Nate Silver, every mention
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tap a year for its mentions
every year anyone Jason Calacanis 22David Friedberg 15Chamath Palihapitiya 10David Sacks 4Tim Urban 1Haralabos Voulgaris 1
Verbatim, from the transcripts: the passages where Nate Silver comes up
Trump's market impact: Bitcoin, M&A, IPOs + transition picks; Polymarket CEO raided by FBI
- ▶ 40:56 Jason Calacanis And Founder Fund have made an investment into the company, and Nate Silver is an advisor. 2 times in the scene
2024 Election Night Livestream with the Besties!
- ▶ 2:02:04 Haralabos Voulgaris I think Nate Silver even said like, woof, I don't want to be sitting across the poker table from, from Seltzer basically.
Markets turn Trump, Long rates spike, Election home stretch, Influencer mania, Saving Starbucks
- ▶ 55:41 David Friedberg Yeah, and the essay that Nate Silver wrote, uh, that was published by the New York Times yesterday said, it's a fifty-fifty toss-up. 3 times in the scene
- ▶ 56:20 Jason Calacanis I mean, I think Nate's probably the best thinker on this who I think puts a lot of effort into it. 2 times in the scene
Dueling Presidential interviews, SpaceX’s big catch, Robotaxis, Uber buying Expedia?, Nuclear NIMBY
- ▶ 2:33 David Friedberg So Nate Silver's model, which takes the pole from each state and builds in a, a kind of a, a Monte Carlo of, you know, super pole, like a super model for the whole country. 3 times in the scene
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey
- ▶ 1:15:50 Jason Calacanis Nate Silver, friend of the pod, his algorithm has it.
Big Fed rate cuts, AI killing call centers, $50B govt boondoggle, VC's rough years, Trump/Kamala
- ▶ 1:19:31 David Sacks Because I think the polls, including Nate Silver, still show him favored to win.
Megyn Kelly | All-In Summit 2024
- ▶ 16:48 David Friedberg Nate Silver's interpretation of that poll. 6 times in the scene
"Founder Mode," DOJ alleges Russian podcast op, Kamala flips proposals, Tech loses Section 230?
- ▶ 1:25:54 Chamath Palihapitiya But what everybody got wrong last time, and now what people are doing a much more refined job, other than Nate Silver, this time around, is then being able to do a more nuanced look at the Electoral College probability, which is in the…
Massive jobs revision, Kamala wealth tax, polls vs prediction markets, end of race-based admissions
- ▶ 36:42 Jason Calacanis Our guy Nate Silver, friend of the pod, has 4 times in the scene
- ▶ 41:57 Chamath Palihapitiya I think that people like Nate Silver do a pretty reasonable job in his specific case. 4 times in the scene
Break up Google, Starbucks CEO out, Kamala’s price controls, Boeing disaster, Kursk offensive
- ▶ 59:53 Jason Calacanis Nate Silver, a friend of the pod, now has Kamala Harris at 57% favorite to win the electoral college. 3 times in the scene
Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO
- ▶ 1:16 David Friedberg Just this week, Nate Silver released his newest model update. 3 times in the scene
E143: Nvidia smashes earnings, Arm walks the plank, M&A market, Vivek dominates GOP debate & more
- ▶ 1:02:24 Jason Calacanis So Nate Silver- 2 times in the scene
E131: 2024 Fantasy President picks, debt ceiling agreement, Dollar dominance & more
- ▶ 16:04 Chamath Palihapitiya And you look at, you know, Nate does a great job of pulling up all of the polling that happens from all of the polling agencies.
E103: Tech layoffs surge, big tech freezes hiring, optimizing for profits, election preview & more
- ▶ 55:26 David Sacks So Nate Silver has pointed out that within one standard deviation, you could either have a Republican wave or you could have basically the Republicans fizzle out.
#AIS: Bestie AMA with Valor's Antonio Gracias
- ▶ 1:28:58 Jason Calacanis Um, and then maybe hiring Tim Urban and, ah, Nate Silver, and then having them build a media company to take on CNN.
E83: Market slide continues, and how to address Uvalde
- ▶ 13:52 Jason Calacanis So I think Nate Silver overlapped with Keith Raboi.
#AIS: Tim Urban on political discourse + Keith Rabois on early-stage investing in 2022
E77: Tech work culture, crypto regulation, stablecoins, $NFLX & more w/ Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong
- ▶ 1:03:04 Jason Calacanis Um, we've got some pretty great speakers, Ryan Peterson, Nate Silver, uh, Claire Vickle, uh, Brad Gerstner, uh, Palmer Luckey's coming, Elon's coming, Keith Roboy's coming, Joe Lonsdale, Tim Urban.
E76.5: Food shortage, China's grand plan, inflation, French election plus an All-In Summit preview
- ▶ 27:15 Jason Calacanis So we have, uh, Ryan Peterson, uh, Nate Silver, Brad Gerstner, uh, Claire, uh, Vickle, who is amazing.
E73: Late-stage VC markdowns and mistakes, market strategy, Ukraine/Russia update with Brad Gerstner
- ▶ 1:30:29 Jason Calacanis Nate Silver is coming. 4 times in the scene
E30: Ramifications of Biden's proposed capital gains tax hike, founder psychology & more
- ▶ 1:03:41 David Sacks Yeah, Nate Silver had a really good tweet about this. 2 times in the scene
E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
- ▶ 1:32:51 Chamath Palihapitiya When do we get to vote on when we fire Nate Silver? 4 times in the scene