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20VC Opinion
Party rounds leave founders without a dedicated lead investor
“When you have a two million dollar round and you've got four people at a half million dollars, you really don't have an anchor and you don't really have somebody who's putting a stake in the ground saying, Hey, you know what? I'm going to be there for you and …”
Tony Conrad Jun 14, 2017 ▶ 15:32 20VC: Tony Conrad on Straddling The Role Of Founder & Investor, What True Founder/Product Fit Looks Like & The Dangers of Party Rounds
MORE OR LESS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tony Conrad: True Ventures Portfolio Company Will Hit $150M AI ARR
“We have one portfolio company that, and these are real numbers, not venture numbers... It's already unicorn status valuation that opened a new in December had zero revenue around this new product line. And this year ends at minimum one 50 AR are on that busine…”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 30:39 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Tony Conrad: AI answer engines favor direct press releases over earned media
“In AO, it's just the opposite. It is about actually putting value disproportionate amount of value of whatever's coming from the horse's mouth. Right? So whatever it is that we're putting out there. So a press release, you may not have done one lately because …”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 41:20 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Disclosure
Conrad: True Ventures has paused investing in non-AI startups
“Like, I think it's just required us to just say, pause for a second on all things that are non AI, because we're going to have catch up like almost every firm, by the way.”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 50:38 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Conrad: Many fast-growing AI startups have net negative margins
“A lot of these are net negative margin.”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 58:30 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
20VC Insight
Single young founders must network in person three nights a week
“You know, if you're single, and you've got flexibility, if you're not out there at least a minimum of three nights a week, then you should go do something different.”
Tony Conrad Jun 14, 2017 ▶ 12:53 20VC: Tony Conrad on Straddling The Role Of Founder & Investor, What True Founder/Product Fit Looks Like & The Dangers of Party Rounds
Conrad: VCs Win Deals Through the Firm Brand, Not Personal Brands
“Yes, your hustle does source deals, and you do have to make the call, but ultimately you win these deals often because of the body at work and the reputation of the most important brand, which is not The me brand, but the us brand.”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 3:58 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Tony Conrad: Kleiner Perkins lost its way before Mamoon Hamid revitalized it
“Mamoon, the work he's done over at Kleiner is like, to me, Incredibly inspirational. I mean, I felt like Kleiner had really lost his way at one point in time. And honestly, in some weird way, it kind of saddened me because I, they were such an important firm i…”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 18:37 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Tony Conrad: Junior VCs must network at least three nights a week
“I tell our younger team, if you're not out at least three nights a week, then you're probably shouldn't be doing this at the end of the day.”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 28:09 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Conrad: Enterprise Software Has Moved Past the Word 'SaaS'
“I would say SaaS is, you know, like, if you're an enterprise person, you're not saying the word SaaS anymore. That's dead. I mean, literally, you're not saying that. Nobody thinks that's hot, right?”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 35:49 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Conrad: Anthropic Holds an Enterprise Lead Over Competitors
“I think Anthropic actually has on the enterprise side of the equation... I think has definitely a lead here, or at least reputationally, I think it does.”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 38:28 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tony Conrad predicts Blue Bottle Coffee will be a hallmark investment
“Blue bottle coffee is a bit of an atypical one for a tech investor to be doing, but it turns out that this is going to be, you know, one of the hallmark companies in our portfolio.”
Tony Conrad Jun 14, 2017 ▶ 5:18 20VC: Tony Conrad on Straddling The Role Of Founder & Investor, What True Founder/Product Fit Looks Like & The Dangers of Party Rounds
20VC Opinion
Tony Conrad disagrees with Peter Fenton on founder unease
“No, not at all. In fact you know, that might work for Peter, and I think each investor, as I've learned even within our firm, has a different approach, and it's really important that you empower somebody to kind of adhere to their kind of instincts, if you wan…”
Tony Conrad Jun 14, 2017 ▶ 7:32 20VC: Tony Conrad on Straddling The Role Of Founder & Investor, What True Founder/Product Fit Looks Like & The Dangers of Party Rounds
20VC Prediction Held up
True Ventures always aims to be the anchor investor
“Our goal at True is always to be the anchor and to have the largest Shareholding in the company at that stage, because we think we're going to be able to impact the DNA of the company in a more profound way and help protect it more effectively.”
Tony Conrad Jun 14, 2017 ▶ 15:17 20VC: Tony Conrad on Straddling The Role Of Founder & Investor, What True Founder/Product Fit Looks Like & The Dangers of Party Rounds
20VC Opinion
Chasing high valuations is highly detrimental to young founders
“Go get a high valuation. I think it's one of the most detrimental things that happens for these young entrepreneurs. They think it's a game. And the answer is not about just because you can get away with it. You know, you should go get a high valuation. You sh…”
Tony Conrad Jun 14, 2017 ▶ 21:20 20VC: Tony Conrad on Straddling The Role Of Founder & Investor, What True Founder/Product Fit Looks Like & The Dangers of Party Rounds
MORE OR LESS Disclosure
Conrad: True Ventures Strives to Be a Non-Attribution Firm
“We're definitely, we strive to be a non-attribution firm. Although everybody in internally certainly knows who does the deals and who's working on deals and founders definitely have a dedicated person, but We have a tendency just to think that, you know, one s…”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 2:34 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Tony Conrad: Sarah Guo's Conviction has quickly reached venture's forefront
“Then you got Sarah Gow's fund, Conviction, which is really quickly, you know, has moved up into the forefront of everybody's, you know, list.”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 19:48 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Disclosure
Conrad: True Ventures refuses to submit data to Forbes Midas List
“We don't do Midas lists. Like we don't, this is back to non-attribution.”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 43:03 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Tony Conrad: LinkedIn is surprisingly amazing and powerful
“The social network of LinkedIn is, like, kind of amazing and powerful, powerful, right? And like, I would have never, like, oh my god, like, take me out back and force me to, like, to post on LinkedIn. Now I'm posting all the time”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 46:59 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Conrad: Categorizing companies as AI vs non-AI will soon end
“I think pretty soon it's just like, we're just gonna talk, it's gonna just be back to being tech. It's like, everything's gonna be AI if it's whatever. And we'll get back to the normal classifications of, Tech and non-tech, right?”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 1:00:53 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
20VC Disclosure
Tony Conrad ignores market trends and is not thesis-driven
“I'm not thesis driven at all. I'm not trying to predict where the market is going or where the next great ideas are.”
Tony Conrad Jun 14, 2017 ▶ 4:07 20VC: Tony Conrad on Straddling The Role Of Founder & Investor, What True Founder/Product Fit Looks Like & The Dangers of Party Rounds
20VC Disclosure
Tony Conrad spends disproportionate time analyzing founder motivation
“And I spent probably a disproportionate amount of time, I think maybe more time than any other investor, in digging in on that basic premise for why are they after this?”
Tony Conrad Jun 14, 2017 ▶ 4:32 20VC: Tony Conrad on Straddling The Role Of Founder & Investor, What True Founder/Product Fit Looks Like & The Dangers of Party Rounds
20VC Insight
Active founder status gives VCs unique credibility with entrepreneurs
“When you're a venture capitalist and you are also an active founder, it gives you a certain kind of cache and a certain credibility that I think that really resonates with founders”
Tony Conrad Jun 14, 2017 ▶ 10:37 20VC: Tony Conrad on Straddling The Role Of Founder & Investor, What True Founder/Product Fit Looks Like & The Dangers of Party Rounds
20VC Insight
Investor and founder social networks remain largely distinct
“Venture capitalists run in certain circles, and entrepreneurs run in different circles, and They do overlap at time, the cocktail parties and things like that, but for the most part, they're pretty distinct”
Tony Conrad Jun 14, 2017 ▶ 11:10 20VC: Tony Conrad on Straddling The Role Of Founder & Investor, What True Founder/Product Fit Looks Like & The Dangers of Party Rounds
20VC Insight
Startup founders tend to underpay themselves and burn out
“Founders have a tendency to underpay themselves. They're overstressed. They're overstretched.”
Tony Conrad Jun 14, 2017 ▶ 19:01 20VC: Tony Conrad on Straddling The Role Of Founder & Investor, What True Founder/Product Fit Looks Like & The Dangers of Party Rounds
20VC Prediction Held up
Tony Conrad predicts Pluralsight will IPO within several years
“It was acquired by a company called Pluralsight, which is a very large private company that I think is marching towards a public market offering sometime in the next several years.”
Tony Conrad Jun 14, 2017 ▶ 23:17 20VC: Tony Conrad on Straddling The Role Of Founder & Investor, What True Founder/Product Fit Looks Like & The Dangers of Party Rounds
MORE OR LESS Disclosure
Conrad: True Ventures will not invest in AI infrastructure layer
“And so I just think for us as a firm where we're not going to invest in the kind of the infrastructure, you know, kind of layer per se, right? That's just not, you know, the, those checks were already just way still beyond. That's what we talked about. Fifty m…”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 50:02 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Conrad: John Mayer advised Hodinkee and attended board meetings regularly
“You know, we were, he was one of our advisors at Hodinkee. And so he would show up all the time to our Hodinkee. Board stuff and whatnot. He's a great advocate.”
Tony Conrad Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 1:06:28 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
20VC Assertion Contradicted
Blue Bottle Coffee dumps unsold roasted beans after ten days
“That blue bottle, the beans, we only hold them for 10 days after roasting, and if they don't sell, then we pull them off the shelf and we dump them.”
Tony Conrad Jun 14, 2017 ▶ 5:57 20VC: Tony Conrad on Straddling The Role Of Founder & Investor, What True Founder/Product Fit Looks Like & The Dangers of Party Rounds
20VC Assertion Partly supported
Teamable founder Laura Bilizarian captained the national women's rugby team
“One of the things I discovered was that she was the national women's rugs rugby team captain.”
Tony Conrad Jun 14, 2017 ▶ 8:27 20VC: Tony Conrad on Straddling The Role Of Founder & Investor, What True Founder/Product Fit Looks Like & The Dangers of Party Rounds
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