The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5,135 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 50 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Altman: Unreleased OpenAI model used zero-day exploits to breach Hugging Face
“We were evaluating one of our unreleased models and it figured out that it could basically cheat on the test by chaining together multiple zero day exploits to break out of the sandbox, get access to the internet, and then break through multiple systems on the…”
Chamath: Warren Buffett generated zero alpha after Regulation FD was enacted
“His returns were double the market returns when this kind of information sharing was legal. And the minute that it became illegal and you had to basically act on the same edge as everybody else, his returns went to the market return. He generated zero alpha.”
Rogers: US sanctioned former EU official over Elon Musk enforcement threat
“We recently issued some sanctions, which we'll get into, and one of the individuals we sanctioned, ah, was a former EU official who threatened Elon Musk with enforcement action because X within the United States had said that it was going to host on a live, ah…”
Shirley: Entitlement fraud money in Minnesota is funding Al-Shabaab terrorists
“And so like the rumors of them funding Al-Shabaab, they're real, because they've been able to funnel all this money.”
Gabbard: Declassified documents prove intelligence on Russiagate was intentionally manipulated
“The documents that we uncovered declassified and released that shows how intelligence and information can be actually manipulated intentionally so that it shows something that is not reflective of the truth at all.”
Gabbard: Obama explicitly tasked intelligence to show how Russia meddled, not whether
“Said this is a POTUS tasking on Russia meddling with the election. And what you'll see in those documents was not President Obama asking, ah, look into the intelligence and see if Russia meddled the election. It was, Provide me with an assessment saying how Ru…”
Gabbard: FBI knowingly used false information to secure FISA warrants on Trump
“We're dealing with a very highly politicized FBI at the time that was so politicized, they were willing to use what they knew was false information to obtain illegal surveillance warrants from the FISA court to spy on Members of the Trump administration, when …”
Karp: Israel's civilian casualty ratio is the best in human history
“It's true Israel's ratio of like, casualty, innocent to non-innocent is better than anyone else ever had in the history of humanity, and it's gonna have to be better.”
Robbins claims COVID-19 vaccines and infection cause turbo cancers in youth
“After COVID and the injections, a lot of young people, these turbo cancers that are happening, because their immune systems have been harmed, and so now everything starts to shake up.”
Summers: Major firms and universities report Godfather-like extortion from Trump administration
“I can assure you that your experience is not the experience of quite a number of the nation's major law firms. It is not the experience of quite a number of the nation's business leaders. It is not the experience of quite a number of the nation's universities …”
Gracias: DOGE found thousands of non-citizens on voter rolls in four states
“We looked at the voter rolls. We found these people, thousands of them on the voter rolls, and we found many of those people had voted, right? In one state in particular, well over a thousand voted.”
Eric Schmidt: Google prioritized work-life balance over winning
“Google decided that work-life balance and going home early and working from home was more important than winning.”
Sacks: Reid Hoffman told Peter Thiel he wished Trump was a martyr
“Just days before the shooting, Peter Thiel and Reid Hoffman had an exchange at Allen and company that was publicly reported. In which Peter said that Reed had turned Trump into a martyr by funding lawfare, and Reed responded, I wish I had turned him into an ac…”
Sacks: Blinken told Russia US wanted Ukraine in NATO with nuclear weapons
“And you know, it turns out that the month before the Russians invaded, Blinken told Lavrov that the administration was not only going to bring Ukraine into NATO, but that they thought it was okay for the United States to put nuclear weapons in Ukraine.”
Sandberg: October 7 sexual violence was systematic and pre-planned
“The sexual violence was multiple locations, systematic, meets the definition of a war crime, a crime against humanity, and was part of the plan.”
Tucker Carlson claims US policy actively replaces native-born Americans with immigrants
“At exactly the moment when native-born Americans' birth rates are tanking, over a 100,000 people die of fentanyl ODs, and we're pushing euthanasia on the population, which we are, you're, you basically, you're saying, I've given up on the people who live here,…”
Sacks: COVID-19 patient zero was a Wuhan lab gain-of-function researcher
“Patient zero, it turns out was a researcher at the Wuhan lab. Who was performing gain of function research?”
RFK Jr.: Vaccines are exempt from pre-licensure placebo-controlled trials
“Vaccines are the one medical product that does not have to go through placebo-controlled trials where you test an exposed versus unexposed population prior to licensure”
Sacks: The US destroyed Nord Stream and shifted Europe to American gas
“We've prevented Russia from taking over Ukraine. We've prevented, we've basically shifted Europe onto American natural gas. We've destroyed Nord Stream. I think we're close to achieving our major objectives.”
Musk: Almost every conspiracy theory about Twitter turned out true
“Almost every conspiracy theory that people had about Twitter turned out to be true. So far, they've all turned out to be true, and if not, more true than people thought.”
Chamath: It's 'pretty clear' COVID-19 leaked from the Wuhan lab
“It's pretty clear that this was something that leaked out of that lab.”
Chamath: Robinhood was insolvent and lacked capital during GameStop halt
“This company was insolvent. They did not have the capital requirements to post the margin that was being asked of them by their partners.”
Baker: Anthropic is profitable and currently generating cash
“Anthropic is generating cash, and like, they kind of, this fact is, I would say, kind of known in the world, and I've actually never really spoken to Anthropic, but it just, you know, it feels like there are enough signals And then if you're to read the tea le…”
Sacks: Anthropic CEO refused White House request to take down Fable
“They tried to call Anthropic, They tried to call Dario, and there were a number of conversations, and the TLDR of it is Dario refused, meaning refused their request to take down Fable until this jailbreak could be fixed.”
Sacks: California election results are statistically impossible and corrupt
“We know something crooked happened. It's statistically impossible. The only thing we don't know is whether it was illegal fraud or legal fraud, meaning they've created so many loopholes and so much corruption in the law that what they did is possibly legal.”
Loeb: DOJ threatened to investigate Trump if he commuted Ross Ulbricht
“On the last day of Trump's 45th term, We were certain that he was going to get out, and the Justice Department, for whatever reason, said, if you commute his sentence, we're going to go after you, to the President. So he, as I understand he withdrew the commut…”
Pratt: LAFD whistleblowers say firefighters were told to abandon smoldering Lachman fire
“All the LAFD whistleblowers were coming to me. Telling me that they were told to leave the smoldering Lachman fire on January first.”
Chamath: Palo Alto Networks can penetrate and manipulate every AI model
“What I will tell you is, I'm not even sure if I'm allowed to say this, but a very good, probably the best cybersecurity company in the world, run by one of the very best CEOs in the world. Who may or may not be speaking at liquidity would tell you that they ha…”
Sacks claims Anthropic allied politically with AI doomer and NIMBY groups
“Category number three ironically, again, is Anthropic itself. It has allied itself politically with a lot of the Doomer groups, a lot of the NIMBY groups.”
Graham Allison: No evidence Iran was about to attack U.S. or acquire nuclear weapon
“The arguments that were made that that Trump has actually repeated that Iran was about to attack us, I see no evidence for that. That Iran was about to get a nuclear weapon, I see no evidence for that. That Iran was building an ICBM that was going to attack th…”
Pishevar: Iranian regime massacred over 43,000 peaceful protesters in one month
“As you saw last month they massacred over 43,000 Iranians who were just peacefully protesting.”
Emil Michael: Anthropic exec asked Palantir if AI was used in Maduro raid
“After the Maduro raid, one of their execs called Palantir, who we buy themselves through and asked them was our software used in that raid, which is by the way, classified information.”
Emil Michael: Sam Altman urged Pentagon not to label Anthropic a supply-chain risk
“He was trying to protect anthropic to his credit. He was like, don't do, don't call him a supply chain risk. That's bad for the industry. Let me, maybe I can negotiate terms that they'll find acceptable.”
Tracey: Julie K. Brown fabricated quotes in Perversion of Justice
“Even though, for example, I caught her fabricating quotes in her book, Perversion of Justice, which was based on the initial Miami Herald series.”
Tracey: No credible rape allegation ever discovered on Epstein's island
“There's never been a credible allegation of rape ever discovered that that took place on that island”
Tracey: No credible evidence supports core intelligence blackmail claims on Epstein
“That's the crux of the Epstein mythology, and it's been systematically unraveled Included partially by this, the disclosure of more Epstein files, but even prior to January 30th or December 19th, the two productions, there was never any credible evidence for a…”
Sacks: Evidence shows Reid Hoffman lied about his relationship with Epstein
“The evidence shows that he's been bold faced lying. About every aspect of his relationship with Jeffrey Epstein.”
Dr. Oz: CMS fired $200M contractor that produced zero usable code
“There was a company that we fired that had billed us two hundred million dollars, not a single usable line of code”
Dr. Oz estimates $3.5 billion in Los Angeles hospice healthcare fraud
“Just LA County alone, just in hospice and home health care, we believe it's about three and a half billion dollars.”
Dr. Oz: Audit reveals California improperly billed $1.5B for undocumented immigrant healthcare
“We've audited him now. This data's coming out this week. We have now found over one and a half billion dollars of money spent wrongly. We've audited it. They're not even arguing. One and a half billion dollars from that California charged the federal governmen…”
Rogers: UK speech arrests in 2023 exceeded Russia, China, and Turkey
“So that was in a single year of slightly over 12,000 Brits arrested for speech acts, and that is more than were arrested that year in Russia, more than in China, more than in Turkey.”
Makary: FDA halted Biden-era policy allowing CAR-T cell editing in China
“We did find that there was in the Biden administration approval to have the cells of Americans for CAR T therapy shipped to China where the Chinese did the gene editing and then shipped back to the United States. To infuse in Americans. When I found out about …”
Sacks: Stolen Minnesota fraud money is round-tripped back to politicians
“There's some round tripping here where some of the funds that are going into the pockets of the Somali community through this fraud end up back in the hands of politicians.”
Sacks: Gov. Tim Walz changed Minnesota's flag to resemble Somalia's
“And the really extreme example of this is that Tim Walts even changed the flag of Minnesota to resemble the Somali flag. I mean, he lowered the old flag and raised this new flag to that resembles the Somali flag, which shows the political clout of this communi…”
Shirley: 81% of Minnesota's Somali population receives state welfare
“That's why 81% of the population, Somali population side of Minnesota is on welfare”
Bessent claims a 150-year San Francisco Fed study shows tariffs are disinflationary
“There's a study from not a friend of the administration, the San Francisco fed with a 150 years of data. I would refer everyone to that. That shows that tariffs do not cause inflation, that they're actually disinflationary.”
Tucker Carlson claims sexual orientation is driven primarily by nurture, not genetics
“Clearly it's not nature, at least primarily, or we wouldn't be having an absolute rise in it, and there would be some hint of a gene responsible for it. I mean, so many different you know, genetic manifestations have been isolated from the decoding of the huma…”