economy

also referred to as: the economy

14 statements across 13 episodes · 6 bullish · 6 bearish · 7 people on the record · first statement Oct 3, 2020 by Chamath Palihapitiya · across every show →

Everything said about economy, oldest first

Oct 3, 2020 bullish
Opinion
Chamath: Super bullish on the economy and tech heading into 2021
“So I'm generally like, I'm super bullish on the economy. I'm super bullish on tech.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 3, 2020 ▶ 1:02:06 E9: Trump has COVID, First debate reactions, Coinbase letter response & more
Sep 14, 2021 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Federal vaccine mandate on private employees will cause economic chaos
“Having a hard, Vax mandate on a hundred million employees of private enterprises. You know, that's going to cause I think chaos in the economy.”
David Sacks Sep 14, 2021 ▶ 20:06 E46: False Ivermectin narratives, regulatory grift, wartime mentality in solving issues & more
Oct 2, 2021 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Palihapitiya: Vaccines and antiviral pills will fully reopen the economy
“If you have a combination of all these things, This is like a flu, which means that there'll be less ability for folks to not show up to work, which means that most of the economy will get back going.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 2, 2021 ▶ 43:06 E49: Coinbase CEO reflects on controversial blog, state of the markets, 1000 unicorns & more
Dec 29, 2021 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: The US economy will boom as baby boomers pass down wealth
“And then all these boomers are retiring as Chamath has pointed out over and over again, and they're going to pass down their wealth, which then creates a perfect storm. Of a ton of capital, a ton of energy, lots of new ideas, a different perspective, and the e…”
Jason Calacanis Dec 29, 2021 ▶ 42:15 E61: 2022 Predictions! Business, politics, science, tech, crypto, & more
Mar 5, 2022 bearish
Prediction Held up
Chamath: The U.S. economy will contract into a recession
“We will contract as an economy.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 5, 2022 ▶ 22:03 E71: Russia/Ukraine deep dive: escalation, risk factors, financial fallout, exit ramps and more
Nov 12, 2022 neutral
Opinion
Chamath: Meta's 11,000 job cuts do not matter to the broader economy
“I don't I don't think Facebook matters that much to be honest. Well, but it matters that big tech is and they're taking matters to us, but it doesn't matter to the economy to be completely honest.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 12, 2022 ▶ 1:08:17 E104: FTX collapse with Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong + election results, macro update & more
Dec 24, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Musk: Economic recovery will begin roughly in Q2 2024
“And my best guess is that, you know, we have Sort of stormy times for a year to a year and a half, and then things start to, dawn breaks roughly in Q to 24.”
Elon Musk Dec 24, 2022 ▶ 1:20:30 E109: 2022 Bestie Awards Live from Twitter HQ
Nov 11, 2023 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Technological productivity gains have always grown the overall economy
“There's no point in history that we've had a productivity gain through technology. That didn't ultimately grow the economy. Like, it's never, ever gone the other way.”
David Friedberg Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 1:35:03 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
May 17, 2024
Insight
Chamath: Fixing mismanaged economies requires cutting entitlements and driving growth
“When you've spent decades Casting about and misallocating capital and running your economy into the ground. The formula for fixing it is exactly the same. You cut entitlements and you reinvigorate the economy.”
Chamath Palihapitiya May 17, 2024 ▶ 1:03:55 GPT-4o launches, Glue demo, Ohalo breakthrough, Druck's Argentina bet, did Google kill Perplexity?
Apr 24, 2025 negative
Opinion
Vance: Economic stagnation is concentrated in heavily regulated sectors
“If you look at where the economy has been most stagnant, it's been in basically the heavily regulated parts of the economy.”
JD Vance Apr 24, 2025 ▶ 5:20 Inside the All-In Summit: Behind the Scenes of the World's Greatest Conference 🚀
Apr 24, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Elon Musk: Humanoid robots and autonomous vehicles enable unlimited economic growth
“Once you have general purpose humanoid robots, autonomous vehicles, you can build anything. There's no actual limit to the size of the economy.”
Elon Musk Apr 24, 2025 ▶ 8:43 Inside the All-In Summit: Behind the Scenes of the World's Greatest Conference 🚀
Jul 23, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bessent: AI boom highly likely to spur non-inflationary economic growth
“With AI that we can go back to the paradigm When I was younger, in the nineties, Alan Greenspan was able to run the economy very hot in the nineties, and because, you know, it was the IT boom, and we had this very powerful non-inflationary growth, and I think …”
Scott Bessent Jul 23, 2025 ▶ 1:36 Winning the AI Race Part 4: Scott Bessent, Howard Lutnick, Chris Wright, and Doug Burgum
Dec 22, 2025 negative
Insight
Bessent: Financial markets act like biology, not precise math or physics
“The economy, the markets are biology. They're not math. They're not physics. They're nonlinearities. They're very complex systems. They're mutations in the system. And this idea that we can have this decimal point certainty is just absurd.”
Scott Bessent Dec 22, 2025 ▶ 39:13 Scott Bessent: Fixing the Fed, Tariffs for National Security, Solving Affordability in 2026
Jun 19, 2026 negative
Opinion
Friedberg: Warren, Sanders, and Khanna are the true oligarchs
“They are the true oligarchs, and this is Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Ro Khanna, This is the group that is trying to coalesce power and create for themselves a system whereby they have greater influence, greater control over aspects of the economy.”
David Friedberg Jun 19, 2026 ▶ 3:37 World's First Trillionaire, Anthropic Fable Banned, The New Oligarchs, Iran Peace Deal
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