The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 2,425 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Calacanis: 82 of 92 Minnesota feeding fraud defendants are Somali
“So, starting with that feeding our futures fraud in 2022, 82 of 92 people charged have been Somalian.”
Shirley: Massive welfare fraud is being committed via Minnesota daycare centers
“Massive welfare frauds being committed. People are opening up these daycares, home healthcare clinics, you name it. Anything that has anything to do with like health, welfare, or even just like helping people in general, like with daycare or with healthcare, t…”
Sacks: Vitalik Buterin's dog coin donation gave Future of Life $600M
“He donated his dog coins to Future of Life. They ended up being worth six hundred million dollars. So by this- Almost like this accident, this Doomer think tank ends up with a six hundred million dollar war chest, and they've been funding these journalism fell…”
Sacks: Hundreds of anti-AI front orgs are funded by three billionaires
“She has shown that there are hundreds of these front organizations, and they're all really just funded by a few big tech billionaires. It's Dustin Moskovitz, Jan Tallinn, and Vitalik Buterin.”
Calacanis predicts US youth unemployment will reach 14% due to AI
“Nine percent in January, now 10 and a half percent. I think this chart's going right up to 14%, just my prediction, and I think it's because of AI.”
Sacks: Moskovitz, Tallinn, and Buterin gave over $1B to AI doomers
“Three big tech billionaires who are on the left contributed over a billion dollars to these Doomer think tanks. Basically, it was Dustin Moskovitz, Jan Tallon, and Vitalik Buterin.”
Chamath: Only a few hundred NEVI EV chargers deployed by 2025
“And as of this year, there's only a few hundred of these charging stations.”
Buttigieg: DOGE mistakenly emailed air traffic controllers encouraging them to quit
“The doge we got sent an email to every air traffic controller in the country during an air traffic controller shortage and suggested they quit being an air traffic controller and get something, quote, more productive to do in the private sector, only later on …”
Buttigieg: DOGE fired nuclear safety and health staff, then tried to rehire them
“The doge we got fired people in charge of making sure our nuclear weapons were safe and in charge of making sure that bird flu didn't spread, and then, whoops, You know, tried to hire him back in a hurry.”
Buttigieg claims citizens with accents or brown skin are detained without legal access
“We got citizens who just have an accent or look brown, getting picked up, sometimes getting detained without access to a lawyer for a frighteningly long amount of time, and that's citizens, let alone other people who, you know, maybe they shouldn't be here, bu…”
Calacanis: San Francisco spends $52,000 per homeless person annually
“High estimate, like, eight hundred million, lower estimate, seven hundred million, and low estimate for homeless people is like 8000 high estimates, like, 20, if we cut in between these two, they're spending 52,000 dollars a year per homeless person.”
Tsai: China has not started a war in 30 to 40 years
“China has not started a war in the last, how many years? You know, 30 years, 40 years.”
Sacks: Rutgers poll shows 50% of left-of-center respondents justify Trump or Musk murder
“50% of left of center said yes. 14% of right of center said yes. Even that number is shocking to me.”
Gabbard: 2016 intelligence emails between Clapper and Rogers discovered in a safe
“We discovered Some emails that were printed out literally in the back of a safe, I think they had been sitting there since 2017, that, that showed an email exchange between then Obama's DNI, James Clapper, and then the head of the National Security Agency Mike…”
Sacks: Powell initiated 50-bps rate cut after Elizabeth Warren demanded it
“Powell started the rate cutting cycle last fall with a 50 basis point cut right before the election shortly after Elizabeth Warren sent him a letter demanding a cut.”
Calacanis: RFK Jr. withdrew federal mRNA funding and altered CDC guidelines
“RFK withdrew federal funding for MRNA vaccine development, and he removed the COVID vaccine from the CDC recommendations for healthy children and pregnant women.”
Chamath: Reported venture capital IRRs are 'bullshit' unrealized paper markups
“They're not. These are all markups. Paper markups. These are not distributed. These are all bullshit numbers.”
Sacks: Pre-acquisition Twitter admin tools had checkboxes to shadowban accounts
“So anyway, he calls, and basically what he told me was that all the conspiracy theories are true, that we've now gone into the admin tools that the trust and safety team was using, and they literally have check boxes to throttle accounts based on, exclude them…”
Schmitt: CISA partnered with Stanford and UW to flag social media posts
“Take CISA, which is the Cybersecurity Infrastructure Security Agency. No one's ever heard of it. It was created effectively to protect infrastructure from cyber attacks. In that era when Trump was present underground, They work on, under the guise of Russian d…”
Sacks: Twitter Files showed Hamilton 68 tracked regular domestic accounts, not Russians
“During the Twitter files, we found out there was Yoel Roth, who you mentioned was the head of trust and safety, and definitely not a conservative. There was correspondence inside of Twitter saying, hey, we looked at their so-called API, and these are just regu…”
Sacks: Declassified records show Brennan overrode analysts to include Steele dossier
“Brennan was like the head of the CIA. He received an intelligence assessment from the organization in which they said, look, there's nothing to this. It's bogus. We haven't. Not just the Steele d'Ossie, but the whole idea of somehow that the Russians had run t…”
Trump confirms he terminated Biden's AI executive order on day one
“That's why on day one, I very proudly terminated Joe Biden's order on woke AI effective immediately.”
Lutnick: Japan committed $550 billion to finance U.S. infrastructure
“So they've committed five hundred and fifty billion dollars to finance Projects in America that are important to the president and to American infrastructure.”
Carlson claims no U.S. intel shows Iran assembling a nuclear weapon
“There's no American intelligence, this is a statement of fact, that suggests Iran is in the process of assembling a nuclear weapon or within months of doing so.”
Isaacman: NASA's SLS rocket costs $4.5B per launch and faces an expiration date
“This rocket built on 60 year old technology that's four and a half billion dollars of launch has an expiration date.”
Palihapitiya: Anthropic AI safety warnings coincide with fundraising rounds
“It seems that these safety warnings tend to be pretty coincidental with key fundraising moments in Anthropik's journey.”
DOGE sampling found non-citizens registered to vote and actually voting
“We have sampled a handful of states and in those handful of states we found people registered to vote, and we have found people who actually voted”
Gracias: DOGE voter investigations yielded arrests in Florida and New York
“We had already three arrests here in Florida, actually, and one indictment in New York.”
Shapiro: Qatar gave Hamas $2B and U.S. universities $6.3B recently
“They gave two billion dollars to Hamas over the course of the last several years. And have funded the American university system to tune a 6.3 billion dollars for a country that has a grand total of 2.6 million citizens.”
Sacks: Over 80% of Crimeans poll in favor of being part of Russia
“And if you look at what the people of Crimea want, and there's been a lot of Western polling on this, there's been man on the street interviews by NBC, the people of Crimea by something like over 80% say they want to be part of Russia.”
Sacks: Ukraine has canceled elections, press freedom, and imprisoned political opponents
“They cancel elections, they cancel freedom of the press, they cancel freedom of religion. Zelensky's political opponents, their assets have been seized, they've been in prison.”
Summers: Overwhelming majority of tariff costs will be passed to consumers
“Increases in tariffs of this magnitude, the overwhelming part of them will be passed on to consumers.”
Sacks: Left-wing activists are firebombing Tesla dealerships to depress sales
“You have crazy leftists firebombing Tesla dealerships painting swastikas on Tesla cars, accosting Tesla drivers. Okay. Creating violence and chaos and trying to depress Tesla sales.”
Gracias: US policy funneled $13B to $15B annually to human traffickers
“You've got to realize we gave 13 to fifteen billion dollars a year to human traffickers.”
Bessent: Yellen's Treasury shortened debt duration to suppress interest rates
“Yeah, look, I thought that it, that when rates were low, you're supposed to turn out rates. Exactly. And instead, the Treasury for the past few years has pulled rates in, and I think part of that was to keep rates lower, that they changed the issuance schedule…”
Bessent: Biden-era peacetime spending during economic growth was unprecedented in US history
“Endless spending, but endless spending when we were in, like, solid economic territory, or not in a war, first time ever”
Bessent: Federal spending expanded to 25% of GDP under Biden
“I keep saying the U.S., we don't have a revenue problem. We have a spending problem. Because we are averaging right about 18% revenue. And I'm talking about federal government. Federal government only. We're at about 18%, and Biden administration blew it out, …”
Sacks: DeepSeek's compute cluster costs over $1 billion
“You add up the cost of a compute cluster with 50,000 plus hoppers, and it's going to be over a billion dollars. So this idea that you've got this scrappy company that did it for only six million, just not true. They have a substantial compute cluster that they…”
Jason Calacanis: LA Mayor Karen Bass traveled to Ghana as wildfires approached
“Karen Bass was in Ghana partying, taking meetings. I don't know what the connection between Los Angeles and their citizens and what they need to get done in Ghana after she promised she would not do this global, you know globetrotting, which she apparently has…”
Chamath predicts a trillion-dollar drawdown for Magnificent Seven stocks in 2025
“I don't know what the percentage drawdown from here will be, but I think when we look back, the absolute dollar drawdown of the mag seven will be in the trillions of dollars.”
Sacks: FBI used 'Teleport' tool to transmit instructions to Twitter
“The FBI had their own tool called teleport, which would allow them to transmit secret instructions to the trust and safety team at Twitter.”
Sacks: Joe Rogan's Trump interview was suppressed in YouTube search
“There's no question that just as a factual matter, this episode was suppressed in YouTube search.”
Friedberg: Coastal Commission cited Musk's tweets to block SpaceX launches
“I will comment on the California Coastal Commission ruling that was based on Elon's political tweets, which is why they stopped additional launches out of Vandenberg.”
Cuban: More people died during riots under Trump than under Biden
“We had more people die during riots during his term than Biden by a long shot”
Sacks: Over 10 million migrants entered US under Biden-Harris
“Something like 10, over ten million migrants have entered the country during the Biden-Harris administration.”
Sacks: ABC News coverage was 100% positive for Harris, 93% negative for Trump
“And if you look at like, for example, ABC news, 100% of the coverage by ABC news is positive. Whereas something like 93% of their coverage on Trump is negative.”
Vance: Biden and Harris opened southern border via executive orders
“One of the ways that, that that Biden and Harris opened up the American Southern border was through executive orders, right? It was an executive order that submitted deportations, an executive order that ended the remain in Mexico policy.”