Starlink

includes Starlink V3, Starlink V2, Starlink Satellites

35 statements across 22 episodes · 27 bullish · 1 bearish · 8 people on the record · first statement May 31, 2021 by David Sacks · said 187 times in 64 episodes since 2020 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Jason Calacanis (85), Chamath Palihapitiya (28), David Sacks (27), David Friedberg (14), Elon Musk (9), Brad Gerstner (7), Gavin Baker (5), Thomas Laffont (3)

tap a year for its mentions
0030860152020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions
08152020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
002.57.55152020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 59 mentions in 14 episodes 4 per episode
2025 25 mentions in 12 episodes 2 per episode
2024 29 mentions in 13 episodes 2 per episode
2023 46 mentions in 12 episodes 4 per episode
2022 14 mentions in 6 episodes 2 per episode
2021 13 mentions in 6 episodes 2 per episode
2020 1 mention in 1 episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Starlink, oldest first

May 31, 2021 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Elon Musk's Starlink will disrupt traditional telecom companies
“What Elon is doing with Starlink is going to disrupt them.”
David Sacks May 31, 2021 ▶ 56:14 E34: Wuhan lab leak theory, India's traceability law, Coinbase fact check, Big Tech takes Hollywood
Aug 28, 2021 bullish
Prediction Partly held up
Chamath: Starlink and Tesla Bot will become real, viable products
“And so, you know, for whatever it's worth, it's like, I think Starlink's going to be a real thing. I think this is probably going to be a real thing.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Aug 28, 2021 ▶ 1:22:09 E44: USA's Afghanistan embarrassment, China's new algo laws, future of robots + Italy recap!
Dec 23, 2021 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Sachs: Starlink is faster than fixed broadband in seven major countries
“Now it's reported that Starlink is faster than the fixed broadband average in Belgium, Canada, Australia, Germany, the UK, New Zealand, and France.”
David Sacks Dec 23, 2021 ▶ 1:17:47 E60: The 2021 Bestie Awards PLUS Jack Dorsey starts the Web3 Wars
May 16, 2022 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2027
Musk: Starlink revenue will enable a permanent moon base
“The revenue generated from Starlink is what can enable the of a permanently crewed base on the moon, which will be the next, you know, next step from Apollo”
Elon Musk May 16, 2022 ▶ 43:51 Elon Musk: Twitter's bot problem, SpaceX's grand plan, Tesla stories & more
Jun 7, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gracias: Starlink will deliver very high margins and strong ROIC
“So it's like in building Starlink, same thing, capital going in, but we know that the margins and the profitability of that business on the back end will be very, very high, and so the ROIC will be very good.”
Antonio Gracias Jun 7, 2022 ▶ 8:21 #AIS: Bestie AMA with Valor's Antonio Gracias
Oct 29, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
David Sacks predicts Starlink will be a phenomenal business
“And I think Starlink's going to be A phenomenal business.”
David Sacks Oct 29, 2022 ▶ 12:45 E102: Elon closes Twitter deal, $META uncertainty, Zuck's historic bet, big tech decline & more
Oct 29, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Starlink enterprise internet backup business could become ginormous
“So I could see many companies putting in Starlink, even if they have a fiber line or whatever, just as a backup, that business alone could be ginormous.”
Jason Calacanis Oct 29, 2022 ▶ 48:14 E102: Elon closes Twitter deal, $META uncertainty, Zuck's historic bet, big tech decline & more
Jan 6, 2023 bullish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chamath predicts Starlink will IPO in 2023 at a $75B+ valuation
“Starlink will go public. Oh, SpaceX will cut and paste the cap table. And we will take that. Yum. Yum. It'll be yummy and delicious. And my prediction is that the Starlink valuation will be at least half of SpaceX's current private mark.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 6, 2023 ▶ 42:12 E110: 2023 Bestie Predictions!
Aug 26, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath predicts a Starlink IPO is the only way to catalyze markets
“I think the only company that can really catalyze things would be if people were ready to do Starlink.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Aug 26, 2023 ▶ 49:02 E143: Nvidia smashes earnings, Arm walks the plank, M&A market, Vivek dominates GOP debate & more
Sep 13, 2023 neutral
What-if
Musk: Would have activated Starlink in Crimea if requested by Biden
“If I had received a presidential directive to turn it on, I would have done so, because I do regard the president as the chief executive officer of the country, whether I want that position If I'm not, I still respect the office, and so, if, you know, if we've…”
Elon Musk Sep 13, 2023 ▶ 8:55 Elon Musk: Ukraine, X, the creator economy, China, AI, & more | All-In Summit 2023
Sep 13, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Musk: Starlink coverage in Crimea was disabled due to US sanctions
“At the time this happened, the region around, you Crimea was actually turned off. Now, the reason it was turned off was, actually, originally, was because the United States had sanctions and we're not allowed to actually, and that includes Crimea in the sancti…”
Elon Musk Sep 13, 2023 ▶ 7:11 Elon Musk: Ukraine, X, the creator economy, China, AI, & more | All-In Summit 2023
Sep 13, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
Musk: Starlink latency can be under 20 milliseconds
“Because unlike the geosynchronous satellites, the latency is, you know, really can be less than 20 milliseconds.”
Elon Musk Sep 13, 2023 ▶ 1:38 Elon Musk: Ukraine, X, the creator economy, China, AI, & more | All-In Summit 2023
Sep 13, 2023 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Musk: Starlink is the only communications network working on Ukrainian front lines
“Starlink is the fundamental communication backbone of the Ukrainian government and essential services, like first responders and that kind of thing. And, you know, it's used, we hope peacefully, relatively peacefully on the war front. It is the only thing that…”
Elon Musk Sep 13, 2023 ▶ 11:43 Elon Musk: Ukraine, X, the creator economy, China, AI, & more | All-In Summit 2023
Sep 13, 2023
Assertion Supported
Musk: SpaceX and Starlink have zero business presence in China
“SpaceX and Starlink have no business in China whatsoever. They're not allowed, you know, SpaceX doesn't launch China satellites, and Starlink is abandoned in China. So, to be clear, SpaceX, Starlink, zero business in China.”
Elon Musk Sep 13, 2023 ▶ 32:47 Elon Musk: Ukraine, X, the creator economy, China, AI, & more | All-In Summit 2023
Sep 13, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Musk: In-flight Starlink will outperform home internet for some users
“So it's it, in fact, for a lot of, I think for some people, the Starlink connection on the plane will be better than their connection at their house.”
Elon Musk Sep 13, 2023 ▶ 1:48 Elon Musk: Ukraine, X, the creator economy, China, AI, & more | All-In Summit 2023
Oct 27, 2023 neutral
Opinion
Chamath: Only Starlink and Stripe can reopen tech startup IPO markets
“There are only two companies that can structurally open the capital markets for all startups. One is SpaceX Starlink, but that's on its own path, and not going public soon. And the other is Stripe.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 27, 2023 ▶ 44:13 E151: WW3 risk, War with Iran?, 4.9% GDP, startup failures growing, new Speaker & more
Dec 16, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Rural consumers will buy Starlink individually despite lost subsidies
“All of those people who just had their Starlink canceled through the government, I guarantee you, they will buy Starlink because it's the best product.”
Jason Calacanis Dec 16, 2023 ▶ 56:03 E157: Epic legal win, OpenAI's news deal, FCC targets Elon, the limits of free speech & more
Dec 16, 2023 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: Starlink is the only company capable of satellite rural broadband today
“Starlink is the only company that has that capability today. It's the only one that has that capability.”
David Sacks Dec 16, 2023 ▶ 37:18 E157: Epic legal win, OpenAI's news deal, FCC targets Elon, the limits of free speech & more
Jan 6, 2024 bullish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chamath: Starlink will go public in 2024
“I'm gonna go with the same thing. I think I was just off by your Starlink will go public.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 6, 2024 ▶ 39:39 E160: 2024 Predictions! Markets, tech, politics, and more
Sep 20, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks: FCC revoked $885M Starlink award claiming insufficient internet speed
“In 2023, The FCC canceled or revoked an eight hundred eighty-five million dollar contract with the company by claiming Starlink is not capable of providing high-speed internet.”
David Sacks Sep 20, 2024 ▶ 36:32 Big Fed rate cuts, AI killing call centers, $50B govt boondoggle, VC's rough years, Trump/Kamala
Oct 18, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Starlink could reach 100 million subscribers with satellite-to-phone
“If we can get satellite to phone and you can get Starlink more broadly available, this could be a hundred million subscriber business. I mean, this could be one of the biggest businesses on the earth.”
David Friedberg Oct 18, 2024 ▶ 21:38 Dueling Presidential interviews, SpaceX’s big catch, Robotaxis, Uber buying Expedia?, Nuclear NIMBY
Oct 18, 2024 bullish
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Starlink currently has 4 million subscribers
“Starlink's apparently, I mean, I know everyone here is a shareholder in SpaceX, but Starlink's running at four million subs right now.”
David Friedberg Oct 18, 2024 ▶ 21:18 Dueling Presidential interviews, SpaceX’s big catch, Robotaxis, Uber buying Expedia?, Nuclear NIMBY
Dec 20, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Palihapitiya: SpaceX uses stablecoins to collect global Starlink payments
“The point is that a lot of companies that you would never think, so for example, SpaceX uses these stable coins.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 12:18 DOGE kills its first bill, Zuck vs OpenAI, Google's AI comeback
Oct 28, 2025
Disclosure
Machado: Opposition smuggled Starlink terminals into Venezuela to prove election win
“We smudled Starlink and antennas into the country, generators, Laptops, cell phones, and without the regime noticing it, we installed these a 130 operational places, and in less than 24 hours, we were able to prove our victory with the, you know, the images, o…”
María Corina Machado Oct 28, 2025 ▶ 47:10 The Woman Who BEAT Maduro: Venezuela's Next Leader? Nobel Peace Prize Winner María Corina Machado
Jan 17, 2026
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Satellite information warfare tactics will define every future conflict
“That is the generation of Warfare and information that we are going to see in every conflict going forward, especially when you have something as ubiquitous as Starlink and other things in the sky to help you get the information out.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 17, 2026 ▶ 12:29 Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, and Solving Energy Costs
Apr 3, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: SpaceX has largely built a backup internet through Starlink
“So in space, with the number of satellites going up with Starlink, and to actually deploy data centers that can output data on those nodes on that network, SpaceX has largely built a backup internet.”
David Friedberg Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 11:42 SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity
May 8, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2031
Calacanis: Distributed compute in Tesla Powerwalls is the next AI move
“The Powerwall with compute in it, it's already online, right? And Starlink also gives them the ability to do distributed compute to people's homes. Again, you could be paying people to put Powerwalls with compute in it. That's going to be the next shoe to drop…”
Jason Calacanis May 8, 2026 ▶ 22:12 Elon’s Anthropic Deal, The Next AI Monopoly?, “FDA for AI” Panic, Trading the AI Boom
May 22, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Starlink generated $11.4B in revenue and $4.4B in operating income
“Starlink did 11.4 billion in revenue last year on 50% growth with 4.4 billion in operating income.”
Jason Calacanis May 22, 2026 ▶ 45:54 SpaceX’s $2T Case, Nvidia’s Shock Selloff, America Turns on AI, Trump Pulls AI Order, Bond Crisis?
Jun 4, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2029
Laffont: Starlink will enable worldwide satellite phone calls within a few years
“I believe that within a few years, Starlink will power a device which will actually enable you to make a phone call anywhere in the world.”
Thomas Laffont Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 16:30 Thomas Laffont: The $4T AI IPO Wave Is Coming… and We’ve Never Seen Anything Like It
Aug 7, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Direct-to-cell Starlink could double quarterly subscriber additions to 4M-5M
“And if he launches the handset thing, that subscriber growth is going to go, right now he's adding two million subscribers on the consumer side a quarter. You could see that going to four to five million a quarter.”
David Friedberg Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 28:59 Google’s AI Brain Drain, SpaceX's Huge Quarter, Airtable’s 90% Collapse, US Data Fuels China AI
Aug 7, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Starship launches will add over 20x more Starlink bandwidth
“So basically, SpaceX has developed a new V-III satellite that has 10 X the bandwidth of its V-II satellite. So currently the Starlink network is powered by V-II satellites They deploy them on the Falcon nine rocket, and they launch about 27 satellites per laun…”
David Sacks Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 36:29 Google’s AI Brain Drain, SpaceX's Huge Quarter, Airtable’s 90% Collapse, US Data Fuels China AI
Aug 7, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Starlink alone could reach a $1T valuation within 18 months
“The Starlink business alone could be a trillion dollar market cap within two years, within 18 months, let's say.”
David Friedberg Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 28:22 Google’s AI Brain Drain, SpaceX's Huge Quarter, Airtable’s 90% Collapse, US Data Fuels China AI
Aug 7, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedberg breaks down Starlink Q2: $4.3B revenue, $2.6B EBITDA, 12M subscribers
“But the connectivity piece on Starlink, 4.3 billion in the quarter, and 2.6 billion in adjusted EBITDA. He's got twelve million subscribers. That's doubled year over year. 66 dollar ARPU per month what people are paying per month. And he grew 20% quarter over …”
David Friedberg Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 27:18 Google’s AI Brain Drain, SpaceX's Huge Quarter, Airtable’s 90% Collapse, US Data Fuels China AI
Aug 7, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Starlink could generate $30B in annual free cash flow within a year
“Starlink alone could be generating on the order of forty billion dollars of revenue top line with a huge amount of that flowing to free cash. That could be a thirty billion dollar free cash flow within the year.”
David Friedberg Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 27:45 Google’s AI Brain Drain, SpaceX's Huge Quarter, Airtable’s 90% Collapse, US Data Fuels China AI
Aug 7, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2028
Calacanis: Every Tesla sold will include built-in Starlink connectivity
“So the piece there that's going to be explained probably in the next year or two is every single Tesla sold is going to have Starlink in it when they get that merger done. What that means is you're going to have wifi networks connecting any phone. To any Tesla…”
Jason Calacanis Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 31:56 Google’s AI Brain Drain, SpaceX's Huge Quarter, Airtable’s 90% Collapse, US Data Fuels China AI
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