why aren't all 72 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chaudry: Top YouTube creators get ~70% of views from non-subscribers
“Probably the biggest creators, most successful creators, largely have like a 70% viewership base that's not subscribed to them, right?”
Insight
Chaudry: YouTube creators should focus on building evergreen content catalogs
“Yeah, I wouldn't say that timely because I think YouTube operates as a catalog, right? Like some of our videos that are We're still picking up viewership today. We're made four years ago. So the best way to do it is to build a catalog that accrues viewership o…”
Insight
Levie: YouTube screen-sharing video library gives Google a browser AI advantage
“There was another release last week of experimental project for browser use by Gemini, which is another advantage because YouTube has obviously an incredible amount of screen sharing data and videos.”
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: Alphabet trades at 17x 2025 earnings, cheaper than all tech peers
“It's trading at just 17 times 20 25 consensus earnings, which is cheaper than all the other big tech companies by far, and it's still growing. Core business is growing. Cloud is growing 20%. Search is growing 15%. All these other businesses, YouTube's growing …”
Disclosure
Khosla backed an AI music startup trained without copyrighted public music
“Another one of my favorites is a new and you were asking about this, a music model to produce music that is not trained on any YouTube or public music. So completely IP free of any constraints. Like, I'm really excited about it. Little outfit in Australia, and…”
Assertion Supported
MrBeast generates around one billion views per month
“We're getting around a billion views a month”
Assertion Partly supported
MrBeast gets 100 million views per video in seven days
“We get a hundred million views on a video in the first seven days”
Disclosure
MrBeast details Beast Philanthropy's self-sustaining YouTube monetization model
“We essentially just started a charity and then made a YouTube channel where, you know, whatever we do with the money from the charity, we film it so that it generates revenue on the back end, and obviously, Those videos go on to raise a lot of money for donati…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
MrBeast spends around $2.5M per video on production
“I think right now it's around two and a half million per video.”
Insight
MrBeast: Toy-unboxing YouTube creators inevitably lose viewers as their audience ages
“If we're talking to someone who unboxes toys, you know, their audience is gonna grow, and there's nothing they can do about it”
Assertion Contradicted
Friedberg: Google uses DeepMind for ad optimization and YouTube video ranking
“My understanding is DeepMind has been applied to everything from ads, ad, ad optimization, but also the ranking on YouTube videos to get people more engagement on YouTube, et cetera.”
Prediction Partly held up
Friedberg: TikTok will soon be bigger than YouTube
“Look at how big TikTok has gotten. It is bigger than YouTube almost, or will be soon.”
Opinion
Friedberg: Salar Kamengar had one of tech's best under-discussed CEO runs
“Probably one of the best CEO runs that's never talked about in the history of tech.”
Assertion Supported
Triple H: WWE operates the number one sports channel on YouTube
“Number one YouTube channel across all sports.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mohan: Music is YouTube's largest and most important content vertical
“Music is our largest and, you know, most important vertical, for example.”
Assertion Supported
YouTube has been top US streaming platform for two years
“We've been the number one streamer in the U.S. Here for two years.”
Assertion Supported
YouTube accounts for 13 to 14 percent of US TV viewership
“The latest Nielsen number was, I think, something about roughly about 13, 13, 14% of the TV watching audience.”
Disclosure
Williamson employs four dedicated YouTube catalog strategists
“I have two full-time front catalogue strategists and two back catalogue strategists as well for YouTube.”
Assertion Supported
Samir Chaudry: YouTube leads connected TV usage with 11% Nielsen share
“If you've seen the Nielsen ratings of connected TV usage, YouTube's at the top at 11%”
Assertion Supported
Rosenblum: 'Amazing Digital Circus' struck simultaneous YouTube and Netflix release deal
“There's a YouTube channel called Amazing Digital Circus which is an animated channel, and they did a deal that is super unique, I think the first of its kind, where they will be distributing on Netflix at the same exact time as they distribute on YouTube.”
Disclosure
Naval Ravikant makes his children watch YouTube with captions to boost reading
“The only thing I ask them is that they put on captions when they're watching YouTube, so it helps their reading.”
Disclosure
MrBeast is increasing video length to satisfy audience demand for content
“So we're working on elongating it, but not because of like algorithms or anything. It's just like people just actually don't like waiting two weeks for just 15 minutes of content. Like they want more or more frequent videos. And the problem is the spectacles a…”
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: FTX left up a video of SBF quantitative trading on Binance
“For some reason FTX has left up all of their videos on YouTube from three years ago called quantitative trading seven and a half thousand cell wall of Bitcoin on Binance. It's a 17 and a half minute YouTube video of SBF trading arbitrage across markets.”
Disclosure
MrBeast hid his YouTube channel from his mother until reaching 10,000 subscribers
“My mom thought it was crazy that I was talking to people on the internet, so I ended up just lying, like, oh, this is a joke, I just have a friend I'm talking to every night online or on Skype or whatever and then once I hit 10,000 subscribers, I told her, yea…”