United States economy

10 statements across 9 episodes · 1 bullish · 8 bearish · 7 people on the record · first statement Apr 9, 2022 by David Sacks · across every show →

Everything said about United States economy, oldest first

Apr 9, 2022
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: US economy is 15x Russia's and equal to China's
“Our economy is 15 times bigger than Russia's. China's economy is about the same size as ours.”
David Sacks Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 1:10:46 E75: Fast shuts down, board culpability, Elon buys 9% of Twitter, deplatforming's evolution & more
Jun 7, 2022 bearish
Assertion Supported
Gracias: US economy is currently in a recession
“Look, we think, I think we're in a recession. I mean, I'll, I don't know if someone's already said this, but we're in a recession. We're in a recession.”
Antonio Gracias Jun 7, 2022 ▶ 12:00 #AIS: Bestie AMA with Valor's Antonio Gracias
Oct 29, 2022 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks: U.S. headed for a huge recession in 2023
“Now things are a little bit better, but I still think the huge recession is to come next year because all the interest rate increases we've seen. So the fed is, you know, pedal to the metal on interest rate increases, just like they were pedal to the metal on …”
David Sacks Oct 29, 2022 ▶ 1:05:00 E102: Elon closes Twitter deal, $META uncertainty, Zuck's historic bet, big tech decline & more
Nov 5, 2022 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chamath: US will enter the 2024 election in a recession with high unemployment
“It's probably going to be the case that we're in the middle of a recession going into that election cycle. Maybe we'll be sort of like getting ourselves out of it, but there'll be a lot of economic damage, high unemployment.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 5, 2022 ▶ 1:04:59 E103: Tech layoffs surge, big tech freezes hiring, optimizing for profits, election preview & more
Nov 19, 2022 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks: US will experience a severe economic recession in 2023
“I think we all believe that we're gonna have a pretty severe recession next year.”
David Sacks Nov 19, 2022 ▶ 15:25 E105: Tech culture wars: Elon vs. SBF, Sabotaging Republicans with Trump
Jul 9, 2023 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: US economy will experience a soft or medium landing
“The distribution of probabilities, the fat part of the curve is that we have a softish medium, you know, sort of landing here.”
Brad Gerstner Jul 9, 2023 ▶ 48:54 E136: Hacking the pod, Threads launches, Fed minutes, immigration, balloon farce, heart health
Jun 14, 2024 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: U.S. economy is currently in stagflation
“We have stagflation right now. Definitely.”
David Friedberg Jun 14, 2024 ▶ 1:11:21 Elon gets paid, Apple's AI pop, OpenAI revenue rip, Macro debate & Inside Trump Fundraiser
Sep 10, 2024 negative
Opinion
Vance: The US has massively over-regulated energy, transportation, and home construction
“We have massively over-regulated the real world, right? Over-regulated transportation, over-regulated energy, over-regulated home construction.”
JD Vance Sep 10, 2024 ▶ 39:59 JD Vance | All-In Summit 2024
Sep 13, 2024 negative
Insight
Peter Thiel: Tax cuts and globalization cannot drive future US economic growth
“You can't do more globalization or more tax cuts here. That's not going to be the win.”
Peter Thiel Sep 13, 2024 ▶ 32:37 Peter Thiel: The Coming Collapse No One Is Prepared For
Sep 13, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Peter Thiel: US economy is close to a recession
“I suspect we're close to a recession.”
Peter Thiel Sep 13, 2024 ▶ 30:13 Peter Thiel: The Coming Collapse No One Is Prepared For
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