Ryan Broderick (writer of Garbage Day) compares current platform fragmentation to the internet ecosystem around 2012.
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Broderick predicts Bluesky will reach 100 million users by early 2026
“Blue Sky
Is now north of twenty-five million users, and it's well on its way to, let's, let, let's say that by this time next year, maybe even sooner, Blue Sky is gonna be around a 100,000, Blue Sky will be around a hundred million users, which I looked up th…”
Opinion
Clubhouse was merely a pandemic conference call simulator for bored rich guys
“The most embarrassing moment in social media history as far as I'm concerned.
Acting like that was anything other than just like a conference call simulator for board rich guys during the pandemic.
I hate that app.”
Insight
Media companies can no longer run viable businesses purely on viral traffic
“You just can't run a proper company with viral traffic anymore. It doesn't translate.”
Opinion
Broderick: EA and e/acc share goals of wealth and anti-democratic thought
“They're not opposites in the sense that, like, EA are communists. Like, they're both pretty aligned on the idea of making as much money as humanly possible. They're both supported by a lot of anti-democratic thinkers. They're both sort of center to not maybe j…”
Opinion
Broderick: Effective Altruists focus on AI risk because it makes good posts
“EA people should be, like, super into vaccinations or, like, preparing for the covid-twenty-four or whatever, but they've determined that it is the ultimate risk to humanity because it's exciting and interesting, and it, like, makes for a good post. And that i…”
Assertion Contradicted
Broderick: The LessWrong forum birthed Effective Altruism and early neo-reactionism
“At the middle 2000, there was the rise of a very kind of niche, but influential message board and blog called less wrong and less wrong... Was the birthplace for several Sort of digital philosophies, online philosophies. So the big one is obviously effective a…”