Starship

“Once you do that, they should be able to send over a hundred metric tons to orbit at a variable cost of under two million dollars per public data.”

“There was the rocket flew for four minutes and went through max Q and went to 39 kilometers, the Soviet in one. Which was a comparable rocket, only reached 12 kilometers.”

“Yeah, there will be no more Trans-Pacific or Trans-Atlantic cargo flights. I think in five, six, seven, eight, 10 years, you're gonna need a big Starship fleet to accomplish that. But I think the Trans-Atlantic and Trans-Pacific aerospace cargo routes go away.”

“Yeah, I mean, look, Gavin could jump in here too, but the reality is once you could take that much mass to orbit, you can move anything around the planet very quickly. You can kind of go up or spin below you and come down. So transportation generally changes. …”

“The one that's going to launch in three months or two months or four months or five months or whenever it is, they've already made over a thousand discrete improvements to it. And that was before they got all the data for today.”

“It's important to know that like the size of this thing to give a sense of scale is the interior space of it is the size of the International Space Station.”

“It'll take at least two or three months to really get the pad rebuilt and get another vehicle back on for testing maybe longer.”

“So I'd say maybe it's like a, you know, above, I'd say probably above a 50% chance of getting to orbit this time, whereas previously I said below 50.”

“So, it will be capable of, you know, basically aircraft level flight rates.”

“Well, so, I mean, making a rocket that is more than twice the size of a Saturn V you know, it's in fact, with an X-ray of the rocket, it'll have roughly three times the thrust of a Saturn V moon rocket.”

“And here he is at the end of this period of time with this incredible craft, the largest object to ever fly in outer space.”

“So if you can reuse that thing 10 times, that's a 3.5 million dollar cost per launch, plus a million for fuel. You could easily see, and this thing can launch 200 tons. That's how you start to get to 10 bucks a kilogram over the next couple of years.”

“Unless we have some very major setbacks SpaceX will demonstrate full reusability next year catching both the booster and the ship and being able to deliver over a hundred tons to a useful orbit.”

“Starship heavy reuse will be under 20 bucks a kilogram”

“I don't know when. I don't want to make a prediction. I would guess a year or two. Maybe sooner.”

“On the current trajectory with Starship in particular, I would expect it, the launch costs come down there in two to three years.”

“When Starship is reusable, it's going to cost five billion dollars to put a gigawatt of compute into space.”

“So basically, SpaceX has developed a new V-III satellite that has 10 X the bandwidth of its V-II satellite. So currently the Starlink network is powered by V-II satellites They deploy them on the Falcon nine rocket, and they launch about 27 satellites per laun…”