Facebook

also referred to as: meta

includes Facebook Messenger, Facebook Live, Facebook M, Facebook F8, Facebook Marketplace, Facebook Horizons, Facebook News Feed, Facebook Pages, Facebook Plus, Facebook Page

286 statements across 99 episodes · 92 bullish · 98 bearish · 48 people on the record · first statement Feb 24, 2021 by Wael Ghonim · said 1,624 times in 183 episodes since 2021 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Alex Kantrowitz (1159), Ranjan Roy (74), M.G. Siegler (71), Yann LeCun (24), Brian McCullough (21), Sir Nick Clegg (16), Y-Lan Boureau (13), Reed Albergotti (13)

tap a year for its mentions
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0010402080202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 441 mentions in 60 episodes 7 per episode
2025 715 mentions in 70 episodes 10 per episode
2024 167 mentions in 25 episodes 7 per episode
2023 100 mentions in 13 episodes 8 per episode
2022 145 mentions in 8 episodes 18 per episode
2021 56 mentions in 7 episodes 8 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Facebook, oldest first

Feb 24, 2021 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ghonim: Ad-driven, investor-controlled social media models are doomed to fail
“Being excited about a tool that that that evolves around financial principles controlled by a bunch of investors trying to amass huge number of audience. And selling advertisement on it, you know, that's, that, that kind of a model in my view, it still exists,…”
Wael Ghonim Feb 24, 2021 ▶ 39:52 Arab Spring Leader Wael Ghonim on Modern Social Media's Promise And Peril
Feb 24, 2021 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ghonim: Facebook has released no product concept changing platform dialogue
“Like I did not see any evolving concept that's that came out of Facebook that is changing the nature of dialogue within the platform. It hasn't happened.”
Wael Ghonim Feb 24, 2021 ▶ 46:10 Arab Spring Leader Wael Ghonim on Modern Social Media's Promise And Peril
Feb 24, 2021 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ghonim: Social platforms adopted content moderation due to advertisers, not public pressure
“Facebook YouTube did not want to be the ministry of truth until the advertisers decided they're not happy. And then the ministry of truth was launched you know, which is fine. I mean, I guess I guess at the end of the day, it's their platform, but I'm just say…”
Wael Ghonim Feb 24, 2021 ▶ 1:00:45 Arab Spring Leader Wael Ghonim on Modern Social Media's Promise And Peril
Feb 24, 2021 neutral
Insight
Ghonim: Platforms can reduce polarization, but it will decrease revenue
“You can actually reduce polarization. By not building everything just around engagement numbers and you know, what to do exactly. I don't think that's the problem. The real problem is that if you do that, you make less money. That's the real problem.”
Wael Ghonim Feb 24, 2021 ▶ 48:57 Arab Spring Leader Wael Ghonim on Modern Social Media's Promise And Peril
Jun 16, 2021 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2026
Sorkin: Facebook will not ultimately be broken up
“I think Facebook will ultimately get broken up? No, I don't.”
Andrew Ross Sorkin Jun 16, 2021 ▶ 50:35 Andrew Ross Sorkin on Meme Stocks, Bitcoin, SPACs, and Elon Musk
Sep 21, 2021 negative
Opinion
Chafkin: Mark Zuckerberg's politics prioritize Facebook's growth over authorities and rules
“I think he's a libertarian and I think, which I think, you know, a hundred percent influenced by Thiel there. But I also think to some extent he has no left right politics. His politics are Whatever is going to be required to allow Facebook to grow as big as p…”
Max Chafkin Sep 21, 2021 ▶ 39:28 Unraveling The Mystery Of Peter Thiel — With Max Chafkin
Sep 21, 2021 neutral
Opinion
Chafkin: Peter Thiel heavily influenced Mark Zuckerberg's corporate control and anti-institutional ideology
“I think that Teal has had, yeah, just an enormous impact on Mark Zuckerberg. Both in terms of like how the company is structured, like the literal way that Zuckerberg you know, got control of Facebook and maintain control of Facebook. And then, but also Yeah, …”
Max Chafkin Sep 21, 2021 ▶ 36:28 Unraveling The Mystery Of Peter Thiel — With Max Chafkin
Sep 21, 2021 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Facebook named office conference rooms after countries smaller than its userbase
“When I visited the first time, the conference rooms were all named after countries that Facebook was bigger than. Yeah, you walk in, you're like walking past the Brazil conference room, like, oh, why Brazil? They're like, we're bigger.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 21, 2021 ▶ 38:36 Unraveling The Mystery Of Peter Thiel — With Max Chafkin
Sep 21, 2021 negative
Opinion
Peter Thiel's rule-breaking ethos dominates Facebook and major tech companies
“That ethos, Thielism, if you want to call it that, is Basically the main ethos of Facebook, of, you know, of most of the bigger companies in Silicon Valley. This idea that the rules yeah, just aren't that important and maybe it's best to cast them aside from t…”
Max Chafkin Sep 21, 2021 ▶ 5:43 Unraveling The Mystery Of Peter Thiel — With Max Chafkin
Sep 21, 2021 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Thiel designed the stock structure that drove Zuckerberg and Saverin apart
“It was Teal who sort of set in motion this stock structure that creates the conflict between Eduardo Saverin and Mark Zuckerberg, which is the, you know, whatever the basis of the social network.”
Max Chafkin Sep 21, 2021 ▶ 30:30 Unraveling The Mystery Of Peter Thiel — With Max Chafkin
Nov 4, 2021
Insight
Nas Daily Maps Target Demographics Across Major Social Platforms
“If you want kids, go to YouTube Shorts, TikTok, and Snapchat. If you want CEOs, go to LinkedIn. If you want technology people, go to Substack. If you want, ah, 25 and above, go to Facebook.”
Nas Daily (Nuseir Yassin) Nov 4, 2021 ▶ 5:59 Nas Daily, Sarati, and Caspar Lee On Building A Social Media Following
Dec 10, 2021 positive
Opinion
LeCun: Google and Meta Would Crumble Without Deep Learning
“You know, you take deep learning out of you know, Google and Meta and a few other companies, and they crumble. I mean, they're completely built around it now.”
Yann LeCun Dec 10, 2021 ▶ 1:06:15 Daniel Kahneman and Yann LeCun: How To Get AI To Think Like Humans (Full Episode)
May 26, 2022 negative
Opinion
Wood: Social media retention relies on network effect inertia, not quality
“Look, I mean, people are hooked, right? And they're hooked because of the network effects. It's super, there's huge amounts of inertia. It's not that it's not that the product is necessarily is necessarily, like, so amazing that the individuals are using it pu…”
Gavin Wood May 26, 2022 ▶ 40:27 Ethereum Co-Founder Gavin Wood On What Web3 Is Actually Good For
Jul 21, 2022 negative
Insight
Haidt: Social media toxicity began with 2009 virality mechanics, not 2004 networking
“Social media was not at all toxic in 2004, you know, when the Facebook came out and in my space, and if you're sharing photos of your dog, there's no problem. It really was the move to the newsfeed and then especially The implementation of the retweet button, …”
Jonathan Haidt Jul 21, 2022 ▶ 7:41 Jonathan Haidt: Why Social Media Makes Our Society Stupid
Jul 21, 2022 neutral
Opinion
Haidt: Tech platforms cannot stop foreign disinformation without intelligence agency coordination
“Yes, of course they took some easy steps, but there is no way they can get a handle on this. This has to be, and I think they call it for this. This has to be a sort of a government-wide partnership between Coordinated between the CIA, the FBI, NSA, Facebook, …”
Jonathan Haidt Jul 21, 2022 ▶ 24:52 Jonathan Haidt: Why Social Media Makes Our Society Stupid
Jul 21, 2022 negative
Opinion
Haidt: Twitter is the worst platform for reputational attacks and social shaming
“Twitter in particular, Twitter is the worst here, but it's also on Facebook and Slack and other channels.”
Jonathan Haidt Jul 21, 2022 ▶ 3:38 Jonathan Haidt: Why Social Media Makes Our Society Stupid
Sep 29, 2022 negative
Assertion Supported
Haugen: Facebook's algorithm drove 65% of joins to German neo-Nazi groups
“In 2016, they found out that 65% of people who joined neo-Nazi groups in Germany, where they are illegal, like you can't have a neo-Nazi Facebook group in Germany, joined them because Facebook suggested that group to people.”
Frances Haugen Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 26:55 Facebook Whistleblower Frances Haugen On Product, Competition, And Transparency
Sep 29, 2022
Disclosure
Haugen: Facebook Formed 60-Person Election Working Group in April 2020
“In April of 2020, in preparation for the U.S. Election, ah, they held an internal working group. It's like, 60 people, I was one of the people on it who were tasked with coming up with, quote, soft interventions to prepare for the election.”
Frances Haugen Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 12:49 Facebook Whistleblower Frances Haugen On Product, Competition, And Transparency
Sep 29, 2022
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Haugen: In Some Countries, 35% of All Facebook News Feed Impressions Are Reshares
“There are countries where 35% of everything that's in the newsfeed, every impression, is a reshare.”
Frances Haugen Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 19:50 Facebook Whistleblower Frances Haugen On Product, Competition, And Transparency
Sep 29, 2022 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Haugen: Meta increased safety spending two to three times post-leak
“We've seen them having to increase the amount they spend on safety by two to three times, which is huge compared to the past times they've increased safety.”
Frances Haugen Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 4:48 Facebook Whistleblower Frances Haugen On Product, Competition, And Transparency
Sep 29, 2022 negative
Assertion Supported
Haugen: Users Found Facebook Feeds Less Meaningful After 2018 Algorithm Change
“Back in 2018, Facebook switched from just seeing how long they could keep you on Facebook, to seeing could they drive you to do interaction. And they called it meaningful social interactions. Stuff that got more interactions was considered better content. Even…”
Frances Haugen Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 13:33 Facebook Whistleblower Frances Haugen On Product, Competition, And Transparency
Sep 29, 2022 bearish
Assertion Contradicted
Haugen: Meta stock fell substantially more than social media peers
“But it's fallen substantially more than the other social media companies.”
Frances Haugen Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 3:25 Facebook Whistleblower Frances Haugen On Product, Competition, And Transparency
Sep 29, 2022 bearish
Opinion
Haugen: Whistleblower disclosures helped correct Meta's inflated stock price
“I think there's a good chance that the information did cause the stock to correct back to something closer to its natural valuation.”
Frances Haugen Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 5:01 Facebook Whistleblower Frances Haugen On Product, Competition, And Transparency
Sep 29, 2022 negative
Opinion
Haugen: Facebook Deprioritizes News Out of Fear Over Backlash
“The reason why they're deprioritizing news is because they're scared, right? Like, they're getting all this criticism about things like, you know, ethnic violence”
Frances Haugen Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 22:00 Facebook Whistleblower Frances Haugen On Product, Competition, And Transparency
Sep 29, 2022 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Haugen: Meta Oversight Board Scope Is Limited Strictly to Moderation Appeals
“It really should be called the content moderation appeals board because that is the entire scope of what they can do. They can't ask about the performance of the content moderation systems. They can't even ask, like, what language are the content moderation sy…”
Frances Haugen Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 40:01 Facebook Whistleblower Frances Haugen On Product, Competition, And Transparency
Sep 29, 2022
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Haugen: 80% to 90% of Global Content in Most Languages Exists Only on Facebook
“80 or 90% of all the content in, in the majority of languages in the world is only on Facebook.”
Frances Haugen Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 19:44 Facebook Whistleblower Frances Haugen On Product, Competition, And Transparency
Sep 29, 2022 negative
Opinion
Haugen: Facebook's Average User Is Substantially Less Literate Than Twitter's
“I think the reason why Twitter did it and Facebook didn't was Facebook's average user is substantially less literate than Facebook, than Twitter's is.”
Frances Haugen Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 19:24 Facebook Whistleblower Frances Haugen On Product, Competition, And Transparency
Sep 29, 2022 positive
Insight
Haugen: Adding Reshare Friction Substantially Decreases Misinformation
“Putting a little moment of intentionality before someone reshared something actually substantially decreases misinformation.”
Frances Haugen Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 13:17 Facebook Whistleblower Frances Haugen On Product, Competition, And Transparency
Sep 29, 2022 negative
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Meta stock is down 59% since the Facebook Files
“Meta stock, it's now Meta, Meta stock is down 59%.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 1:45 Facebook Whistleblower Frances Haugen On Product, Competition, And Transparency
Sep 29, 2022 negative
Assertion Supported
Haugen: Facebook VIP Cross-Check Whitelisted Users and Delayed Reviews Three Days
“In reality, because they weren't willing to spend a very small amount of budget, they didn't actually put that second check in for most safety systems. So for most safety systems, people got white listed. So if you were in cross check, the safety systems no lo…”
Frances Haugen Sep 29, 2022 ▶ 38:51 Facebook Whistleblower Frances Haugen On Product, Competition, And Transparency
Oct 31, 2022 neutral
Insight
Google invents through internal collaboration while Meta relies on rapid user feedback
“Facebook gets there through feedback, and Google gets there through collaboration.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 38:50 How Amazon Reinvents with Artificial Intelligence
Oct 31, 2022 negative
Assertion Supported
Meta projected a $10 billion revenue hit from Apple's privacy changes
“And the company says it's going to be a ten billion dollar hit this year alone, right?”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 36:24 How Amazon Reinvents with Artificial Intelligence
Oct 31, 2022 bullish
Opinion
Google recognized early that controlling the platform environment wins digital advertising
“You know, why is Google better position and why is Facebook more vulnerable? It's because Google knew that to control the environment is to win. And that's how they've done it, and they've done it through this culture of collaboration.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 39:59 How Amazon Reinvents with Artificial Intelligence
Oct 31, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz predicts virtual reality mass adoption is at least five years away
“It doesn't seem like virtual reality is this technology. That's going to be mass adopted this year, or next year, or the year after that, or the year after that, maybe five years down the road. We start to see that happen, and who knows exactly how that's gonn…”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 37:31 How Amazon Reinvents with Artificial Intelligence
Oct 31, 2022 negative
Opinion
Facebook developed blind spots by exclusively listening to techno-optimists
“And so, I think through the years of Facebook and Zuckerberg has listened to techno-optimists, People who believe in technology's power for good. You know, there was always this belief that if you connected people, that was a de facto good thing for the world,…”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 34:17 How Amazon Reinvents with Artificial Intelligence
Oct 31, 2022 positive
Opinion
Zuckerberg navigates diverse, complex topics with rare intellectual depth
“I found him to be extremely smart. He's able to navigate many different topic areas, you know, with a level of depth that very few people can, because if you think about it, if you're running Facebook, you're looking into media, artificial intelligence, Politi…”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 32:07 How Amazon Reinvents with Artificial Intelligence
Nov 6, 2022 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Facebook cannot catch up with TikTok
“This is Facebook is trying hard to catch up with tick tock. It can't.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 55:29 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
Nov 6, 2022 bullish
Opinion
Enjeti: Investing in Mark Zuckerberg is one of the world's best business bets
“It's, yeah, I don't, I trust the guy. I mean, look, I'm putting aside my content, you know, anything. I'm just like, look, from a business perspective, one of the best bets in the world you could do is give Mark Zuckerberg your money in the year.”
Saagar Enjeti Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 1:02:38 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
Nov 6, 2022 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: No case exists for consumers hanging out in the metaverse
“When it comes to like us all hanging out in some metaverse, I just don't see the case for it.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 1:00:38 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
Jan 25, 2023
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Jan 2024
LeCun: Meta's Galactica AI demo was pulled by its development team
“Well, so what happened was the team that worked on it, which is within FAIR is called Papers with Code. They were so distraught by the reaction that they just couldn't take it. They said like, you know, we're just going to take it down. Like this was not a hig…”
Yann LeCun Jan 25, 2023 ▶ 26:59 Is ChatGPT A Step Toward Human-Level AI? — With Yann LeCun, Meta Chief AI Scientist
Jan 25, 2023 neutral
Insight
LeCun: Incumbents avoid releasing hallucinating AI due to reputational risk
“Whereas if you are Meta or Google, you could think about like, you know, putting out a system of this type that, you know, is going to spew nonsense. And, you know, because you are a large company, you have a lot to lose by, you know, people kind of making fun…”
Yann LeCun Jan 25, 2023 ▶ 19:37 Is ChatGPT A Step Toward Human-Level AI? — With Yann LeCun, Meta Chief AI Scientist
Jan 25, 2023 bullish
Disclosure
LeCun: Meta will roll out generative AI across its multimedia services
“You're gonna see things like that popping up on, you know, Meta's services in various various places. Generating images, effects, modifying images, generating video, generating music, sound effects, Three D models. Okay. Which of course is important for the me…”
Yann LeCun Jan 25, 2023 ▶ 48:35 Is ChatGPT A Step Toward Human-Level AI? — With Yann LeCun, Meta Chief AI Scientist
Jan 25, 2023 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
LeCun: Most core ChatGPT techniques originated at Google and Meta
“Most of the technology underlying techniques used in ChatGPT have been invented at Google and Meta.”
Yann LeCun Jan 25, 2023 ▶ 17:50 Is ChatGPT A Step Toward Human-Level AI? — With Yann LeCun, Meta Chief AI Scientist
Jan 25, 2023 neutral
Insight
LeCun: Only large, profitable corporations can economically sustain industry AI research
“The economic model The only one I know outside of universities and philanthropy is industry research lab inside of a large company that has, that is profitable and is sufficiently well-established in this market that it can think for the long term and invest i…”
Yann LeCun Jan 25, 2023 ▶ 4:22 Is ChatGPT A Step Toward Human-Level AI? — With Yann LeCun, Meta Chief AI Scientist
Jan 25, 2023 negative
Opinion
LeCun: BlenderBot was unimpressive and boring because it was made too safe
“The reason it was, you know, not that impressive in the end is, was because it was made to be safe, essentially. [1358] Alex Kantrowitz: Okay. [1358] Yann LeCun: And if it's too safe, it's boring.”
Yann LeCun Jan 25, 2023 ▶ 22:30 Is ChatGPT A Step Toward Human-Level AI? — With Yann LeCun, Meta Chief AI Scientist
Apr 4, 2023 negative
What-if
Luckey: Meta might have fared better using Magic Leap's closed mystique approach
“I sometimes wonder if that might have been the better play on this metaverse front, to basically tell the public, hey, we're investing in this, and it's going to be amazing, to build some internal prototypes that don't, where you don't have to spend all this m…”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 19:48 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Apr 4, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Luckey: Smaller startups will figure out the metaverse before Big Tech
“Honestly, my bet is that a smaller player will Figure it out first, just because there's so many different approaches and it's very hard as a large company to pick one approach that will out-compete every one of the myriad of other approaches that are all comi…”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 2:18 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Apr 4, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Luckey: Current VR hardware will not achieve mainstream everyday adoption
“None of those things are going to be ready for quite some time, and the hardware that we have today, it's good for enthusiasts, but the hardware we have today is not going to be something that the majority of people want to use, certainly not as part of their …”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 3:56 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Apr 4, 2023 neutral
Opinion
Luckey: Meta's $13B spend only works if you believe in the metaverse
“They can't say it's only for gamers or it's specifically for these niche enterprise use cases and then spend thirteen billion dollars because it just doesn't spreadsheet out. It only works as an investment if you believe in this long-term vision of the metaver…”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 17:09 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Apr 4, 2023 negative
What-if
Luckey: Microsoft, Apple, or Google would have ruined or canceled Oculus
“VR wasn't on their roadmap, certainly not their ten-year or, you know, long-term roadmap. It was just an interesting thing going on. So even if they would have bought us, it would have been to, you know, use us as a gimmick to sell game consoles, or as an inte…”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 26:30 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Apr 4, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Luckey: It is not the right time for VR to market broadly
“That shift from focus to broad I think that there is a time when it will happen. I don't think today is the right time, unfortunately.”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 16:37 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Apr 4, 2023 negative
Opinion
Luckey: Meta's Horizon Worlds is 'absolutely terrible'
“Horizon Horizon Worlds is, is absolutely terrible. It's that, that is, that, that's not the metaverse that anyone wants.”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 1:53 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Aug 3, 2023 neutral
Insight
Wood: Open-source AI models require substantial deployment infrastructure and tooling
“Lama II is a excellent, very capable model, but there is a long way to go from having the model weights which are what comprises the neural network to actually building out an artificial intelligence system. And just having the model weights is super useful, b…”
Matt Wood Aug 3, 2023 ▶ 2:16 Amazon Reveals Its AI Master Plan — With Matt Wood
Aug 3, 2023 positive
Insight
Wood: Generative AI makes ML far more accessible by eliminating model training
“One of the super interesting things about generative AI is inherently because you're not training the models yourself, you're taking models from Amazon and Meta and a whole host of other stability, AI, and just building on top of them, ah, it makes machine lea…”
Matt Wood Aug 3, 2023 ▶ 4:29 Amazon Reveals Its AI Master Plan — With Matt Wood
Oct 25, 2023 negative
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Apple's Anti-Tracking Changes Cost Meta $10 Billion in Revenue
“I mean, there was a real hit, especially with Apple's anti-tracking moves. We're talking about a ten billion dollar loss coming in or a contraction of revenue coming in.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 25, 2023 ▶ 11:28 Big Technology's New Release, AI Bubble Looms, Apple's Next Event — With Brian McCullough
Oct 25, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Meta increased metaverse spending despite its 'Year of Efficiency' cost cuts
“That's actually not what happened. They didn't cut spend at all. They, in fact, increased spend on the metaverse. I mean, they are not taking their foot off the gas pedal there, and they've just tried to trim elsewhere within the company.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 25, 2023 ▶ 9:55 Big Technology's New Release, AI Bubble Looms, Apple's Next Event — With Brian McCullough
Oct 25, 2023 neutral
Insight
McCullough: Meta pushes open source AI to avoid another mobile platform dependency
“Meta does not want to be in a position where the only way they can do that with a high degree of accuracy and efficacy is to have to ping somebody else's APIs. Because again, they'll be in the position that they have been with like the iPhone and Android all t…”
Brian McCullough Oct 25, 2023 ▶ 42:18 Big Technology's New Release, AI Bubble Looms, Apple's Next Event — With Brian McCullough
Oct 25, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
McCullough: Meta Is Most Likely to Dethrone OpenAI Within Three Years
“If someone's gonna dethrone, if OpenAI is and also ran within three years, I bet it'll be Meta. I, my money would be on Meta that would dethrone them, and then maybe Google slash Alphabet.”
Brian McCullough Oct 25, 2023 ▶ 44:42 Big Technology's New Release, AI Bubble Looms, Apple's Next Event — With Brian McCullough
Nov 23, 2023
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: The real AI rivalry is Zuckerberg versus Altman, not Musk
“And if you thought that Elon Musk Zuckerberg cage match was the main event. No. That was a side show. Him versus Sam Altman. That's where the real fight is going to happen, and he's betting on narrow.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 23, 2023 ▶ 14:06 AI Keynote: Six Bold Predictions About The Future Of Artificial Intelligence
Dec 4, 2023 negative
Opinion
White: Effective Accelerationism just rebrands 'move fast and break things'
“I think it is mostly a rebrand of, you know, move fast, break things, which has been Silicon Valley's, you know, mantra since early Facebook. But with the added sort of religious, almost philosophy behind it, and the very effective altruist style of speaking a…”
Molly White Dec 4, 2023 ▶ 39:49 Silicon Valley's Effective Altruist vs. Accelerationist Religious War
Jan 24, 2024 bullish
Insight
Pineau: Halting open-source AI now prevents developing vital model safety practices
“My worry about closing the doors down now is that the models are only getting better. And so if we don't release them now, we really miss an opportunity to develop the muscle we need to make these models safer. And I don't think today's model are the ones that…”
Joelle Pineau Jan 24, 2024 ▶ 24:50 Why Meta Wants To Build Artificial General Intelligence — With Joelle Pineau, VP of Meta AI Research
Jan 24, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Pineau: Meta reorganized FAIR under product for faster AI feedback cycles
“The truth is right now, AI is moving so fast that it's really useful to be close to products that are in the hands of billions of people to be able to have that quick product innovation, that quick signal back to the research.”
Joelle Pineau Jan 24, 2024 ▶ 37:50 Why Meta Wants To Build Artificial General Intelligence — With Joelle Pineau, VP of Meta AI Research
Jan 24, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pineau: AI will achieve highly generalized, cross-domain performance by 2029
“In five years, we're gonna see really strong systems across a broad set of tasks. I have some strong conviction that, that we're on a path there. After that, you know, I don't want to bin any intelligence into narrow box, whether human or AI, but we will be am…”
Joelle Pineau Jan 24, 2024 ▶ 44:31 Why Meta Wants To Build Artificial General Intelligence — With Joelle Pineau, VP of Meta AI Research
Jan 24, 2024 negative
Insight
Pineau: LLaMA alone cannot power smart glasses without physical world grounding
“LAMA on its own doesn't make for the best, ah, the best assistant on, on glasses, because it doesn't have enough of an understanding of the physical world of images, ah, and so on.”
Joelle Pineau Jan 24, 2024 ▶ 17:36 Why Meta Wants To Build Artificial General Intelligence — With Joelle Pineau, VP of Meta AI Research
Jan 24, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Pineau: LLMs are currently the fastest progressing path toward general intelligence
“It gives us a path. It may not be the path, but it gives us at least a path to move towards general intelligence. And it's an exciting one. It's one that, that we're exploring. It doesn't mean that we've stopped exploring other paths towards general intelligen…”
Joelle Pineau Jan 24, 2024 ▶ 8:14 Why Meta Wants To Build Artificial General Intelligence — With Joelle Pineau, VP of Meta AI Research
Jan 24, 2024
Disclosure
Pineau: Meta explores robotics to build physical AI, not commercial robots
“We have a research team that, that's dedicated to this. They do some work in robotics in particular because that's the best agents we have to consider physical embodiment, spatial constraints. It's not necessarily because Meta intends to commercialize robots. …”
Joelle Pineau Jan 24, 2024 ▶ 16:50 Why Meta Wants To Build Artificial General Intelligence — With Joelle Pineau, VP of Meta AI Research
Jan 24, 2024 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pineau: Meta faces vastly more AI talent competition from startups today
“One of the things that has changed in the last year or so is mostly on the startup scene. I would say, you know, three years ago we Didn't feel much competition with a startup scene. Now we do a lot more.”
Joelle Pineau Jan 24, 2024 ▶ 20:07 Why Meta Wants To Build Artificial General Intelligence — With Joelle Pineau, VP of Meta AI Research
Jan 24, 2024 positive
Insight
Pineau: Meta's diverse products provide an ideal testbed for AGI research
“The thing about general intelligence is you have to solve many different problems to have, you know, the ability to claim general intelligence, and fortunately, there are a lot of use cases across Meta, across our family of products, and so that's giving us wo…”
Joelle Pineau Jan 24, 2024 ▶ 6:38 Why Meta Wants To Build Artificial General Intelligence — With Joelle Pineau, VP of Meta AI Research
Jan 24, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pineau: Meta's next AI step change requires general and world models
“We've done a ton of work on AI on the platform over the last few years. That was what I would call more narrow specialized models. We can continue to do that, but the bigger step change are gonna come through the more general model, building foundation models,…”
Joelle Pineau Jan 24, 2024 ▶ 5:47 Why Meta Wants To Build Artificial General Intelligence — With Joelle Pineau, VP of Meta AI Research
Jan 24, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Pineau: Meta is actively exploring building custom silicon chips for AI
“We will definitely be exploring some of that. Yes. Yes. I mean, we built a lot of hardware for reality labs. We have some specific needs and, you know, as much as we, you know, look at that for the AR VR devices, there's also a great group doing some of that i…”
Joelle Pineau Jan 24, 2024 ▶ 44:01 Why Meta Wants To Build Artificial General Intelligence — With Joelle Pineau, VP of Meta AI Research
Jan 24, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Pineau: AGI will be a network of agents, not a monolithic entity
“Often this notion of general intelligence is, is articulated in, in the context of like a single agent, a single uber intelligent agent. And I don't think that's really where we will move towards either.”
Joelle Pineau Jan 24, 2024 ▶ 15:07 Why Meta Wants To Build Artificial General Intelligence — With Joelle Pineau, VP of Meta AI Research
Feb 28, 2024
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Meta will possess 350,000 NVIDIA H100 GPUs by end of 2024
“Facebook has 350,000 of them by the end of the year.”
Alex Kantrowitz Feb 28, 2024 ▶ 3:44 NVIDIA's Artifical Intelligence Moat & Origins — With Bryan Catanzaro
Mar 20, 2024 positive
Opinion
Doshi: Meta has one of the world's best graphics teams
“I think one thing that Meta is doing, regardless of where VR is headed or AR is headed, is they have one of the most world-class teams for graphics, and they have to because of all the stuff that they're doing in VR.”
Suhail Doshi Mar 20, 2024 ▶ 22:34 Predicting AI’s Next Advances — With Suhail Doshi
Apr 20, 2024 negative
What-if
Swisher: Zuckerberg's Advisors Should Have Directed Meta to AI Much Earlier
“He, if he had the right people, they would have said AI is where we need to focus mark a long time ago.”
Kara Swisher Apr 20, 2024 ▶ 14:59 Kara Swisher Rates Tech Leaders
Apr 22, 2024 bullish
Assertion Supported
Meta's new real-time image generation model produces outputs under one second
“And that's why we did all this model work to really get this thing very fast. It's under a second, which is like really, really exciting.”
Meta's Generative AI Head Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 19:58 Meta's Generative AI Head: How We Trained Llama 3
Apr 22, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ahmad Al-Dahle says Meta AI will be the best free assistant
“And meta AI is going to be the, you know one of the best if not the best assistant that's available for free.”
Meta's Generative AI Head Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 1:42 Meta's Generative AI Head: How We Trained Llama 3
Apr 22, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Meta leveraged synthetic data during Llama 3 post-training phase
“One of the things that we did with Lama three is in post-training we actually leveraged synthetic data.”
Meta's Generative AI Head Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 11:58 Meta's Generative AI Head: How We Trained Llama 3
Apr 22, 2024 positive
Insight
Ahmad Al-Dahle: 70B parameters is the magical number for billion-user scale
“The seventy billion is a magical number that allows us to scale to billions of people. And so we're really excited that we've been able to strike the right balance between intelligence and efficiency.”
Meta's Generative AI Head Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 1:54 Meta's Generative AI Head: How We Trained Llama 3
Apr 22, 2024 negative
Disclosure
Ahmad Al-Dahle admits Meta over-leveraged alignment tools in Llama 2
“In Lama two, it was we definitely I think over leveraged some of the alignment tools to discourage answering those kinds of questions.”
Meta's Generative AI Head Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 14:50 Meta's Generative AI Head: How We Trained Llama 3
Apr 22, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Meta trained Llama 3 8B and 70B models on 15 trillion tokens
“So if you look at something like the eight billion and seventy billion, They were trained on almost 15 trillion tokens and tokens roughly you can imagine as a word. So roughly like 15 trillion words, which is an incredible outcome.”
Meta's Generative AI Head Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 5:43 Meta's Generative AI Head: How We Trained Llama 3
Apr 22, 2024
Assertion Partly supported
Meta used 100x more compute to train Llama 3 than Llama 2
“So actually, I think it's I believe it's a hundred times more compute.”
Meta's Generative AI Head Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 10:04 Meta's Generative AI Head: How We Trained Llama 3
Apr 22, 2024 negative
Insight
Ahmad Al-Dahle: AI models degrade user experience by over-moralizing refusals
“Some of these models, for example tend to do a lot of moralization or like really take a perspective or a point of view. And we worked on and I'm continuing to work on and innovate on how, how the model responds and how it refuses, which I think is also part o…”
Meta's Generative AI Head Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 15:22 Meta's Generative AI Head: How We Trained Llama 3
Apr 22, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Meta is integrating Meta AI into search suggestions and inboxes
“We have high level entry points directly in the inbox. We're integrating it into search. So we'll have also suggestions and type of heads as you sort of apply it in search. So we're, we've integrated it at a very prominent, in a very prominent way.”
Meta's Generative AI Head Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 23:31 Meta's Generative AI Head: How We Trained Llama 3
Apr 22, 2024 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ahmad Al-Dahle: Llama 3's performance exactly matched Meta's scaling law predictions
“I don't think anything about the model has really personally surprised me in terms of its performance. I think we kind of expected to be here. You know, we do a lot of like rigorous scaling laws and rigorous prediction of what we think the metrics will look li…”
Meta's Generative AI Head Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 27:55 Meta's Generative AI Head: How We Trained Llama 3
Apr 22, 2024 bullish
Disclosure
Meta releases 8-billion and 70-billion parameter Llama 3 models
“We are releasing an updated eight billion parameter model plus a seventy billion parameter model. And these are state of the art.”
Meta's Generative AI Head Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 0:09 Meta's Generative AI Head: How We Trained Llama 3
Apr 22, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Meta releases safety model Llama Guard and open-sources cybersecurity evaluations
“So if you look at for example, in our release with Lama three, we were open, we're opening a model called Lama guard. And we've also been opening up cybersecurity evals to help understand this, the safety metrics for cybersecurity.”
Meta's Generative AI Head Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 26:49 Meta's Generative AI Head: How We Trained Llama 3
Apr 22, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Ahmad Al-Dahle doubts the AI industry will hit a data wall soon
“I don't think we know yet that, you know, we'll run out of data any, or that there's some like limiting factor here.”
Meta's Generative AI Head Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 12:29 Meta's Generative AI Head: How We Trained Llama 3
Apr 22, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Ahmad Al-Dahle: Meta is currently training a 400-billion parameter Llama 3 model
“We also are talking a little bit about one of the larger models that we're training that is already achieving, you know exceptional performance which is a, it's a model that's over four hundred billion parameters.”
Meta's Generative AI Head Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 9:07 Meta's Generative AI Head: How We Trained Llama 3
Apr 29, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Facebook's own research showed passive media consumption harms users
“Even Facebook's own research shows that passive media consumption leaves people worse off. And that's why they went through this whole moment to do meaningful social interactions, but they ended up pivoting right back to this TikTok style of media.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 29, 2024 ▶ 14:22 Yubo Wants To Replace Performative Social Media With Real Time Social Discovery
May 15, 2024 positive
Opinion
Children interacting with AI chatbots is preferable to using existing social media
“Potentially, but I think it'll honestly be better than what they're currently doing, which is YouTube and TikTok and Twitter, you know, Facebook and so forth. So I would prefer my kids are playing with chatbots than they're playing with what they currently hav…”
Dwarkesh Patel May 15, 2024 ▶ 56:39 AI Scaling, Alignment, and the Path to Superintelligence — With Dwarkesh Patel
May 15, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Meta used AI-generated synthetic data to train its Llama 3 model
“Like to train Lama three meta use synthetic data, like data created from basically, you know, from AI itself”
Alex Kantrowitz May 15, 2024 ▶ 22:22 AI Scaling, Alignment, and the Path to Superintelligence — With Dwarkesh Patel
May 22, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Levie: Meta's open-source AI push will be a long-term strategic success
“So I think it's both going to be a commercial success. And I think it's like structurally, strategically something that, that is is going to look, you know, like a very good decision in the long run.”
Aaron Levie May 22, 2024 ▶ 29:09 Box CEO Aaron Levie — What Cheaper, Faster, and Smarter AI Gets Us
Jun 26, 2024 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Kantrowitz: Meta aims to reach 650,000 H100 GPU equivalents in 2024
“Meta, as Meta, which said this year, it's going to go from 350 to 650,000 NVIDIA H 100 GPUs or equivalent, which is an incredible increase, right?”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 26, 2024 ▶ 17:14 Decoding the NVIDIA Trade - With Michael Batnick
Jun 26, 2024 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: AI spending will slow without step-change gains in 18 months
“And from everything that I hear, it's going to be the next 18 months that will basically decide, like, if they do 18 more months of development of these models within OpenAI, within Anthropic, within Microsoft, and Meta, and don't see sort of step change incre…”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 26, 2024 ▶ 18:01 Decoding the NVIDIA Trade - With Michael Batnick
Jul 10, 2024 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
AWS's Wood predicts foundation AI models will consolidate to 12-24 major providers
“I think that there's not going to be hundreds of world model providers. I think that there's likely to be maybe a dozen, two dozen, something of that order of magnitude. I think that, you know, Anthropic will be one, Meta will be one, Amazon will be one, there…”
Matt Wood Jul 10, 2024 ▶ 41:18 Amazon's Longterm AI Vision — With AWS VP Matt Wood
Oct 4, 2024 negative
Insight
Bosworth: Building smart glasses purely for notifications is an anti-pattern
“Anti-patterns that I've been telling people about for these glasses is just having to be notification services because notification services are an invitation to leave the present moment and instead go elsewhere. Like that's what a notification is intended to …”
Andrew Bosworth Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 4:03 Meta's Chief Technology Officer On Its Augmented Reality Dreams — With Andrew Bosworth
Oct 4, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Bosworth: Orion AR Glasses Hardware Emerged in 2023, Software in Mid-2024
“The hardware came up last year at this time. And so the software bring up really only came together a few months ago and they just made incredible progress since then already.”
Andrew Bosworth Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 1:35 Meta's Chief Technology Officer On Its Augmented Reality Dreams — With Andrew Bosworth
Oct 4, 2024
Disclosure
Bosworth Strongly Advocated Internally For Meta To Open-Source LLaMA
“I was one of the loudest voices internally to channel, encouraging us to open source Llama one, Llama two.”
Andrew Bosworth Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 36:45 Meta's Chief Technology Officer On Its Augmented Reality Dreams — With Andrew Bosworth
Oct 4, 2024 negative
Opinion
Bosworth: Mobile Gatekeepers, Especially Apple, Stifle Meta's Application Development
“Strategically, we have just been at the mercy of platforms for since the start of the mobile era. And we were a web company, right? We were born of the web, and the web was this, like, amazing, unowned platform that you just, like really had a lot of control o…”
Andrew Bosworth Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 9:44 Meta's Chief Technology Officer On Its Augmented Reality Dreams — With Andrew Bosworth
Oct 4, 2024 neutral
Disclosure
Bosworth: Meta uses low-level Android as OS foundation for AR/VR
“You know, we're all, we're using Android at the most underlying low level as the operating system.”
Andrew Bosworth Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 13:35 Meta's Chief Technology Officer On Its Augmented Reality Dreams — With Andrew Bosworth
Oct 4, 2024 bullish
Prediction Held up
Bosworth: Wrist neural interfaces will eventually work without physical gestures
“Over time, we think we can do that without having any gestures at all. Just having the intention, expressing the intention down your control system.”
Andrew Bosworth Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 26:13 Meta's Chief Technology Officer On Its Augmented Reality Dreams — With Andrew Bosworth
Oct 4, 2024 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bosworth: Meta's Orion Codec Avatars Fooled Video Call Recipients
“And then conversely, what they would see is your codec avatar. And we've really fooled some people with the codec avatars. When they've seen the codec avatar call in they don't realize it's a codec avatar. They think it's a real, an image.”
Andrew Bosworth Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 3:06 Meta's Chief Technology Officer On Its Augmented Reality Dreams — With Andrew Bosworth
Oct 4, 2024
Disclosure
Bosworth: Meta expected holograms before AI in smart glasses roadmap
“We really thought early on when we were developing these, even until maybe a year ago, it was going to be holograms and then at some point later, AI. And in fact, it's going to be the opposite. The AI is going to come first. It's already come to the Meta Ray-B…”
Andrew Bosworth Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 4:44 Meta's Chief Technology Officer On Its Augmented Reality Dreams — With Andrew Bosworth
Oct 4, 2024
Insight
Bosworth: Tech companies should always commoditize their complements
“And you want to always commoditize your compliments. You always want to make sure that the thing that you depend on is like cheap and getting better by a lot of people, not just by your effort and money.”
Andrew Bosworth Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 37:13 Meta's Chief Technology Officer On Its Augmented Reality Dreams — With Andrew Bosworth
Oct 4, 2024 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2034
Bosworth: AR Glasses Will Be Usable and Enjoyed Within a Decade
“It's within our lifetime, certainly within the next decade, it's in our view we're going to be able to use and enjoy this technology.”
Andrew Bosworth Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 12:10 Meta's Chief Technology Officer On Its Augmented Reality Dreams — With Andrew Bosworth
Oct 4, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bosworth: AR Glasses Will Not Replace VR Headsets
“And so I think there continue to be, even when you have these wonderful AR glasses things that can be done in virtual and mixed reality that can be done no other way. Your augmented reality glasses will never convince you that gravity is off because you can li…”
Andrew Bosworth Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 34:07 Meta's Chief Technology Officer On Its Augmented Reality Dreams — With Andrew Bosworth
Oct 4, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bosworth: AR will conceivably replace smartphones for high-end consumers over time
“We're a long ways from that for a bunch of reasons, not the least of which being the technology is not ready yet, but also because The application ecosystems will take a long time to transfer and user behaviors take a long time to change. So I think we have a …”
Andrew Bosworth Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 22:32 Meta's Chief Technology Officer On Its Augmented Reality Dreams — With Andrew Bosworth
Oct 4, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Bosworth: Meta is prototyping a persistent three-panel AR workstation
“One of the fun demos that we have in prototyping, it's not even in the demo that you tried yet is this cool thing where you have your whole workstation set up. So you've got like a three panel workstation set up. And then you like just get up and walk around a…”
Andrew Bosworth Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 5:52 Meta's Chief Technology Officer On Its Augmented Reality Dreams — With Andrew Bosworth
Oct 4, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Bosworth: Meta has meaningful tech lead in AR over Apple
“I think we've been investing longer. I think we've believed in it more. And as a consequence of frankly, Mark Zuckerberg's faith and tremendous execution by a team of Thousands of people over a long period of years. I think we have a meaningful lead in a bunch…”
Andrew Bosworth Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 16:08 Meta's Chief Technology Officer On Its Augmented Reality Dreams — With Andrew Bosworth
Oct 23, 2024 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2029
Link: Amazon will deliver ~20% 5-year CAGR, beating Meta and Google
“And I think you're going to see a CAGR of about 20% for the next five years at this company versus Meta at 13% and versus Google at 12.8%.”
Stephanie Link Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 44:22 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2029
Ives: Meta and Google will eventually integrate into Apple Intelligence
“Apple basically said, we now will be the castle for AI. And if you want access to it, you got to come through Apple intelligence, clearly open AI. I eventually think Meta Google are going to have to make the same move.”
Dan Ives Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 15:14 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 30, 2024
Assertion Supported
Gomez: RAG Creator Patrick Lewis Leads Cohere's RAG Efforts
“The guy who created RAG when he was at Meta is Patrick Lewis, and he leads our RAG efforts.”
Aidan Gomez Oct 30, 2024 ▶ 47:39 The Next Gen AI Models: Reliable, Consistent, Trustworthy — With Cohere CEO Aidan Gomez
Nov 15, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Meta's Threads feels empty and lacks engagement despite massive user growth
“One thing we can tell you, say for sure is it doesn't look like threads is working. I mean, threads added fifteen million people since the start of the month. And Michael Learmonth, who I work with as an editor pointed out to me, he's like, does it feel like t…”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 48:19 Is Generative AI Plateauing?, Booming Bluesky, Apple’s Smart Glasses Play
Nov 15, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Meta's Threads added 15 million new users in November 2024 alone
“Threads has added fifteen million users since the start of November”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 45:28 Is Generative AI Plateauing?, Booming Bluesky, Apple’s Smart Glasses Play
Jan 5, 2025 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2028
Newton: Meta Orion consumer glasses are years away and will be downgraded
“So my understanding is that the Orion headset is, like, multiple years out, and that when it arrives, it won't actually even be as good as the glasses that we tried on this year, because in order to make the cost work, they're just gonna have to, like, rip out…”
Casey Newton Jan 5, 2025 ▶ 20:51 Bold Predictions For Tech and AI in 2025 — With Casey Newton
Jan 9, 2025
Assertion Contradicted
StumbleUpon drove more publisher web traffic than Facebook did in 2012
“When you and I first started working together, you know, stumble upon was the thing driving the most traffic, not Facebook for most publishers.”
Ryan Broderick Jan 9, 2025 ▶ 16:32 Why The Costco Guys And Hawk Tuah Took Over The Internet
Jan 27, 2025 positive
Opinion
Meta is better positioned for open-source AI disruption than peers
“Meta's probably in a bit better position than the other ones, just because they, at the end of the day, they do want, like, you know, their whole philosophy is to open source this, not for necessarily altruistic reasons, but because they know that it's histori…”
M.G. Siegler Jan 27, 2025 ▶ 25:50 How DeepSeek Changes AI Research & Silicon Valley w/ M.G. Siegler
Jan 27, 2025 negative
Opinion
Antitrust chill stopped Big Tech talent from leaving to found startups
“I do feel like there was a bit of a chilling effect the past year because M&A had, you know, basically been shut off. That sort of kept people staying at Google and staying at Meta and staying at OpenAI, not forming new startups as they might have in, in years…”
M.G. Siegler Jan 27, 2025 ▶ 41:19 How DeepSeek Changes AI Research & Silicon Valley w/ M.G. Siegler
Jan 27, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Tech stocks plunged in pre-market trading after DeepSeek R1's release
“NVIDIA down 10%, Microsoft down four percent. Google down three percent meta down 2.6% SMP down two percent. So this is all based off of this deep seek reckoning or this deep seek realization.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jan 27, 2025 ▶ 21:50 How DeepSeek Changes AI Research & Silicon Valley w/ M.G. Siegler
Jan 29, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Hoffman: DST Won Big on Facebook by Offering $10B Post With No Caveats
“In Valley history DST led around in Facebook when the traditional funds were all like, oh, we'll only do a three to five billion pre, you know, with lots of caveats and everything else. And DST came in and said, we'll do a ten billion post and no caveats. And …”
Reid Hoffman Jan 29, 2025 ▶ 7:24 Reid Hoffman: Why The AI Investment Will Pay Off
Jan 29, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Hoffman: Rival VCs Called Greylock Crazy for Backing Facebook at $500M Valuation
“Speaking for Greylock, you know, when Greylock invested at Facebook at a five hundred million pre-money valuation, literally all of the companion VC firms were, oh, that's crazy, this college website, Greylock's demonstrating that it's past, past time, et cete…”
Reid Hoffman Jan 29, 2025 ▶ 9:11 Reid Hoffman: Why The AI Investment Will Pay Off
Mar 14, 2025 negative
Opinion
Albergotti: Apple is fundamentally just an iPhone company unlike its diversified peers
“All the other big tech companies are kind of like doing everything now, right? They're like, you know, Meta is, is doing their own AI chip and spending billions of dollars to roll out these data centers. Sure. Apple, Apple is going to do that too, but I think …”
Reed Albergotti Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 10:27 Gruber Slams Apple's Siri Failure, Tech Stocks In Freefall, Vibecoding & OpenAI's Agents
Mar 19, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
LeCun: Novel AI architectures will reach practical scale in 3 to 5 years
“The question is, you know, when is this going to go from interesting research papers demonstrating a new capability with a new architecture to, you know, architectures at scale that You know, are practical for a lot of applications and can find solutions to ne…”
Yann LeCun Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 31:28 Why Can't AI Make Its Own Discoveries? — With Yann LeCun
Mar 19, 2025 negative
Opinion
LeCun: Chain-of-thought prompting does not produce genuine reasoning in LLMs
“One simple way of getting NNMs to kind of appear to reason is chain of thought, right? So you basically tell them to generate more tokens than they really need to in the hope that in the process of generating those tokens, they're going to devote more computa…”
Yann LeCun Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 6:59 Why Can't AI Make Its Own Discoveries? — With Yann LeCun
Mar 19, 2025 positive
Disclosure
LeCun: Meta AI has 600 million users
“We have three point something billion users six hundred million users of Meta AI.”
Yann LeCun Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 21:57 Why Can't AI Make Its Own Discoveries? — With Yann LeCun
Mar 19, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
LeCun: Most Meta AI infrastructure investment goes toward inference
“Most of the investment, at least for, from the meta side is investment in infrastructure for inference.”
Yann LeCun Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 20:00 Why Can't AI Make Its Own Discoveries? — With Yann LeCun
Mar 29, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Europe Represents Nearly a Quarter of Big Tech Revenue
“Apple sales in Europe 26% of total revenue. Meta's ad sales in Europe, 23% total revenue. Amazon's international sales 23% of total revenue.”
Alex Kantrowitz Mar 29, 2025 ▶ 48:15 OpenAI’s Ghibli Moment, CoreWeave's IPO Letdown, End of Silicon Valley’s Monopoly?
Mar 29, 2025 neutral
Insight
McCullough: Web 2.0 Was Enabled by Cheap Dot-Com Fiber Overbuild
“Web two point O happened because there was so much over build out of K fiber capacity that it was incredibly cheap for someone to create a Facebook and a dorm room.”
Brian McCullough Mar 29, 2025 ▶ 30:03 OpenAI’s Ghibli Moment, CoreWeave's IPO Letdown, End of Silicon Valley’s Monopoly?
Apr 16, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Meta AI has 600M users compared to OpenAI's 400M
“And I was just speaking with Jan LeCun, the chief AI scientist at Meta, and he said there's Six hundred million people using their AI assistant within their apps compared to four hundred million of open AI's chat GPT.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 16, 2025 ▶ 11:52 Why China's AI Strategy Just Might Work — With Grace Shao
Apr 19, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Zuckerberg Testified Only 17% of Facebook Time Goes to Friends' Posts
“Only 17% of Facebook and seven percent of Instagram time are spent with friends posts.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 19, 2025 ▶ 33:17 Is OpenAI's o3 Model AGI? Is AI The New Social Media? Zuck's Revealing Testimony
Apr 23, 2025 positive
Prediction Held up
Patel: Meta's next Llama model will match DeepSeek-V3's cost efficiency
“And Meta's Meta is going to release their new llama soon enough. Right. And that one is going to be, you know, a similar level of cost decrease probably similar areas, deep seek V three.”
Dylan Patel Apr 23, 2025 ▶ 30:27 Generative AI 101: Tokens, Pre-training, Fine-tuning, Reasoning — With SemiAnalysis CEO Dylan Patel
Apr 28, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Instagram will outlast the flagship Facebook app
“Certainly it's more culturally relevant than the blue app and it will outlast Facebook despite, despite Mark Zuckerberg's emotional attachment to the latter.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 56:25 Is Anthropic’s Claude AI Conscious, Shopping in ChatGPT, Systrom vs. Zuck
Apr 28, 2025 negative
Opinion
Roy: Internal emails prove Meta acquired companies to kill competition
“There's no doubt in my mind, and I think the emails all show that very clearly, the goal was to remove competition from the market. Like, that was the goal.”
Ranjan Roy Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 1:02:11 Is Anthropic’s Claude AI Conscious, Shopping in ChatGPT, Systrom vs. Zuck
Apr 28, 2025 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2028
Kantrowitz: Regulators will likely break up Google and potentially Meta
“The vibe here is that we're going to see breakups very likely of Google and potentially of Facebook.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 1:00:06 Is Anthropic’s Claude AI Conscious, Shopping in ChatGPT, Systrom vs. Zuck
May 5, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Meta raised AI CapEx guidance to $64B–$72B
“CapEx, spending that they're gonna go from AI, is gonna go, the original range was 65 60 to sixty-five billion. Now it's going to be 64 to seventy two billion, largely on artificial intelligence investments.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 5, 2025 ▶ 50:25 The ‘AI-First Company,’ Big Tech Mega Earnings, NVIDIA vs. Anthropic
May 19, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Meta, OpenAI, and Anthropic are all hitting walls with model scaling
“So, it could be that this idea of scaling to lead to improvements, which we've talked about on the show a couple, for the past couple weeks this is three, meta, open AI, And Anthropic, they all seem to be, ah, running into some bumps on, in their efforts to im…”
Alex Kantrowitz May 19, 2025 ▶ 34:48 Is ChatGPT The Last Website?, Grok’s System Prompt, Meta’s llama Fiasco
May 28, 2025
Insight
Boureau: Online Misinformation Is a People Problem, Not a Technical One
“So that was a very long answer, but that's why for me at the end of the day, I thought this is not a technical problem. It's a people problem. And it's a psychological needs problem of how do you make sure that people feel like they have communities that they …”
Y-Lan Boureau May 28, 2025 ▶ 5:10 She Wants AI To Help You Thrive, Not Just Keep You Company — Y-Lan Boureau
May 28, 2025
Insight
Boureau: Fact-Checking People with Committed Views Only Entrenches Them
“Basically people dig their heels and they're even more convinced of what they thought before than before you tried to reason them. If they're already like so far gone that they're very committed to the position.”
Y-Lan Boureau May 28, 2025 ▶ 2:45 She Wants AI To Help You Thrive, Not Just Keep You Company — Y-Lan Boureau
May 28, 2025 negative
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Boureau: Meta suspended ThrivePal's Instagram account shortly after launch
“I just started like two weeks ago our Facebook page on Thrive Battle, not Instagram because Meta suspended my Instagram page, so for now it's like, Tiny.”
Y-Lan Boureau May 28, 2025 ▶ 51:29 She Wants AI To Help You Thrive, Not Just Keep You Company — Y-Lan Boureau
May 28, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Boureau: Facebook M was a hybrid AI-human system
“No, we had some, so the way I worked on the M team for a bit. So no, there was a, it was a hybrid thing. Like the AI would make suggestions and the humans were just to make sure that it was still a good quality, which a lot of the systems are still like that.”
Y-Lan Boureau May 28, 2025 ▶ 18:11 She Wants AI To Help You Thrive, Not Just Keep You Company — Y-Lan Boureau
May 28, 2025
Insight
Boureau: Only Trusted Friends, Not Fact-Checkers, Can Change Minds Online
“The one kind of constituency who has a chance of Making a difference is their friends, people they already trust. So people who are already in their circles, people who have this relationship of which is usually pre-existing or it's because they're more aligne…”
Y-Lan Boureau May 28, 2025 ▶ 3:13 She Wants AI To Help You Thrive, Not Just Keep You Company — Y-Lan Boureau
May 30, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
LeCun: AI infrastructure will be utilized even without architectural breakthroughs
“Even if the revolution of the new paradigm doesn't come, you know, within three years, this infrastructure is going to be used. There's very little question about that.”
Yann LeCun May 30, 2025 ▶ 2:44 Yann LeCun: We Won't Reach AGI By Scaling Up LLMS
May 30, 2025 positive
Assertion Partly supported
LeCun: Meta AI has reached 600 million users
“Well, you have three point something billion users six hundred million users of Meta AI.”
Yann LeCun May 30, 2025 ▶ 3:37 Yann LeCun: We Won't Reach AGI By Scaling Up LLMS
May 30, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
LeCun: Most of Meta's AI capex is for inference infrastructure
“Most of the investment, at least for, from the meta side is investment in infrastructure for inference.”
Yann LeCun May 30, 2025 ▶ 1:39 Yann LeCun: We Won't Reach AGI By Scaling Up LLMS
Jun 3, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Attention on Meta's Llama has dropped amid DeepSeek's surge
“As deep sea continues to surge, the conversation around Meta's llama models has certainly fallen off in a big way.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 26:53 Mass AI-Driven Unemployment, NVIDIA Surges, CEOs' AI Avatars Unleashed
Jun 3, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Meta and Anduril partner to develop military AR/VR hardware
“Luckey's defense company Andrel and Meta said Thursday that they will together build a line of new rugged helmets, glasses, and other wearables that provide a virtual reality or augmented reality experience.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 29:15 Mass AI-Driven Unemployment, NVIDIA Surges, CEOs' AI Avatars Unleashed
Jun 3, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Anduril and Meta's Eagle Eye system integrates AI models with battlefield sensors
“The system called Eagle Eye will carry sensors that enhance soldiers' hearing and vision, detecting drones flying miles away or sighting hidden targets, for instance. It will also let soldiers operate and interact with AI-powered weapon systems. Andro's autono…”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 29:30 Mass AI-Driven Unemployment, NVIDIA Surges, CEOs' AI Avatars Unleashed
Jun 3, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Meta's voice AI is inferior to OpenAI's
“I mean, they have bet a lot on voice, and their voice AI is just not as on par with OpenAI.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 3, 2025 ▶ 27:52 Mass AI-Driven Unemployment, NVIDIA Surges, CEOs' AI Avatars Unleashed
Jun 11, 2025 positive
Opinion
Siegler: Apple's Retail Moat Beats Google and Meta in Hardware
“They have a retail presence, which no one else can match and for consumer goods. And so if, and when they can find sort of either that next device or that product for the current devices, they can move units and sell these things in a way that, that Google can…”
M.G. Siegler Jun 11, 2025 ▶ 40:20 What Apple's Failures Say About AI's Limitations —  With M.G. Siegler
Jun 14, 2025 positive
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Zuckerberg's Scale AI deal is the exact right move
“So, to me, this is Zuckerberg clearly seeing an issue with his company and making, I would say, the strategic exact right move to fix it, unlike another company that we've seen within flagging AI product that is, it seems like it's still in denial about what i…”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 14, 2025 ▶ 32:09 Sam Altman’s Gentle Singularity, Zuck’s AI Power Play, Burning Of The Waymos
Jun 14, 2025
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Meta agrees to $14.8B 49% stake in Scale AI
“Meta has agreed to take a 49% stake in the data labeling firm Scale AI for 14.8 billion. Meta will send the cash to Scale's existing shareholders and place the startup CEO Alexander Wang, former Big Technology podcast guest in a top position inside Meta. Meta…”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 14, 2025 ▶ 27:50 Sam Altman’s Gentle Singularity, Zuck’s AI Power Play, Burning Of The Waymos
Jun 14, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Meta is offering up to $100M to recruit top engineers
“There are reports that he's offered eight and nine figure cash amounts Two top talent engineers to come over to Meta. That's like in the tens, and maybe even up to a hundred million dollars to a person, not a company, a person to come over.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 14, 2025 ▶ 32:42 Sam Altman’s Gentle Singularity, Zuck’s AI Power Play, Burning Of The Waymos
Jun 18, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Patel: Meta treats Llama as a toy rather than approaching AGI correctly
“I think they're treating it as like a sort of like toy within the meta universe. And I don't think that's the correct way to think about AGI.”
Dwarkesh Patel Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 46:18 Dwarkesh Patel: AI Continuous Improvement, Intelligence Explosion, Memory, Frontier Lab Competition
Jun 23, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Zuckerberg Offered $32B for Safe Superintelligence and Was Rejected
“Zuckerberg tried to spend thirty two billion on Ilya Suskever's AI start, startup, safe super intelligence. Suskever ultimately turned Meta down.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 23, 2025 ▶ 35:57 OpenAI and Microsoft Tension Boils, Amazon’s Job Automation, Zuck’s Spending Spree
Jul 7, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: An AI researcher will secretly work at both Meta and OpenAI
“Mark my words, this is going to happen. We will see this happen. Be sure as day. We're gonna see it. Soham is the leader of a trend, honestly.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 7, 2025 ▶ 55:14 $100 Million AI Engineers, Vending Machine Claude, Legend Of Soham
Jul 7, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: Meta's massive AI talent hires will significantly help it catch up
“I think it's going to significantly enable them to catch up. Whether they, like, shoot out ahead, I don't know. Whether this is the most critical battle, I don't know, or I actually don't think it is, but I do think that this is going to get them back in the, …”
Ranjan Roy Jul 7, 2025 ▶ 25:34 $100 Million AI Engineers, Vending Machine Claude, Legend Of Soham
Jul 7, 2025 positive
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Pre-training data walls justify $100M+ packages for top AI talent
“And this is a strength, a sound strategy because you have everybody talking about how pre-training is hitting diminishing returns. You have everybody talking about how data is hitting a wall. And so what do you need? You just need these algorithmic development…”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 7, 2025 ▶ 15:15 $100 Million AI Engineers, Vending Machine Claude, Legend Of Soham
Jul 9, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegler: Meta cannot win the AI race if AGI is 2 years away
“And if we're only a couple of years away, do I think that Meta can win that race? Not if we're a couple of years away, I don't think so.”
M.G. Siegler Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 35:43 Apple’s Anthropic Flirtation, Can Meta Build Superintelligence?, AI Browser Wars — With M.G. Siegler
Jul 9, 2025 negative
Opinion
Siegler: Meta has a major problem with focus on new initiatives
“I do think that they have a very a big problem with focus when it comes to new things coming out, right? Even just look at the fact that they renamed the company Meta. They reoriented around the metaverse.”
M.G. Siegler Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 36:05 Apple’s Anthropic Flirtation, Can Meta Build Superintelligence?, AI Browser Wars — With M.G. Siegler
Jul 21, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Meta failed to convincingly build voice and avatars with Llama
“Meta has been trying extremely hard to build voice and avatars with Lama, and it hasn't been able to do it convincingly.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 21, 2025 ▶ 10:00 Grok's AI Lovebot, Aqui-Hire-Sition Backlash, OpenAI's ChatGPT Agent Debuts
Jul 21, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Meta only needs to slow ChatGPT's growth via distribution
“If Meta's able to build a competitive LLM with this compute and talent that it's stacking up, then it's going to be able to distribute that through Facebook products. And, you know, all they have to do really is slow down the growth of ChatGPT, similar to the…”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 21, 2025 ▶ 5:13 Grok's AI Lovebot, Aqui-Hire-Sition Backlash, OpenAI's ChatGPT Agent Debuts
Jul 30, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Amodei: 'Pretty bearish' on Meta's aggressive AI talent poaching strategy
“I am pretty bearish on what they're trying to do.”
Dario Amodei Jul 30, 2025 ▶ 20:21 Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei: AI's Potential, OpenAI Rivalry, GenAI Business, Doomerism
Aug 4, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Siegler: Zuckerberg's superintelligence memo is an AI talent recruiting pitch
“He has a different incentive, which is that he's trying to bring in all the talent in the world that he possibly can in AI. And to me, when I first saw this memo, it felt sort of like a response to sort of some of the stories that you hear that some people are…”
M.G. Siegler Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 2:24 Mark Zuckerberg’s Personal Superintelligence, Layoffs & Payoffs, Writing With AI — With M.G. Siegler
Aug 4, 2025 positive
Opinion
Siegler: Nine-figure AI talent contracts are justified by $75 billion infrastructure budgets
“If you're needing to catch up in AI, you're spending seventy five billion dollars plus a year on infrastructure. The amount that you're spending on people is going to be even, even with these hundred million dollar contracts is going to be such a small subset …”
M.G. Siegler Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 46:10 Mark Zuckerberg’s Personal Superintelligence, Layoffs & Payoffs, Writing With AI — With M.G. Siegler
Aug 4, 2025 positive
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Zuckerberg's plain-text memo aesthetics mimic AI researcher websites
“It legitimately is like black text on a white background. It looks like the AI researcher websites where they like kind of want to show that they don't really care about branding, even though they really do. And they're like in courier and like blue links and …”
Alex Kantrowitz Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 4:20 Mark Zuckerberg’s Personal Superintelligence, Layoffs & Payoffs, Writing With AI — With M.G. Siegler
Aug 4, 2025 negative
Opinion
Kantrowitz: OpenAI and Meta are building the exact same thing using LLMs
“I'll stand on the table here and say it's the same thing. I think it's, if there were different techniques, I think this is really what it comes down to. If there were different techniques to build AGI and super intelligence, I would say, okay, sure, you know,…”
Alex Kantrowitz Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 28:02 Mark Zuckerberg’s Personal Superintelligence, Layoffs & Payoffs, Writing With AI — With M.G. Siegler
Aug 4, 2025 negative
Opinion
Siegler: AI industry shift to 'superintelligence' branding is purely marketing
“It's, it just is obviously all marketing at this point, and so I do feel like that, you know, you gotta at some point pin people down to say like, what are you actually trying to build, and what is the outcome of that going to be?”
M.G. Siegler Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 27:13 Mark Zuckerberg’s Personal Superintelligence, Layoffs & Payoffs, Writing With AI — With M.G. Siegler
Sep 8, 2025 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Google Announces $10 Billion AI Infrastructure Deal With Meta
“They just announced this is something that came up in our discord. They just announced this ten billion dollar deal with Meta for AI infrastructure.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 26:07 Google’s Best Week Ever, AI’s Rising Costs, Putin and Xi’s Immortality Quest
Sep 22, 2025 positive
Opinion
Roy: Meta's Flawed Live Demo Builds More Developer Credibility Than Apple
“I actually think it's going to give a lot more credibility among developers that this is real and it's wonky and it didn't work on stage right now, but they're at least showing what is real rather than Apple.”
Ranjan Roy Sep 22, 2025 ▶ 45:49 Revealed: OpenAI Tells Us ChatGPT's Major Use Cases
Sep 22, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Kantrowitz: Zuckerberg's voice prompt crashed Meta's live demo servers
“Apparently Zuck said, hey, Meta, start live AI. It activated everybody's AI in the room, and effectively DDoSed the servers. All of the servers were all, all the traffic was also routed to the company's servers in Iceland, apparently. So, that's why it broke.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 22, 2025 ▶ 45:07 Revealed: OpenAI Tells Us ChatGPT's Major Use Cases
Sep 22, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: Subtle Augmented Computing Layer in Smart Glasses Will Be Massive
“So to me, this is gonna happen. This is the direction. I think the screen, again, if you're watching reels while crossing the street, that's not good. If you have, like, a light bit of information in the twenty-degree field of view in the far right of your len…”
Ranjan Roy Sep 22, 2025 ▶ 41:52 Revealed: OpenAI Tells Us ChatGPT's Major Use Cases
Sep 22, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Roy: Meta Is Winning the Wearable Computing Interface Race
“That's what, that's exactly how I've seen this whole interface of computing for a long time, and they are, they're winning. They're winning right now, and they're moving in the right direction as well.”
Ranjan Roy Sep 22, 2025 ▶ 43:12 Revealed: OpenAI Tells Us ChatGPT's Major Use Cases
Oct 4, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Apple's iOS ecosystem positions it to beat Meta in smart glasses
“Apple is in a much better position to win here. I mean, they can connect it to iMessage. They can connect it to all the apps on your phone. So I'm not sure what claim Meta really has besides being first to market here.”
Max Zeff Oct 4, 2025 ▶ 46:16 Sora 2 & AI’s Slop Era, Death Of The Creator Economy?, Apple’s SmartGlasses Roadmap
Oct 4, 2025 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Meta Ray-Ban glasses demos are booked for months in the Bay Area
“If you try to book an appointment in the Bay Area to go demo these it's basically booked out for the next two or three months.”
Max Zeff Oct 4, 2025 ▶ 45:22 Sora 2 & AI’s Slop Era, Death Of The Creator Economy?, Apple’s SmartGlasses Roadmap
Oct 4, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Meta's Vibes video app doesn't let users generate videos of themselves
“And that product doesn't let you make videos of yourself or your friends.”
Max Zeff Oct 4, 2025 ▶ 4:28 Sora 2 & AI’s Slop Era, Death Of The Creator Economy?, Apple’s SmartGlasses Roadmap
Oct 4, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mark Zuckerberg is deeply frustrated by Meta's dependency on Apple and Android
“The thing that I saw him the most frustrated about in our conversations was the fact that he has to go through Apple and Android in order to deliver his services. He hates just being an app on the phone”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 4, 2025 ▶ 49:45 Sora 2 & AI’s Slop Era, Death Of The Creator Economy?, Apple’s SmartGlasses Roadmap
Oct 4, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
OpenAI and Anthropic consumer product leaders hail from Instagram and Facebook
“Head of product at Anthropic, Instagram founder, head of product at OpenAI, former head of product at Instagram, person who's running what all consumer applications at OpenAI is also someone who's come from Facebook.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 4, 2025 ▶ 17:33 Sora 2 & AI’s Slop Era, Death Of The Creator Economy?, Apple’s SmartGlasses Roadmap
Oct 4, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Meta is best positioned to monetize AI chat data for ad targeting
“Just how valuable all that information is to serve you ads elsewhere, and Meta's probably the best positioned company to do that.”
Max Zeff Oct 4, 2025 ▶ 34:41 Sora 2 & AI’s Slop Era, Death Of The Creator Economy?, Apple’s SmartGlasses Roadmap
Oct 4, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
New OpenAI and Scale hires complain about bureaucracy inside Meta's AI division
“Basically, the level of bureaucracy inside of Meta specifically in its AI division is really a problem for a lot of people. I think that this is something that new employees that have come in from OpenAI and, you know, scale and whatnot have complained about, …”
Max Zeff Oct 4, 2025 ▶ 37:55 Sora 2 & AI’s Slop Era, Death Of The Creator Economy?, Apple’s SmartGlasses Roadmap
Oct 4, 2025
Assertion Supported
Meta will use AI chatbot conversations to target Instagram and Facebook ads
“Meta has basically announced that, yeah, we're going to take everything you say to an AI chat bot and we are going to Basically have it affect the kind of ads that you see on Instagram and Facebook. Of course there are some exceptions if you are talking about …”
Max Zeff Oct 4, 2025 ▶ 32:26 Sora 2 & AI’s Slop Era, Death Of The Creator Economy?, Apple’s SmartGlasses Roadmap
Oct 6, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Siegler: Meta lacks Google's cloud infrastructure and custom TPUs
“Unlike meta, which is also profitable and Zuck talks up like, yeah, we can fund this via profits, which is true, but they don't have the cloud infrastructure that Google does and they don't have the TPUs that Google does and they don't have all of the sort of …”
M.G. Siegler Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 21:26 OpenAI and AMD's Megadeal, Sam Altman and Jony Ive’s Bumpy Start. Meta vs. Apple
Oct 6, 2025 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2035
Siegler: Smart glasses will not replace smartphones within 5 to 10 years
“It also doesn't sound like the type of thing that's, you know, people are going to leave their smartphones behind anytime in the next five to 10 years.”
M.G. Siegler Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 48:08 OpenAI and AMD's Megadeal, Sam Altman and Jony Ive’s Bumpy Start. Meta vs. Apple
Oct 6, 2025 positive
Opinion
Siegler: Luxottica retail partnership was Meta's smartest smart glasses move
“I do think the smartest thing that they did was partner with Exeter Luxottica because the biggest strength that Apple obviously has beyond all their in-house expertise is also the retail channels, right? Like they can move product because they have stores arou…”
M.G. Siegler Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 49:16 OpenAI and AMD's Megadeal, Sam Altman and Jony Ive’s Bumpy Start. Meta vs. Apple
Oct 8, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Krieger: Instagram had 13 employees at sale and 16 at close
“We're 13 at sale and 16 at close.”
Mike Krieger Oct 8, 2025 ▶ 25:20 Anthropic Chief Product Officer: Why AI Model Development Is Accelerating
Oct 8, 2025 negative
Opinion
Krieger: Meta's Search Bar Chatbots Were Not Particularly Transformative
“Initial wave of, well, you know, we've got some chat bot type stuff in the search bars was like not particularly transformative.”
Mike Krieger Oct 8, 2025 ▶ 35:33 Anthropic Chief Product Officer: Why AI Model Development Is Accelerating
Oct 8, 2025 neutral
Insight
Krieger: Massive Platforms Can Only Introduce One New Behavior Per Generation
“Once you get a service as widespread as Instagram or as widespread as Facebook or WhatsApp, it's hard to introduce a new behavior there. You know, we did it with stories. I think they've since done it with reels but it's almost like one, you get one per genera…”
Mike Krieger Oct 8, 2025 ▶ 36:02 Anthropic Chief Product Officer: Why AI Model Development Is Accelerating
Oct 20, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Zuckerberg Is Poaching Apple AI Talent Simply to Kneecap Them
“I think what Mark Zuckerberg is trying to do is just rate Apple of all of its top AI talent. Even though they haven't produced great results, He is, in my opinion, potentially just trying to completely kneecap its ability to execute on AI.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 20, 2025 ▶ 40:49 Erotic ChatGPT, Zuck’s Apple Assault, AI’s Sameness Problem
Oct 20, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Close to a dozen Apple AI leaders have left for Meta
“I think this is, what, close to a dozen. Folks from Apple's AI division that have left to Meta, including a large percentage of, it seems like a large percentage of its leadership.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 20, 2025 ▶ 39:47 Erotic ChatGPT, Zuck’s Apple Assault, AI’s Sameness Problem
Oct 27, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Meta cuts approximately 600 jobs in its AI division
“Meta said on Wednesday that it cut approximately 600 jobs in its artificial intelligence division.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 51:05 OpenAI’s Risky Browser Bet, Amazon’s Mass Automation Plan, Clippy’s Back
Oct 27, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Meta to cut off ChatGPT access on WhatsApp next year
“Meta said Saturday it would cut off access to non-meta chatbots like OpenAI's ChatGPT on WhatsApp beginning next year.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 55:28 OpenAI’s Risky Browser Bet, Amazon’s Mass Automation Plan, Clippy’s Back
Oct 27, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Meta AI cuts spared new superintelligence hires
“The cuts on Wednesday did not affect the newest hires who have been empowered to develop super intelligence.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 51:18 OpenAI’s Risky Browser Bet, Amazon’s Mass Automation Plan, Clippy’s Back
Nov 3, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: 20% of OpenAI Employees Previously Worked at Meta
“Of the people who list OpenAI as their current employer on LinkedIn, approximately 630 previously worked for Meta, which represents 20% of the roughly 3000 total employees at OpenAI.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 3, 2025 ▶ 32:46 OpenAI and Microsoft’s Grand Bargain, Sam Altman’s Next Three Years, A New Humanoid Robot
Nov 17, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Luria: Meta used a Blue Owl SPV to finance data centers off-balance-sheet
“The other thing that happened with Meta that was interesting is that when they Went out to borrow. They didn't borrow the capital. They created a special purpose vehicle, right? They went out with Blue Owl and they said, you know, we'll put a couple of billion…”
Gil Luria Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 47:18 AI Bubble Special Report: Debt, Depreciation, and Losses — With Gil Luria
Nov 17, 2025 neutral
Insight
Luria: The AI chatbot market is not winner-take-all
“Unlike Uber and the rideshare market, which lent itself to winner takes most or winner takes all, chat is entirely not like that. Because I could have the same conversation with Gemini, and Meta is going to give me the tools to do this, and Grok is going to gi…”
Gil Luria Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 44:36 AI Bubble Special Report: Debt, Depreciation, and Losses — With Gil Luria
Nov 17, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Luria: OpenAI's $100 Billion 2027 Revenue Projection Is Completely Disingenuous
“So for them to say, oh, we're gonna have a hundred billion dollars of revenue by 2027, which Sam Altman just did, is completely disingenuous. He has no idea. He's competing against much bigger, more powerful companies that have technology that's at least as go…”
Gil Luria Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 15:58 AI Bubble Special Report: Debt, Depreciation, and Losses — With Gil Luria
Nov 17, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Luria: Meta Lacks Enterprise Customers to Rent Out Excess Data Center Capacity
“Meta again is an unusual situation because they don't actually have business customers to rent this capacity to. It really is just Mr. Zuckerberg wanting a bigger and bigger toy.”
Gil Luria Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 46:04 AI Bubble Special Report: Debt, Depreciation, and Losses — With Gil Luria
Nov 19, 2025 negative
Opinion
Clegg: Meta Apps Are Now Entertainment Pipelines Competing With TikTok
“The meta social media apps are now competing more and more with Tik Tok and YouTube. They're becoming, they're not really stages on which people generate content, communicate with each other. They are of course pipelines, which entertainment and entertaining a…”
Sir Nick Clegg Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 21:15 Can We Trust Silicon Valley With Superintelligence? — With Nick Clegg
Nov 19, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: AI Companions Will Become The Stickiest Consumer Tech Product
“If this technology keeps going the way that it's going the AI friend will be like the stickiest tech product.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 20:04 Can We Trust Silicon Valley With Superintelligence? — With Nick Clegg
Nov 19, 2025 bearish
Insight
Clegg: AI companions are 'friends as service' that could foster narcissism
“And I realized that actually what they were talking about when they were talking about friends, it's not friends at all. Cause you're not really having to adapt yourself. The entity, the AI entity is entirely adapting itself to you. So my fear, but it's a slig…”
Sir Nick Clegg Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 13:12 Can We Trust Silicon Valley With Superintelligence? — With Nick Clegg
Nov 24, 2025 negative
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Meta's Llama 4 large language model was a failure
“Just remember, Llama Four, right, I think their most recent large language model was a failure. I think that's what led to this.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 25:27 Google Pushes OpenAI, Bezos Returns, AI’s No. 1 Hit
Nov 24, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Kantrowitz: Yann LeCun left Meta to launch a Meta-funded AI startup
“Jan LeCun has left. Inevitable. I'm not going to even take too much credit because the most likely thing ever, most likely prediction I've ever made yet. He's gonna start his own startup. Looks like Facebook is gonna fund it. So in part.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 24:10 Google Pushes OpenAI, Bezos Returns, AI’s No. 1 Hit
Dec 1, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Meta is fighting the last war by focusing on building LLMs
“It does also seem like Meta is, is sort of fighting the last war on this where they're like, they've assembled a super team to build LLMs.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 1, 2025 ▶ 47:15 Tim Cook’s Final Year?, Big Tech Horse Race, Anthropic’s Profitability Push
Dec 8, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: Meta is becoming Apple's biggest hardware competitor
“Meta is now going to be Apple's biggest competitor in the hardware space. And I never thought that that could be the possible or the case, but I really think that will be the case”
Ranjan Roy Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 5:11 AI Device Wars Heat Up, RIP Metaverse?, Netflix Acquires Warner Brothers
Dec 8, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Roy: Meta Ray-Bans are the most useful hardware device in years
“Meta is the coolest company right now in physical devices. I never would have thought I would have said that Meta Ray-Bans are probably from like a hardware standpoint, the most interesting and useful hardware and physical device I have tried, or I own a pair …”
Ranjan Roy Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 3:59 AI Device Wars Heat Up, RIP Metaverse?, Netflix Acquires Warner Brothers
Dec 8, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Roy: Virtual reality will remain a niche gaming market, not general computing
“I think it's over. I think virtual reality should go back to niche use cases, gaming. Hopefully keep improving, be this kind of like product that's maybe a reasonably big market, but not the way everyone interacts with life.”
Ranjan Roy Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 32:40 AI Device Wars Heat Up, RIP Metaverse?, Netflix Acquires Warner Brothers
Dec 8, 2025 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Kantrowitz: Meta will partner with Google or OpenAI on smart glasses
“Over the next year, you will see Meta bring in other AI models. You will see them partner with Google. You might see them partner with OpenAI.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 18:18 AI Device Wars Heat Up, RIP Metaverse?, Netflix Acquires Warner Brothers
Dec 8, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Meta executives consider up to 30 percent budget cuts to metaverse group
“Executives are considering potential budget cuts as high as 30%, 30% for the metaverse group this year, which includes the virtual world's product, Meta Horizon Worlds, and its Quest virtual reality units. Cuts that high would most likely include layoffs as ea…”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 30:56 AI Device Wars Heat Up, RIP Metaverse?, Netflix Acquires Warner Brothers
Dec 8, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Meta poaches Apple UI design chief Alan Dye
“Apple's head of user interface design, Alan Dye, along with the deputy and maybe some other team members, went over to Meta. Meta poached them.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 2:39 AI Device Wars Heat Up, RIP Metaverse?, Netflix Acquires Warner Brothers
Dec 23, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Cramer: Meta and YouTube will capture 50% to 70% of ad market
“In the end, Mark is going to have, along with YouTube, 50%, if not 70% of the advertising market. And that's a very big market.”
Jim Cramer Dec 23, 2025 ▶ 4:51 CNBC's Jim Cramer: Big Tech Hot Takes, NVIDIA $10 Trillion?, Building Wealth In Any Market
Dec 23, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cramer: Smart glasses displacing the iPhone is far off
“I'm using the iPhone, but I still think that it's a long way off as,”
Jim Cramer Dec 23, 2025 ▶ 2:44 CNBC's Jim Cramer: Big Tech Hot Takes, NVIDIA $10 Trillion?, Building Wealth In Any Market
Dec 23, 2025 positive
Opinion
Social media is the hardest consumer tech category to succeed in
“Social media is the hardest category to succeed in, and that's why they've been able to do it.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 23, 2025 ▶ 14:36 CNBC's Jim Cramer: Big Tech Hot Takes, NVIDIA $10 Trillion?, Building Wealth In Any Market
Dec 24, 2025 bearish
Prediction Partly held up
Kantrowitz: Meta's Open Source AI Strategy Is Definitely Done
“I think they're not going to, their open source strategy is definitely done.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 24, 2025 ▶ 8:00 2025 In Review, 2026 Predictions: Meta, NVIDIA, Tesla, OpenAI, Google, Microsoft
Dec 24, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Albergati: Meta Does Not Need Frontier AI Breakthroughs to Win Products
“I think at this point it's about products. And if people like the meta products that they put out there that are run on these foundation models, to be honest, they could probably be run on, on a lot of different models that are out there. I think it's partly e…”
Reed Albergotti Dec 24, 2025 ▶ 8:22 2025 In Review, 2026 Predictions: Meta, NVIDIA, Tesla, OpenAI, Google, Microsoft
Dec 24, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Albergati: Meta Tried to Acquire DeepMind Before Google Did
“Meta, you know, they were so early on AI, they tried to acquire DeepMind, you know, before Google did and then sort of just lost focus on it.”
Reed Albergotti Dec 24, 2025 ▶ 6:05 2025 In Review, 2026 Predictions: Meta, NVIDIA, Tesla, OpenAI, Google, Microsoft
Dec 24, 2025 bearish
Prediction Partly held up
Albergati: Meta's Future AI Models Will Be Closed or Backend-Only
“I think at this point, the new models are either going to just be part of their products, like almost backend technology, or they'll be, you know, they'll be closed models, just like open AI.”
Reed Albergotti Dec 24, 2025 ▶ 7:40 2025 In Review, 2026 Predictions: Meta, NVIDIA, Tesla, OpenAI, Google, Microsoft
Dec 29, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: Google will have the best year among Big Tech in 2026
“I want to like come out and say something unexpected, like meta with AI, but I don't know. I'm still thinking it's probably Google.”
Ranjan Roy Dec 29, 2025 ▶ 19:57 AI & Tech 2026 Outlook: ChatGPT 1 Billion, AI Shopping, Apple's Big Year, AI Love Boom
Jan 7, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Intrator: CoreWeave signed a $14 billion contract with Meta
“Meta that we signed a fourteen billion dollar contract with”
Michael Intrator Jan 7, 2026 ▶ 33:16 Coreweave: AI Bubble Poster Child Or The Next Tech Giant? — With Michael Intrator and Brian Venturo
Jan 12, 2026 negative
Opinion
Roy argues Meta failed in enterprise software due to its ad model.
“Th that actually is a perfect example of there is no reason Facebook and then Meta should not have been able to Do something really interesting in that space. It's a very lucrative space. There's no reason like they should not have been able to do that, but th…”
Ranjan Roy Jan 12, 2026 ▶ 29:39 Claude Code’s Shining Moment, ChatGPT for Healthcare, End Of Busywork?
Jan 13, 2026 negative
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, and Meta lack standout AI products
“What standout product does AI product does Microsoft have outside of selling AI services from Azure? What standout product does Amazon, AI product does Amazon have outside of selling some AI with AWS. What standout AI product does Apple have? We both know that…”
Alex Kantrowitz Jan 13, 2026 ▶ 36:08 AI’s Steve Jobs?, Big Tech AI Chaos, 2026 Crystal Ball
Jan 13, 2026 neutral
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Siegler: Meta will announce its superintelligence model 'Avocado' within weeks
“We're probably a few weeks away, maybe less from whatever they're going to, you know, announce in terms of coming out of their new AGS super intelligence efforts, their avocado model.”
M.G. Siegler Jan 13, 2026 ▶ 32:06 AI’s Steve Jobs?, Big Tech AI Chaos, 2026 Crystal Ball
Jan 26, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Meta Ray-Ban smart glasses have sold 2 million lifetime units
“Guess how many lifetime Meta Ray-Bans glasses, the most successful quote unquote AI wearable, Ever has sold. Guess how many units it sold? Two million.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jan 26, 2026 ▶ 39:14 OpenAI’s $50 Billion Fundraise, AI Advertising Game Theory, Apple’s AI Wearable Pin
Jan 28, 2026 positive
Opinion
Taylor calls Mark Zuckerberg the longest-term thinker he has ever met
“Mark Zuckerberg was probably the longest, longest term thinker I ever worked with. We used to go on long walks around Palo Alto talking about strategy, and every time I thought I was thinking long term, he was thinking about two times longer than me.”
Bret Taylor Jan 28, 2026 ▶ 50:40 Is AI Killing Software? — With Bret Taylor, OpenAI's board chair and CEO of Sierra
Feb 2, 2026 neutral
Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Morris: Meta to double annual CapEx to $135 billion
“Meta double is going to double this year. It's capex. So like spending on data centers and chips and servers and everything that goes into supporting that upgrading power structure, it's going to double it to one hundred and thirty five billion, you know, from…”
Stephen Morris Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 30:41 The Anthropic Rocketship, AI’s Spending Limits, SpaceX IPO
Feb 3, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Siegler: Meta spends $130B on CapEx while Apple spends around $18B-$20B
“We have Meta over here that's spending a hundred and thirty billion dollars in CapEx, whereas Apple is spending much closer to zero. You know, it's something around, like, it's like 18 or twenty billion dollars in CapEx. Because they're not building out obviou…”
M.G. Siegler Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 45:52 The Moltbook Uprising, NVIDIA’s OpenAI Pullback, Apple’s Conundrum
Feb 12, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ramaswamy: Chinese open-source AI parity is a net positive for Western innovation
“So from a macro perspective, I would say that that is actually a positive because Mistral is going to figure out how to reverse engineer all of this stuff, stuff, and go one step forward, which will be good for Europe. And Reflection will figure out how to do …”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 54:47 Who’s Winning The AI Race? + Software’s Future — With Sridhar Ramaswamy
Mar 4, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Siegler: iPhone gives Apple a unique advantage in AI wearables
“Apple has this unique position where they have the iPhone in billions of pockets, and now they're going to have these devices that rely upon that as sort of, at least for the foreseeable future, as basically the, you know, the central processing unit of those …”
M.G. Siegler Mar 4, 2026 ▶ 39:36 Dario’s Choice and Anthropic’s Future, Apple’s AI Devices, Netflix Loses WBD
Mar 16, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Meta AI leaders discussed temporarily licensing Google Gemini for their products
“The leaders of Meta's AI division Have instead discussed temporarily licensing Gemini to power the company's AI product.”
Alex Kantrowitz Mar 16, 2026 ▶ 50:49 AI Backlash Intensifies, Nvidia GTC Preview, Meta’s Embarrassing Delay
Mar 16, 2026 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Meta delays flagship AI model after failing to outperform Gemini 2.5
“Meta's new foundational AI model, which the company has been working on for months, has fallen short on the performance leading AI models the performance of leading AI models from rivals like Google, OpenAI, and Anthropik. On internal testing, it is now delaye…”
Alex Kantrowitz Mar 16, 2026 ▶ 50:12 AI Backlash Intensifies, Nvidia GTC Preview, Meta’s Embarrassing Delay
Mar 16, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Ranjan Roy: Meta rebuilt its ad infrastructure using LLMs and agentic AI
“They rebuilt their entire advertising infrastructure to incorporate large language models and agentic processes and the newer vintage of AI rather than the traditional machine learning, and that's what's made it, I mean, it basically just, not saved, but like,…”
Ranjan Roy Mar 16, 2026 ▶ 14:10 AI Backlash Intensifies, Nvidia GTC Preview, Meta’s Embarrassing Delay
Mar 23, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Meta holds consumer AI head start through hardware investments
“If there is a hope for consumer AI, which we debated in the beginning, it's probably through some form of device. And meta certainly has a head start on that. I mean, the Ray-Ban metas, which you and I both really like, and these newer projects are direct resu…”
Alex Kantrowitz Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 48:28 OpenAI’s Superapp Is Coming, Jensen on Jobs, Bezos’s $100 Billion Automation Fund
Mar 23, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Meta will pivot Reality Labs to AI world models
“I think they keep the metaverse alive and reality labs. And then slowly, quietly pivot to the whole world model space. And then suddenly it all comes back and Zuck was right the whole time as he figures out AI ad LLM based advertising and comes back with world…”
Ranjan Roy Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 46:48 OpenAI’s Superapp Is Coming, Jensen on Jobs, Bezos’s $100 Billion Automation Fund
Apr 10, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Meta lacks a competitive LLM and remains two generations behind in AI
“They don't have a competitive LM. And again, it's the same problem as Apple. They're now, you know, not one, but two generations behind what the cutting edge is.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 52:34 More OpenAI C-Suite Drama, Is Siri Seriously Broken?, Meta’s Elusive Next Hit
Apr 10, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Demis Hassabis rejected higher Facebook offer because Mark Zuckerberg misunderstood AI's potential
“Facebook offered more money, but I wanted somebody who really understood why AI would be bigger than all those things. And then he sold to Google.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 1:02:03 More OpenAI C-Suite Drama, Is Siri Seriously Broken?, Meta’s Elusive Next Hit
Apr 10, 2026 negative
Opinion
Meta struggles to gain product traction organically without relying on external acquisitions
“They just, they don't have a good track record over the past decade plus of launching new things, obviously with the metaverse being, you know, the prime example, but several other projects, they had a crypto project DM and You know, they've had many, many oth…”
M.G. Siegler Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 55:25 More OpenAI C-Suite Drama, Is Siri Seriously Broken?, Meta’s Elusive Next Hit
Apr 10, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Meta risks becoming a legacy ad business like Yahoo if AI fails
“They got maybe a couple more shots at the AI getting this AI thing. Right. Other, other than that, they look like They look kind of like a potential Yahoo, right? Where like, they got advertising right, and it's the one thing they do right, and they're gonna l…”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 57:26 More OpenAI C-Suite Drama, Is Siri Seriously Broken?, Meta’s Elusive Next Hit
Apr 13, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Meta Intranet Leaderboard 'Claudeonomics' Ranked Token Usage for 85,000 Employees
“The ranking set up by Meta, by a Meta employee on its intranet, use company data, measure how many tokens employees are burning through, dubbed Claudeonomics after the flagship product from Anthropic, the leaderboards, leaderboard aggregates AI usage from 85,0…”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 13, 2026 ▶ 54:30 Anthropic’s Mythos Dilemma, Violence Against AI, Tokenmaxxing at Meta
May 13, 2026 positive
Insight
Stern: Hands-Free Repair Is the Ideal Smart Glasses Use Case
“When you're fixing a garage door, you don't want to hold your phone in front of you. So I was asking the metaglasses, How do I, what's wrong with the garage door? Now, Meta was completely wrong about what was wrong with the garage door. But that instance, it's…”
Joanna Stern May 13, 2026 ▶ 11:36 The Allure of AI Love + Does Anyone Want AI Wearables? — With Joanna Stern
May 18, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Meta Is Dark Horse for No. 2 in AI
“Meta's my dark horse for number two. I'm just gonna say it. I think that, you know, they have the GPUs, they have the talent, they released a respectable model.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 18, 2026 ▶ 20:24 Satya Nadella’s OpenAI Concerns, Google’s Next AI Model, The AI Monet Prank
May 27, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Costolo: Twitter's text posts are extraordinarily resilient against TikTok and Reels
“I think Twitter's text posts are, have been extraordinarily resilient. It was like, it's like this, you know, it's ability to survive The changes in the way people use TikTok and reels and social media.”
Dick Costolo May 27, 2026 ▶ 42:57 Predicting the SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs — With Dick Costolo
May 27, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Costolo: Meta's rolling layoffs are surprising given Zuckerberg's strategic sharpness
“What I would say specifically about Meta is Mark is extraordinarily sharp and a strategic thinker, and the thing that I've been surprised about is the little bit of the death by a thousand cuts on the layoffs.”
Dick Costolo May 27, 2026 ▶ 38:45 Predicting the SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs — With Dick Costolo
Jun 8, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Siegler: Zuckerberg Acknowledged Meta Could Launch Cloud Infrastructure For Outside Businesses
“Zuckerberg, even this week or this past week was in the news again saying, like, basically acknowledging that with all the capex spend, if they need to, they can roll out a cloud, right? They can roll out a cloud that other businesses can use.”
M.G. Siegler Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 57:41 Did Google Just Fall Behind Again?, WWDC Preview, Anthropic Files To Go Public
Jun 8, 2026 bearish
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Siegler: Meta Is No Longer Growing In Western Markets
“The reality is, like, they're not really growing anymore in Western markets. Maybe they're growing in some, you know, some pockets of different parts of the world, but they're not growing in the place that you know, that they feel like they can monetize as eff…”
M.G. Siegler Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 57:12 Did Google Just Fall Behind Again?, WWDC Preview, Anthropic Files To Go Public
Jun 11, 2026
Disclosure
Himel: Meta began Orion AR development immediately following the Oculus acquisition
“At the time when we acquired Oculus, part of the rationale was there was a research division led by Michael Abrash that was looking at augmented reality technologies. Augmented reality translates into glasses and wearables. And right out of the gate, we starte…”
Alex Himel Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 41:11 Meta' Secret Plan To Kill The Smartphone — With Alex Himel
Jun 11, 2026
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Himel: Meta pivoted 200 employees to AI smart glasses in one weekend
“That was a Saturday, by Monday, we had pivoted 200 people on the team to be building AI for these glasses, and the rest is history.”
Alex Himel Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 55:49 Meta' Secret Plan To Kill The Smartphone — With Alex Himel
Jun 11, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Himel: Wearables will eventually become the best form factor for AI
“And we believe that wearables will be the best form factor eventually for the AI. Because they're always with you, they can see what you see, they can hear what you hear, and there's something you can talk to throughout the day when you need it, and they can b…”
Alex Himel Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 19:04 Meta' Secret Plan To Kill The Smartphone — With Alex Himel
Jun 11, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Himel: Audio and phone calls are top Meta smart glasses use cases
“Well, our top use case on the glasses is audio. It's talking on the phone, or it's listening to music.”
Alex Himel Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 15:50 Meta' Secret Plan To Kill The Smartphone — With Alex Himel
Jun 11, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Himel: AI wearables will fail without existing analog adoption habits
“If you don't see a lot of people doing that already with analog versions, I think it's unlikely that you're gonna see an AI version take off.”
Alex Himel Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 9:43 Meta' Secret Plan To Kill The Smartphone — With Alex Himel
Jun 11, 2026
Insight
Himel: Wearable AI companies fail by jumping too far into future
“I think when a lot of companies and people have tried to get into this space and say, hey, what's going to be possible with this? I think they try to jump too far into the future and ignore kind of how to get there.”
Alex Himel Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 1:57 Meta' Secret Plan To Kill The Smartphone — With Alex Himel
Jun 11, 2026
Insight
Himel: Wearers reject poorly styled devices even if 20% more functional
“If you don't like the way it fits on you and what it says about you, then you're not gonna wear it. Even if it, even if it's 20% better in terms of functionality than the alternative.”
Alex Himel Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 35:59 Meta' Secret Plan To Kill The Smartphone — With Alex Himel
Jun 11, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Himel: Facial recognition is a top-requested feature for Meta smart glasses
“It is one of the most frequently requested features from people.”
Alex Himel Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 46:05 Meta' Secret Plan To Kill The Smartphone — With Alex Himel
Jun 11, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Himel: Meta has not launched facial recognition on smart glasses
“We don't have a feature called that or that does that feature that's launched in the glasses.”
Alex Himel Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 46:00 Meta' Secret Plan To Kill The Smartphone — With Alex Himel
Jun 11, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Himel: Visual scene recognition is a top AI use case on Meta glasses
“It's one of the most frequent AI use cases that we see on our glasses, just what is it that I'm looking at? Oh, it's this building, it's this landmark, it's this type of plant, don't eat that mushroom.”
Alex Himel Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 44:21 Meta' Secret Plan To Kill The Smartphone — With Alex Himel
Jun 11, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Himel: AI glasses will guide physical tasks and summarize conversations live
“And you're going to see more use cases develop as the AI is getting better insanely rapidly. And so you'll be able to do things like, instead of saying, what am I looking at? You'll be able to say, help me do this thing that I would normally have to look up a …”
Alex Himel Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 2:49 Meta' Secret Plan To Kill The Smartphone — With Alex Himel
Jun 11, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Himel: Meta glasses retention is highest with clear or transition lenses
“When we measure engagement and retention on our glasses, so how often do you use them, and then after After some period of time, are you still using them actively? Those numbers are highest when we have clear lenses or transition lenses, which means that we're…”
Alex Himel Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 21:45 Meta' Secret Plan To Kill The Smartphone — With Alex Himel
Jun 15, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Meta is the biggest loser if Apple's Siri AI succeeds
“And it really is like biggest loser. If this thing works is meta, right? Because their personal super intelligence becomes that much harder for people to access. If they have a working intelligence on their phone, even if it's not super just intelligence”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 51:40 SpaceX’s IPO Triumph, Anthropic’s Fable Fumble, OpenAI’s Price War
Jul 8, 2026 neutral
Disclosure
Bosworth: Meta shelved Orion consumer launch due to unviable pricing
“Even though we couldn't get the price to be one that we felt comfortable launching as a consumer product, we did intent when we designed it and developed it was a consumer design and intention.”
Andrew Bosworth Jul 8, 2026 ▶ 30:47 Meta CTO Andrew Bosworth: Our Path To Frontier AI, Renting Models, Consumer AI's Struggles
Jul 8, 2026
Insight
Bosworth: Model agnosticism requires owning a competitive proprietary model
“The ability to be model agnostic and have that be economically sensible actually kind of hinges on you having a competitive model. Right. That you can go back to if you need to, and it creates a real backstop on like how much rent somebody can try to charge yo…”
Andrew Bosworth Jul 8, 2026 ▶ 10:47 Meta CTO Andrew Bosworth: Our Path To Frontier AI, Renting Models, Consumer AI's Struggles
Jul 8, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bosworth: Future smart glasses will generate custom apps on the fly
“In the future, there's no reason that couldn't just be you wearing the glasses in real time, telling the glasses what app you want right now, and having it on the fly build that app for you.”
Andrew Bosworth Jul 8, 2026 ▶ 27:32 Meta CTO Andrew Bosworth: Our Path To Frontier AI, Renting Models, Consumer AI's Struggles
Jul 8, 2026
Disclosure
Bosworth: Meta added unlimited pausing and opt-outs to employee tracking program
“Unlimited pausing. People can opt out for a bunch of reasons. So like we've made a bunch of changes to the program for people who had concerns about it.”
Andrew Bosworth Jul 8, 2026 ▶ 40:11 Meta CTO Andrew Bosworth: Our Path To Frontier AI, Renting Models, Consumer AI's Struggles
Jul 8, 2026
Insight
Bosworth: The era of monolithic AI models ended around Llama 3
“The era of the monolithic model kind of died around Lama III launch. Like, the idea, like, here's one model, and just, like, let's just test how smart this model is, and that was how good it's going to be at lots of things. We're now in a world where when you'…”
Andrew Bosworth Jul 8, 2026 ▶ 6:10 Meta CTO Andrew Bosworth: Our Path To Frontier AI, Renting Models, Consumer AI's Struggles
Jul 8, 2026 negative
Opinion
Bosworth: Competitors like Apple, Google, and OpenAI lack complete stacks
“And I think it is the collection of all four of those things that we see as our superpower relative to the competitors, most of whom, whether it's Apple or Anthropic OpenAI or Google, only have one of those things.”
Andrew Bosworth Jul 8, 2026 ▶ 11:40 Meta CTO Andrew Bosworth: Our Path To Frontier AI, Renting Models, Consumer AI's Struggles
Jul 8, 2026
Disclosure
Bosworth: Meta uses AI models from Google, Anthropic, and OpenAI
“When we're doing development internally, we do have a lot of development happening on our own models. There's also some areas of development that we do on models that we use from, ah, from Google, or from Anthropic, or from OpenAI.”
Andrew Bosworth Jul 8, 2026 ▶ 10:35 Meta CTO Andrew Bosworth: Our Path To Frontier AI, Renting Models, Consumer AI's Struggles
Jul 8, 2026 negative
Disclosure
Bosworth: Meta emptied its AI research pipeline to build Llama 3
“When we were pulling Llama three together, we had really pulled in all the research, all the every, we pulled out every single stop we had and unwittingly kind of killed the pipeline. So researchers, you know, the way that it works is you build a base And you'…”
Andrew Bosworth Jul 8, 2026 ▶ 1:57 Meta CTO Andrew Bosworth: Our Path To Frontier AI, Renting Models, Consumer AI's Struggles
Jul 8, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
Bosworth: Meta's AI focus is 100% on consumer use cases
“That's not our major focus. Like our major focus is a hundred percent on how this is going to help consumers in their lives.”
Andrew Bosworth Jul 8, 2026 ▶ 15:47 Meta CTO Andrew Bosworth: Our Path To Frontier AI, Renting Models, Consumer AI's Struggles
Jul 8, 2026
Disclosure
Bosworth: Meta reassigned thousands of employees to generate AI training data
“We basically saw this huge opportunity, such a big opportunity that we pivoted kind of on a dime and brought a lot of people across the company, thousands of people out into this AAI organization to do these expert traces.”
Andrew Bosworth Jul 8, 2026 ▶ 34:45 Meta CTO Andrew Bosworth: Our Path To Frontier AI, Renting Models, Consumer AI's Struggles
Jul 20, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: AI frontier intelligence will commoditize into a price war
“If you have five companies that have this level of intelligence, it's a price war. It commoditizes. So I think we should assume, and we've talked about this on the show, that intelligence is gonna commoditize.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 20, 2026 ▶ 19:58 Kimi K3 & AI’s Price War, What’s Happening To Google?, OpenAI’s Partner Trouble
Jul 27, 2026 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Roy: Meta capex figures exclude $46B in Hyperion SPV debt exposure
“Meta recorded 88.6 billion in capital expenditures, but that doesn't include the Hyperion SPV, which had its own forty six billion dollars of exposure.”
Ranjan Roy Jul 27, 2026 ▶ 31:58 What Happens If AI Fails?, Subprime Data Center Crisis, How Bad Can SpaceX Get?
Aug 3, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Albergati: Tech Giants Can Resell Excess AI Compute Due to High Demand
“I mean, this is, like, getting used today. Like, there's high demand for it, so when you see people, like, make these bets on compute, like, Meta or SpaceX AI, and they're off on the timing, right, or maybe off Totally. If depending on your opinion, they can t…”
Reed Albergotti Aug 3, 2026 ▶ 16:10 Leopold Blows Up, OpenAI Drastically Cuts Prices, Microsoft’s Best Day
Aug 3, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Albergati: AI Companions Won't Generate Meaningful Revenue Compared to Meta's Core
“There are other companies doing that by the way, and they can make some money off of it. Like it's nothing. It's a drop in the bucket. I think compared to what Facebook is an Instagram, like their core businesses and whatever WhatsApp, you know, fits into that…”
Reed Albergotti Aug 3, 2026 ▶ 56:39 Leopold Blows Up, OpenAI Drastically Cuts Prices, Microsoft’s Best Day
Aug 3, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: AI Companions Will Be Stickier for Users Than TikTok or Reels
“But if a company can figure out how to like build an AI companion, which I think is going to be even stickier than reels or tick tock, because come on, it's just like, you've built a digital friend. That's always there for you.”
Alex Kantrowitz Aug 3, 2026 ▶ 55:25 Leopold Blows Up, OpenAI Drastically Cuts Prices, Microsoft’s Best Day
Aug 5, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Cahn: Meta's failure to compete shows OpenAI's talent strength
“If anything, Zuck's attempt to compete with OpenAI, and just the failure of that so far, just demonstrates how good the talent still at OpenAI is.”
David Cahn Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 33:16 How The AI Bet Pays Off + AI Lab Strategy Game — With David Cahn
Aug 5, 2026 negative
Opinion
Cahn: Meta and Google pursue AI because ad models face existential disruption
“Part of why I think Meta and Google are so all in AI is their businesses are the most at risk from AI. Like if we all move to ChatGPT, if we all move, if our time eyeballs move to these other interfaces, Then these ad driven businesses have a lot of questions.”
David Cahn Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 41:32 How The AI Bet Pays Off + AI Lab Strategy Game — With David Cahn
Aug 24, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: $27B in debt financing Meta's Hyperion project is off-balance sheet
“Meta's gigantic Hyperion data center project in Louisiana, which is the size of about 1700 football fields, helps explain how obligations wind up off tech companies' balance sheets. Though Meta is the builder, neither Hyperion nor the twenty-seven billion in d…”
Alex Kantrowitz Aug 24, 2026 ▶ 5:45 Big Tech’s Insane Hidden AI Spending, Ranking Anthropic vs. OpenAI, AI For Travel Debate
Aug 24, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Top tech companies hold $3T in off-balance sheet AI commitments
“Nine, top tech companies had some three trillion dollars of off balance sheet commitments, mostly related to AI. Those obligations are growing faster than traditional capex, which totaled about six hundred billion over the past year past year they reported, an…”
Alex Kantrowitz Aug 24, 2026 ▶ 2:47 Big Tech’s Insane Hidden AI Spending, Ranking Anthropic vs. OpenAI, AI For Travel Debate
Aug 26, 2026 negative
Insight
Brown: Optimizing for engagement inherently undermines content quality and accuracy
“If you're optimizing for engagement, which is what social media does, you can't also optimize for accuracy and quality, because that tends to not be what people engage with.”
Campbell Brown Aug 26, 2026 ▶ 10:51 How AI Should Handle News, Politics, Medicine, and Mental Health — With Campbell Brown
Aug 31, 2026 neutral
Insight
Kantrowitz: Social Networks Are Dead and Have Become Pure Entertainment
“There's no such thing as social networks anymore in this world that you're hoping for, where there's no reverse chronological order, or there's no algorithmic feed. it, it's long past the point in time where that was even a possibility, and I think that You k…”
Alex Kantrowitz Aug 31, 2026 ▶ 41:01 Software’s Epic Comeback, Meta’s AI Layoffs Blunder, South Korea Stock Market Chaos
Aug 31, 2026 negative
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Meta Laying Off Workers to Fund AI Compute Is Unjustified
“I always find it a little bit rich when a ultra profitable publicly traded 1.5 trillion dollar company with massive margins is like, we need to find cost savings. I mean, I guess, like if you know, obviously it's important to perform for Wall Street, but I don…”
Alex Kantrowitz Aug 31, 2026 ▶ 32:42 Software’s Epic Comeback, Meta’s AI Layoffs Blunder, South Korea Stock Market Chaos
Aug 31, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Meta Agrees to $18B Settlement Over Youth Addiction Claims
“Meta agrees to pay eighteen billion to settle U.S. Lawsuits over children's social media addiction, and it's going to pay it over the next decade, and strictly limit how teenagers use Facebook and Instagram under an agreement with nearly all U.S. States to res…”
Alex Kantrowitz Aug 31, 2026 ▶ 34:33 Software’s Epic Comeback, Meta’s AI Layoffs Blunder, South Korea Stock Market Chaos
Aug 31, 2026 positive
Opinion
Roy: Companies Should Test AI-Native Team Models Without Middle Management
“That, I mean, if you separate it from the layoffs and all the other kind of organizational questions, like, this is, to me, exactly what companies should be testing and doing and figuring out what the new operating model is and that teams should look different…”
Ranjan Roy Aug 31, 2026 ▶ 24:06 Software’s Epic Comeback, Meta’s AI Layoffs Blunder, South Korea Stock Market Chaos
Sep 2, 2026 negative
Opinion
Prince: App stores and Facebook damaged the open web
“And the app store in some ways was an enormous threat to the web. Like it took people away from the web. It was probably one of the biggest, between it and Facebook were like the two biggest forces that really made the web less interesting.”
Matthew Prince Sep 2, 2026 ▶ 6:44 Cloudflare CEO: We're Ready To Block Millions of Websites From AI — With Matthew Prince
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