xAI

23 statements across 17 episodes · 15 bullish · 4 bearish · 9 people on the record · first statement Dec 7, 2024 by Gavin Baker · said 103 times in 39 episodes since 2023 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Jason Calacanis (51), David Sacks (14), Chamath Palihapitiya (13), Gavin Baker (8), David Friedberg (6), Tareq Amin (1), Paul Buchheit (1), Elon Musk (1)

tap a year for its mentions
00251350252023202420252026episodesmentions
013252023202420252026episodes it came up in
002134252023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 41 mentions in 13 episodes 3 per episode
2025 49 mentions in 21 episodes 2 per episode
2024 10 mentions in 3 episodes 3 per episode
2023 3 mentions in 2 episodes 2 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about xAI, oldest first

Dec 7, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baker: Grok 3 will prove if AI scaling laws are hitting walls
“Grok three is a big card and will resolve the this question of whether or not we're hitting a wall.”
Gavin Baker Dec 7, 2024 ▶ 57:34 New SEC Chair, Bitcoin, xAI Supercomputer, UnitedHealth CEO murder, with Gavin Baker & Joe Lonsdale
Dec 7, 2024 bullish
Prediction Held up
Baker: xAI's Grok 3 should take the AI lead in early 2025
“Grok three should take the lead if scaling laws hold in January or February.”
Gavin Baker Dec 7, 2024 ▶ 1:01:03 New SEC Chair, Bitcoin, xAI Supercomputer, UnitedHealth CEO murder, with Gavin Baker & Joe Lonsdale
Dec 20, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: OpenAI will drop to 3rd, 4th, or 5th AI player within three years
“I think we've hit peak open AI in the market. I think they're going to be the number three or four player. I think Gemini, Meta and XAI are going to lead them. If we're sitting here in three years, I think OpenAI is number three, four or five, not one or two.”
Jason Calacanis Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 1:34:16 DOGE kills its first bill, Zuck vs OpenAI, Google's AI comeback
Feb 7, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gracias: xAI will win AI race due to cluster efficiency and data
“It's a 100,000 GPU cluster. It's the most dense coherent cluster in the world, and it will just train faster and better. Than other clusters. And it's also built for the most cheaply, and the fastest. So, XAI will have the highest training capital, and I also …”
Antonio Gracias Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 1:13:32 DOGE vs USAID, Crypto Framework, Google's $75B AI Spend, US Sovereign Wealth Fund, GLP-1s
Feb 22, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chamath: xAI bought one-third of US portable liquid cooling capacity
“They bought one third of all the portable liquid cooling capacity in America. And located it on-prem.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Feb 22, 2025 ▶ 1:21:08 The Stablecoin Future, Milei's Memecoin, DOGE for the DoD, Grok 3, Why Stripe Stays Private
Jul 23, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Buchheit: Astronomical capital costs will limit foundation model competitors
“I expect that it'll probably stay relatively stable, honestly, because I, the cost of building these foundation models is astronomical, right? We just saw XAI is raising another twenty billion, something like that. And so it, Just the capital requirements are …”
Paul Buchheit Jul 23, 2025 ▶ 1:09:15 Winning the AI Race Part 1: Michael Kratsios, Kelly Loeffler, Shyam Sankar, Chris Power
Aug 9, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Baker: Grok 4 scored 44.4% on Humanity's Last Exam versus GPT-5's 42%
“GroK IV when it came out and it is improved. Since, since its release roughly a month ago, was at 44.4%, and GPT five was at 42.”
Gavin Baker Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 11:53 OpenAI's GPT-5 Flop, AI's Unlimited Market, China's Big Advantage, Rise in Socialism, Housing Crisis
Aug 9, 2025 bullish
Assertion Contradicted
Gavin Baker: xAI has the largest Nvidia Blackwell cluster
“They have the largest Blackwell cluster.”
Gavin Baker Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 13:00 OpenAI's GPT-5 Flop, AI's Unlimited Market, China's Big Advantage, Rise in Socialism, Housing Crisis
Aug 22, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Grok updates failed to achieve separation on key benchmarks
“If you look at the last big set of model updates, X of Grok, they didn't really meaningfully improve their separation from the last generation model on the big benchmarks that matter.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 18:56 AI Bubble Pops, Zuck Freezes Hiring, Newsom’s 2028 Surge, Russia/Ukraine Endgame
Sep 10, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Musk: xAI uses inference compute to correct and refine Grok training data
“We're running a lot of, using a lot of inference compute and reasoning to look at all of the source data, which is really the corpus of human knowledge. And then thinking about each piece of information and then adding modern, adding what's missing and correct…”
Elon Musk Sep 10, 2025 ▶ 26:59 Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding
Oct 31, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Musk: Grokopedia was built by AI modifying 1M top Wikipedia articles
“We took that version of Grok and said, okay, cycle through the million most popular articles in Wikipedia and add modify and delete. So that means research the rest of the internet whatever's publicly available and Correct what's correct Wikipedia articles and…”
Elon Musk Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 13:12 Elon Musk: OpenAI Betrayal, His Future at Tesla, and the Next Big Thing — Grokipedia
Oct 31, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Musk commits xAI will continue open-sourcing its AI models
“And we'll continue to open source our models”
Elon Musk Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 51:00 Elon Musk: OpenAI Betrayal, His Future at Tesla, and the Next Big Thing — Grokipedia
Oct 31, 2025 positive
Opinion
Musk: Grokopedia is more neutral, accurate, and detailed than Wikipedia
“We used that latest version of Grok to create Grokopedia which I think is much more, it's not just, I think, more neutral and more accurate than Wikipedia, but it actually has a lot more information than a Wikipedia page.”
Elon Musk Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 11:40 Elon Musk: OpenAI Betrayal, His Future at Tesla, and the Next Big Thing — Grokipedia
Jan 10, 2026 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: xAI raised an up round at double its previous valuation
“XAI just raised an up round at twice the valuation from the last round and we had to divest that too.”
David Sacks Jan 10, 2026 ▶ 39:29 All-In's 2026 Predictions
Jan 10, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: OpenAI will continue losing market share to Google and xAI
“And for my contrarian, I was thinking about going with OpenAI losing their lead and not being the number one company again, because I do think that will be the trend that they will have the, they'll continue to give up Their market share to other players, incl…”
Jason Calacanis Jan 10, 2026 ▶ 1:02:14 All-In's 2026 Predictions
Jan 10, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Calacanis: Big Tech will make a $50B+ AI acquisition in 2026
“For twenty-twenty-six, I think we're going to see some massive M&A. It doesn't matter to me how it occurs, but I do think we're going to see a fifty billion plus deal, and I think it could be, ah, one of the Mac seven, an Apple, a Meta, a Microsoft, or an Amaz…”
Jason Calacanis Jan 10, 2026 ▶ 53:48 All-In's 2026 Predictions
Jan 31, 2026 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Major AI labs will never permit root-level system access
“Nobody like Claude or XAI or Microsoft would ever allow you to do this because it's so dangerous, obviously.”
Jason Calacanis Jan 31, 2026 ▶ 47:37 ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping
Feb 7, 2026 bullish
Prediction Held up
Calacanis: Combined SpaceX and xAI will IPO this year
“Now those two become part of SpaceX and they're going to IPO this year, potentially the biggest IPO in history in terms of money raised and market cap.”
Jason Calacanis Feb 7, 2026 ▶ 1:01:14 Epstein Files, Is SaaS Dead?, Moltbook Panic, SpaceX xAI Merger, Trump's Fed Pick
Apr 24, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2027
Calacanis: SpaceX, xAI, and Cursor will lead AI coding within 12 months
“If you put these two together, I predict that this is going to move Space X, X, X AI and cursor to the front of the coding leaderboard within 12 months.”
Jason Calacanis Apr 24, 2026 ▶ 7:00 SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike
May 8, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: xAI's Anthropic deal will yield $4B-$5B incremental revenue in 2026
“And so I estimate that this is going to generate in this year an incremental four to five billion dollars of revenue.”
Brad Gerstner May 8, 2026 ▶ 9:40 Elon’s Anthropic Deal, The Next AI Monopoly?, “FDA for AI” Panic, Trading the AI Boom
May 22, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gavin Baker: Only xAI, Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic are AI frontier companies
“And the companies on the frontier are XAI with one build of Grok 4.3, which is a five hundred billion parameter model. Google, 3.1 pro, and then OpenAI and Anthropic, and that's it. Those are the companies on the frontier.”
Gavin Baker May 22, 2026 ▶ 53:14 SpaceX’s $2T Case, Nvidia’s Shock Selloff, America Turns on AI, Trump Pulls AI Order, Bond Crisis?
Jun 3, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
Bill Ackman discloses investments in X, xAI, and SpaceX
“I actually invested in X. I invested in XAI. I'm in an SPV. Ron Barron said, Bill, you gotta invest in SpaceX. So I, so I'm in”
Bill Ackman Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 12:44 Bill Ackman: Here's What the Market is MISSING
Aug 13, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2026
Baker: xAI will release Grok 4.7 in a few weeks
“And this is still a relatively small model. It's one .1 trillion parameter models. A larger model, Grok 4.7, that should be significantly more capable, is coming out, you know, in a few short weeks.”
Gavin Baker Aug 13, 2026 ▶ 1:31:08 Anthropic's $2T IPO, Zuck's AI Manifesto, Nvidia's $500B AI Bet, Grok's Comeback
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 460 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.