Vladimir Putin

27 statements across 20 episodes · 8 bullish · 11 bearish · 11 people on the record · first statement Dec 29, 2021 by David Friedberg · said 699 times in 109 episodes since 2020 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Jason Calacanis (316), David Sacks (201), David Friedberg (87), Chamath Palihapitiya (25), Brad Gerstner (15), Tulsi Gabbard (7), Tim Dillon (7), Gavin Baker (7)

tap a year for its mentions
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020402020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
0052010402020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 12 mentions in 6 episodes 2 per episode
2025 110 mentions in 19 episodes 6 per episode
2024 96 mentions in 21 episodes 5 per episode
2023 154 mentions in 23 episodes 7 per episode
2022 311 mentions in 32 episodes 10 per episode
2021 13 mentions in 6 episodes 2 per episode
2020 3 mentions in 2 episodes 2 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Vladimir Putin, oldest first

Dec 29, 2021 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
David Friedberg predicts Vladimir Putin will strengthen his geopolitical position against NATO
“And I think Putin will become a stronger player on the global stage, particularly as it relates to his relationship with NATO. Over the next year and he's been a little bit quiet the last few years. He was kind of, I'd say, suppressed with sanctions and all th…”
David Friedberg Dec 29, 2021 ▶ 8:25 E61: 2022 Predictions! Business, politics, science, tech, crypto, & more
Jan 29, 2022 positive
Opinion
Friedberg: Putin's behavior is rational and he seeks to avoid conflict
“His behavior is very rational in response to what's gone on for 30 years. And his requests are that he is feeling threatened and he is trying to avoid military conflict as much as he can.”
David Friedberg Jan 29, 2022 ▶ 28:56 E65: VC markup dynamics, Russia/US tensions over Ukraine, Altos Labs raises $3B, Stripe mafia & more
Feb 5, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Xi-Putin summit marks beginning of end for US global dominance
“This is the beginning of the end of U.S. Cultural and economic influence globally, or dominance, rather, influence globally”
David Friedberg Feb 5, 2022 ▶ 1:31:18 E66: $FB's big drop, Rogan/Spotify mess, Xi/Putin meetup & supply chain issues with Ryan Petersen
Feb 25, 2022 neutral
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks predicts Putin installs a puppet government and leaves within a year
“I don't think he wants this problem long term. It's probably gonna be more like the situation we had in Georgia in 2008. He goes in for a year. He institutes perhaps some sort of puppet government or some government that's more favorable to him, and then he ge…”
David Sacks Feb 25, 2022 ▶ 16:23 E70: EMERGENCY POD! Russia invades Ukraine: Reactions, Putin's ambition, Biden's response and more
Feb 25, 2022 neutral
Opinion
Sacks: Putin is a rational actor with clear red lines
“He's a coldly ruthless rational actor. That's sort of the opposite of a madman. I mean, his red lines have been clear. He's been stating them for years.”
David Sacks Feb 25, 2022 ▶ 1:07:37 E70: EMERGENCY POD! Russia invades Ukraine: Reactions, Putin's ambition, Biden's response and more
Mar 5, 2022 negative
Opinion
Sacks: European environmental groups have been useful idiots for Putin
“Right, these environmental groups in Europe have been useful idiots for Putin and the Kremlin.”
David Sacks Mar 5, 2022 ▶ 45:41 E71: Russia/Ukraine deep dive: escalation, risk factors, financial fallout, exit ramps and more
Apr 1, 2022
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Putin's approval in Russia rose to 83% after Ukraine invasion
“Putin's approval rating in Russia is 83%. So his approval ratings have gone up. We thought not, you could say it's fake or whatever, but apparently this is a reasonably decent polling operation. This is a poll by Lovato Center, an independent pollster in Mosco…”
David Sacks Apr 1, 2022 ▶ 1:31:52 E74: Market update, inverted yield curve, immigration, new SPAC rules, $FB smears TikTok and more
Sep 23, 2022 negative
Opinion
Sacks: The Biden administration's true goal is regime change in Russia
“I think Biden stated the policy, which is this man cannot remain in power. I think he blurted out the truth of his policy. This is a regime change policy. That's what they're going for. They're, they are backing him into a corner.”
David Sacks Sep 23, 2022 ▶ 34:35 E97: SPAC updates, public/private market overview, Putin's end game & more
Feb 24, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Putin seized Crimea in direct retaliation for a U.S.-backed coup
“If you're wondering why Putin seized Crimea, it was in direct retaliation for the coup that we backed in Ukraine in 2014. This is the origin of the conflict.”
David Sacks Feb 24, 2023 ▶ 1:19:00 E117: Did Stripe miss its window? Plus: VC market update, AI comes for SaaS, Trump's savvy move
Feb 24, 2023 neutral
What-if
Chamath: Trump would have blocked NATO expansion, preventing Putin's invasion
“So I think he would have shut the door so ferociously on Ukraine and NATO, and anybody that crossed that line, he would have tarred and feathered publicly. And I think the end result would have been that Putin could have found an off ramp well before he invade…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Feb 24, 2023 ▶ 1:12:29 E117: Did Stripe miss its window? Plus: VC market update, AI comes for SaaS, Trump's savvy move
Mar 3, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Putin will invade more countries without a united Western front
“If left to your devices, and you're not engaging and not presenting a united front against Putin, he will invade country after country.”
Jason Calacanis Mar 3, 2023 ▶ 1:41:54 E118: AI FOMO frenzy, macro update, Fox vs Dominion, US vs China & more with Brad Gerstner
Aug 26, 2023 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: The Russian regime is stable
“The Russian regime, whether you like it or not, is stable. It is not unstable.”
David Sacks Aug 26, 2023 ▶ 1:51:06 E143: Nvidia smashes earnings, Arm walks the plank, M&A market, Vivek dominates GOP debate & more
Sep 8, 2023 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2028
Chris Christie: Ukraine joining NATO is a foregone conclusion
“I think it is now a foregone conclusion that Ukraine will be admitted to NATO, and frankly, it's got to be now, I think, one of the penalties and one of the prices that Putin pays for his aggression.”
Chris Christie Sep 8, 2023 ▶ 28:05 In conversation with Chris Christie
Jan 6, 2024 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts Vladimir Putin will be 2024's biggest political winner
“My prediction for biggest political winner in twenty-twenty-four is Vladimir Putin.”
David Sacks Jan 6, 2024 ▶ 4:26 E160: 2024 Predictions! Markets, tech, politics, and more
Feb 17, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Tucker Carlson asked Putin 43 questions, mostly softballs
“He asked 43 questions during the interview. About 15 of them were kind of softballs, and he had about six fastballs, but he lost control over the interview very early, obviously, if you watched it, and that's just kind of like losing power control.”
Jason Calacanis Feb 17, 2024 ▶ 1:32:30 E166: Mind-blowing AI Video: OpenAI launches Sora + Is Biden too old? Tucker/Putin interview & more
Feb 17, 2024 positive
Opinion
Sacks: Vladimir Putin is a rational actor, not a madman
“Whether or not you believe everything that Putin said, my takeaway is that this was a rational actor. This was not a madman. This is somebody who we could have negotiated with.”
David Sacks Feb 17, 2024 ▶ 1:41:34 E166: Mind-blowing AI Video: OpenAI launches Sora + Is Biden too old? Tucker/Putin interview & more
Feb 17, 2024 positive
Opinion
Chamath: Bill Clinton is too thoughtful to casually suggest Russia join NATO
“And also Clinton, who is so steeped in history, And policy is not somebody that would say something like that in an uncalculated way only to pull back. That does not seem, and I know Bill Clinton, that is not who he is. So just in that context, he is a very th…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Feb 17, 2024 ▶ 1:37:48 E166: Mind-blowing AI Video: OpenAI launches Sora + Is Biden too old? Tucker/Putin interview & more
Jun 20, 2024
What-if
Trump: Putin would never have invaded Ukraine if Trump were president
“This would have never happened if I were president. It would have never, Putin would have never done it.”
Donald J. Trump Jun 20, 2024 ▶ 21:37 In conversation with President Trump
Sep 6, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Vladimir Putin publicly announced an endorsement of Kamala Harris
“Putin just came out today and announced his endorsement of Kamala Harris.”
David Sacks Sep 6, 2024 ▶ 1:15:58 "Founder Mode," DOJ alleges Russian podcast op, Kamala flips proposals, Tech loses Section 230?
Sep 16, 2024 negative
Opinion
Mearsheimer: Russia is not a serious threat to the U.S.
“With regard to Russia, I don't think Russia is a serious threat to the United States. And indeed, I think the United States should have good relations with Putin. It's a remarkably foolish policy to push him into the arms of the Chinese.”
John Mearsheimer Sep 16, 2024 ▶ 20:26 Deep State, Hegemony & U.S. Foreign Policy: John Mearsheimer vs. Jeffrey Sachs | All-In Summit
Jan 4, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baker predicts Trump will negotiate a deal detrimental to Russia and Ukraine
“I think Trump is going to be a lot tougher on Putin than people think. And I think he's going to get a very, very a deal that's very, very bad for Russia and Ukraine.”
Gavin Baker Jan 4, 2025 ▶ 10:26 2025 Predictions: Tech, Business, Media, Politics!
Jan 4, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baker predicts Xi Jinping will begin decoupling China from Putin in 2025
“I just think Xi is going to begin decoupling from Putin.”
Gavin Baker Jan 4, 2025 ▶ 10:21 2025 Predictions: Tech, Business, Media, Politics!
Jan 4, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baker predicts Vladimir Putin will be 2025's biggest political loser
“I think Putin is going to lose bigly.”
Gavin Baker Jan 4, 2025 ▶ 9:37 2025 Predictions: Tech, Business, Media, Politics!
Jan 4, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baker predicts Trump and Xi will reach a trade deal isolating Putin
“I think Trump and Xi both want a deal. I think there's a deal to be done that leaves Putin out in the cold, as I referenced.”
Gavin Baker Jan 4, 2025 ▶ 1:21:04 2025 Predictions: Tech, Business, Media, Politics!
Mar 8, 2025
What-if
Lonsdale: Putin would not have invaded Ukraine with Trump in office
“I don't think he would have invaded with Trump as president.”
Joe Lonsdale Mar 8, 2025 ▶ 1:15:41 Tariffs, Trump's Economic Endgame, Market Chaos, Bitcoin Reserve, CoreWeave IPO
Sep 15, 2025
Assertion Partly supported
Gabbard: Intelligence uniformly assessed Putin lacked intent or capability to hack 2016
“The intelligence community almost uniformly assessed that, ah, Putin did not have either the intent or the capability to hack the outcome of the US election.”
Tulsi Gabbard Sep 15, 2025 ▶ 5:09 Tulsi Gabbard on Russiagate Hoax Evidence and How She’s Reforming Politicized Intelligence Agencies
Aug 12, 2026 negative
Opinion
Emanuel: Putin and Xi view Trump as a joke, not an equal
“This president punches down and kisses up. He has this fixation about Putin and Xi admiring him as an equal, and they think he's a joke. They think he is not their equal.”
Rahm Emanuel Aug 12, 2026 ▶ 36:56 Rahm Emanuel: Trump's Foreign Policy, China, Europe's Decline, Immigration & DSA vs Democrats
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