why aren't all 150 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: 1% increase in monetization yields 12% business growth
“Well, what's interesting is Y Combinator did a study, and they said for every one percent increase in each one of these, Acquisition, retention, and monetization. What amount of growth do we get from it? Well, it turns out, if you get one percent increase in n…”
Assertion Contradicted
Eighty Percent of Restaurants Fail by Their Fourth Year
“60% fail in the first year, and 80% fail after four years.”
Assertion Contradicted
McKinsey study: Having zero low performers yields 50% higher profitability
“Kinsey did a study that said, if you have low performing people on your team and you do not measure productivity of the team overall, what happens? Well, top quartile teams with no low performers on them, they achieve 50% more profitability and 30% more produc…”
Assertion Contradicted
Brooks: Sub-Saharan Africa is getting happier due to economic development
“Sub-Saharan Africa is getting happier because they're in the, they're actually, their wellbeing levels are rising. Because economic development is eliminating lots of sources of basic unhappiness that you would find in any deeply impoverished populations.”
Assertion Contradicted
Brooks: Humans have more brain tissue dedicated to threats than opportunities
“You have literally more brain tissue dedicated to threats than you do to opportunities.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: 88% of people worth over $30M own a business
“88% of all people worth thirty million plus or above own a business”
Assertion Contradicted
Sahil Bloom: Steve Jobs interviewed Tim Cook for taking a startup job
“Steve Jobs was looking for someone to hire and saw his resume and like saw the IBM track and was like, oh, weird, big company guy, probably not a fit. Then saw that he had taken this job at this little startup, and was like maybe this guy's actually different …”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: Studies Show 38% of Communication Effectiveness Comes From Tone
“I was reading a study that I thought was fascinating that shows that 38% of communication after studying hundreds of people in the workplace came through tone, not even the words that we said, but the way that we said them determined our outcome.”
Assertion Contradicted
Van Edwards: A triple nod makes conversational partners speak 67% longer
“When you do a triple nod, research shows that I will speak 67% longer.”
Assertion Contradicted
Dial: Eating chocolate post-workout boosts next-day gym attendance
“They've actually found that there for people, if you have a small piece of chocolate, cause chocolate releases dopamine as well. You have a small piece of chocolate after working out, you're more likely to show up the next day to work out again.”
Assertion Contradicted
Codie Sanchez: 60% of US women under 30 have taken antidepressants
“For women under 30 in the US, 60% of them at some point in time have been on an SSRI or an antidepressant.”
Assertion Contradicted
Streeter notes UT Austin student applications are up 98 percent year-over-year
“Someone told me last week that our applications are up 98% year over year at UT.”
Assertion Contradicted
Israetel: Zero leaks have occurred regarding Renaissance Technologies' algorithms
“You're not allowed to talk about shit, and no one's ever leaked. There's been zero leaks about what they do.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: Fed issued 5x more emergency loans in 2023 than in 2008
“So in 2003, the Fed issued more emergency loans than during the 2008 financial crisis. Think about that for a second. If you look at this graph, you can see it's like, I don't know, five X more emergency loans in 2023 than 2008.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: $500B was withdrawn from local banks within two weeks of SVB
“Within two weeks,
Five hundred billion was withdrawn from local banks seeking safety.”
Assertion Contradicted
Van Edwards: Only 1 in 10 people can consciously activate upper cheek muscles
“Only one in 10 people can consciously activate these muscles up here.”
Assertion Contradicted
Van Edwards: Gottman predicts divorce with 93.7% accuracy using silent video
“He can watch a video, a silent video of a couple, and predict with 93.7% accuracy if that couple will get divorced within 30 years.”
Assertion Contradicted
Van Edwards: Sociological Study Finds Liking Others Predicts High School Popularity
“And there was one predictor across all the grades and all the high schools. Yes, there were popular kids who were athletic or smart, but there was one that all the popular kids across all the schools had. They had the longest list of people that they liked.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: Goldman Sachs used to fire 20% of staff annually
“Goldman Sachs used to cut 20% of its staff every single year, no matter what.”
Assertion Contradicted
Bezos copied Sam Walton's rule to never leave meetings without decisions
“Sam Walton, CEO and founder of Walmart, said this line that then Jeff Bezos stole exactly. He said, we get into some of the doggondest knockdown drag outs you've ever seen, talking about his management meetings, but we have a rule. We never leave an item hangi…”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: 60% of Restaurants Fail in Year One and 80% Fail in Four Years
“60% fail in the first year, and 80% fail after four.”
Assertion Contradicted
Petkas: Microwaving food denatures nutrients and lowers bioavailability
“We do not use the microwave in our household any longer just because it's shown to denature a lot of the nutrients and make things less bioavailable, right?”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: US average commute time has increased by 30% since 2020
“The average commute has increased by 30% in the U.S. Since 2020”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: Appalachian coal miners earn six-figure salaries
“And in a part of Appalachia, where, ah, the average income is below poverty level, coal miners make six figures a year.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kennedy broadcast his home address on live Fox News to challenge ISIS
“Unbeknownst to them, my plan was to go into live television and give my home address, which is what I did. The camera goes on, and I see A red light, and I was like, we're live? Like, yeah, we're live. Like, this is so cool. Like, you can send anyone that you …”
Assertion Contradicted
Altucher: Google Manually Replaced His Post With Suicide Hotline
“There was a point where, because I wrote about this, there was a point where if you Googled, how do I kill myself, I was like the number one search result on Google, and then enough people complained that Google had to manually put in the national suicide hotl…”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: No single platform aggregates an individual's complete historical medical data
“There's really nowhere where you can grab all of your historical medical data and put it all in one place in order to figure out how you are measured or marked at a human.”
Assertion Contradicted
Herjavec: Barbara Corcoran sold her company for $52 million
“She sold her company for fifty two million dollars”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: Framing Tasks Under Two Minutes Multiplies Continuation Rates
“So if you do it in under two minutes, It turns out you have continuation rates many times higher than tasks framed at their full scope.”
Assertion Contradicted
2 Chainz: 1993 Atlanta Ban Created a Market for Grandfathered Club Licenses
“So in, in Atlanta, I don't know about anywhere else, in Atlanta, the license to have alcohol and nudity They put that in, out of commission in like, 93. So you have to get grandfather, and you have to actually buy that from somebody else.”
Assertion Contradicted
Bernstein: Perimenopause Begins a Decade Before Full Menopause
“You're in perimenopause a decade before you're in menopause and I went through it early. So I didn't know from 35 to 45 that I was in perimenopause because I went into menopause at 45.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: Carnegie Mellon Study Finds Open-Ended Questions Trigger Dopamine
“Carnegie Mellon scientists discovered that when you ask someone a question, especially an open-ended one, their brain releases dopamine.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: Cornell research shows perceptual language increases speaker trustworthiness
“Cornell studies show that people trust speakers more when they use language based on perception.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: Columbia finds observations are perceived 40% more credible than opinions
“So Columbia University said statements framed as observations are seen as 40% more credible than statements framed as opinions.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: Harvard and Berkeley Research Shows 90% of Work Is Concealed
“Harvard and Berkeley did this study on what they call, ah, effort concealment, which is fascinating. Humans only see the visible 10% of someone's work. The remaining 90% is usually private, unshared, or hidden, which creates the illusion of this tiny little ic…”
Assertion Contradicted
Serhant Has Closed $20 Billion in Career Real Estate Transactions
“20. That's an old stat.”
Assertion Contradicted
69% of US Workers Would Quit Their Jobs If Financially Able
“Right now, 69% of people in the United States would quit their job if they could.”
Assertion Contradicted
Liemandt: Bell Labs failed to solve configuration engine with 100 PhDs
“Bell Labs had a hundred PhDs working on this, and they failed, right? I mean, isn't that awesome? And to me, I was like, cause we're going to solve it and nobody else has been able to figure this out.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: BizScout has reached 71,000 small business listings
“We have a company called BizScout. How did I create BizScout, which now has 71,000 business listings?”
Assertion Contradicted
Daymond John: Eight of the 12 Shark Tank Investors Are Dyslexic
“I think that being dyslexic, I always say eight of the 12 sharks are dyslexic.”
Assertion Contradicted
Brooks: Reading Online Hostility Triggers Adrenaline Release Within 74 Milliseconds
“So what happens is that you see something, it stimulates your optic nerve, is processed for what you're reading online with the, in the occipital lobe of your brain, sending a signal to your amygdala, which is the fear and anger, part of the limbic system of t…”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: DC 'Fittest City' Ranking Was Measured by Gyms Per Capita
“Go and look at the study, and it is a number of gyms per capita. That's how they're measuring fitness.”
Assertion Contradicted
Galloway: Spun-off PayPal is worth 15 times more than eBay
“PayPal used to be owned by eBay, and they spun it. It's now worth, I think, 15 times what eBay is worth.”
Assertion Contradicted
Voss: Warren Buffett scans newspaper headlines but refuses to read articles
“Warren Buffett, he scans the headlines, period. He doesn't read the articles. But it, you know, he's known for scanning the headlines of several papers.”
Assertion Contradicted
Jaws remains the highest-grossing horror movie ever adjusted for inflation
“So some of those screams and jaws were actually baby marmots manipulated, and they made our biology feel one way or another, and that's why it's the top grossing horror movie of all time on an adjusted basis.”
Assertion Contradicted
Study shows 60% of women under 35 never had men cook
“I was reading some studies the other day on women today, and more than 60% of women today have never had a man cook for them below 35, which I thought was fascinating.”
Assertion Contradicted
Dr. Lyon: PepsiCo's marketing budget alone is close to $2 billion
“PepsiCo is one company. Its marketing budget is close to two billion dollars.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: Only 30% of People Negotiate Salary Annually
“I think there's something like 30% of people that will ever negotiate their salary on an annual basis. 70% of people just will never do it.”