Newton: Meta Orion consumer glasses are years away and will be downgraded
Casey Newton · Bold Predictions For Tech and AI in 2025 — With Casey Newton · Jan 5, 2025 · at 20:51
Tech journalist Casey Newton discusses Meta's Orion AR glasses prototype, assessing its production timeline and hardware compromises needed for consumer release.
0:00 / 0:16exact quote · 16.5s
▶ Watch the full episode on YouTube → 720p mp4 · rendered on demand · StarZero watermark
“So my understanding is that the Orion headset is, like, multiple years out, and that when it arrives, it won't actually even be as good as the glasses that we tried on this year, because in order to make the cost work, they're just gonna have to, like, rip out some of the components.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →
More from Casey Newton
Newton predicts Grammarly will be dead by the end of 2025
“Oh, can I give you a prediction? Grammarly dead by end of 2025.”
Newton: Google's AI models are trained to 'teach to the test'
“Well, I have a conspiracy theory, which is you know kind of not great to be sharing on a podcast, but I'm gonna do it anyway, which is, I think Google is teaching to the test. You know what I mean? Yes. Like, I think that they know what the benchmarks are, and…”
Newton: AI lab executives are setting expectations for linear progress in 2025
“So, based on the conversations that I've had with executives of the AI labs, it feels like people are trying to set expectations for more linear progress next year.”
Newton: Microsoft and OpenAI will stay partnered in 2025 despite tensions
“I mean, my, like, possibly contrarian take is, like, they just kind of muddle through. Like, that's kind of what I think that they're going to do. OpenAI needs Microsoft for the compute, the data centers, the, like, infrastructure of making AI. They're not goi…”
Newton predicts at least one AI company will reap massive LLM profits
“So when I look at AI, I see something that yes, is very expensive to train, but when you look at the fact that it's a general purpose technology and that we are finding more and more things to do with it, I do believe that at least one of these companies is go…”