2024 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Vieth: Overhaul tracks high-value cargo for Apple, Dell, and Pfizer
“Their customers are, I think, high-value goods. So Apple, Dell, Microsoft, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers, some cold storage, where they're Tracking and monitoring the environment of this high value cargo from beginning point to end point.”
Mike Vieth Jan 25, 2024 ▶ 34:04 Chad Summe and Mike Veith – Corridor of Commerce at eGateway Capital (EP.364)
May 20, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Active ETF Structures Defer Capital Gains Taxes for Fund Investors
“The brilliance of the ETF structure led by Vanguard is create a structure that we can own Microsoft. We don't, but we can own Microsoft and Toga. It can double. We could sell Microsoft and the owners of Toga won't pay the capital gains tax until they sell thei…”
Brett Barakett May 20, 2024 ▶ 1:02:17 Brett Barakett - Digging for the Puck at Tremblant Capital (EP.386)
Sep 29, 2025 neutral
Insight
Hale: Strong franchises tolerate capital misallocation for a decade; commodity businesses bankrupt
“If you're a steel company or an airliner and you're in some commodity industry and you misallocate capital for 10 years, you go bankrupt. Someone takes you over. If you're Microsoft, if you're Adobe, if you have a very strong franchise and you don't necessaril…”
Rob Hale Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 23:37 Mason Morfit and Rob Hale – Quiet Activism at ValueAct (EP.462)
Sep 29, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Morfit: Microsoft still uses ValueAct's executive compensation design
“I looked back at the Microsoft proxy this year, and I was really pleased to see that the basic architecture of what we designed over a decade ago is still in place.”
Mason Morfit Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 29:35 Mason Morfit and Rob Hale – Quiet Activism at ValueAct (EP.462)
Sep 29, 2025 negative
Insight
Morfit: Shifting software capital allocation beats fixing industrial manufacturing costs
“It's easy to get a company to shift its allocations away from making Windows phones to focusing on Office three 65. Then the one we took on at Rolls Royce, which was how do we engineer your engines to have a lower cost of goods than what they currently have an…”
Mason Morfit Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 56:15 Mason Morfit and Rob Hale – Quiet Activism at ValueAct (EP.462)
Sep 29, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morfit: Microsoft burned $4B to $6B annually chasing Apple and Google
“We could deduce that there was massive amounts of costs and losses being poured into these hardware initiatives. To the tune of four or five, six billion dollars a year that might be better spent driving Office three 65 in Azure instead of trying to chase the …”
Mason Morfit Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 28:29 Mason Morfit and Rob Hale – Quiet Activism at ValueAct (EP.462)
Sep 29, 2025
Assertion Supported
Morfit: Microsoft traded at eight times earnings in 2013
“So the PC legacy of the company was not what was going to take it forward, and the stock was trading at about eight times earnings.”
Mason Morfit Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 26:17 Mason Morfit and Rob Hale – Quiet Activism at ValueAct (EP.462)
Dec 15, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dicks Landed Microsoft, Salesforce, and Google as Consulting Clients in Six Months
“Within six months, I found myself working with Microsoft and Salesforce and Slack and Google.”
Matthew Dicks Dec 15, 2025 ▶ 23:51 Matthew Dicks – Storytelling Mastery (EP.477)
Mar 12, 2026 positive
Opinion
Excel is effectively programming and arguably the greatest software ever made
“Most people, when they're using Excel, they're programming and they don't know it. It's possibly the greatest piece of software ever made.”
Ryan Lovell Mar 12, 2026 ▶ 7:19 Ryan Lovell – Chainlink: The Infrastructure Pipes for Multi-Chain Finance (EP.491)
Jun 8, 2026 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Jain: Over half of hyperscaler backlog stems from OpenAI and Anthropic
“Now we're getting more clarity that more than half of the backlog, hence probably the revenue too, Is coming from basically anthropic slash open AI. If you look at Google and Microsoft is more than half open AI. Amazon is more than half. So they invest with op…”
Rajiv Jain Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 35:48 Contrarian Quality at GQG Partners – Rajiv Jain (EP.505)
Jun 8, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Jain: Software has low entry barriers; almost none survive 30 years
“If you look at it, how many companies have survived in software business over 30 plus years? Microsoft is an exception, and maybe Oracle, it's a lower barrier to business.”
Rajiv Jain Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 26:48 Contrarian Quality at GQG Partners – Rajiv Jain (EP.505)
Jun 8, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Jain: Altria outperformed Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon over the past five years
“Cigarette volume has been declining at seven, eight percent in US. And guess what, last five years? Altria has outperformed Mera. I think now Microsoft and Amazon last five years.”
Rajiv Jain Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 46:10 Contrarian Quality at GQG Partners – Rajiv Jain (EP.505)
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